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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you for standing by. My name is Jeannie, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the American Public Education, Inc. First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. I would now like to turn the conference over to Brian Prenoveau Investor Relations. You may begin.
BP
Brian Prenoveau
Analyst
Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to American Public Education's conference call to discuss first quarter 2024 results. Joining me on the call today are Angela Selden, President and Chief Executive Officer; Rick Sunderland, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Steve Somers, Senior Vice President and Chief Strategy and Corporate Development Officer. Materials for the call today are available in the Events and Presentations section of APEI's website. Statements made during this conference call and any accompanying presentation regarding APEI and its subsidiaries are not historical facts that are not historical facts may be forward-looking statements based on current expectations, assumptions, estimates and projections. Forward-looking statements may sometimes be identified by words like anticipate, believe, seek, could, estimate, expect, can, may, plan, potentially, project, should, will, would and similar or opposite words. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements regarding expectations for registrations and enrollments, revenue, earnings and adjusted EBITDA and other earnings guidance, repositioning Rasmussen University for growth, changing market demands and our ability to satisfy such demands and other company initiatives, including with respect to future competition and demand and cost savings efforts. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. These include, among other risks, failure to comply with regulatory and accrediting agency requirements or to maintain institutional accreditation and any actions taken to prevent or correct such failure, dependence on the effectiveness of the company's ability to attract students, who persist as institutional programs, changing market demands, declines and enrollments at the company's education units, the enactment of legislation that adversely impacts the company or its education units, the inability to effectively brand or market its education units or their programs or expand into new markets, the…
AS
Angela Selden
Analyst
Thank you, Brian. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining American Public Education's First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. With the release of our first quarter results, this is now the fifth consecutive quarter where we have exceeded our adjusted EBITDA guidance and expectations. By delivering results from the hard work of the Rasmussen turnaround, we have put Rasmussen back on a trajectory for growth and positive EBITDA. This has included a strong focus on improving student retention, preparing students for success on NCLEX exams and enrolling a more balanced mix of campus-based nursing and health education programs, while reducing our concentration in the ADN program. At the same time, at both APUS and Hondros, we have delivered continued student enrollment growth and margin expansion. Overall, in this past year by addressing the operational challenges at Rasmussen and rightsizing the cost structure across APEI, we have positioned APEI for long-term growth, driven by strong education units and an enterprise with strong financial standing. We saw a significant improvement in overall adjusted EBITDA, which totaled $17.1 million in the first quarter of 2024, representing a 143 at the top end of our guidance range. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 600 basis points in 1Q '24 to 11% compared to 5% in 1Q '23. Collectively, margin improvements are being driven by a combination of optimized marketing, improved retention and ended in 2023, including staffing realignments and reductions. With our strong first quarter outperformance, we are increasing our full adjusted EBITDA with Rick Sunderland, APEI's Chief Financial Officer, will detail in his comments shortly. With that context, I'd now like to spend some time sharing the progress of our education units, starting with our core online military and veteran segment, APUS. In 1Q '24, overall net course registrations increased 3% year-over-year to 99,000 registrations,…
RS
Richard Sunderland
Analyst
Thank you, Angie. Total revenue in the first quarter was $154.4 million, up $4.7 million or 3.2% from the prior year period and exceeded our first quarter guidance. First quarter revenue growth was driven by increased revenue at APUS and Hondros, partially offset by revenue declines at Rasmussen and Graduate School. Total cost of expenses in the first quarter decreased 3.7% compared to the first quarter of 2023 and include a $2.9 million loss on leases at Rasmussen. This period-over-period reduction was primarily driven by lower selling and promotional costs in the first quarter as compared to the prior year. For the quarter, advertising and marketing support costs decreased $6.6 million. Prior year selling and promotional costs include $2.4 million in marketing transition service fees related to the termination of the collegiate marketing contract at Rasmussen. Depreciation and amortization expenses decreased year-over-year due to the full amortization of Rasmussen, definite live intangible assets in 2023. These decreases were partially offset by higher general and administrative costs. Current quarter, general and administrative costs include $1.9 million in information technology transition service costs added back to adjusted EBITDA. Excluding information technology transit service costs, general and administrative expenses increased less than 3% as compared to the prior year period. First quarter diluted loss per common share was a loss of $0.06 and compared to a loss of $0.38 in the prior year quarter and again exceeded first quarter guidance. For the quarter, adjusted EBITDA was $17.1 million compared to $7 million in the prior year period. The first quarter results exceeded guidance and represented an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11% compared to 4.7% in the prior year quarter, reflecting the revenue growth and lower operating expenses. We exceeded first quarter guidance primarily due to actual expenses being lower than forecasted as follows:…
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. [Operator Instructions]. And your first question comes from the line of Jasper Bibb with Truist Securities.
JB
Jasper Bibb
Analyst
With the goal to get Rasmussen back to total enrollment growth in the back half of the year, how should we think about what that would mean for segment EBITDA margins there if you're successful.
RS
Richard Sunderland
Analyst
As we've said, the fixed cost nature of the campus-based business would have high accretion with increases in those enrollments, right? And I think we've previously said we expect Rasmussen to get to breakeven EBITDA by the end of the year. And so you see reaching breakeven increasing enrollment should result and will result in breakeven or positive EBITDA.
JB
Jasper Bibb
Analyst
And then it seems like a good pickup in revenue per student at APUS this quarter. Can you just outline the drivers of that, whether it was pricing increases, mix and any expectations on revenue pursuing over the balance of the year?
RS
Richard Sunderland
Analyst
It's both mix and the modest tuition increases, Jasper. There is also an impact on if you just do a straight calculation of revenue per student of the timing of the start at APUS, monthly started the first Monday of each month. And so as that maybe earlier in the month with the first of the month start, you're going to see a little bit higher revenue per student. And if that start is pushed off to the 7th of the month, right, whatever the day, the first day of the month is. So it's a combination of mix, price increases as well as just the simple timing of those monthly starts.
JB
Jasper Bibb
Analyst
I wanted to dig a bit more into the Florida Rasmussen programs that were put on pervasion in March. Could you outline for us, I guess, first of all, if that creates any restrictions on your ability to enroll new students at those campuses and just what you're doing kind of in response to that.
AS
Angela Selden
Analyst
And you know that we've been paying careful attention over the last 1.5 years around our quarterly NCLEX pass rates rates because we want to show quarter-over-quarter improvement. What's interesting about those 2 campuses and frankly, is true of all of our campuses in Florida is that if you were to exclude Q1 of '23 from the calculation for all of 2023, so during 2Q through 4Q, each of our Florida campuses would significantly pass. And so while modeling, we recognize that that's not how the state does the calculation. But the reason why I'm pointing this out is because we saw a significant number of laggard test takers taking the exam in 1Q '23 because there were concerns about what the next-gen NCLEX exam would bring. And those folks hadn't been educated under a next-gen curriculum. And so we saw a significant number of beyond 45-day test-takers in Q1. And we do not see the results of that continuing in Q2 through Q4 '23 nor in Q1 of '24. And just to put a finer point on one of those 2 campuses, Fort Myers actually missed the Florida benchmarks for the year by less than 8 points and in particular, Ocala missed the benchmark by 0.3%. So we do not have any limits on our ability to enroll students in those programs. And we are very bullish about the continued improvements that we expect in our full year 2024 and quit pass rates in Florida.
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions]. And your next question comes from the line of Alex Paris with Barrington.
AP
Alexander Paris
Analyst · Barrington.
Congratulations on the beat and raise. I thought maybe I would dig a little bit into critical investments planned for 2024. You've sort of telegraphed that, that would be the case. You have a higher CapEx expectation for the full year. I'm just wondering if you can review for us what are the relative, or what are the investments per institution, Rasmussen, APUS, Hondros and how are they coming along? And are they front-end loaded or back-end loaded or evenly spread?
AS
Angela Selden
Analyst · Barrington.
Let’s start with Hondros because there are some important things happening there. As I mentioned in my comments, we have 2 campus moves happening at Hondros beginning in the third quarter of '24. Those are critical. When we bought Hondros over 10 years ago, along with the purchase came 10-year leases with some premium lease payments to the previous owner of Hondros. Those leases are expiring, and we are finding ourselves presented with a great opportunity to locate to more favorable locations, and at lower lease costs. So while we may see some very short-term overlap in expenditure or a modest disruption in enrollment as a result of the move. We've already seen from moves of other campuses of Hondros, really meaningful improvement at being the most notable in 2024, where we see meaningful improvement in enrollment and margin expansion for that campus. The second thing that we're investing in at Hondros is the MA program. We've talked about this in prior quarters, and that program is launching in Ohio in Q3, and we look forward to sharing more results about that program as we have this call upcoming in the next quarter. Turning our attention to APUS, there are investments that we had signaled in the prior quarter that we will continue to invest in throughout the rest of 2024 around modernizing the curriculum. There is a focus on both refreshing the content in some of our core programs and at the same time, looking for ways to incorporate a more digital forward content and focus into the curriculum and APUS. So we're very excited about how that will help us attract different student segments into APUS in future quarters. Those are really the primary investment areas for the time being, Rick, unless I've missed anything that you would want to share.
RS
Richard Sunderland
Analyst · Barrington.
Yes, I would just say in terms of timing, Alex, it's more weighted to 1H than the 2H. A lot of the CapEx is in the campus investments as Angie just described. And with the moves being completed early in the third quarter, we're going to see a disproportionate level of investment in 1H. The other large investment is in information technology, we've talked in the past, and you can see in the queue about the various moves that are being made related to IT infrastructure. We're going to be in-sourcing collegiate and then various parts of the IT operations are being outsourced. So there is significant investment that's going on related to the technology infrastructure associated with the various phases of that project. So more heavily weighted to 1H, Alex, than 2H.
AP
Alexander Paris
Analyst · Barrington.
And another question is CapEx sort of peaking this year? Or do you expect a similar level going forward?
RS
Richard Sunderland
Analyst · Barrington.
Well, certainly, with the campuses, we're not going to be moving campuses every year. So, you're going to see probably a moderation because of that. And then on the technology side, probably similarly, you can see, and I think you commented how it's up year-over-year. Last year, ‘23 was probably a little bit lower than normal simply because of the financial performance of both Rasmussen and Hondros. So we probably pulled back on some of our capital investments. We're catching up this year in some ways, we're investing in new campuses, which is really important. So I would say you'd see some moderation off of this year's number as you go forward.
AS
Angela Selden
Analyst · Barrington.
The one additional thing I would share is we look into the end of ‘24 and into '25, is that upon acceptance of the 2023 financial results for APEI, Rasmussen will no longer be subject to growth restrictions. And so consequently, we will have the opportunity to look at opening campuses and investing in programs at Rasmussen, and so that could be a place where we decide to invest into future growth at Ras.
AP
Alexander Paris
Analyst · Barrington.
And then I guess just the last little of the kits and dogs. FSA, obviously, the delays there, the big mess that's going on. You don't have the traditional 18 to 23 year-old. You don't have the traditional semesters usually. I mean there might be exceptions there. What do you think your exposure is to FSA? Except the delay.
RS
Richard Sunderland
Analyst · Barrington.
To date it really hasn't been much of a headwind, particularly in APIs with their monthly starts. There's probably a minimal impact at Hondros and Rasmussen, which have, to your point, a more traditional kind of quarterly cadence. But really, at this point, Alex, it hasn't been a significant matter at any of those schools.
OP
Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Raj Sharma with B. Riley.
RS
Rajiv Sharma
Analyst · B. Riley.
Again, congratulations for really good results in the beat and raise. I wanted to kind of touch upon again Rasmussen and there were certain changes that were put in place. There was a new management that was integrated into the operations and enrollments were an issue. Would you characterize Rasmussen as under control in terms of enrollments? And then could you give some color on the cost control at Rasmussen?
AS
Angela Selden
Analyst · B. Riley.
So yes, the management team has now been in place for a year. First and foremost, there is clarity around the campus program combinations for all of our campus-based programs and the marketing investments that we're making to grow and reweight the mix so that we are growing both nursing and non-nursing on the campuses. So that has been a key focus for that management team, and the results are certainly paying off as you could see the continued improvement in the trends that we've seen on the campus-based enrollments. Certainly, online has seen significant improvement, and we've got positive online enrollment for this quarter, and that trend has continued for the last several quarters. So the marketing is aligned now with our growth areas, and that has been a significant amount of work in partnership between the Rasmussen management team and the API marketing team. And so both are pleased with the progress that we've made there. As it relates to the cost structure, there was a significant amount of rightsizing of costs, both at Rasmussen in the third and fourth quarter of last year as well as at APEI related to some of the services, particularly in IT and in marketing that were being provided to Rasmussen. One of the most notable is the relationship, the IT relationship with the third-party outsourcer collegiate. We are in the final stages of migrating that IT infrastructure from the third-party to APEI and its providers. And that will lead to a significant margin expansion for Rasmussen beginning in the fourth quarter of 2024. And certainly, we'll see the benefit of that for the entire year of 2025. Richard, you've got something that you want to share?
RS
Richard Sunderland
Analyst · B. Riley.
Yes. Just to add a few things, S&P total is down $7.5 million, almost $6 million of that is at RAS. You have the $2.4 million. Clearly, you see that didn't repeat but marketing costs, advertising, marketing support are down almost another $2 million. So we have to thank the marketing team for optimizing while delivering on what we consider favorable enrollment trends at Rasmussen. And to Angie's point, just across the board, good cost control by the entire management team. So we applaud that and particularly in the area of labor, probably leveraging off of some of the rightsizing that was done last year, but also continuing that cost focus. And one of my favorite terms is trim while investing. So they are actually investing in areas like admission staff, which is important to drive the enrollment trend. So it's not all about reducing. It's also about investing where it makes sense to deliver the results that we expect to be seeing later this year and beyond.
AS
Angela Selden
Analyst · B. Riley.
I'll just do one shout out to the economic team who has been focused on with the admissions enrollment team on retention. There's been a significant improvement, in particular, in first term and second-term retention and that partnership between those 2 teams. And as you know, if you don't have to source a new student to backfill for that revenue, you keep the students that you have and allow them to persist and graduate everybody wins. And so that has been a significant effort and there's been meaningful improvement in retention at Rasmussen result.
RS
Rajiv Sharma
Analyst · B. Riley.
And then on the enrollment side, on Rasmussen, I see really improving. You can even see the improving in women trends. Would you say we are close to a bottom?
AS
Angela Selden
Analyst · B. Riley.
As we have signaled now for a few quarters, Raj, we do believe that we will, in the back half of '24, see enrollment trends turn positive.
RS
Rajiv Sharma
Analyst · B. Riley.
And then on the AR collection side, are we all kind of current with respect to the Army?
RS
Richard Sunderland
Analyst · B. Riley.
Raj, there remains an amount that is hung up in what I'll call the GoArmy and transition. So that's quite all. It's not a significant amount of money. We continue to work directly with the relevant parties with the Army to clean that up. So there is an amount small compared to the total that is beyond that, let's call it, 60 days, 90 days from start, which is how we measure our effectiveness from a collection side. The system is functioning as designed at this point, billing monthly, collecting monthly. And so, it's really just the tail dollars associated with that.
AS
Angela Selden
Analyst · B. Riley.
And those amounts are from '21 and '22. They're not amounts getting generated now, right?
RS
Richard Sunderland
Analyst · B. Riley.
No, no. We're collecting on the current billings, which is reflective of the system working, but there is still some cleanup to do, and we're diligently working to clean those up with the army, right? They're still engaged directly with the relevant parties that army that collect those older amounts.
RS
Rajiv Sharma
Analyst · B. Riley.
That's great color. And just lastly, on grad school, I know it's a much smaller business. Any sort of color on-- the margins were slightly worse year-on-year due to a reduction in revenues. Any sort of plans or just some color.
AS
Angela Selden
Analyst · B. Riley.
So grad school, as we reported, I think, in our last earnings call, had been affected by the government's continuing resolution or the fact that the budget has not been passed and many of the agencies who use their government funding for training dollars had to pause their training. Now that we're out from underneath that, there is a renewed focus from that team on both individual registrations by individual federal workers as well as group training that is now getting scheduled. So there is a significant push to close that gap between now and the end of the year. And the entire both graduate school and API team are leaning in to do what we can do to close that gap in the revenue for the remainder of the year.
RS
Rajiv Sharma
Analyst · B. Riley.
Again, congratulations on raising the guidance and the beat and raise.
OP
Operator
Operator
There are no further questions at this time. Thank you, everyone, for your participation. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.