Earnings Labs

Alvotech (ALVO)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 14, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Alvotech Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Benedikt Stefansson, Vice President of Investor Relations and Global Communications. Please go ahead, sir.

Benedikt Stefansson

Analyst

Thank you, and welcome to our listeners. Yesterday evening, the company issued a press release announcing our financial results for the first 6 months of 2025. A presentation accompanying today's earnings call was also published last night on our investor portal, investors.alvotech.com under News and Events. We will be referring to individual slides during the presentation today. Our press release, presentation and statements that we make on the call today may include forward-looking statements. Please see our disclaimers on Slide #2 of the presentation. These statements do not ensure future performance and are subject to risks and uncertainties that are outlined in company filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Any risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements that are made. Presenting on today's call are Robert Wessman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Alvotech; and Linda Jonsdottir, Chief Financial Officer. We also have with us on the call, Anil Okay, Chief Commercial Officer; and Joel Morales, outgoing CFO. Robert will begin today's presentation with [indiscernible] summary of the first half of the year and quarter, including financial and business highlights. Linda will cover the financial performance in more detail. Following that, Robert has some closing statements, and then the team will be happy to take your questions. And with that, I would like to turn the call over to Robert Wessman.

Robert Wessman

Analyst

Thank you, Benedikt, and thanks to everyone for joining us here today. I'm very pleased to have with me today our new CFO, Linda Jonsdottir, who joined our team in July. Linda has a background in finance and corporate leadership internationally, have worked across different industries as transportation, banking, food technology and health care, both as a CFO and COO and Chairman. At the same time, I want to thank Joel Morales for his valuable part in Alvotech's journey as a CFO. We are very pleased here today to announce our operating results for the first half of the year and this quarter. These results confirms our continuing momentum as a leading global fully integrated biosimilar company. Alvotech's strong growth momentum in the first half of the year can be attributed to strong reorders, successful product launches, development progress and improved efficiency in manufacturing. Among the highlights from this quarter, we saw good performance in major markets from our 2 marketed products. We signed significant partnership agreements for our early-stage pipeline. We increased our revenues in the first half of the year by 30% year-on-year. And we also delivered the fifth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA. The cash flow of the quarter from the operating activities reached $77 million, which is an improvement of USD 161 million year- on-year. Product revenues in the first half of the year grew by over 200% and product revenues in second quarter 2025 grew by 77% year-on-year. Product margins were 33%, driven by new product launches, growth in revenues from existing markets and increased product volumes. Linda will talk more about these financial results later in the call. Let's now switch gears and discuss the performance of our marketed products. Starting with our biosimilar to Humira, which is marketed as SIMLANDI in America…

Linda Jonsdottir

Analyst

Thank you, Robert. I'm very excited to join the fantastic team at Alvotech. And even though it has only been a few weeks, I can really feel the energy, the passion and drive of our people. And I'm happy to report that this is reflected in our numbers as well. So let's move to the key highlights for the financial results for Q2 and first half of the year. Overall, our performance in the first half of the year was strong, both in terms of revenue growth, margin expansion and continued cash flow robustness. Moving to Slide 9 in the deck, highlighting our adjusted financial results. Let me start with the revenues. Revenues continue on a strong momentum, and we're up 30% at $306 million compared to $236 million in the first half of 2024. Our revenue growth year-on- year was mainly driven by strong product revenues coming in at $205 million in the first half of the year compared to $66 million in the same period last year. The key driver for the increase year-on-year were increased sales of our biosimilar to Humira and continued success of our biosimilar to STELARA in Europe and its launch in the U.S. in Q1 this year. Licensing revenues in first half were $101 million compared to very strong first half last year when licensing revenues were $170 million. This difference in licensing revenues was driven by the timing of development progress impacting R&D milestones. Revenue recognition of milestones can be lumpy. And during Q2 last year, we achieved a number of significant development milestones. We do expect a similar dynamic to occur this year towards the latter part of the year. Looking at Q2 specifically, we recognized total revenues of $173 million compared to $199 million in Q2 last year and $133…

Robert Wessman

Analyst

Thanks, Linda. In closing, the second quarter was another strong quarter for Alvotech. We are expanding existing products into new markets and preparing for future launches. We will maintain focus on accelerating pipeline development going forward. At the same time, we are scaling manufacturing and increasing operational efficiencies.

Benedikt Stefansson

Analyst

Thank you, Robert and Linda. And let's now turn the call back over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And now we're going to take our first question, and it comes the line of Christopher Uhde from SEB.

Christopher Winston Uhde

Analyst

So I guess a few. I'll take them one by one, if that's okay. Halfway through 2025, you're not changing guidance, but the Q2 was clearly at least a lot better than the Street predicted. So what can you tell us about your confidence in the top line guidance going forward? And then, I mean, you've previously indicated if memory serves that you have very high 6-month visibility. So is it fair to say we should not expect a guidance raise in Q3 then? That's my first question. Can you hear?

Linda Jonsdottir

Analyst

Thanks for the question, and it's Linda here. I will at least -- I will touch on the guidance, perhaps just to start by summarizing a bit like Q2, I mean, we see a lot of strong momentum, both in the Q2 numbers and the first half and, of course, like underpinning the strong product revenue growth there, driving solid EBITDA results. We also see that like licensing revenues are impacted by timing of development milestones and cash flow from operation is strong. So I would say like a number of solid steps taken now in the first half. We have also said like in the past that revenue recognition is lumpy with respect to milestone revenues. And there, if you like look into, for example, '24, we had a number of significant development milestones there. And we do expect similar dynamics now this year towards the latter part of the year. And that's why we also commented a bit on the quarterly phasing. We do expect product revenues as milestone revenues to be soft in Q3. So we are expecting Q4 to be much stronger. At the same time, like we are coming out with new launches, and we are building up inventories in connection to that. But otherwise, I mean, I only refer to our earlier guidance that we have stated before.

Christopher Winston Uhde

Analyst

Okay. That's much appreciated. And then is there growth for SIMLANDI left from the Quallent channel in the U.S.? Or should we view that particular channel as maxed out?

Anil Okay

Analyst

I can take this question, of course. So we do have still a valid contract with Quallent. However, our focus on all 2 in the U.S. market is the value rather than the volume. So we do expect this business to be more challenging in the second half of the year. But we had a very good first half of the year volumes going to Quallent, and we do expect this business to continue.

Christopher Winston Uhde

Analyst

Okay. Then on, I guess, AVT03, 05 and 06, I guess most investors would see FDA inspections as the most likely reason for a delay to ultimate approval if one were to occur. Assuming you agree, should we expect any press releases once FDA has given feedback on the inspection outcomes?

Robert Wessman

Analyst

Yes. I think, Robert here, thanks for the question. I mean, as a part of prior approval, if you will, we did have an inspection. And we believe that this is just as it as an ordinary course of business, if you will. And we, of course, are seeing we have had in the facility, both European health authorities, Japanese health authorities, FDA, and this is becoming just a part of our life. So we had already 2 FDA inspections last year. We, of course, sent out a press release on the first one when the facility got approved. The second one, late last year went very well. But I don't recall we did send out any press release around that. But of course, we will keep the market open and informed once we get approved on the approval on the products, if you will, going forward.

Operator

Operator

And the next question comes from the line of Ash Verma from UBS.

Ashwani Verma

Analyst

Congrats to Linda, and Joel, you'll be missed. So maybe just -- I guess a couple of questions that I wanted to ask. Just on the guidance, I didn't see you guys like reiterating or kind of making any specific comment beyond what you're saying for 3Q. So where you are right now in terms of revenue in the first half? So $306 million, that is roughly at the 50% mark, the low end of the revenue that you had guided before, the $600 million to $700 million. So are we to assume that, that piece is intact? And then on EBITDA, $54 million adjusted EBITDA in first half versus your prior guidance was $200 million to $280 million. So where are we? Like that seems like roughly 20% -- 25%, I'm sorry, on the EBITDA in the first half. Are those like guidance ranges still intact? And I'm just trying to understand, is that something that you can expect despite the strong 4Q that you are indicating?

Robert Wessman

Analyst

Yes, Robert here. I think the best answer is we are basically in line with what we expected, maybe slightly better first 6 months. And as Linda mentioned, there is some lumpiness in the quarters. So like last year, we will see the fourth quarter being by far the strongest quarter of the year. And for now, we have -- as mentioned already, we are not changing the guidance. So I would say, net-net, I mean, basically, what we are seeing in the first 6 months is in line with what we expected.

Ashwani Verma

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And just maybe on -- I think some of the products that you mentioned, the dynamics. So for Humira, you're exiting 40% and expect that you can get to 50% by the end of the year in the U.S. market share. Like if you can comment on like the market share dynamic that you expect to happen in the next year? And then just on STELARA, so where do you expect to get to the market share by the end of the year from the 20% that you have here?

Anil Okay

Analyst

Sure. Maybe let me take it, Ash. So a couple of answers to both products. First of all, let me start with AVT02 in Europe. So in Europe, we have successfully plugged in Biogaran as an additional partner in France. Remember, French market had only 15% biosimilar penetration. So we are now driving the biosimilar penetration in France, still a very sizable market for us to grow. So we have the best partner in France to drive that market together with STADA. So that's giving us additional volumes and better pricing. So in Europe, we continue to see a significant market share increase from last year to this year, 30% growth. So we are having a very steady growth and a very stable volume market share in Europe. And we expect to continue to grow in those markets, mostly driven by France, but also other markets are also contributing. So that's the European situation. If we go to U.S., as you have seen, we had multiple shipments to the U.S. based on the purchase orders we had, both from Quallent and also from Teva. And we continue to have a valid forecast from both companies for the second half of the year. And as their purchase orders come to us, we will continue to deliver. And what I can say in the U.S. market, there are actually 3 companies who can really claim a certain position in the adalimumab market. These are, of course, us, Sandoz and Organon. All other 7 players are not having any meaningful share. So we are in a -- in our opinion, we are in a good position to drive this market further in the U.S. When it comes to AVT04, I think we have a very good position. And again, in both markets, let me start again with Europe, which was the earlier market that we launched. So we are still either 1 or #2 in different markets in Europe. We continue to grow in a significant pace. So we are very happy with our performance in Europe for this product, and we continue to grow market share as we go through. In the U.S. also, we had a successful launch. And we also got already a couple of downstream accounts and independent accounts through Teva. So we are expecting our uptake in line with our assumptions in our 2025 guidance. So there is no surprise for us coming from the U.S. market in AVT04 market.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And the question comes from the line of Carl Byrnes from Northland Capital Markets.

Carl Edward Byrnes

Analyst

Congratulations on the results. I'm wondering with respect to the BLAs in the U.S. that you expect approval by year-end, do you have any concerns that any of them might slip into the first quarter of '26? Or you still remain highly confident that you will see all of those approved as well?

Robert Wessman

Analyst

Yes, Robert here. Thanks for the question. I mean we have set BsUFA dates, and we are targeting those dates. We have not given exact date. I think we gave months. So we believe that those are the dates we are still targeting. And typically, you are not seeing slippage on the BsUFA dates historically, I think.

Carl Edward Byrnes

Analyst

Great. And then going back to -- sorry to beat the dead horse here with the guidance. If we look at product sales and we look at the midpoint, which is $375 million, you did $205 million already. So that implies $170 million for the second half of '25. Again, you mentioned the third quarter would be soft and then pick up in the fourth quarter. Does that $170 million gap still seem realistic? And then with respect to milestones, same thing, $275 million is basically the midpoint. You did a bit over $100 million, $101 million and change. So it leaves about $174 million. I would imagine most of that because of the timing of the BLAs is going to fall in the fourth quarter. Are those proper assumptions as well?

Robert Wessman

Analyst

Robert here again. I think overall, I mean, you are seeing a lot of the milestones coming throughout approvals and launches and also shipments coming out of approvals and launches. So I think -- and you had -- we had a similar situation, if you will, second quarter last year. So with our very high milestones, if you recall. So that's the basis for our forecast and the basis for why we believe that the fourth quarter will be, by far, the strongest one of this year.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Dear speakers, there are no further questions. I would now like to hand the conference over to Benedikt Stefansson for any closing remarks.

Benedikt Stefansson

Analyst

Well, on behalf of the Alvotech team here in Iceland and all over the world, we want to thank you all for calling in, and please have a good day and evening wherever you are. Thanks, and goodbye.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now all disconnect. Have a nice day.