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Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Mon, Feb 9, 2026

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Apollo Global Management's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. During today's discussion, all callers will be placed in listen-only mode. Following management's prepared remarks, the conference call will be opened for questions. This conference call is being recorded. This call may include forward-looking statements and projections, which do not guarantee future events or performance. Please refer to Apollo's most recent SEC filings for risk factors related to these statements. Apollo will be discussing certain non-GAAP measures on this call. Management believes these are relevant in assessing the financial performance of the business. These non-GAAP measures are reconciled to GAAP figures in Apollo's earnings presentation, which is available on the company's website. Also note that nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase an interest in any Apollo fund. I would now like to turn the call over to Noah Gunn, Head of Investor Relations.

Noah Gunn

Management

Thanks, operator, and welcome again, everyone, to our call. Joining me to discuss our results and the momentum we're seeing across the business are Marc Rowan, CEO, James Zelter, President, and Martin Kelly, CFO. Earlier this morning, we published our earnings release and financial supplement on the Investor Relations portion of our website. Our apologies for the later earnings date this quarter; this was principally due to our Partner Summit, which was a fantastic event that we held in Tokyo last week. As you can see, our results reflect the broad-based strength across the business and our team's exceptional execution throughout the year. For the full year, we generated record combined fee-related earnings and spread-related earnings of $5.9 billion, which drove adjusted net income of $5.2 billion, up 14% year over year, or $8.38 per share. Given the strength of these results, I've asked the guys to keep our remarks on the tighter side this quarter, but of course, we make no promises. With that, I'll hand it over to Marc.

Marc Rowan

Management

Thanks, Noah. I will do my best. I have doubts about James and Martin. Again, an exceptional quarter capping off an exceptional year. FRE for the year was $2.5 billion, up 23% year over year. SRE was $3.4 billion, normalized plus 9% year over year. The business is firing on all cylinders. Origination record volume crossed the $300 billion mark. More importantly, robust consistent spread of 350 basis points over treasuries with an average rating of BBB. Capital formation record inflows of $228 billion, both Athene and Asset Management ACS, marked the third straight record year. Most important to us, this is all done with strong investment performance without reaching. To give you a sense of just how strong, all buckets of credit were up 8% to 12%, hybrid value up 16% for the year, Fund X, our most recent vintage Fund XIII, 22% net IRR, strong DPI versus an industry DPI that rounds closer to zero. Looking forward, all of the drivers that powered us in 2025 are going to power us in 2026. In fact, I would say that they're more mature. And if you think about what's happening in our business, we are going from serving one market, institutional false portfolios, to serving six markets. We now serve individuals, we serve insurance, we serve the debt and equity buckets of our institutional clients, we serve traditional asset managers, and we hope to serve more robustly the 401(k) market. Each of these markets has the ability to be roughly the same size as our original market, which powered the entire industry. Understanding that these markets require different products, different product structures, different access points, different investments in technology to serve, and you will see these markets mature more and more over time. As we look forward, we think…

James Zelter

Management

Thanks, Marc. Over the past several years, we've talked about Apollo's individual capabilities. Our credit platform, our equity franchise, and balance sheet, each strong on its own. But I want to take focus for a moment today on how those pieces work together in an integrated system. The connection between origination and capital formation and why that matters more than ever today. At scale, investing does not get simpler. It gets more complex. What differentiates Apollo is that we built a system designed to absorb that complexity and convert it into consistent high-quality outcomes for our clients. That is our long-term moat. Origination today is no longer a standalone function. It's bespoke investing. The flywheel that powers our business is now origination, product, and investing teams working in sync across the firm. And capital formation is not something that happens at the end of the process. In many ways, it shapes what we originate upstream. Understanding this connection between origination and capital formation allows us to deliver the right cost of capital to the right opportunity quickly and at scale while maintaining discipline and alignment. At the end of the day, our job is to make money for our clients. And that's precisely what we did in 2025. With our scaled connected platform generating over $60 billion of value to our investors. We've been running our business with the same patient purchase price matters discipline that has driven our investing success through various cycles over the last thirty-five plus years. That discipline is particularly evident in areas like software. We estimate it represented approximately 40% of all sponsor-backed private credit and 30% of all PE deployment for more than a decade. As Marc mentioned, our positioning is amongst the lowest in the industry, and it's really a situation of selectivity…

Martin Kelly

Management

Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. So our fourth-quarter results cap a very strong year of performance and demonstrate sustained execution against our long-term strategy. Particularly evident this year is the earnings flywheel benefit of origination, driving inflows to create management and performance fees, syndication volume to create capital solutions fees, and spread assets to create spread-related earnings. In asset management, we generated increases in AUM and fee-generating AUM of 25% year over year to $938 billion and $79 billion, respectively. This helps drive record fee-related earnings of $2.5 billion in 2025, up 23% year over year. I would note that this level of FRE growth was among the best in the sector for 2025. In the year, we delivered 22% growth in management fees with underlying strength driven by increasing contribution from third-party asset management inflows into both credit and equity strategies, as well as strong capital deployment and robust growth at Athene. Capital solutions fees of $226 million reached a new high in the fourth quarter and drove the full-year result to exceed $800 million. The underlying activity driving 125 transactions in the fourth quarter and approximately 430 transactions during the full year. With full-year transaction activity approximately 60% credit-driven. This is a strong validation of how our proprietary origination capabilities are continuing to broaden and deepen, resulting in greater fee generation opportunities for ACS. Fee-related performance fees grew by 28% year over year, reflecting continued scaling of diversified wealth products and perpetual capital vehicles led by ADS and with additional contributions from Reading Ridge, MidCap, and other platforms. In the fourth quarter, growth in fee-related expenses was driven by several factors, including the full quarter impact of Bridge, continued investment in our team with key senior hires, including our new Heads of Strategy and Asia, as well…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. Our first question is coming from Mike Brown of UBS. Please go ahead.

Mike Brown

Analyst

Great. Good morning, everyone. Morning. Morning, Mike. I wanted to start on Martin, you commented on the ARI transaction. I actually wanted to start there. Can you just unpack a little bit of the implications to SRE here? Just looking at the loans, they have a nice high yield of about 7.7%. So just thinking through that, how can that help with the spread? Can that drive spread higher? Or is it something that kind of just helps drive growth for Athene? Then what are some of the offsets that we need to consider when we think about how that could play through for us?

Marc Rowan

Management

Sorry. So it's Marc to start and then we'll get to the specifics of your question. Think about what's going on. Institutions are looking really hard for durable spread. Safe yield, if you will. Individuals or at least retail investors and stocks trade these vehicles at a discount. The notion of us continuing to invest into vehicles that don't create value to shareholders didn't make a lot of sense to us. And so for us, the best outcome was to transfer the portfolio at fair market value from the public company, which is trading at a discount to NAV, to primarily Athene, will ultimately be other third-party buyers for loans that they already know that offer them spreads in excess of what's available in the current market. This is just for us just common sense. Again, just to focus and we see this across our business. The structure of some of these vehicles, particularly closed-end vehicles, just historically have traded at discounts. At a point in time when the assets themselves are very scarce. As we transfer those assets to Athene, it will not be a full net benefit of, for instance, $9 billion with excess spread. Because we maintain a diversified portfolio, it will displace other forms of SRE lending. And Martin's comments and our confidence in the 10% SRE for the year embeds the notion of this portfolio as opposed to it being additive. I don't know if either Jim or Marc do you want to add?

James Zelter

Management

Yeah. I think listen. Marc has captured the philosophy of getting the right cost of capital and the right investor capital on certain assets. And, again, this is just a basic philosophy about how we approach all of these vehicles. And so the idea of having a pool of assets that are institutionally in high demand in a vehicle trading at a historic discount does not make philosophical sense for it. So it goes into what principal mindset and alignment. At the core of what we do. And I'll let Martin talk about the philosophy and or this the specifics. Excuse me.

Martin Kelly

Management

Sure. So it's I think it's clear, Mike, that our objective here is to deliver 10% SRE growth. And so this transaction, while not contemplated in the prior guidance we gave, certainly sort of helps de-risk the year. And so that's I would I would view it as a part of a steps delivering 10% of necessary growth, but don't assume it's more than that. We're focused on 10% annual growth over time.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Alex Blostein of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Alex Blostein

Analyst

Hey, good morning, everybody. Thank you for taking the question as well. Hoping we could spend a minute on dynamics in the non-traded BDC space and ADS and your comments there, specifically. So obviously, it's been a little bit more turbulent with redemptions picking up and sales have generally slowed down, and that's really even before all the software headlines from the last week or so. To your point, ADS, I think, is in mid-teens exposure to software. Talked obviously about other features that make the product, perhaps less risky than what's out there. Is that resonating with advisers in the channels? How do you think the competitive position of ADS will look over the next sort of six to twelve months? From a net flow perspective when it comes to this part of the market.

James Zelter

Management

Yeah. Alex, it's Jim. Yeah. So there's no doubt that what's happening today we have been consistent for the last twenty-four months. If not longer, about the philosophy in terms of portfolio construction with regards to ADS 100% senior secured, first lien, no pick, no ARR and all of those themes have resonated historically but certainly resonating currently as well. We had a net even though with a small below the line redemption in the fourth quarter, net new assets were up every quarter last year. Over $5 billion of net inflows. And yes, it's resounding to many of the distribution channels that it's the alignment and philosophy but it's return without reaching. So yes, we expect the numbers as you as you mentioned, we're a little bit over double digit in terms of aggregate software exposure when you really take again, it's really more about selectivity than it is real exposure. And when you look at our software pick exposure negligible when you look at our software ARR exposure negligible, when you look at our pre 'twenty-one, 'twenty-two, software exposure negligible. And so those folks who really are students of the product are able to really differentiate, and we expect to be picking up share in that product. But also, we've been clear in the last twenty-four months that investors should diversify away from their corporate exposure in terms of a broader portfolio approach and that's why we're so excited about ABC really the flagship vehicle in the marketplace in terms of asset-backed portfolio construction. So we couldn't be happier about our current position and feel like we'll accelerate, capture greater market share and investors are really seeing that rather than chasing the hot dot.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is coming from Glenn Schorr of Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

Glenn Schorr

Analyst

Maybe just continuing your ongoing theme of the total portfolio approach. Excess return per unit of risk. I would imagine at times like this, we're going to see some really differentiated performance. That goes across all your assets. Classes. So I guess I'm curious maybe more on the institutional side, what was the interaction with LPs over the last week or two? Like and where I'm coming from is are there any bigger implications from what happened? Meaning, are LPs rethinking size of allocation to privates in general or just maybe a switch in terms of structure and having more liquid vehicles as part of their mindset. I'm just curious if you'd opine on that. Thanks.

Marc Rowan

Management

So it's Marc. Glenn, and then I'll turn it over to Jim after. A lot of what's playing out is playing out in the public markets. Recall and I know the concern on But BDCs and private credit and direct origination as it relates to software, always remind people that that is first lien. Most of the investments that are made into these private BDCs are de-risking for the individual making the investment. They are not selling their treasury exposure. What they're doing is they're selling their equity exposure. They're making an intelligent decision that they can earn roughly long term versus an equity. Equity returns in first lien debt, the equity exposure and the pricing of what's happened in software-related and other related has been extreme. We're talking in some instances quality companies down 50% to 70%. This is why people are in first lien to begin with. When you translate it over to the institutional side, you have a little bit of the same phenomenon. And so I do think that there is going to be increased dispersion amongst managers. It's been easy for a really long period of time. And as Jim suggested in private markets, particularly private equity, it had been almost 30% of the market software had been almost 30% of the market for a decade. Software is still an amazing business. But you may not like the purchase price at which you entered because you get to now look at the same companies down 50% to 70%. And that's the public companies and I have to believe the private marks with leverage will go down equally as much. And so I expect that we will be along with a handful of other managers prettier than we have been historically. The other thing to think…

James Zelter

Management

I'd also add, I think there's a I'm taking a step back here, but so much of the conversation in the last several weeks has been about a quick reset of prices in the public equity market and then the impact to non-investment grade software lending, which has been particularly focused well by the non-traded BDCs. We put out a deck in December and all the conversation recently has been about the narrow sector, the 2 to 3 trillion of private credit, and it's really not touching the 35 to 40 trillion in investment-grade private credit. In the last eighteen months, short-duration IG vehicles strategy we really started eighteen months ago is up to over 7 billion in assets. And, again, that's private investment grade the board, a variety of industries. And so it just seems like the headlines are focusing on the small pond, and there's no doubt there's gonna be dispersion among various debt and equity managers who have pursued growth in technology in the last several years. Our fund eleven fund ten eleven are gonna be big beneficiaries of the value versus growth mentality. Again, I really think taking a step back and really understanding how the big boulders are moving. This is a discussion when we talk about non-traded BDCs. About pebbles. What Marc is talking about about boulders, it's much more thematic and truly what's driving our business over the next five and ten years.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Patrick Davitt of Autonomous Research. Please go ahead.

Patrick Davitt

Analyst

Hey, good morning, everyone. I have another question on the total portfolio changes. I agree that that could be a big opportunity for alternatives and specifically Apollo. Big step last year with CalPERS announcing their shift. So curious to what extent you're hearing other large pensions planning to follow suit? And how quickly do you think we'll start to see meaningful reallocations of that capital around the new approach? Thank you.

James Zelter

Management

I would just say it's really important when Marc laid out the five additional channels, the speed of which they all individually and collectively adopt is gonna be start-stop. The public institutional marketplace is not known to be a business where those who are in charge take historic institutional risk. And so it's gonna be measured. It's going to be that's why we're focused on all six, not just one. I'll give you one example. Like, the conversations that have been going on in the industry and in particular with us with our Apollo Sports Capital, those are areas where institutions are trying to figure out where the opportunities are not in the narrow definitions of asset classes. What we've done on the insurance, Athene, sidecar, ADIP, those are all areas where institutions have said, how can I let how can I make sure that the normal definitions of equity and fixed income traditionally are not going to limit my ability to perform? And I think whether it's family offices, whether it's institutional buyers, whether it's those at traditional asset managers, they're all trying to find areas outside the norms of the boundaries and that's what's gonna drive this over time. It's really about how to create better risk-adjusted returns and not being a prisoner to the barriers of adoption in terms of your mandate.

Marc Rowan

Management

If anything is gonna speed it up, Patrick, it'll be volatility. Public market volatility is ultimately a significant impediment in imperative for seeing an accelerant to people's changing of mindset. Trustees and heads of plans who have watched assets grow pretty consistently over a long period of time. Get a little bit of shock when they see the kinds of volatility in their portfolio and in public markets and they look for the same return or more return but with less risk.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Bill Katz of TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

Bill Katz

Analyst

Great. Thank you very much and good morning, everybody. I want to maybe tie some big picture, some of the boulders together to use Jim's analogy, I like that one. Could you talk a little bit about where you might be on the origination opportunity, clearly running what four years ahead of schedule already? How that may influence the opportunity set in, 27% to 20% FRE margin profile? Thank you.

James Zelter

Management

Great. So I think, Bill, the easiest way to answer that is if you look at the $305 billion last year, 245 was really North America. You know, 40 billion Europe, $1,520 billion in Asia. We're taking this strategy global. And when you think about why we were just in Japan, when you think about the industrial renaissance in that part of the globe, Asia Pac, along with how we're focused on Europe. So the answer to your question, big picture is we're gonna take a very successful strategy of integrating origination to every aspect of our business. We're taking it global. And we're gonna make sure that in Europe and Asia Pac, that the same tools, same partnerships, the same platforms are executing in that part of the globe but we're really focused on quality as well as scale. We certainly have shown an ability to originate scale. But it's really growth with intention. And so I want to make sure that we're not overemphasizing the growth from this point. We have a ton of robust yield, robust spread, and that's what we're trying to do. So in my mind, it really is the globalization of the strategy. And it's also into these ecosystem activities like you see in Apollo Sports Capital, I would suspect to see a handful more of those ecosystem strategies where we can be completely relevant in terms of the cost of capital the toolbox to the companies that are embedded in that ecosystem. And why it works so well for sports is very simple. It's one where the quality of cash flows are not a regular manner. They are regular cash flows. There's been a tremendous amount of growth in valuation. There's a limitation to the actual funding and lending in the area. As so many focus so many have focused on the equity returns. And so we're just finding with a holistic toolbox like we did for sponsors there's a great deal of reception. So the answer is global. The answer is focusing on quality and as well as scale. And these focused ecosystem strategies.

Marc Rowan

Management

I'm gonna just take the liberty of maybe going off-paced a little bit. We've seen over the past month or so a number of acquisitions in our industry. And I wanted to say that from our point of view, if you think about where our business is going, it's all about origination and having the product and then building the capabilities to serve five markets. That we've never served before as an industry. So all of the firms were built to serve the institutional alternative bucket. Drawdown funds, product-specific sales forces, relatively slow-moving, fine with quarterly marks. These five markets are totally different. You're seeing some of the firms build out significant wealth strategies. But you have yet to see the rest of the industry build out to serve the other markets that are now available to us. And so when you think about what we're trying to do, we're trying to make sure that we don't grow too fast. We can only grow as fast as we originate. Therefore, we want to grow, we have to originate at scale in quality. At the same time, we understand that every time you buy something, it comes with people. And integration on a cultural basis is very difficult. And so unless something is exceptional, we just prefer to build it ourselves. Sports Capital is a really good example, not to say that there's not value in acquisition if you need to. But the ability to put a team on the ground in an industry that is very valuable, growing very fast, that produces uneven cash flows, therefore is not a great industry to bank or for public markets. In addition to deploying the $6 billion or so in the sports capital fund, I believe this ecosystem will generate $30 billion to $50 billion of origination opportunities. I think you are more likely to see us grow, as Jim said, globalizing what we have and then building organically the platforms that we need to penetrate industries that require specialized knowledge and deserve a specialized pool of capital. And so we often say the strategy here let's look through the windshield. Not through the rearview mirror. We have so much white space in front of us. It's up to us to now prepare the business not just to hit the five-year plan, but for what comes next.

Martin Kelly

Management

And Bill, let me address your tuck-in question on margins. It's important obviously. So you should expect a free margin expansion over time. And we're always balancing, as you know, investing in new capabilities to build the platform with, you know, with extracting efficiencies from the current business. So I would think something like a 100 basis points annually as we go forward. That's sort of the guidepost that we set for ourselves. With the puts and takes netting into that.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Michael Cyprys of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Michael Cyprys

Analyst

Hey, good morning. I wanted to ask about fundraising. Had a very strong year in 2025 about over $180 billion organic inflows. I think you mentioned you're targeting $150 billion on an annual basis. So just curious how you think about the outperformance this past year relative to that $150 billion guide? To what extent does that make sense? What might be areas where flows could be slower, I guess, if that does make sense. But then at the same time, it sounds like you're pretty confident in '26 maybe even being better, particularly in Athene. So maybe you could speak to the confidence there, what you see contributing and maybe you could elaborate on what's in the kitchen in terms of things that might be rolling out? Thank you.

James Zelter

Management

Yes. So Mike, I would say we feel like we have a tremendous wind to our back across the let's separate Athene and Apollo Asset Management for a moment. On the Apollo Asset Management side, global wealth prime for continued growth. And on the institutional business, we do have fund 11 in the marketplace, but also when you think about the product set of the asset-backed ecosystem, the hybrid ecosystem, sports capital and such. We believe that this year will be the strongest year on record. For us in that area. So we're unambiguous about our ability to outshine on the Apollo asset management side. Again, on the Athene side, you know, numbers across their four channels. We expect that to replicate it. So when you do when you add those two together, we're solidly north of one fifty again for the Apollo and Athene side in collective shape. You know, I would say we feel like we're actually grabbing our fair share in a variety of asset classes that we had not done before. When we think about our whole fixed income replacement product suite, things like the short duration IG vehicle, core IG, the asset-backed area, amongst many we're just seeing a variety of ability for us to pick up. And again, that's the conversation we wanna be having with this group. As you talk about private capital and private credit, the natural tendency is to focus on the small non-investment grade 2 trillion pond. I urge all of you on this phone call focus on the 40 trillion. That's the opportunity set. That's what's driving volume. That's what's driving profitability. That's what's driving scale. And so I know it's great it's great headlines. About the software bump in the road. But, you know, there will be dispersion but there's a bigger, bigger picture, and don't miss that.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Ken Worthington of JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Ken Worthington

Analyst

Hi, good morning and thanks for taking the question. As we think about performance fees for 2026, you highlighted in the deck that 2025 was light in part due to sizable PE and hybrid activity that was prudently delayed. With market conditions better, can you help us think about your pipeline of deal activity should market conditions remain accommodative and how you see this flowing through into carry on performance fees?

Martin Kelly

Management

Most unpredictable part of the earnings stream thus the multiple. Ken, I think we see the optimism in the marketplace, particularly with the bank community. Activity levels are high. There's different ways to exit assets in a pop going through a public process is one and private processes are more complicated. So I would say we are more cautiously optimistic as we sit here now about the year ahead. But it's difficult to predict. And so you know, it's that's why, you know, we have anchored ourselves to a long-term guidepost around PII of $900 million and that remains our target, but it's not going to be a straight line clearly together.

Marc Rowan

Management

I'd say this in the portfolio. Fund ten, which is the most recent fund is or the 0.3 plus DPI versus an industry that rounds to zero. The end of the day, when you buy things at reasonable multiples, you can sell them at reasonable multiples. That's what we've seen. That's what we've experienced. That's what I continue to experience. We are not stuck with a portfolio of things that were purchased at very high prices. That now have been reset in the market where they're going to go into Perma Hold. We're in the business of creating value and moving it out. If the market is accommodative, we're going to make it happen. If the market is not accommodative, we will believe, do better than everyone else.

James Zelter

Management

I would just add this. Our performance in '20 is not going to be market dependent on the equity market or the equity capital markets.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Benjamin Budish of Barclays. Please go ahead.

Benjamin Budish

Analyst

Wanted to ask maybe a two-parter on just some of the dynamics going on at Athene. I guess first in the pension risk transfer segment, looks like there's been some positive momentum with a number of the cases out there. Any thoughts on your expected contribution from that channel in particular in '26? Or does that require a little bit more time? And then just curious your latest thoughts on competition in the retail side feels like three or four quarters ago that was a bigger issue, doesn't seem to have been bearing its head as much more recently. But similarly high-level thoughts on the current state of competition in that channel? Thank you.

Marc Rowan

Management

So the volume targets for the '26 are not dependent on PRT picking back up. You're right. The legal situation around PRT is improving. However, this is all about spread. We do not underwrite to volume. We underwrite to profitability. If you underwrite to profitability, you get to keep doing business. So I think we have more than enough at-bats, lots of new initiatives, broad distribution, I believe the target we've set out which is roughly $85 billion will be the target that we deliver. Demand for retirement products is off the charts, but it has to be done at a margin that makes sense. In terms of competition, we continue to see interesting competition, in some of what I would call the lower quality broker channels, are not as credit dependent. As I've warned on prior calls, the business is ultimately about earnings spread. Spread is created by having an asset origination machine, having a liability origination machine at a low cost, and by having a low OpEx. Most of the companies competing in this industry, including the established players with very few exceptions, do not have origination of appropriate assets. They do not have a low-cost liability. Factory. And they do not produce an efficient level. The only way return can be achieved is by giving away asset management fees and by moving the business offshore to Cayman to places like that that do not require capital. This is not a recipe for success. Ultimately, I believe that will end badly. Hopefully not badly for the industry. And I do not believe that many of these firms will hit escape velocity. Because they will ultimately need to come back for more capital. Athene is a really tough competitor. And as Jim said, this is something we've worked on for the better part of fifteen years. With the team. To put it in the position it's in. I like our chances. Martin gave the guidance for twenty-six and we're working hard to achieve what we've said we're going to do.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Wilma Burdis of Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Wilma Burdis

Analyst

Hey, good morning. Just following up a little bit on the last question. We did see a it looked like improvement in PRC volume for the first time in two years. Maybe you could go into a little bit more detail there. And then as sort of a second part of this question, if you could talk a bit about the FAB environment and the lower flows there. And any drivers whether it's credit spreads or anything else you're seeing in the market? Thanks.

Marc Rowan

Management

So again, this is a story of assets and of liabilities. On the asset side, it's all about the capacity to originate. As Jim suggested, this year was a very strong asset origination year, which led to the outperformance of the Target. I expect based on what we've seen thus far 2026 to be an equally strong asset origination year augmented or I should say protected by the ARI transaction, will give us some initial excess flow early in the year. On the liability side, having multiple channels is a godsend. There are places sometimes you don't want to do business. I personally don't think we've missed much in PRT. Over the past year. Not only have there been fewer transactions, but the spreads on those transactions when one ultimately shines a light on them are poor. Winning business is not about volume. Winning business is about capturing profitability. At every point, we're offered the opportunity to do something that's expedient versus something that will build the book of business over the long term. Having a principal's mindset is a very, very healthy way to run the business.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from John Barnidge of Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

John Barnidge

Analyst

Good morning. Thank you for the opportunity. My question is focused on being on the offense. If we can go back to software, dig into that a little bit more could be interesting. Maybe is it private equity, credit, both? And kinda what areas of software do you find appealing? Thank you.

James Zelter

Management

Yeah. I'm just gonna answer that generically. You know, we've historically if you go back in our thirty-five years, whenever there's an over-allocation of capital, we tend to be defensive. And whenever there's a withdrawal of capital, we tend to be on our front foot. If you look at the repricing that's happened very, very quickly in the equity market, the valuations are certainly lower but they're not cheap. They're still very, very high from an earnings multiple and such. But many companies had plans to either, you know, grow because of organic, cash generation or equity origination. And those companies may not be able to do so. So there's no doubt that our screen of opportunities from the world of equity, particularly from the world of hybrid and in some degrees in the world of credit, we are as busy as we've ever been. Because there will be a dispersion of returns, some business models will continue to thrive, some will be more challenged. But what Marc talked about earlier, I'm just gonna remind folks on this call, you had companies in this sector that were priced or purchased or valued and 15 times revenue. Several years ago, maybe even 20 times revenue. And now they're trading at 12 to 16 times earnings. And so there's a very large difference in that valuation gap. It doesn't say they're not good companies. But the growth trajectory and the capital availability of them to a, you know, a capital to grow has changed. So yes, there's no doubt that we're going to be much more on the offense but there's nothing that's gonna happen tomorrow that we're going to announce. This is just more of a dispersion over time and plays into how we wanna be a real partner whether it's a sponsor community or the corporate community as they need capital.

Operator

Operator

The next question is coming from Brennan Hawken of BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Brennan Hawken

Analyst

Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. I just had a couple on spread within SRE. One, a follow-up from Mike's questions. He spoke to the 50 to 75 basis points greater spread versus new issue. But how should we think about that on the net spread as you reported? So we appreciate that it fits into the 10% total expectation for the year. And also, maybe a bit more broadly, how should we think about the cost of funds side? It sounds like there's a great deal of optimism on the origination in the asset side. Cost of funds though has steadily gone up. We hear about competition in some of those markets. And so is the expectation that the cost of funds increases will stop? Or is it more around the ability to outpace it on the asset side? Thanks for taking my question.

Marc Rowan

Management

So it's Marc. I'll give you a business side and then Martin will dig in a little bit. Cost of funds is ultimately a function of bond yields. Historically, it's moved around the BBB corporate spread. Having said that, in individual channels and individual times and individual quarters, it tightens or loosens. We run a business that is competitive in the marketplace with the highest quality companies and liability side spread in mainstream markets are market determined. Most of the new entrants who are paying significant premiums for their cost in their cost of funds. And you can see this in any industry publication. Are in the broker channel. And so it will not surprise you that as a percentage of our business, we do less in the broker channel. At the end of the day, the ability to have a low OpEx and higher than average asset spread allow us to win the fair share of business that we want to win. And we want to win it in a mix. We want some long-dated business, some short-dated business, some policyholder dependent business, behavior dependent business, some non-policyholder dependent business. And ultimately, as I suggested, this iteration of the business of the retirement is a fascinating business. Retirement products are in amazing demand. Having said that, the next leg of this business is not the product set that exists today. It is creating the product set that serves the needs of retirees that is simpler, easier to deliver, and that relies more heavily on the things we do well, OpEx and the origination of spread building out unique or less traffic liability channels is something that we're focused on that will be important not just over the next five years, but for the five years after that.

Martin Kelly

Management

On the spread question, Brennan, we operate the business on a spread basis. So the cost of where we write liabilities and the associated cost of funds is connected to where we can invest against that. And we create a net spread which after costs and on a return on equity basis gets to a mid-teens return. So you know, in terms of guidance, we were quite specific at the November day on where we expect the spread to come out assuming all sort of 11% and that was that was a 120 to 125 basis points. That's what we printed for Q4. At 124 basis points. And given the comments that we've made about ARI earlier on the call, I would assume that the same holds true for the year. So, you know, in the 120 to 125 ZIP code, on a reported net spread basis and where we write business and where we can invest against them.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question coming from Brian Bedell of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Brian Bedell

Analyst

Great, thanks. Thanks. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Maybe just shifting to the 401(k) market, Marc, you could just talk about what kind of progress you're seeing in the DOL and for planned sponsors in terms of their appetite to adopt alternative products. And then if you can add in your strategy with collaboration with different managers. You had Schroders announcement this morning, obviously, Lord Abbott and State Street as well. Should we expect more of these types of announcements? Or do you view yourself as sort of an open architecture collaborator, if you will, or do you feel like you've got, you know, the partners you need, you know, for the future game plan here?

Marc Rowan

Management

So let me work backwards in this. We are open architecture. And we are a product supplier to numerous traditional asset managers. Particularly through our ACS business. That is one level of collaboration with traditional asset managers. The next level of collaboration is the creation of a partnership and the serving of joint creation of joint product. I think you're starting to see that in a couple of partners you've mentioned. I think we're going to continue to see that blossom. Having said that, we're all learning right now. And what has to happen in the business is we as an industry, we need to adapt our business to the ways traditional asset managers work. Moving your business to daily NAV is a big deal for our industry. We are in the process of moving, as I suggested on our last call, particularly our high-grade credit business to Daily Nav. That is an unlock. Providing liquidity in markets, many of our industry have spoken against, is an unlock for traditional asset managers. I expect and I've said this previously, I think traditional asset managers done well could be some of the largest opportunity. I expect them to be among the largest buyers. Some of that will be in the existing mutual fund complexes and ETFs complexes. Some of that will be through new products and some of that will be through 401(k)s. On the 401(k)s specifically, the big volumes in 401(k) in my opinion are not going to come until there is a rulemaking. Or at least guidance that will give more clarity to the executive order that has come down. Having said that, Jim and I are the recipients of numerous call reports. If I had to give you my email inbox, the amount of activity taking place in…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This brings us to the end of the question and answer session. I would like to turn the floor back over to Noah Gunn for closing comments.

Noah Gunn

Management

Great. Thank you, everyone, for joining us this morning and for all your time. You're spending with us. If you have any follow-up questions, as usual, please feel free to reach out on anything we discuss. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's event. You may disconnect your lines and log off the webcast at this time and enjoy the rest of your day.