Christopher Reidy
Analyst · Bank of America
Thanks, Gary. And now turning to Slide 4. We are pleased that total revenues increased 9% to $2.4 billion in the quarter, including acquisitions. Revenues were negatively impacted nearly 1% from unfavorable foreign exchange rates as the dollar strengthened during the quarter compared with last year. However, our forecast assumes that foreign exchange impacts will turn favorable later in the fiscal year and have no impact on the full year as compared to a year ago. On an organic basis, revenues grew 5% in the quarter. Pretax earnings were up 1%. Last year's second quarter included a favorable tax item, which reduced the tax provision $12.2 million or $0.02 a share. We have shown the effective tax rate net earnings and earnings per share comparisons to a year ago including and excluding last year's favorable tax item. On a comparable basis for the year ago, net earnings increased 2% and earnings per share from continuing operations increased 3% on fewer shares outstanding. As anticipated, second quarter margins were lower than a year ago due to the negative impact of recent acquisitions as we integrate them, acquisition-related costs and our expenses from the investments we made over the second half of fiscal 2010 to drive growth. As you will hear when we speak about the full-year forecast in a few minutes, the pretax margin pressures from these investments are expected to ease during the second half of the year as we anniversary the increased spend levels. During the quarter, we bought back in excess of 1.1 million shares for approximately $52 million. Let's turn to Slide 5 and go through the business unit results for the quarter. Employer Services' total revenues grew 7%, 4% organically for the quarter. Revenues in our Payroll and Tax Filing business in the United States were flat due to higher average client fund balances, improved client retention, and increased pays per control, offset by timing of certain revenues related to calendar year-end activities. An early look at January does show that these revenues will be recognized. Our beyond payroll revenues in the U.S. continued to grow with 16% growth in the quarter, with nearly 5% growth coming from acquisitions. Tax Credit Services, Time & Labor Management, ASO, our BPO offering at the low end of the market and HR services all grew nicely during the quarter. As anticipated, ES's pretax margin declined 80 basis points as leveraged from higher organic revenues was more than offset by the following items: higher selling expenses from strong sales growth in the quarter, the grow-over impact of the incremental hiring in sales and service over the second half of fiscal 2010 and the impact of acquisition activity. Pays per control, which is our same-store sales employment metric, increased 2.4% in the quarter, which was higher than we had anticipated. To put this in perspective for you, this is a strong increase but last year's second quarter pace declined 5% to have just gained back almost half of what we lost a year ago. All geographies across the U.S. showed increases with the most significant in the Northeast and Central regions. Our clients represent several industries and the pays in most have turned positive with the exception of accommodation and food services, public administration and construction. The number of pays in Europe declined in the quarter compared with the year-ago on a same store sales basis. Though as Gary noted in his early comments, the declines continued to improve. Client revenue retention continued to improve with another notable increase of 0.8 percentage points year-over-year. Gary took you through the new business sales so I'll just repeat that the strong sales results were overall in line with our expectations for the quarter and also remind you that new business sales represents the expected new annual recurring dollar value of these sales, and our incremental recurring revenues to our existing recurring revenue base. Let's continue with the quarter's results. Turning to slide six and the PEO. The PEO reported 15% revenue growth for the quarter, all organic, from increased pass-through revenues and an increase in the number of worksite employees paid. Pretax earnings increased 10%, but pretax margin declined 40 basis points, pressured by higher pass-through revenues as well as increased selling expenses and headcount. Year-over-year for the second quarter, average worksite employees increased 11% to about 221,000. Moving on to Dealer Services on Slide 7, Dealer Services revenues grew 26% for the quarter, benefiting primarily from the Cobalt acquisition closed last quarter. Organic revenue growth was 4%. The automotive marketplace continued to stabilize, transaction revenues also showed growth this quarter. Dealer's pretax margin declined 260 basis points due to the drag of over 300 basis points from acquisition-related costs. Dealer Services continued to gain market share with strong competitive win rates. Let's turn now to Slide 8. Before we get into the results of our investment strategy for client funds, I want to remind everyone that the safety, liquidity and diversification of our client funds continue to be the foremost objectives of our strategy. Client funds are invested primarily in fixed income securities and in accordance with ADP's prudent and conservative investment guidelines. To give you a quick understanding of how to read the schedule as most of you have previously seen, this schedule shows the overall impact of our client funds portfolio extended investment strategy with the average balances and interest yield shown on the top half of the slide and the corresponding pretax P&L impact shown on the lower half, all color coded to help you transition from the top half to the bottom half of the slide. Getting into the details for the quarter, the results were slightly better than we had anticipated primarily due to higher-than-expected client fund balance growth. For the quarter, average client fund balances were up $1.2 billion or 9% compared with the year-ago period, and the average yield on the Client Funds portfolio declined 30 basis points to 3.5% resulting in a slight increase of $1.3 million in interest on funds held for clients on the P&L. In the Short portfolio, we actually saw an increase in yield compared to last year as a result of higher Canadian overnight rates. However, lower new purchase rates impacted the Extended and Long portfolios as anticipated with the average yields earned with 20 to 60 basis points lower than last year. You can see the impact of the lower new purchase rates on the corporate extended yield as well. Average borrowings were up slightly in the quarter, and the average interest rate paid on those borrowings increased to a blended average borrowing rate of 0.3% from 0.2% last year, also attributable to the increase in Canadian short rates. The result was about $1 million negative impact to the P&L. So focusing your attention on the net P&L impact on the lower portion of this slide, taking into consideration the entire extended strategy presented here, the result was a $3 million P&L decrease before tax or a decline of 2%. The natural hedge of the Short portfolio and the borrowings means that you are left with the average yields of 3.6% in the Extended and 4.3% in the Long portfolios. So when you look at the bottom line, $152 million earned in the quarter on the $14.7 billion in average balances, the overall yield of the bottom line impact calculates to 4.1% compared to 4.6% last year. Now let's turn to Slide 9, where I'll take you through the extended investment strategy updated forecast for fiscal 2011. Before I get into a discussion of the detailed forecast, I'd like to update you on the credit quality of the portfolio and what we are seeing in the market place regarding the current fixed income investment landscape. Approximately 85% of our Fixed Income portfolio continues to be invested in AAA or AA rated securities. Fully consistent with our Client Fund portfolio objective of safety, liquidity and diversification, we're again able to take advantage of the supply of new investment grade corporate fixed income securities and add more corporate bonds to our portfolio as we did in Q1. In addition, as was also the case last quarter, the steep yield curve continued to present greater opportunities at the longer end of the maturity curve in both the Extended and Long portfolios, and as a result, the duration lengthened slightly to 2.9 years at the end of the second quarter compared to 2.8 years at September 30. I want to be clear that we have not decreased the credit quality of the portfolio, and there has been no change to our board-approved investment guidelines or our intent to hold the securities to maturity. Since we do not believe it's possible to accurately predict future interest rates, the shape of the yield curve or the new bond issuance behavior of corporations, we continue to base our interest assumptions and our forecast on Fed funds' future contracts and forward yield curves for the 3.5 year and five year U.S. government agencies. Now the fiscal 2011 forecast, this slide summarizes the anticipated pretax earnings impact of the extended investment strategy for the Client Funds Investment portfolio for fiscal 2011. And it's important to keep in mind that 15% to 20% of the investments are subject to reinvestment risk each year. We have updated our forecast for growth and average client fund balances to 7% to 8% growth, which is up from our prior forecast of 5% to 7% growth. The increase is driven by better-than-anticipated wage growth, net pay and pays per control, offset somewhat by the impact of the recently enacted legislation that reduces the employee portion of the Social Security wages for calendar 2011. You'll recall that the first quarter average client balances also grew 9%. We continue to expect tougher comps in the second half of fiscal 2011. We saw higher wage growth in the second half of fiscal 2010 influenced by over 30% growth in bonuses, a return to merit increases and higher SUI rates. As a result, we're not expecting to maintain the level of year-to-date growth in balances for the full year. We are anticipating a yield on the Client Funds portfolio of 3.2% to 3.3%, down 30 to 40 basis points from fiscal 2010. We are anticipating a decline of $15 million to $20 million in client funds interest as the lower interest yield will more than offset the expected growth in balances. Average new purchase rates for the remainder of the fiscal year are expected to be over, 280 basis points lower than the embedded rates on maturing investments based on 3.5 and five year agencies. We're anticipating that average corporate extended balances will be flat to up $100 million, and the average yield on the corporate extended will be down 50 to 60 basis points. We're anticipating average borrowings will also be flat to up $100 million and the average interest rate paid on those borrowings will be up slightly in fiscal 2011, about 10 basis points, to a blended average borrowing rate of 0.3% to 0.4%. Looking now at the lower right of the chart, you see that the continued anticipation of low interest rate is expected to outweigh the benefit of growing average balances resulting in a decline in pretax earnings of $25 million to $30 million for fiscal 2011. For fiscal 2011, we anticipate a decline of about 40 basis points from fiscal 2010's overall yield of 4.1% from the net impact of this strategy. Now, I'll turn it back to Gary to take you through the remainder of the forecast for fiscal 2011.