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AMETEK, Inc. (AME)

Q1 2017 Earnings Call· Tue, May 2, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the AMETEK First Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question and answer session and instructions will follow at that time. As a reminder this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Kevin Coleman, Vice President-Investor Relations. Please begin.

Kevin C. Coleman - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Latoya. Good morning and thank you for joining us for AMETEK's First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. With me this morning are Dave Zapico, Chief Executive Officer; and Bill Burke, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. AMETEK's first quarter results were released earlier this morning and are available electronically on market systems and on our website in the Investors section of ametek.com. This call is also being webcasted and can be accessed on our website. The webcast will be archived and made available on our site later today. Before we get started, I want to remind you that any statements made by AMETEK during the call that are not historical in nature are to be considered forward-looking statements. As such, these statements are subject to change based on various risk factors and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ significantly from expectations. A detailed discussion of the risk and uncertainties that may affect our future results is contained in AMETEK's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. AMETEK disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. I'll also refer you to the Investors section of ametek.com for a reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures used during this call. We'll begin today with prepared remarks by Dave and Bill and then we'll open it up for questions. I'll now turn the meeting over to Dave.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Kevin, and good morning. AMETEK had an excellent first quarter. We delivered strong sales growth and solid operating results with earnings that were above our guidance range. We continue to generate strong levels of cash flow which we are successfully deploying on highly strategic acquisitions. We're also seeing the benefits of the ongoing growth investments we are making across our businesses and geographies. While these quarterly results reflect the benefits of a modestly improving macro environment, they also reflect the strength of AMETEK's business model and the execution of our growth strategies. Now on to the financial highlights for the quarter. Please note that any references on this call to full year 2016 financial results will be on an adjusted basis excluding the fourth quarter 2016 adjustments. Sales in the first quarter were $1.01 billion, up 7% versus the first quarter of 2016. Organic sales were up 4%. Acquisitions added 4% and foreign currency was a 1% headwind in the quarter. We're very pleased that we've returned to positive organic growth one quarter earlier than we had anticipated. And we're equally encouraged by the broad based improvements in sales during the quarter. In addition to the strength in sales, we saw excellent growth in orders in the quarter with overall orders up 16% and organic orders up 9%. This order strength was also broad based. Operating income in the quarter was $220.3 million, up 6% from the same period in 2016 and operating income margin was 21.9%. Diluted earnings per share were $0.60, an increase of 5% compared to last year's first quarter of $0.57 per share. Operating cash flow was excellent at $193 million, up 27% over the prior year excluding a pension contribution made in this year's first quarter. Now turning to the individual operating groups.…

William J. Burke - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Dave. As Dave noted, we had a very strong first quarter with results that exceeded our expectations. Let me provide some financial highlights. In the first quarter, organic selling expenses were up in line with organic sales growth. General and administrative expenses were up over last year's first quarter due largely to higher compensation expense. The effective tax rate in the first quarter was 27.4% versus last year's first quarter rate of 26.7%, and in line with our expectations. For 2017, we expect our tax rate to be between 27% and 28%. As we've said before, actual quarterly tax rates can differ dramatically, either positively or negatively, from this full year rate. Working capital, defined as receivables plus inventory less payables, was 18.4% of sales in the quarter, down from 20.8% in last year's first quarter. Capital expenditures were $13 million for the quarter and we expect full year capital expenditures to be approximately $75 million. Depreciation and amortization was $43 million in the quarter. For the full year 2017, depreciation and amortization expense is expected to be approximately $180 million. In the first quarter, we made a $50 million contribution to our U.S. and international defined benefit pension plans. Excluding this contribution, operating cash flow in the first quarter was excellent at $193 million, up 27% from the first quarter of 2016 and free cash flow was $179 million or 129% of net income. For the full year, excluding the $50 million pension contribution, we expect free cash flow to be approximately 125% of net income. The primary use of our excellent free cash flow was to support our acquisition strategy, and as Dave mentioned, we have been very active on this front. Following a strong year for acquisitions in 2016, we deployed $340 million on the acquisition of Rauland-Borg in the first quarter, and in April, we announced a merger agreement to acquire MOCON. Total debt at March 31 was $2.41 billion, up from $2.34 billion at December 31, 2016. Offsetting this debt is cash and cash equivalents of $570 million, resulting in a net debt-to-capital ratio at March 31 of 35%. At the end of the quarter, we had approximately $1.6 billion of cash and existing credit lines to support our growth initiatives. In summary, we delivered excellent results in the first quarter with a high quality of earnings. We are well positioned to support our growth initiatives with our strong balance sheet and excellent cash flows. Kevin?

Kevin C. Coleman - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Great, thanks, Bill. Latoya, we'd like to open it up for questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The first question comes from Bhupender Bohra of Jefferies. Your line is open.

Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Hey, good morning guys.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Good morning.

William J. Burke - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Yes, just wanted to get a sense of, as you've kept your 2017 organic sales guidance up low single digits which is kind of unchanged, how are you thinking about your oil and gas and metals businesses here – the previous expectation was kind of flat for the year, any change to that guidance or expectation as we go into the remainder of the year? Thanks.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Right. The oil and gas market played out as expected. It was roughly flat in the first quarter. The interesting point and the positive point is orders inflected up mid-single digits. So while we were flat, our orders inflected up to mid-single digits and it was driven by upstream, and some of the project business in the Middle East. So we continue to expect roughly flat sales for oil and gas for the year. We really like the trends we're seeing, but we want to remain a bit conservative at this point. And we realize, we're about 20% exposed to the upstream and 80% to the mid and downstream. So we're expecting the mid and upstream – the mid and downstream to inflect up later in the year or next year. But we do see positive order results in the first quarter related to the project business in the Middle East. So it played out as expected and flat in the first quarter but were positive on the orders inflecting up to mid-single digits. The metals story is really pretty much the same, played out as expected in the first quarter. Like oil and gas, orders were up mid single-digits so that's positive. We continue to expect roughly flat sales for our EMIP business for the year, but we like the trends we're seeing, but we want to maintain a bit of conservatism at this point.

Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Okay. Got it.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Does that answer your question?

Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Yes, you did. Just one more follow-up on here. If I'm looking at the PMI, the export indices, that's been pretty strong over the last few months here despite the strength in the U.S. dollar. Can you talk about like AMETEK's exports market like where are you seeing strength especially region-wise and maybe some color from product-wise perspective? Thanks.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yeah, 52% of our sales are international and we saw strong international growth in the quarter. Europe was up 7% organically, so a definite improvement from the recent trends. The Process businesses and our Dunkermotoren business were particularly strong. And Asia was up double digits organically driven by strength in our analytical instruments businesses. China was up high-single digit in sales and Japan was also strong, was up 30% tied to the Japanese government fiscal year-end. So we saw really strong growth in Asia, strong growth in Europe. So we're seeing broad-based international growth.

Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Okay. And can you point to like what was the growth in the USA or North America?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yes. Sure. In the U.S., we saw a continued improvement from prior quarters. You remember, we saw sequential improvement in the U.S., and in Q1, it was flat on sales. So U.S. was flat but the orders growth was solid in the U.S. It was up mid-single digits. So across the board in all geographies, recent trends in all regions were up and we feel really good about it.

Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Thanks a lot.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Matt Summerville of Alembic Global. Your line is open.

Matt J. Summerville - Alembic Global Advisors LLC

Analyst

Thanks, good morning. Just a question about mix. Can you talk about why, if I'm calculating it correctly, incremental margins on a 4% organic increase were only 19% in the quarter? I would imagine there are some acquisition-related items, whether it'd be inventory step-up for Rauland-Borg, some of the diligence costs for MOCON. So can you flesh that all out?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yes, right, Matt. When you look at Q1, actually our operating income margins were up 20 basis points on a core basis and we had 40 basis points of margin dilution from the acquisitions. So actually, the year-over-year Q1 incrementals were a healthy 32%. So we feel real good about that.

Matt J. Summerville - Alembic Global Advisors LLC

Analyst

Got it. And then you mentioned I think, Dave, in your prepared remarks, you anticipate yielding $100 million worth of cost savings this year. Can you maybe break that down into the various buckets to get you there and where you can see upside to that number as you progress throughout the remainder of the year? Thank you.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Right. Yes. We're off to a good start in our cost savings, right on plan. $60 million of that cost savings comes from material cost reductions and $40 million comes from other than material cost reductions, and about $16 million of that comes from the realignment charges that we took in Q4. And we feel that we've got an excellent plan to take cost out of the business, to make the business more efficient, and we're right on plan on executing it.

Matt J. Summerville - Alembic Global Advisors LLC

Analyst

Thanks, Dave.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Brett Linzey of Vertical Research Partners. Your line is open.

Brett Logan Linzey - Vertical Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Hi. Good morning everyone.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Good morning, Brett.

Brett Logan Linzey - Vertical Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Just wanted to touch on price, cost. Could you maybe just talk about price specifically in the quarter and if you can maybe just separate the metals business versus some of the core industrial businesses? And then on the cost side, did you see any incentive comp accrual or anything moving against that in the quarter? And then what are the expectations for the full year?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yes, great questions. We saw incentive comp accrual, our G&A was up a bit in the quarter. And you recall that in the last call, we highlighted low incentive comp payouts in 2016 related to our performance, and we reset that for the year's plan, but now we're a bit of ahead of our plan, so we have some additional headwinds there. So it was a $0.05 headwinds for the year prior to the quarter and now it's a bit more and you see that working through the G&A line with the increase in G&A vast majority was driven by compensation expense. And the other question was related to price. Price was about 1% in the quarter and that's across all of AMETEK and our total inflation was about 1%. So we offset total inflation with price, and for the year, we're expecting to increase the price a little bit. We have about 1.5 points of price in our plan, and we think inflation may increase a bit through the year, so we want to stay ahead of that but we're not seeing it right now. And in the first quarter, price was a point and it offset inflation.

Brett Logan Linzey - Vertical Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Okay, great. And then if we just aggregate the 2017 acquisitions you've made and as well as the 2016 deals with the stub contribution this year, what's the net EPS accretion you're assuming for this year? And then I guess as we look into 2018 and some of the one-time PPA dates (25:40) what's the run rate accretion for 2018 for the first full year?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yeah, I think working in the number for 2017 is a $0.04 or $0.05 number. And in 2018, that'll be a bit more than that but we're not in 2018 yet.

Brett Logan Linzey - Vertical Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Okay, all right, great. Thanks, guys.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

You are welcome.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Robert McCarthy of Stifel. Your line is open. Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Hey, guys. Congratulations on a strong start to the year.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Rob. Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Maybe we can just first just talk about kind of the state of play of the balance sheet, the capital deployment environment. I mean there has been some articles that would suggest given kind of this looming kind of regulatory and political uncertainty that actually M&A's slowed. And obviously, valuations don't help that because valuations continue to go up and up. And in an uncertain environment, the bid-ask can be distorted. But could you talk about you think your ability over the next 12 to 18 months, 12 to 24 months to kind of live up to your potential in terms of capital deployment and then talk about some of the opportunities you see?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yes. Our balance sheet remains strong. We currently have $1 billion plus in firepower after MOCON and the pipeline remains very strong and active. And as you know, with our niche strategy, we have a dedicated team of M&A and deal sourcing professionals who work closely with our businesses to manage and cultivate the deal pipeline. So, AMETEK we buy in up cycles, we buy in down cycles, we buy in uncertain environments and we're very active. And right now our pipeline remains very strong and like to deploy more capital this year. We got off to a great start with the Rauland deal. And MOCON, if that deal closes as we expect, we'll deploy $522 million in the first two quarters of the year, so we're well on our way in our plan of deploying our free cash flow on value-enhancing acquisitions. Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Great. And then as most people saw my work know that I just steal, so I'm going to steal Scott Graham's kind of state of the end markets and segments from him, all right, see he goes for that.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Sure. I'll start with aerospace. Our overall aerospace sales were down slightly in the quarter as we had expected. Strength in our commercial OEM business and business and regional jet businesses were offset by lower sales in our military business due to the timing of program shipments. For all of 2017, we continue to expect overall aerospace business to be up low single to mid-single digits with growth across each of our segments. Moving to Process, our Process businesses performed very well in the quarter with strong sales and orders growth. Overall, sales were up mid-teens driven by mid-single-digit organic growth and the contributions from the acquisitions of Rauland-Borg and Nu Instruments. Both sales and orders growth in the quarter were broad-based across most of our Process businesses. Sales for our oil and gas business, as we already mentioned, were flat in the quarter with solid mid-single-digit orders growth. While we're encouraged by the solid growth in the quarter, we continue to expect organic sales for Process to be up low single digits for the full year. Moving to power and industrial, overall sales for our power and industrial businesses were up mid-single digits in the quarter, driven by contributions from the acquisitions of Brookfield Engineering, ESP/SurgeX and from low single-digit organic growth. Solid organic growth in our power business was offset by weaker conditions across our heavy truck business, and for all of 2017, we now expect organic sales for power and industrial to be up low single digits. Differentiated EMG businesses organic sales were up low single digits in the quarter, driven by solid growth in our Precision Motion Control business. Sales for our EMIP business, as we mentioned prior, were flat, but we had solid mid-single-digit order growth. For all of 2017, we continue to expect organic sales for all of differentiated EMG to be up low single digits versus 2016. And finally, our Floorcare and Specialty Motors business, organic sales in Floorcare and Specialty Motors were up mid-single digits in the quarter. And for 2017, we now expect sales for this business to be up low- to mid-single digits organically. Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Thanks for your time.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Rob.

William J. Burke - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Deane Dray of RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Jeffrey Reive - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Analyst

Hi, this is Jeff Reive on for Deane Dray. I just had a question about your Rauland-Borg acquisition. I know it's still pretty early, but what kind of strides have been made for international growth? I know that was one of the big pieces behind adding value at AMETEK.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Right. We've made a lot of progress at Rauland in integrating the business into AMETEK. They came out of the gate strong, very active in the integration processes. We have teams working on international growth. We have some kaizen events scheduled later this quarter to get after some of it. So everything that we see there, we're more confident than ever that we're going to be able to increase international sales as part of our investment thesis in Rauland.

Jeffrey Reive - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Analyst

Okay, that's great. And then just a quick update on just the trend of order flow. Can you just kind of discuss how it progressed through the quarter and now that we're into May, what the trend's been across AMETEK as a whole?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

In Q1, January started off much as we anticipated and then in February and March, it trended upward and it was stronger than we anticipated and it was broad-based, as I mentioned before. And we just finished April and April orders are right in line with what we thought we'd be to deliver our Q2 plan.

Jeffrey Reive - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Analyst

All right. Great, thanks.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Christopher Glynn of Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Christopher Glynn - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Thanks. Good morning.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Good morning, Chris. Christopher Glynn - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Good morning. The free cash flow guidance, 125% conversion excluding the contribution, that's a little bit of a higher conversion rate than you've guided in the past, particularly at this time of year. Just wondering what's behind that, if that's a timing thing for this year or if that's kind of the steady-state go forward after the past year or two of incremental deal flow?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yeah, I think steady-state over multiple years, we'd still guide to 120% but you really have a couple of things. One, the working capital performance was absolutely outstanding in the business and our free cash flow conversion was nearly 130% in Q1. So with that, the confidence of that progress we were able to increase the 2017 expectations to 125% conversion. And again, the operations are executing perfectly. They're converting the orders of sales and they're executing on the working capital management, so we're really pleased with that. Christopher Glynn - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Okay. And just looking for a little disaggregation of orders in terms of by segment growth and the overall book-to-bill?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Sure. EIG organic in Q1 was 10%. EMG organic in Q1 was 9% and Q1 book-to-bill was 1.11. Christopher Glynn - Oppenheimer & Co., Inc.: Great. Thank you.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thanks, Chris.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Allison Poliniak of Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Allison A. Poliniak-Cusic - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Hi, guys. Good morning.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Good morning, Allison.

William J. Burke - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Allison A. Poliniak-Cusic - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Just want to get back to the orders. Just trying to reconcile and I understand you want to be conservative. Is there a timing in the orders? Are they more for the back half of the year? Do some of that gets pushed into 2018? Is there something that's giving you some concern on those trends that you didn't want to raise organic yet?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Great question. There are some of the orders that are multi-year orders. The $24 million order with a government defense contractor will ship in 2017 and 2018. So we have a little bit of that in the quarter. But fundamentally, we definitely performed better than we expected in Q1. We saw stronger sales, orders and earnings. We're very pleased with the performance and I'm confident for the rest of the year, but it was one good quarter. And remember, we're just coming out of a 2-year industrial recession. So it feels prudent to be a bit conservative at this point of the year just so we can make sure that our great start is sustainable and we don't get ahead of ourselves.

Allison A. Poliniak-Cusic - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

That's great. And then just touching on incrementals, 32% in Q1, is that a sustainable level? Should we look to an inflect up towards the back half of the year? How should we think about those?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yeah. Great. We gave guidance that core incrementals would be up 20 basis points to 60 basis points for 2017. So we're still very comfortable with that range.

Allison A. Poliniak-Cusic - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Scott Graham of BMO Capital. Your line is open.

R. Scott Graham - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst

Hey, guys. Good morning.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Good morning, Scott.

R. Scott Graham - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst

Rob, thank you for asking my question. One less thing to worry about. The two questions that I have are as you exited 2015, you were really on a bit of an acquisition tear, I guess a little bit like you maybe are now. But if my tally is correct, I think over a 4-year period, you added a substantial amount of new sales. And further, if my tally is correct, I think 40% of the company was kind of new at the end of, let's call it, 2015. And the businesses that you added were all slightly higher organic growth and AMETEK proper at the time of acquisitions. So that didn't really show up in the industrial recession, I think, very little for many companies showed up. But I guess my question is a sort of dovetail into what is now a 5% RD&E level. Are those expenditures going more toward those faster growth acquisitions to kind of reinvigorate them?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yeah, you know the philosophy and the way we manage our business, the R&D investments are done by the business units and they'll flow up to the corporate office and we'll review them at our budgets and our strat plans and we do that quite often. And there's certainly a filter to apply those into the higher growth opportunities that we have. But in general, we've been a very consistent spender over many, many years and we plan to do that because we think it's key to our differentiation, it's key to keep our margins and we think we have excellent product portfolios, fresh updated product portfolios. And as we talked about earlier, our vitality index was very solid in the quarter. So the R&D investments are strong. We're going up 10% this year and I do think they're going to contribute to stronger organic growth.

R. Scott Graham - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst

So would it be appropriate to sort of paraphrase what you just said as saying that the faster growth acquisitions through the end of 2015 that they're not getting extra funds per se, but in fact, you expect those businesses to return to their prior growth rates naturally?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yes. I believe that they will return to their natural growth rate as we exit the industrial recession. So I think what we saw in Q1, with the 4% organic growth, the 9% orders growth is a one thing that we can look at to get some confidence on that end. But yes, I'm really confident on our portfolio. I'm confident in the way we're managing our portfolio and we're focused on improving organic growth. As you know, we have an initiative to improve our organic growth, and part of that focus is to improve our customer-facing capability, really make it as strong as our operational capability. So we're rolling out best practices across the company. We're working on a lot of tools. So that, combined with our R&D investment is going to take some time, but gives me confidence that we have the potential to grow at an organic rate that's a point or two higher than we've grown in the past cycle.

R. Scott Graham - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst

Got you. Thank you. Here's my follow-up, Dave. The power business is certainly one of your larger platforms now. Could you kind of unbundle for us how we did by business, let's say, generation versus T&D versus UPS?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Sure. The UPS business is the biggest part of the business. It had strong orders growth globally. The test and measurement part of it is that had a substantial growth that we talked about because it was the business that booked the $24 million order that I mentioned. And our generation business was in line with what we expected it to be, so in this quarter, we saw solid results from our UPS business, our uninterruptible power business, but the outperformer in orders was really the test and measurement business.

R. Scott Graham - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst

Your T&D business was up as well or no?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yeah, our T&D business was up, yes, but the power and industrial segment is the one of the places we raised the organic growth below single digits and it was because of the orders performance in Q1.

R. Scott Graham - BMO Capital Markets

Analyst

Thanks very much.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

You're welcome, Scott.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Andrew Obin of Bank America. Your line is open.

Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Hi, guys. Good morning.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Good morning Andrew.

Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Congratulation on a good quarter, returning back to growth.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Just a question. We've been getting a lot of questions from investors on aerospace. Wide body build is slowing and people are getting concerned maybe about narrow body. Could you just tell us, a, just to remind us what the exposure is in your commercial aerospace business; and what kind of visibility you guys have ahead and what are you seeing?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Right. I feel really good about our aerospace business and we've called that up low to mid-single digits for the year. If you remember, 35% of AMETEK's business is in the military market. So that's not really exposed to the wide body dynamic that's going on right now. And in the military market, we're quoting a lot of things and we have some program timing issues, because we're not sure when the U.S. government's going to spend money, but we think there's definitely more upside than downside on that part of aerospace. And we think that's going to definitely be up for the year. When you think about our commercial business, that's about 25% of our aerospace business, so military 35%; commercial 25%. About half of that is aftermarket, proprietary parts that we sell directly to airlines. And the other half of that is commercial OEM. Now the commercial OEM market is we're benefiting from the fact that over the past 10 years, we won substantial content on Airbus platforms. So with the A350, with the A320neo, those programs are allowing us to grow faster than the market and that's going to continue for a while. Then you go to the next segment. About 30% of aerospace is our third-party MRO business. That will be up mid-single digits for the year. Feel real good what's going on with that business, and the smallest part of our business, our business and regional jet market, that's about 10% of our aerospace exposure. That had a bad year last year. We were down substantially but we won some new programs and we had an uptick in Q1. So all of our aerospace segments we're saying are going to grow this year and we feel real good about that segment.

Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

This is very useful. And just on energy, you did highlight that things are getting better. Can you give us a little bit more color by region and also, if you have any view, if you're seeing any kinds of improvement in offshore?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Right. By region, we saw the North American MRO business strong and the upstream business strong. And the one thing that stood out for me in the quarter was the Middle East was also strong for our mid and downstream businesses. But as you know, this is a global business for us, about one-third of it in the U.S., two-thirds of it international. But those will be the things that stood out. North America for upstream, really MRO across the board and the strong performance in the Middle East where we made investments over the past couple of years and now we're benefiting from those investments.

Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

And just to follow-up. First, just follow-up on Middle East and my understanding is it's pretty much everything, Saudi's still maybe weak but everything outside of Saudi is getting better. Is that a fair description?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

We're seeing regions outside of Saudi getting better but some of our projects are within Saudi...

Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Terrific. And then just a follow-up on – sorry for taking time, but just a follow-up on offshore, any signs of life there?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Quotations, we're quoting some things in the offshore market but that's more longer cycle.

Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Really appreciate the time. Thanks so much.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Andrew.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Jim Foung of Gabelli & Company. Your line is open. James V. Foung - Gabelli & Company: Hi. Good morning. Good quarter, guys.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thanks, Jim. James V. Foung - Gabelli & Company: Dave, maybe just talk a little bit about MOCON where you are in terms of meeting the regulatory issues and maybe could you just talk a little bit about on also the market opportunities, how big the market is for MOCON and the tangent markets you'd like to get into?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Right. We're very pleased to sign a definitive agreement to acquire MOCON. It's an outstanding company with an excellent management team and they have a very strong niche position in gas analysis instrumentation that serves the food, beverage and pharma market. The company is a leader in a couple of niches, the permeation testing niche and the food and pharma package testing. They have a strong growth profile with a mid-single-digit grower. It's typically been a non-cyclical market. There's a solid mix of aftermarket sales at about 35% of the business, diverse blue-chip customer base, smaller competitors. They're the leader in their niche markets. It's an ideal company that checks a lot of the acquisition criteria that we have, so we're very comfortable with the deal and it's going to be a win-win for both companies' shareholders. We signed the agreement on April 16. We expect to close in late Q2 and early Q3. And we'll need – the closing is conditional on MOCON shareholder approval and the antitrust approval. And all of the filings for those have occurred. So we're right on schedule there and we're very pleased and we think it's beneficial to both companies' shareholders. James V. Foung - Gabelli & Company: Great. And then – I know you talked a little bit about Rauland-Borg a little bit and I know you have some growth opportunities there. Will we see more costs first as you embark on the growth opportunity before we see the benefits from those initiatives?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

I think our operational excellence will certainly occur soon in regard to Rauland. We're already working on that. And we saw that with the family-owned business, they weren't really focused on acquisitions and international expansion. So we've already started a deal pipeline for Rauland, and with international expansion that's going to take some time. So you could see a scenario we get the benefits from OpEx initially. We get the growing international business and then we can fill in what Rauland needs with some acquisitions. So it's a lot of value enhancer for AMETEK and we're very, very pleased to own the business. The team hit the ground running and we're very pleased with the performance of the team. James V. Foung - Gabelli & Company: Terrific, great. Thanks a lot. That's all I have.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Jim.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Joe Giordano of Cowen. Your line is open. Joseph Giordano - Cowen & Co. LLC: Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Just wanted to ask quick. I mean you mentioned heavy truck earlier still weak. Are you seeing any inflection in your businesses, the data from some of those markets are starting to look decently better?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yes. Heavy trucks is a small part of our power and industrial business. It's only about 2% of AMETEK. And we went into the year with a pretty negative view on the market and we were down in sales in Q1, but the recent data shows the heavy truck market inflecting up in what was a substantial decline in the market. Now the market is predicting an order rate that's closer to flat or down just a bit. So we're optimistic that that's going to be better than as we have planned, but we're keeping our current thoughts on the market or forecast for the market unchanged. Joseph Giordano - Cowen & Co. LLC: And then when I look at your total, your organic outlook and your cost-out outlook, it just feels like the guide is – is it fair to say it's pretty modest in light of what you're seeing incrementally better on the top line and on orders in $100 million in cost out, is that a fair assessment?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

I wouldn't say it's modest. It's a bit conservative but there's some – we have to execute to make those numbers. We're coming out of a two-year industrial recession. You've got to make that $100 million in cost outs happen. We're good at that, but they've got to happen. We had one quarter of organic growth. So we're pleased with stronger sales, orders and EPS and we're a bit conservative. We don't want to get ahead of ourselves, but we have to work to get the number. Joseph Giordano - Cowen & Co. LLC: I feel like one of the things that people are a bit maybe, and this is not an AMETEK-specific thing, you mentioned core incrementals are about 30%, which is nice. I think some are concerned that a lot of the cost-out measures we've seen companies take over the last couple of years may lead to some costs having to come back as you start to see volume, so maybe a little bit less fixed cost takeout than people initially thought. How would you respond to something like that?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yeah. I think we're going to get core incremental growth and we're also going to invest in our businesses for the long term. And I think the AMETEK model of our strong operational excellence capabilities and our pricing power allows us to do both. So I really don't see a lack of cost reduction opportunities and I see us being able to execute our cost reduction while also investing in our business and growing. So I don't really see a situation where we have to put a bunch of costs back into the business to execute the plan. I mean we've already communicated that we have a healthy investment level this year, $65 million in growth investments. So we're doing the right things for these businesses in the long term, but the cost out in our model is something that's built into our culture. It's built into our strong operating managers and I don't – I see that going on for some time. Joseph Giordano - Cowen & Co. LLC: Great. Thanks, guys.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question is from Richard Eastman of Robert W. Baird. Your line is open. Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Yes. Good morning. Thank you.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Morning. Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Just a quick question, Dave. When I look at the second quarter guide, just kind of back to the incrementals here, the second quarter guide kind of implies zero incremental and I know it's kind of at the corporate average EBIT. And is that – are we picking up there maybe conservatism on the sales side, not driving a lot of EPS?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

I think when you look at Q2, the one thing that stood out to me, a lot of the growth is coming from acquisitions. So we had Rauland for seven weeks in Q1. You have a full quarter of Rauland. And if you look at from Q1 to Q2, the core sales, they're roughly flattish. And we had a little bit of more difficult organic growth comp in Q2 that weren't good last year, but it was a little bit better in Q2 than Q1. So it's a bit conservative, but when you work through the numbers, it's a good number. Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Okay. All right. Fair enough. And then also, I may not have caught this correctly, but did you mention that the cost-driven motors business in EMG now look like it might be up low-single digits? Is that...?

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yeah. I did. We changed that to be up low to mid single-digits organically, so that was a change from the prior guidance and that business is just performing well. And we had a good first quarter so that was prudent to take that one up because we have very strong backlog and visibility. Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co.: And any big share gain there, or just large order, anything that gives you that visibility? Because that business can be a little tough to predict as the year goes on.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Yeah. It can be tough to predict and we've done a good job of migrating to better opportunities and we have a solid backlog. Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co.: Okay. Okay, very good. Thank you.

David A. Zapico - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Thanks, Rick.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back over to Kevin Coleman for closing remarks.

Kevin C. Coleman - AMETEK, Inc.

Management

Great. Thank you, Latoya. Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. As a reminder, a replay of the webcast can be accessed on our website at ametek.com. Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. You may now disconnect. Good day.