Earnings Labs

Agilent Technologies, Inc. (A)

Q4 2006 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 14, 2006

$114.87

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the fourth quarter 2006 Agilent Technologies Incorporated Earnings Conference Call. My name is Danielle and I will be your coordinator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. We will conduct a Q&A session towards the end of this conference. If at any time during the call you require assistance, please press * and 0 and a coordinator will be happy to assist you. As a reminder, this call is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for today’s call, Mr. Hilliard Terry, Vice President and Treasurer, please proceed.

Hilliard C. Terry, Vice President and Treasurer

Management

Thank you, good morning and welcome to Agilent’s fourth quarter conference call for 2006. With me are Agilent’s President and CEO, Bill Sullivan, and Executive Vice President, Finance and Administration and CFO Adrian Dillon. After my introductory comments, Bill will give his perspective on the quarter and the business environment. Then, Adrian will follow with his view of the financials and the performance of each of our businesses. After Adrian’s comments, we will open the lines and take your questions. In case you haven’t had a chance to review our press release, you can find it on our website at www.investor.agilent.com. We are also providing further information to supplement today’s discussion. After you login, please login into the webcast module and click on the link “Supplemental Information.” You will find additional information such as our in-market revenue breakout and historical financial information for Agilent’s continuing operation. In accordance with SEC Regulation G, if during this conference call we use any non-GAAP financial measure, you will find in our website the required reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure. In addition, I would like to remind you that we may make forward-looking statements about the future financial performance of the company that involve risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties could cause Agilent’s results to differ materially from management’s current expectations. We encourage you to look at the company’s most recent filings with the SEC to get a more complete picture of all the factors at work. The forward-looking statements including guidance provided during today’s call are only valid as of this date. The company assumes no obligation to update such statements as we move through the current quarter. Lastly, before I turn the call over to Bill, I would like to remind each of you that we will host our annual analyst meeting on Tuesday, December 12, 2006, here at the Agilent Technologies headquarters in Santa Clara, California. The meeting will focus on our growth initiatives as well as our board’s view of the business environment. Our executive management team will be available as well as leaders from several of our key businesses. Now with that out of the way, I will turn the call over to Bill for his comments.

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Thanks, Hilliard, and hello everyone. The fourth quarter represented a milestone for Agilent. We completed the distribution of Verigy shares to our owners which marked the completion of our transformation to a pure play measurement company. With that, my comments today will focus on the new Agilent and its continuing operations. For FY06, orders were $5.1 billion and revenue was $5 billion, both up 6% over FY05. Adjusted income from continued operations was $656 million, an increase of 42% over the previous year. Turning to the fourth quarter, our results continue to demonstrate the strength of our operating model that we have created at Agilent. Orders were up 7% over last year, while revenue increased by 6%. Operating margins reached 17% and our 29% return on invested capital for the quarter represents a new high. We have the highest backlog in half a decade and a good momentum going into FY07. Turning to our results by business, our Bio-Analytical measurement business posted 9% revenue growth, record profitability, and excellent return on invested capital. Results were consistent with our normal season pattern and reflect a strong demand across virtually all of our markets. Geographically, we saw regional strength in Europe and Asia, particularly in China and India. Our Bio-Analytical business is comprised of two areas -- life science and chemical analysis. In life science, we continue to see a positive impact from our recent product introductions and LC-MS instruments and microarrays. We are seeing some rebound in large pharma spending and our fastest growth is in biotech. In chemical analysis, our new products were in good demand in food, forensics, and environmental markets. The food and environmental markets are particularly strong in Europe and Asia due to increased testing demand from new regulations. The state and local governments in America have…

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

Thank you, Bill. Good morning everybody. Let me give you a few overall perspectives on the quarter for Agilent, review the performance of our two business segments, and conclude with some thoughts about first quarter and full year 2006 guidance. Except where specifically noted, all of my comments will focus on Agilent’s results from continuing operations, i.e., ignoring the results of Verigy, which we distributed to our owners on October 31st. Verigy’s results will be covered by its management in an earnings release and conference call later today. Okay, turning to the Agilent enterprise level; overall, we had a good fourth quarter. Orders of $1.4 billion were 7% ahead of last year. Revenues of $1.33 billion were up 6% from last year. Adjusted net earnings per share at $0.46 were about at our expectations, but probably a penny lower than they could have been because of weak incrementals on additional volume. This is reflected in our gross margins which were up 2 points from last year but about flat for the third quarter. However, discretionary operating expenses remained under very good control, inventories remained below 100 days on hand, return on invested capital hit a new company high of 29%, and we generated $300 million of cash from operations during the quarter. Overall, the transformation of Agilent that we announced 15 months ago is now complete, and the operating model we have built should be both much more stable on the top line and significantly cash flow positive on the bottom line regardless of the economic environment. Today, as the world’s premier measurement company, we are focused on leveraging through higher sustainable growth the robust operating model we have built. Okay, turning to the overall numbers, as I said, we had orders of $1.4 billion, up 7% from last year.…

Hilliard C. Terry, Vice President and Treasurer

Management

Thanks, Adrian. Danielle, I’d like for you to go ahead and give instructions for the Q&A.

Operator

Operator

Thank you sir. Ladies and gentlemen, if you wish to ask a question, please press * and 1 on your touchtone telephone. If your question has been answered or you wish to withdraw your question, please press * and 2; press * and 1 to begin. Your first question will come from the line of Ajit Pai with Thomas Weisel Partners, please proceed.

Ajit Pai, Thomas Weisel Partners

Analyst

Good morning. A couple of quick questions, the first one is just looking at the gross margins in the Electronic Measurement side. Even though you had $61 million sort of sequential increase in revenue, yet the gross margins declined sequentially. Could you give us some color as to why that happened and also whether part of it is due to the new low-end tools or handheld products in the distribution channel that you’ve introduced?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Overall, the reason for decline was product mix, a little bit of our wireless business which tends to have higher gross margins. The second reason of course is the currency impact that Adrian had talked about in Japan. Our business in Japan was the strongest of all the countries in Asia, so it was just some artifact of mix in currency and nothing to do fundamentally with the introduction of lower costing or overall price impression.

Ajit Pai, Thomas Weisel Partners

Analyst

Right, then is it fair to say sort of the low-cost instrumentation that you’re introducing in handheld products as well as using additional sort of distribution channels will be neutral to gross margins going forward for the segment?

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

Ajit this is Adrian. I would say that overall the gross margins are slightly lower on those handheld products, but so are the operating expenses and support expenses. So, on an operating margin basis we see really no difference.

Ajit Pai, Thomas Weisel Partners

Analyst

Right, so your target gross margins for the Electronic Measurement group would be what let’s say 12-18 months out?

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

Oh, if they’re significantly different than they are today on a targeted basis, I’d be surprised.

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Yeah, I just want to make sure that there is no impact to the fourth quarter gross margins due to the launch of our low cost instrument.

Ajit Pai, Thomas Weisel Partners

Analyst

Got it. The second question is you did talk about difficult compares for your wireless handset test on the manufacturing side, but could you give us some color as to how much the orders were down on a year-over-year basis?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Year-over-year wireless test business or revenue discounts were $10 million, and this was approximately 1% of the growth. Likewise, on our OSS business or monitoring business, that was down roughly $18 million or 2 points in growth. So, if you just assume that those two product lines were flat, you would have had 3 points additional growth in wireless test business with just the artifact and noise level in my opinion of investments in manufacturing going into this holiday. The OSS difference is real and as you know we have reorganized that team, we have refocused that team and are quite excited about the opportunities we se as we move forward in 2007.

Ajit Pai, Thomas Weisel Partners

Analyst

Okay, thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question will come from the line of Deane Dray with Goldman Sachs, please proceed.

Mark Zeff, Goldman Sachs

Analyst

Good morning, this is Mark Zeff calling on behalf of Deane. I wanted to follow up on the comments both in the press release and in the prepared remarks about being vigilant of economic uncertainties over the next year. Are there any end-markets in which you’re currently seeing moderating growth of incremental softness, and when you’re looking at your end-markets into the first quarter and 2007, what are the key puts and takes as far as increasing strength or moderating growth?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

I think the both of us will have comments on this. Based on the order performance going into FY07, there is not any measurable weakness anywhere in the world. We obviously have a concern about the U.S. economy and the potential slow down for capital spending in the U.S. in general. Again, that’s particular in the manufacturing side. What we continue to see though is increased investment on the research and development side, particularly in Europe, again we had strong Europe and U.S. and of course in Asia, and over half of the measurement market is in the research and development. Again, there are no visible signs of a fundamental slow down in ’07 based on our performance, and as Adrian said that we are monitoring that on literally a daily and weekly basis.

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

Yeah, and I would only reinforce the message that, remember this is a rebalanced company today with about 40% of our revenues in the U.S., but that being much more research oriented than consumer electronics oriented or semi-oriented the way it used to be. 36% of our business is in Asia where we’re benefitting on both sides of the house from the strength and infrastructure spending, and 24% in Europe where growth continues to be pretty steady. So, where we would look forward to push? We’d always look forward in the semiconductor related businesses first as the leading indictor for some of our other businesses, particularly on the Electronic Measurement side, and while there have been some signs of topping or slowing there, again I reinforce what Bill said, so far we’ve seen no signs of it in our business or our backlogs whatsoever. Indeed, we enter 2007 with the strongest backlogs in half a decade.

Mark Zeff, Goldman Sachs

Analyst

That’s very helpful, and one quick followup on the wireless manufacturing market. Although orders were down off a tough comp, you’re still seeing solid underlying demand in that market?

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

Absolutely.

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Absolutely, and again wireless manufacturing in the quarter is only 10% of the company’s business. Again, it’s real tough compared to last year but as we shared in last quarter’s call, our wireless manufacturing is 10% of the total company, and again just had a very strong quarter in our General Purpose instrumentation.

Mark Zeff, Goldman Sachs

Analyst

Great, thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question will come from the line of Edward White with Lehman Brothers, please proceed.

Edward White, Lehman Brothers

Analyst

Hi, I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about the integrated biology. I know that was an area where the goal had been to get it to profitability by the end of the year. I wanted to get an update on how that’s progressing.

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Well, we continue to progress well. I wish I could say that we got fully to profitability, but we made dramatic improvements in the quarter. One of the biggest drivers was the launch of our high-end Mass Spec products. The market acceptance has been very, very good, and in fact we’re shipping as fast as we can manufacture the Mass Specs. Secondly, we’ve introduced a few quarters ago our high-density microarrays and that is being well received in the market and unfortunately carries a higher average selling price. So, the momentum that we saw in the fourth quarter on the integrated biology was quite good. I think we’re very well positioned moving into FY07.

Edward White, Lehman Brothers

Analyst

Okay, and then secondly can you talk a little bit more about the market share dynamics that you’ve talked about in OSS, sort of what went on there and how you think you could change that around?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Fundamentally compared to last year, we had a very strong quarter in the fourth quarter, in what would be in the whole G2 wireless network business. As you know, the migration is to G3 and we have lost market share in that space. So, the new team that we have is again sizing ourselves for the business available and really targeting where we can make contributions moving forward. So, again, I’m quite confident that we will see continued progress in this area after a tough year moving into ’07.

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

This is Adrian. I would just reinforce that last year at this time the comparisons were particularly tough as we had the E911 initiative take place, which was a bit of a pitfall to our existent business, but that ended in the fourth quarter of last year. So, year-to-year that’s part of the reason we were down quite so much. Going forward we see that this is beginning to turn around and beginning to grow.

Edward White, Lehman Brothers

Analyst

Great, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question will come from the line of John Harmon with Needham and Company, please proceed. John Harmon, Needham & Company: Hi, good morning. Just a couple of quick question please. First of all, your handheld instruments, I realize it’s early in the game but how did the new products perform relative to your expectations?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Well, we’ve been very happy with the acceptance of our handheld products and our movement into the distribution channel. In fact, in various distributors in various parts of the world we will be already number two in electronic distribution and soon will be number one. So, the initial response has been quite favorable and this is just the beginning. By the end of next year we will have a full family of low-cost instruments available through indirect channels.

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

By the way if you come to our analyst meeting in December you’ll get an opportunity to see these new instruments. John Harmon, Needham & Company: So, there are more coming in the handheld multimedia and oscilloscopes?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Yeah absolutely, in fact we just announced low-cost spectrum analyzer. We will have a full family of low-cost instruments to be able to compete in this $800 million segment of the market. John Harmon, Needham & Company: Okay thank, and second question. You recently announced some oscilloscopes that had LXI interfaces that you called synthetic instruments, are these the types of things that you’re targeting for the U.S. military and when do you really see the peak buying to occur?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Yes, the synthetic instrumentation is a program that’s headed by the Pentagon to redefine test and measurement for military applications. The last time recapitalization of instrumention in military happened under the Reagan administration. So, we believe this will be at least $0.5 billion to $700 million opportunity over the next 10 years. Right now, some of the capital investment has been limited given the use of funds in other parts of the Department of Defense, but we’re very excited about the opportunity we have. We have the broadest line of products that are planned for synthetic instrumentation, our LXI initiative, and we also believe that this technology will be able to be commercialized outside of aerospace and defense applications. John Harmon, Needham & Company: Okay, thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Richard Eastman with Robert W. Baird, please proceed.

Richard Eastman, Robert Baird

Analyst · Robert W. Baird, please proceed.

Bill, just a followup to that question, do you feel the military aerospace market place is maybe slow to place orders or is any of the softness that we’re seeing in the last few quarters related to this synthetic initiative?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

I think the overall market is slowed. It mostly has to do with the allocation of resources of the Department of Defense. However, in the surveillance area, both in Asia and Americas, which is dominated by the U.S. obviously, we actually did see some growth. Actually the biggest decline in aerospace defense was in Europe.

Richard Eastman, Robert Baird

Analyst · Robert W. Baird, please proceed.

Okay, and then a second question on the BAM business, the order growth was very impressive, we built some backlog there, are there any production slow downs or issues there or is it basically the timing of orders?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Well, in terms of our new high-end Mass Spec Triple Quad Timer Flight I wish we could double the capacity overnight. Demand has been very, very robust and the team back in Delaware is ramping production as fast as they can. So that is the biggest opportunity to ship more products in our high-end Mass Spec.

Richard Eastman, Robert Baird

Analyst · Robert W. Baird, please proceed.

Okay, so basically we built backlog somewhat unintentionally?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

It wasn’t unintentionally, orders were greater than what we expected and this is a good problem to have.

Richard Eastman, Robert Baird

Analyst · Robert W. Baird, please proceed.

Okay, and then lastly, the incremental margin on the EM side of the business, I think Adrian you touched on this, this was basically currency and then product mix also affected the incremental profit margin?

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

Yes exactly and it was just a gross margin more than the operating margin, but that is the main element -- mix and currency.

Richard Eastman, Robert Baird

Analyst · Robert W. Baird, please proceed.

Okay, great, thank you.

Operator

Operator

As a reminder ladies and gentlemen, please press * and 1 to ask a question. Your next question will come from the line of William Stein with Credit Suisse, please proceed.

William Stein, Credit Suisse

Analyst

Thank you. I’m wondering if you could address the long-term operating model. I think you guys said that perhaps a couple of years ago before you spun out the semiconductor related businesses, and right now on the operating line you’re performing well above the midpoint closer to the peak targets for that operating structure, I’m wondering if it might be time to update that view.

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Well, we will surely update for you in the December 12th analyst call as we move forward, and you’re right the existing operating model that we have published now for a couple of years needs to have distribution narrowed…

William Stein, Credit Suisse

Analyst

Okay, thanks. Also then on the growth rate, I think you guys have been pretty vocal talking about 6% market, 2% from gains and 2% from acquisitions, I’d love to hear you comment on how you might see that progressing through next year and also particularly on the acquisition side. I know you guys closed what I expect is a very small deal yesterday, I’m wondering if you can comment on the acquisition pipeline and strategy around that. Thank you.

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Sure, we have said that based on the growth initiatives that we have identified, and again we have essentially and historically been an organic growth company, that we have supplemented our organic growth through what I call bolt-on technology acquisitions. And if we do those successfully, both the growth initiatives that I outlined in my opening remarks as well as integrating and capturing the value of the acquisitions that we have been making, we believe that we can grow it to 10%. So, the guidance we gave moving forward is 7% to 10% which is the range of probability of us moving forward, but clearly our internal goals and our focus is to be able to grow at 10%. The acquisition that we made yesterday, the team in Switzerland, is just an example of a team that provides digitized solutions to both the analytical markets as well as electronic markets, and this is just going to be a great addition to our product portfolio particularly in the whole synthetic instrumentation and aerospace and defense market. So, on December 12th when we have our yearly analyst meeting both Pat Byrne who manages our Electronic Measurement and Chris van Ingen that measures our Life Science and Chemical Analysis will really detail the growth initiatives that we have to outpace the market. That is really the story of Agilent phase II, is how do we leverage this great operating model we have created to have above-market growth rates.

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

And William I would suggest that for modeling purposes you look at the last two years. We’ve averaged between $50 million and $150 million per year in these types of fold-in acquisitions. And I think with our ability now to focus exclusively on the customers and the new products that you’ll see something in that sort of $100 million to $150 million per year fold-in going forward, which represents the 2 percentage incremental growth you were talking about.

William Stein, Credit Suisse

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mark Fitzgerald with Banc of America Securities, please proceed.

Mark Fitzgerald, Banc of America

Analyst · Banc of America Securities, please proceed.

The handset weakness, do you expect that just to be a seasonal issue and then pick up in the first quarter?

William P. Sullivan, President, CEO

Management

Well, typically the fourth quarter is really quite strong in preparation for the holidays and this is just the relationships with the amount of capital that is in place to support the existing build moving forward. There has been some shift geographically as some suppliers have taken market share versus suppliers that have lost market share. And as I have mentioned in the past, this is a huge market, a billion cellphones manufactured and each of the top six players that have 80% of the market all make capital bets on what percentage of the market that they’re going to take. And of course as based on customer acceptance, you’re going to get some movement there. So, I would not read anything into our drop of $10 million based on anything fundamentally we’re doing or anything fundamentally different in the market place.

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

Mark, this is Adrian just to answer your question. I think, again, we had a very tough compare year-to-year in the fourth quarter. We will not have as tough a compare in the first quarter to first quarter, so I think again for your modeling purposes you can assume that we’ll be getting closer back to trend in the first half of ’07.

Mark Fitzgerald, Banc of America

Analyst · Banc of America Securities, please proceed.

Okay, and then just a quick detail, can you give us some idea of the option expense in the quarter just reported?

Adrian Dillon, Vice President Finance and Administration, CFO

Management

$21 million, that will be in table 5 of our tables.

Mark Fitzgerald, Banc of America

Analyst · Banc of America Securities, please proceed.

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

And there are no more questions in the queue. I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Hilliard Terry for closing remarks.

Hilliard C. Terry, IR

Analyst

Thank you, Danielle, and thank you to everyone for joining us. We look forward to seeing everyone here on the 12th for our analyst meeting. Again, thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your presentation. You may now disconnect and have a great day.