Paul E. Huck - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Analyst · Citi
Thanks, Nelson. Now if you turn to slide 11. As we look forward from quarter two to quarter three, we are forecasting our third quarter earnings per share on a continuing operations basis to be in the range of $1.25 to $1.30. This excludes any further divestiture impacts and represents year-on-year growth of 12% to 16%. On the positive side, we expect to see increased earnings sequentially from the following areas. In Electronics, we expect higher specialty materials volumes on increased foundry operating rates and further benefits from our product rationalization efforts. In Performance Materials, we expect to see a continued seasonal rebound in volumes into quarter three. In Merchant Gases, we expect higher volumes as we continue to drive new applications. We also continue to implement price increases and fuel-based surcharges to recover escalating cost. In Tonnage Gases, we have new plans on stream and we anticipate lower maintenance spending in quarter three. And finally, we expect to continue to see favorable currency impacts next quarter. Slightly offsetting these sequential improvements is our forecast for lower operating results in our Equipment and Energy segment due to the higher energy development spending and maintenance outages. On the economic front, we continue to see about 2% industrial production growth for U.S. manufacturing this fiscal year. The continued declines in U.S. housing and the weakness in autos is being offset by growth in manufacturing exports. In Europe, growth continues on the northern continent, while both the U.K. and Spanish economies are essentially flat. Year-on-year, we still expect to see growth in Europe at around 2%. Asia growth is also on track with our forecast at around 6% to 7%. Overall that puts our forecast for world [ph] manufacturing at around 3%, this compares to last year's growth of about 4%. While there is continued economic uncertainty and speculation, we still see strength and growth in our markets both near term and long term. Given our strong first half performance, our growing backlog of new investments and improved margins from our pricing and productivity efforts, we are raising our guidance by $0.10 on the bottom and $0.05 on the top to $4.95 to $5.05. Based upon fiscal 2007 EPS from continuing operations of $4.20, which excludes $0.30 of one-time net gains, we are forecasting a year-on-year increase of 18% to 20%. As Nelson mentioned in his business commentary, longer term, we are seeing strong bid activity across our businesses, which gives us confidence for continued growth in 2009 and beyond. Our property, plant and equipment capital spending guidance for fiscal 2008 remains unchanged at $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion. Before we take your questions, let me update you on a few items. First, we closed the Polymer Emulsions sale on January 31st. And we are on schedule towards completing the sale of the two remaining plants. We have received bids and are currently in negotiations. Second, as you’ve likely read in our earnings release today, we are behind on our plan to improve our U.S. Healthcare business. And while we continue to execute our improvement plan, we are also evaluating all of our strategic alternatives for our U.S. business. We expect to complete this process during the third fiscal quarter and we'll update you then. Finally, in spite of slower economic growth we increased our earning guidance again this quarter. Demand factors such as higher energy prices, high capital cost and circular environmental rates are creating greater opportunities for many of our product offerings. Our global businesses are well positioned to continue capturing our share of these opportunities and our people are focused on continuing to deliver double-digit sales and earnings growth, improve margins, and higher returns in the future. Thank you. And now I will turn the call over to Jimmy to take your questions. Question and Answer