Tom Wojcik
Analyst · Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.
Yes, thanks, Jay. And, Dan thanks for the question. So I guess I'll start by saying, performance fees are a really important part of our business. They've proven over time to be a durable component of our earnings and our cash flow. And we think that, frankly, from a capitalizable earnings perspective, there's a core amount of performance fees, that whether it's a great economic environment, a more challenging economic environment, you can really count on coming from AMG year in and year out. That number is averaged somewhere in the 7% to 12% range over the course of the last five years. And generally speaking, the asymmetry has tended to be to the upside. So we think this is a really durable and important earnings stream and important cash flow stream to us. And as we think about both our existing affiliate base and the nature of our P&L, but also making investments in new affiliates that performance fee generation opportunity is really important to us and important to our shareholders. We've talked about this in the past, so you can really break it into three buckets, concentrated long-only, obviously, that's going to be a little bit more challenging in the current environment. Illiquid where we continue to build a carried interest bank, that's going to be a longer-term opportunity for us. And then really the focus of the day the Absolute Return Strategy. And it's certainly the quant strategies Systematica, AQR, Winton as you reference, but also at Capula, Garda are relative value strategies. Really, these are strategies that are built to perform across economic cycles and in different economic environments. And we've seen very, very strong performance thus far. Now, you noted this in your question, Dan, it is early, obviously, there's still a lot of year left. But we feel very strong about where we stand today in terms of performance fee generation. And I would certainly think about feeling like we're in the upper end of that range in terms of an opportunity for us, depending on how markets develop from here. What's really powerful is the diversification of our performance fees. There's some strategies here that are really working at all times. And I think that's really important, just to the overall diversification and strength of our business and cash flow profile.