James Taiclet
Analyst · Citi Investment
Thanks, Jean and good morning, everybody. As highlighted by our second quarter results, the tower industry continues to perform well, even in an uncertain general economic environment. In fact, American Tower outperformed our own internal expectations for both tower revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA and our confidence in our anticipated performance for the second half of this year led us to raise our 2008 guidance for tower revenue and adjusted EBITDA by $7.5 million and $6 million respectively at the midpoint. We believe that our sector's strong current and anticipated performance is driven by a number of factors. First, we primarily serve wireless carriers, the vast majority of which are growing in revenue, delivering strong profitability and are financially solid versus the potentially more stressed consumer segment. Second, the technology deployment and network development plans of these carriers are multi-year, highly complex endeavors. Given the strong financial health of the bulk of our customer base, our recent experience is that they are continuing on with their technology migration plans from 2.5 to 3G, while continuing to invest in network quality. Third, wireless industry competitiveness remains very high in the U.S., Mexico, Brazil and India. And of these served markets subscriber growth continues, minutes [ph] of voice users still expanding at an even faster rate and carriers are aggressively rolling out new data applications and devices. Notably, AT&T Mobility recently announced that its second quarter year-over-year growth in data revenues increased by over 50%. Even before the launch of the much anticipated 3G iPhone. Of course, all these trends require ongoing network investment, lengthening and strengthening the demand for tower space. And fourth, Government policies in all of our served markets, especially with respect to spectrum availability, further support continuing need for sustained and substantial carrier investment in wireless infrastructure. Currently, carriers such as T-Mobile USA, Leap Wireless and Metro PCS are still in the midst of rolling out new territories and services based on the AWS spectrum they acquired a couple of years ago. And down the road, we can look forward to the expected utilization of recently auctioned 700-megahertz spectrum by carriers such as Verizon and AT&T for even faster 4G deployment. As a result of all these factors, we have great confidence in the tower sector's ability to continue to achieve strong organic revenue growth even as today's uncertain economic environment and somewhat turbulent capital markets continue. The tower industry also enjoyed some important attributes that help mitigate it from potential downside risks. These attributes include long-term non-cancelable contracts, annual escalators and stable operating costs with extremely small exposure to volatile commodities such as oil. In sum, we view the tower sector as a resilient growth industry in a range of economic and capital market environments over time. We also believe that American Tower is the most resilient growth company in this resilient growth industry. A number of quantitative and qualitative attributes contribute to American Tower's industry leadership. First, we feel we have the highest asset quality with the most efficient investment history. Leading to greater than 10% return on invested capital versus our peer group of slightly greater than 7%. We also have the highest per tower revenue, EBITDA and free cash flow in the industry due to our customer relationships and our operational capability. We also enjoyed 69% adjusted EBITDA margin as Jean mentioned, that's over a 1000 basis points higher than our industry peers. Due to our longer initial contract alliance with our customers, American Tower leads the industry with over $8.5 billion worth of non-cancelable lease backlog, which is nearly six years of backlog at the current revenue run rate. American Tower finally has also the strongest balance sheet in the sector, and the highest credit rating of BB plus. Our weighted average maturity of our debt is approximately 5.5 years, compared to approximately three years at our peer group company. We believe that being the most resilient growth company in a resilient growth industry enables American Tower to offer something that many investors might find important over the course of the business and economic cycle, and that is consistency. Our track record is not just one of delivering consistently strong operating results, but also one of strategic consistency. Over the past number of years, we have, for example, maintained a consistent financial leverage target range and drawn on a variety of financial instruments and tenders. As a result, today we have substantial liquidity and face no significant near term refinancing deadline. We've also focused on building scale and growing our company, both organically and through a targeted, disciplined approach to mergers and acquisitions, moving proactively when asset quality price equation was attractive to us and withholding our capital when it's not. We've also consistently returned that excess capital to shareholders through our share repurchase program, not in an unpredictable on again, off again, stock buyback quarter-to-quarter, but since the fourth quarter of 2005, American Tower has consistently repurchased and in a total of over $2.4 billion worth of our common stock. In a word, it has been consistent. Before we move on to your questions, let's spend a few more minutes on the topic of growth at American Tower. As I noted earlier, we believe that our organic growth prospects are very solid, it's a combination of strong ongoing wireless industry demand for tower space, the quality of our 23,000 plus site portfolio and the efforts of our management team and team members across the company in delivering excellent cycle times in customer service. Added into our drivers of organic growth, is the further potential to add high quality assets to our portfolio and at the right price. As you know, American Tower has a successful legacy in this regard, including the SpectraSite merger in the U.S. and international country launches in Mexico and Brazil early in this decade over the past couple of years we've been in the process of institutionalizing a capability to seek out, examine and make decisions on investment opportunities both domestically and internationally. From a resource point of view, we've invested in small teams of very capable people to conduct this investment discovery and evaluation process in Latin America, Asia-Pacific and the Europe, Africa, Middle East regions. In addition, we have our ongoing effort in the U.S. I must say that we've reviewed many opportunities using a consistent, investigative and analytical process that we decided not to do, because they didn't meet our investment criteria and therefore we didn't act on them. On the other hand, we've made a permanent decisions on a few of these investment initiatives recently. These include the launch of our India business. As many of you know, given recent tower asset transaction valuations there, we opted to initially enter India through a build-to-suit agreement and follow-on agreements with customers, thereby enabling us to establish a base of assets on a cost basis versus an acquisition price basis. We recognize that it may take more time using this approach to achieve the scale we would like, but believe that the sheer size of the overall opportunity in India will enable us to achieve our objectives there. And I'm happy to report that our first towers are up and operational in India. Through our growth initiative evaluation process, we also continue to extend our core product tower line. In the U.S., we recently decided to offer our customers outdoor distributed antenna systems known as DAS. These networks nicely complement our 20,000 owned towers, 2,000 managed rooftop sites and our industry leading indoor DAS product. While outdoor DAS is a niche solution, this product has attributes, which at times do fit the needs of our customers. Outdoor DAS is not considered a substitute for towers by any means, but as carriers deploy our augment networks in situations where tower-based cell sites are not available or if they are just infeasible for the project due to time line considerations, carriers may then consider the alternative of rooftop locations or our outdoor DAS to fill in the gaps or add some capacity in the tower-based network. As we work closely with our customers to deploy their networks, our goal is to offer a comprehensive solution of sites to fit their needs. And today, with American Tower, this includes tower sites, indoor and outdoor DAS and rooftop managed sites, along with select site services to help customers get on the air quickly and efficiently. Besides DAS, we continue to find other ways to make our tower sites more attractive to our customers and we recently rolled out another new product offering, which provides a shared backup tower source at many sites located in storm vulnerable areas in the U.S. Knowing our customers' desire to have the most reliable coverage all the time, even during crisis situations, the provision of shared backup tower infrastructure such as generators in this case should help their ability to remain operable while keeping their costs in line. Outdoor DAS shared generators in our India geography are all in the early stages and will not materially increase ATC's revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth in 2008, but our goal is to grow these projects and help a number of others over the next few years to meaningfully augment the organic growth of our existing asset base. Finally, I'd like to take a moment to expand a bit on Jean's earlier summary of our share repurchase rate during the past few months. Earlier this year, we adopted a framework to enhance the efficiency of our share repurchase program. Very simply, it's in the form of a pricing grid designed to take advantage of the natural volatility of the stock market. We buy relatively more shares on days when the market price of AMT stock eases unless on days when it advances. Shortly, after we implemented the second quarter grid, our share price advanced and we stayed in that higher range throughout most of the quarter. Good news, but in the second quarter, we then repurchased fewer shares through our buyback program than we had projected originally. Therefore, as of July 1 we implemented a new pricing grid based on our recent share price experience. As Jean noted earlier based on this new grid, we have purchased almost as many shares in the month of July as we did in the entire second quarter. The repurchase rates for the remainder of the quarter may fluctuate depending on the behavior of the overall market and AMT shares specifically. But I did want to communicate that we did adjust the pricing grid to maintain our target leverage range and you can expect that we will continue to be cognizant of this issue under normalized circumstances in the future, absent perhaps a major transaction or some unanticipated market dislocations. So thanks to everyone for joining the call today and I would like to leave you with three words that summarize today's discussion; growth, resilience and consistency. In closing, all of us here in Boston are looking forward to our revenge against the Yankees in August and watching the impending collapse of the rate. Operator, we'll take some questions now. Question and Answer