Jim Porter
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Please proceed
Thanks, Joe. I'm also pleased with our performance in the fiscal 2015 fourth quarter and full year. Fourth quarter revenues were up 15% to $246.7 million, and operating income grew 62% to $19.6 million. We achieved a strong gross margin of 24.8% for the quarter by leveraging our volume, good product and project mix, good shop floor productivity, and favorable insurance expense. I'd like to add a bit more color to the quarterly segment results. In architectural glass, operating margins improved significantly to 4.9% with operating leverage, pricing, and increased productivity as we – in part, as we fully utilized the new coater in the quarter. This strong performance was achieved despite the expected headwinds from startup costs for the Utah facility as we began to bring on needed capacity in the quarter; as well as the impact of softer performance at our Brazil operation due to the slowed economy there. In the fourth quarter, the architectural services installation business performed well on flat revenues. This projects business had an 8.1% operating margin, a strong performance, but down slightly to last year on project timing and project mix. The architectural framing systems segment operating margin more than doubled to 6.3%. The businesses benefited from operating leverage on higher volumes as we experienced market improvement and share of demand gains resulting from market-leading quality, service, and lead times, along with geographic growth. In addition, we saw the effect of price increases in the U.S. storefront business that finally offset the higher aluminum costs we have been absorbing in the second and third quarters. The large-scale optical segment saw growth in revenues and operating income, with a solid 26.2% operating margin for the quarter. The slight decline in operating margin from last year is really just the result of incentives and some increased sales and marketing promotions. Just a reminder that with this smaller segment, an expense investment of less than $0.25 million in the quarter has about a 100 basis point margin impact for this segment. Fourth quarter average capacity utilization across all architectural manufacturing businesses was roughly in the mid-80%, similar to the third quarter. Capacity utilization in the prior year period was approximately in the mid-60% level. The fourth quarter backlog was $490.8 million, down slightly, less than 1% from $493.9 million in the third quarter. The backlog is up 49% from $329.6 million in the end of fiscal year 2014. We had previously told you that we anticipated that fourth quarter backlog would grow, but with the lumpy nature of our order activity particularly for the largest portion of our backlog, architectural services some orders we expected to enter into backlog in the quarter are now expected to move into backlog in the first quarter of fiscal 2016. As Joe said, based on the visibility of award activity we have, we currently expect first quarter backlog will grow. While we continue to expect that our backlog will grow over the course of fiscal 2016, as Joe explained, we anticipate the growth rate will moderate as we strategically hold the architectural services segment growth to focus on margins. Now, as I do each quarter, and as I already noted, our business can have lumpy order intake activity, so we don't require or necessarily expect sequential backlog growth each quarter to be consistent with our longer-term trend. Our expectation for first quarter backlog growth, based on our visibility, is also subject to the normal movement of contract timing. All that said, we continue to experience robust bidding activity in our strong commercial construction markets. Our backlog mix at the end of the fourth quarter reflects the strength in the office sector, with some shift from other sectors to office. The office sector represented 60% to 65% of the backlog, an increase from 55% last quarter. The institutional sector was 15% to 20% of the backlog, with healthcare projects the majority of this portion. Multifamily residential, including high-end condos and apartments was approximately 10%. And hotel entertainment transportation made up 5% to 10% of the backlog. Regarding the timing of the backlog, approximately $393 million, or 80%, of our backlog is expected to be delivered in fiscal 2016 and approximately $97 million, or 20%, in fiscal 2017. SG&A for the quarter was up as a percent of sales, largely driven by incentive accrual increases with the company's strong finish, as well as timing of some consulting expenses. In the quarter, we had positive free cash flow of $22.9 million. Non-cash working capital was $97.5 million, increased from $82 million at the end of fiscal 2014 as receivables and inventory are up with the growth in our business. We continue to have strong days working capital management. Tax rate for the quarter was 29.4%, down from 32.4% in the prior-year period. I'd also like to make some additional comments on the fiscal 2015 full year results. For the full year, we had revenue growth of 21% to $933.9 million and operating income growth of 58%. Organic growth for revenues, excluding the revenues from the Canadian storefront acquisition done in the third quarter of last year, organic growth was 17%. Full year operating margin for the company was 6.8%, up 160 basis points. The architectural segment, as Joe noted, was the largest contributor to Apogee's full year operating income growth. Earnings grew to $16.4 million. The operating margin of 4.7% was up from 1.3% last year, on leverage, pricing and productivity offsetting the startup from our Utah facility. Strong office and high-rise multifamily construction markets contributed to the segment's revenue growth of 18% for the year. The architectural services segment had strong operating income growth of 66% and its margin was up 100 basis points to 3.2%. The full year operating income improvement in architectural services segment was achieved with good job execution despite the project manufacturing issues we discussed in the third quarter that negatively impacted results by approximately $2 million in that quarter. Full year revenue growth in the architectural framing systems segment was 38%, with 24% organic growth, excluding the acquisition. Operating income in architectural framing systems was up 46% and the operating margin was 7.3% for the year. As Joe mentioned, the large-scale optical segment had its strongest full year revenue growth in almost 10 years, at 8%, with solid growth of high value-added core picture framing products as well as expansion with new products and new markets. Operating income grew 3% and the operating margin was 25%. The large-scale optical segment continues to be a great business for Apogee. Capital expenditures for the full year were $27.2 million. This is down somewhat from the guidance we gave of $35 million for the year, but that was just simply due to timing of spend in projects that moved into fiscal 2016. The tax rate for the full year was a 32.2%, excluding the impact of the 48C tax credit of $0.22 per share that Joe referenced. This compares to 29.6% in the prior year. Including the 48C credit, the rate for fiscal 2015 was 22.3%. I will turn to our outlook. Our outlook for fiscal 2016 puts Apogee in a position to deliver record results. Expected revenue growth of 10% to 15% will put us above $1 billion in sales, and our expected earnings of $2.05 to $2.20 per share will be a record for Apogee. Regarding the timing of revenues throughout fiscal 2016, we're expecting that the first half and second half revenues will be fairly balanced. Based on the visibility we have, we anticipate that the first half growth rate will be higher, but slightly more than 50% of the revenue dollars will occur in the second half. Given the nature of construction projects, we often have quarter-to-quarter variation of our revenues just based on project timing. We expect that the fiscal 2016 growth rates will vary by segment. We anticipate that architectural glass will grow at approximately 20%. The architectural framing systems is expected to have mid-double-digit growth. Architectural services is projected to have mid-single-digit growth in fiscal 2016 as we control the growth and focus on margins. And for the large-scale optical segment, we expect to see low to mid-single-digit growth. Our expectation for full year operating margin is approximately 9%, with the second half of the year slightly stronger than the first half of the year. For fiscal 2016, we expect depreciation and amortization of $33 million. We again expect strong free cash flow for fiscal 2016. We frequently are asked how we plan to use our cash, which we expect will build as our performance continues to improve. Our priorities include investing back into the business, M&A and shareholder distributions. We will continue investing in the business for capability, capacity and productivity. We're focused on enhancing the competitiveness of our business, and will balance capacity investment against our view of commercial construction cycle timing. We will pursue M&A opportunities to accelerate geographic growth and new product introductions and to add complimentary products and services. And we'll maintain our dividend, with an outlook for annual growth and we'll execute share buybacks to be anti-dilutive to compensation programs. We anticipate our fiscal 2006 [sic] 2015 tax rate will be 34%. I am proud of Apogee's fourth quarter and full year results and the performance trends that we have in our business. We expect a fiscal 2016 of solid revenue growth in margin contribution and generating nice cash. With our outlook of strong end markets and the strategies we have in place, we are positioned to deliver the longer-term goals we've outlined. Joe?