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ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 9, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the ProFrac Holding Corporation Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Michael Messina, Director of Finance. Thank you. You may begin, sir.

Unknown Executive

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us for ProFrac Holding Corp's conference call and webcast to review our third quarter 2023 results. With me today are Matt Wilks, Executive Chairman; Ladd Wilks, Chief Executive Officer; and Lance Turner, Chief Financial Officer. Following my remarks, management will provide a high-level commentary on the financial highlights of the third quarter of 2023. As well as the business outlook before opening the call up to your questions. There will be a replay of today's call available by webcast on the company's website at pfholdingscorp.com. As well as the telephonic recording available until November 16, 2023. More information on how to access these replay features is included in the company's earnings release. Please note that information reported on this call speaks only as of today, November 9, 2023, and therefore, you are advised that any time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate as of the time of any replay listening or transcript reading. Also, comments on this call may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States federal securities laws, including management's expectations of future financial and business performance. These forward-looking statements reflect the current views of ProFrac's management and are not guarantees of future performance. Various risks, uncertainties and contingencies could cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed in management's forward-looking statements. The listener or reader is encouraged to read ProFrac's Form 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which can be found at sec.gov or on the company's Investor Relations website section under the SEC Filings tab to understand those risks, uncertainties and contingencies. The comments today also include certain non-GAAP financial measures as well as other adjusted figures to exclude the contribution of FloTek. Additional details and reconciliations to the most directly comparable consolidated and GAAP financial measures are included in the quarterly earnings press release, which can be found on the company's website. And now I'd like to turn the call over to ProFrac Executive Chairman, Mr. Matt Wilks.

Matthew Wilks

Analyst

Thanks, Michael, and good morning, everyone. After my prepared remarks, Ladd will take you deeper dive into the performance of our subsidiaries, and Lance will provide additional insight into our financial performance. Our third quarter results were challenged, but we took the necessary actions to position ProFrac for future success despite these challenges. We generated $149 million in adjusted EBITDA, reduced our net debt by $123 million and generated $73 million of free cash flow. As we grew through acquisitions and scaled up our Stimulation segment, we maintained a commercial strategy that was focused on flexibility, which ultimately put ProFrac at a disadvantage as the industry softened. We have now adapted with a multipronged strategy suited for all customer types and have built a more dedicated business model with more through cycle resiliency. We continue to operate with utilization and cost control in mind. Further reducing our number of active fleets in the third quarter and believe the actions we have taken will position ProFrac for the fourth quarter and beyond. I am also encouraged to see the industry moderate utilization by prudently managing deployed horsepower. These actions give us a strong foundation for 2024 and a positive outlook to reactivate some of the fleets that we idled in the second half of 2023. Over the past 18 months, we have built ProFrac into the premier vertically integrated pressure pumping service provider in the market, with a robust platform, including electric, dual fuel and traditional diesel frac equipment complemented by our dominant market position in proppants. We offer customers best-in-class industry-leading services. This has earned us the reputation as one of the safest and most efficient pressure pumping providers in the industry. Combined with our persistent cost control priorities across the organization, we are also focused on how we can…

Ladd Wilks

Analyst

Thank you, Matt. As always, I'd like to thank our team for their hard work and dedication as they continue their best-in-class service to our customers. We firmly believe that our great customer service distinguishes ProFrac in the market and is a direct result of the strong culture within our teams to continually serve our customers. Starting with the Stimulation Services segment. We announced that we reduced our fleet count to accommodate full utilization. As a result of these fleet reductions, experienced improved efficiencies thus far and are focused on minimizing any impact from the holidays and seasonal weather to maintain these efficiencies through the fourth quarter. Additionally, we have already begun gearing up and preparing fleets for reactivation as early as December to accommodate customer demand. We remain focused on dedicated agreements with operators at favorable prices. Current pricing levels have been stable over the last couple of quarters and are expected to remain at similar levels in the fourth quarter and heading into next year. The visibility we have now suggest we will be operating at least 30 fleets in Q1 of next year, and we continue to pursue additional fleets. As Matt alluded to, the customer mix will be different next year to provide more resiliency. After the acquisitions made in 2022, we maintained a similar commercial approach and entered 2023 with approximately 30% to 40% dedicated fleets. As we look into 2024, most of the fleets that we have been awarded are dedicated fleet. We're targeting approximately 75% of our fleet to be working for customers with larger programs on a dedicated basis. We've also maintained good relationships with the smaller private spot-focused operators. If we see those customers increase their activity levels, we believe we will be in a great position to deploy fleets for…

Lance Turner

Analyst

Thank you, Ladd. As Matt mentioned, we generated $149 million in adjusted EBITDA, $73 million in free cash flow, and we reduced our net debt by approximately $123 million. . On a consolidated basis, revenue for the third quarter totaled $574 million, a sequential decrease driven primarily by the lower fleet count. Despite this, we were able to reduce costs very quickly and limit our incrementals. In addition, we brought our CapEx down considerably, enabling us to increase our EBITDA less CapEx quarter-over-quarter. Selling, general and administrative costs were $61 million in the third quarter, down $9 million from the second quarter, largely due to lower stock compensation expense as well as lower G&A spend related to the cost reductions. The Stimulation Services segment generated revenues of $490 million in the third quarter, down from the second quarter primarily due to lower fleet count. Efficiency on the fleet was up slightly and pricing was flat compared to the prior quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the segment was $93 million compared to $123 million in the second quarter. The Proppant Production segment generated revenues of $98 million in the third quarter, down sequentially driven by lower realized pricing in the quarter. Approximately 70% of the volumes were sold to third-party customers, similar to the last quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the Proppant Production segment totaled approximately $52 million, down from $58 million in the second quarter. The Manufacturing segment generated revenues of $44 million in the third quarter, up approximately 41% from the second quarter. Approximately 97% of this segment was intercompany revenue for products and services provided to the Stimulation Services segment. The increase in sales represents a more normalized level of fluid end sales to Stimulation Services following the second quarter where Stimulation reduced purchases and focus on utilizing inventory on…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Stephen Gengaro with Stifel.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. I guess, two for me, please. First, can you just give us your kind of a quick update on the -- your fleet profile as far as gas burning versus non, and what are you seeing in the market as you talk about '24 RFPs as far as the preference and maybe the price bifurcation between the two types of assets.

Matthew Wilks

Analyst

Yes. Certainly, the majority of our fleets are fuel-efficient fleets that burn gas in some form or fashion, whether that's e-fleets or dual fuel, it's well over half of our total footprint. And with the active fleets, it's easily the majority -- the -- a super majority of our active fleet.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

And then just from a pricing and demand perspective, I mean, I have been hearing -- I mean, there's a pretty big price premium for those assets? Are you seeing similar as to sort of talk to customers about next year?

Matthew Wilks

Analyst

There is charges associated with that capability. Ultimately, this is about creating the best value by eliminating the diesel expense. The total spend for the operator is lower on fuel-efficient fleets, and that's why these have seen the commercial success across the industry that they have.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Great. And then just as a follow-up. You mentioned sand prices were down a little bit in the quarter, and we've heard kind of mixed about spot versus contracted sand pricing. What are you seeing and thinking about for '24 as far as supply-demand fundamentals? And I know you do have a lot in certain basins. But I think you mentioned sort of stable pricing from here. But are you concerned at all about new capacity coming online in any markets?

Matthew Wilks

Analyst

No, we're not concerned about new capacity coming on. I think that we -- we're not really too worried about it at all. What we're looking at is that we've got 52% of our capacity committed, and we're in final discussions where we're either red lining or have verbal commitments that will take us to being completely sold out. So we like our position on the sand market, and I think that it provides a really good backdrop on how robust the services side of our segment is going to do as well. So we've got really good visibility with our broad footprint in the supply chain, and we like where that's leading us.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from John Daniel with Daniel Energy.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Daniel Energy.

I know you mentioned a lot of like volumes are contracted for '24, but in the theme of energy security matter, have customers started coming up to talk about multiyear arrangements? Or are we a little bit early on that?

Matthew Wilks

Analyst · Daniel Energy.

There's definitely customers that are looking for multiyear arrangements, looking to secure pricing over a longer time frame and understand that the return on capital needs to be there for any sort of the multiyear arrangement. These customers, when we meet with them, they're interested in being able to take the volatility out of the market more so than bottom-ticking the market. So let's -- they ask us to sit down with them and figure out structure that works for both sides and can take some volatility out of the overall risk profile that would be presented by a multiyear contract. So we're seeing a few situations like that. And it's leading to very constructive conversations.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Daniel Energy.

Okay. That's good. And then as you look out to sort of the end of next year, a lot of optimism with respect to LNG and what the potential call on service could be in the Haynesville, places like that. I'm just curious, when do you start either rehiring or sort of preparing for what might be a ramp? I know it's a long ways out, but just how we approach that?

Matthew Wilks

Analyst · Daniel Energy.

Yes. I mean we're looking at this demand wall that's coming from LNG export facilities, and we're really, really excited to see that there will be some relief from a captive market that's pegged to Henry Hub. And seeing access to that larger -- the larger demand centers is really encouraging. It's one of the reasons that we stuck. So we are so dedicated to staying in these gassy markets, and we'll continue to do so. We had a low in Q3 with our fleet count where we ended up in the low 20 -- low to mid-20s at one point with the Northeast falling to only a couple of fleets at one point. South Texas fell to only a few fleets and then East Texas fell to about half of our total availability that we make to that market. But we stay dedicated to that area -- each of those areas because we know what's coming. We're excited about those markets. We want our customers to know that we're dedicated to the basin, and we're not going to just cut and run whenever it gets tough. They want -- and we also have that to our workforce. And so we're really excited to have be bouncing back at this point where overall, we expect to see our fleet count in Q1 at 30 and expected to climb higher throughout Q1. So we're positioned well, and we stayed committed to these gassy markets, specifically because we see the opportunity that is presented by the increase in demand from LNG exports.

Unknown Executive

Analyst · Daniel Energy.

Yes, John, we -- as we lowered our fleet count, we have instead of laying off our guys, we furloughed them. And as we're ramping up into December, going into the first quarter, we're just bringing those people back from furlough. And it's looking like first and next year, we're going to start more people than the people that we furloughed.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Daniel Energy.

Okay. Any issues bringing those folks back, and I'll turn it over to others.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Tom Curran with Seaport Research Partners.

Thomas Patrick Curran

Analyst · Seaport Research Partners.

Could you provide us with some updated color on your clean fleet program. Specifically, how many different operators do you have active e-spreads deployed across? And then, are you still in ongoing discussions about upfront contracts to justify incremental clean fleet new builds? And what's your stance or criteria at this point for pulling the trigger on one?

Matthew Wilks

Analyst · Seaport Research Partners.

Yes. So really, it just comes down to getting an agreement in place. We're not going to build anything on spec. We love these programs. They have a very good cost profile internally, especially as you compare it to a conventional fleet, but it provides tremendous savings for each customer. One of the challenges is going through and securing the [ gen sets ], which we've gone in and gone through the planning and making sure that we have what we need when we need it. And so now it's marrying up those schedules with our customers to make sure that we're not left just working with customers that have their own power. And so going in and lining up the lead times in a very tight market for power is a critical part of our growth strategy, which we hope to be able to provide an update early in 2024.

Thomas Patrick Curran

Analyst · Seaport Research Partners.

Got it. I look forward to that. And then for Alpine, Lance, can you just give us a rough idea of where utilization was that across the eight mines exiting 3Q? And then for 3Q, 4 tons sold, the split between internal consumption and third-party sales?

Lance Turner

Analyst · Seaport Research Partners.

Yes. So on the latter, it was about 70% third-party sales with the remainder going to the ProFrac fleets. And I think when we look at utilization, we've been hovering, like Ladd mentioned below, our target probably in the 50% range, and recognize that, that really needs to kind of ramp up, and that's really one of the drivers behind getting this baseload of third-party contracts coming into next year.

Matthew Wilks

Analyst · Seaport Research Partners.

And as we look at 2024, we're only seeing about 12% of our overall capacity going to ProFrac with the final negotiations, having this thing completely sold out, we like how we're positioned, and we like the backlog that we have, and knowing exactly what these mines are capable of and deploying capital appropriately to extend beyond that is something that we're very excited to be in a position to do, and to show the market, our customers and our workforce exactly what these assets are capable of.

Thomas Patrick Curran

Analyst · Seaport Research Partners.

And just given the visibility you have now, especially with the volume of third-party commitments you've put in place, how close do you think you are to that step-up in incremental margin, where you really get the big chunk of fixed cost absorption and see the surge in the incremental margin per ton sold?

Matthew Wilks

Analyst · Seaport Research Partners.

So I mean when you look at these businesses, your fixed costs, I mean all of your expenses are pretty much fixed. I mean there's some variability. But essentially, there's -- we don't expect to see an increase in our expenses going forward with the higher volumes. So at this point, every incremental ton that we sell goes straight to the bottom line which is a really good spot to be in. So the -- roughly 50% utilization where we exited we are seeing a ramp-up through Q4. And as we go into 2024, that's -- we're expecting this to be completely sold out as those final discussions are underway currently, with 52% of our capacity already being committed away from ProFrac.

Thomas Patrick Curran

Analyst · Seaport Research Partners.

Got it. So just confirming, you're essentially at that threshold now, and now crossing above it. So very encouraging.

Operator

Operator

We have a follow-up from Stephen Gengaro with Stifel.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Just quickly, when you talk about 52% of your capacity, basically contracted. What capacity are you alluding to? Are you alluding to sort of total nameplate capacity or some percentage of that, that you would expect to sell next year?

Matthew Wilks

Analyst

Nameplate.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Okay and am I right, that's around 21 million tons?

Matthew Wilks

Analyst

Yes, it's right at that 21, maybe a little bit higher, but that's a good number to use.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst

Great. And then just one other follow-up for me. When you think about activity levels, in general next year. Can you just give us sort of your thoughts on what you're expecting as far as a potential recovery in the U.S. landfill and on the oil front, but also maybe ahead of LNG export capacity coming on stream later, what you're expecting and how you expect the gas markets to respond to that?

Matthew Wilks

Analyst

I'm not going to get into the macro. I just know that every time you see any sort of takeaway constraints, it has a huge impact on local markets. And so seeing an access to the global markets. And stepping away from what has largely been in a domestic commodity is always a good thing. But I'm not going to get into speculating on where global price is going to be in 2024 or in the next week. But we look at this as a very positive development that gives tremendous optionality for where the market can go and we're positioning ourselves appropriately.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the floor back to management for closing comments.

Matthew Wilks

Analyst

We're very excited about our business. We look at putting a bottom in. And we're excited to be heading the other way. Looking forward to the coming year and very excited about each one of our subsidiaries and appropriately developing them into a very powerful business in their own right. And so we look forward to our next call, and we appreciate our stakeholders. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This does conclude today's teleconference.