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Archrock, Inc. (AROC)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Tue, Aug 5, 2025

$38.07

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Archrock Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Your host for today's call is Megan Repine, Vice President of Investor Relations at Archrock. I will now turn the call over to Ms. Repine. You may begin.

Megan Elizabeth Repine

Management

Thank you, Regina. Hello, everyone, and thanks for joining us on today's call. With me today are Brad Childers, President and Chief Executive Officer of Archrock; and Doug Aron, Chief Financial Officer of Archrock. Yesterday, we released our financial and operating results for the second quarter of 2025. If you have not received a copy, you can find the information on the company's website at www.archrock.com. During this call, we will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934 based on our current beliefs and expectations as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to Archrock's management team. Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Please refer to our latest filings with the SEC for a list of factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements made during this call. In addition, our discussion today will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted net income, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, adjusted gross margin and cash available for dividend. For reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial results, please see yesterday's press release and our Form 8-K furnished to the SEC. I'll now turn the call over to Brad to discuss Archrock's second quarter results and to provide an update of our business.

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Thank you, Megan, and good morning, everyone. Archrock's second quarter performance was outstanding. While global macro uncertainty and stock market volatility continued during the second quarter, solid demand for natural gas and compression persisted. Our operational and financial execution continued to stand out and included several quarterly records for the company. This reflected strong underlying business performance and robust earnings power from 2 accretive acquisitions over the last 4 quarters. We recorded record adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA during the quarter. Compared to the second quarter of 2024, we increased our adjusted EPS by nearly 70% and adjusted EBITDA by more than 60%. Our fleet remains fully utilized at 96% and on a sequential basis, we increased our contract compression operating fleet by more than 368,000 horsepower. This growth was driven by the addition of the NGCS fleet that closed on May 1 as well as high return organic investments in newbuild horsepower. Notwithstanding the funding of $297 million for the NGCS acquisition, we maintained our sector-leading financial position, including a low quarter end leverage ratio of 3.3x, driven by the stability of our cashless and prudent acquisition financing. And we raised our quarterly dividend per share by 11% compared to the prior quarter and 27% compared to a year ago, all while maintaining robust dividend coverage of 3.4x. We also accelerated the repurchase of shares under our buyback authorization, given what we believe is a dislocation between our stock performance and the strength of our current business fundamentals and future expectations. Since the inception of our share repurchase program in April of 2023, we've repurchased 2.7 million shares of common stock at an average price of $18.84 per share for an aggregate of more than $51 million. I want to be clear, based on what we are experiencing in…

Douglas S. Aron

Management

Thanks, Brad, and good morning. Let's look at a summary of our second quarter results and then cover our updated financial outlook for 2025. Net income for the second quarter of 2025 was $63.4 million. excluding transaction-related and restructuring costs and adjusting for the associated tax impact. We delivered adjusted net income of $68.4 million or $0.39 per share. The $0.39 per share also included the negative $0.04 impact from an impairment on the high-pressure gas lift business we sold to Flowco. We reported adjusted EBITDA of $213 million for the second quarter 2025. Underlying business performance was strong in the second quarter as we delivered higher total adjusted gross margin dollars for the contract operations and aftermarket services on a sequential basis. Results further benefited from a $4 million net gain on the sale of assets as well as $3 million in other income, primarily comprised of proceeds from insurance and other settlements. Turning to our business segments. Contract operations revenue came in at $318 million in the second quarter of 2025, up 6% compared to the first quarter of 2025 and 41% compared to the prior year period. The increase reflects horsepower growth, organic and acquired as well as higher pricing. Compared to the first quarter, we grew our adjusted gross margin dollars by more than $11.5 million. We delivered a record adjusted gross margin percentage of approximately 70% for the third straight quarter. In our aftermarket services segment, we reported second quarter 2025 revenue of $65 million compared to the first quarter 2025 of $47 million. Second quarter 2025 AMS adjusted gross margin percentage was 23% compared to 25% in the first quarter of '25 and consistent with guidance. On May 1, 2025, we closed the NGCS transaction. We funded the cash portion of the total consideration…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from the line of Gab Moreen with Mizuho. Gab you're line might be on mute. Our next question will come from the line of Eli Jossen with JPMorgan.

Elias Max Jossen

Analyst

I wanted to start on the outlook for capacity additions in 2026 and beyond. Your remarks mentioned 2026 CapEx not below $250 million. And so we can imagine orders are filling up into 2026. But just how does the order book next year compared to what you saw this year and just the outlook for organic unit adds next year?

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Thanks for the question. The order book that we're seeing reflects the inherent growth in the business. The summary I'd offer is that our customers are busy and our customers are ordering equipment ahead of schedule and what we normally see. This is, I think, the earliest that we've offered any outlook on guidance for CapEx for the year ahead. And the reason for that is that what we see in the order book is we're already approaching the levels that we see that minimum investment level at. So the good news is we see just with the demand for natural gas, growing based on LNG demand, AI data centers, distributed power demand. We see our customers getting very busy to put in place the infrastructure to meet that growing demand. Our order book to date reflects a strong order book, very consistent with what we've seen year-over-year, but it's already clear to us that have at least a minimum investment level indicative of that growth ahead that we could share with -- share with our investors at this time.

Elias Max Jossen

Analyst

Understood. And I appreciate the color there. And then maybe just thinking about the outlook for pricing. As you see it now, I think we continue to see revenue per horsepower per month pick up quarter-over-quarter. Just in terms of the outlook for that in the second half of '25 and then '26, should we expect to see pricing continue to tick up? How have contract terms with customers evolve? Is there any sort of change in terms of term that they're looking for. Color there would be great.

D. Bradley Childers

Management

So 2 fronts, I want to take that on. The first is pricing. And then the second 1 is contract term and time on location. For pricing, what we see right now is that our opportunity for revenue increases is reflecting a more normalized level of inflation. So we think about that year-over-year, we're in the mid-single digits across most horsepower categories. And we expect to stay in that type of a range looking ahead based upon the inflation that we're anticipating. So that's where we think we have, that pricing prerogative. Importantly, however, revenue per horsepower pricing is not the only tool to drive profitability. Part of what you're seeing is not just top line growth, but the continued improvement in stabilization of high margins, especially in our contract operations business as we have through the investment in systems, processes, efficiencies and candidly, the right people driven our revenue higher while maintaining our cost at a very candidly, much flatter level. but it's because of the changes to the -- and the transformation of the platform that we've invested in now over the course of a number of years. And then thinking about our contract terms, our contract terms remain the same for large horsepower, targeting that 3- to 5-year base term. But importantly, as I put in our prepared remarks, based on a study that we did in the most recent quarter, what we are seeing is the independent contract firm that our units are staying on location, on average, greater than 6 years. This is a tremendous level of stability that we're achieving, and it again reflects the repositioning of this business to focus on large infrastructure position midstream horsepower and the electric motor drive businesses that we've invested in. And then finally, I do want to point out is that the order book that we described for 2026, nothing is ordered without a contract in hand. And so it's not speculative investment expecting that they will show up the way this industry is working today and the way we are running our business today is that we place orders for horsepower for our fleet only when we have a firm commitment and a firm contract in hand from our customers.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Jim Rollyson with Raymond James.

James Michael Rollyson

Analyst

Brad, if I go back to the beginning of the year and what we were looking at for growth and investment in data centers and power- driven gas demand over the next several years as well as LNG, they both have actually gone up over the last 6 months. And so that long-term outlook doesn't seem like it's changed to gotten actually better. But obviously, we've got some softer oil macro, and you've touched on this a little bit. I would love to hear some color of what you're hearing from your core customers in the Permian, but also from other basins, if you're actually seeing that reflected in the order book that we're obviously going to have to need to meet this demand some way. And if the Permian isn't growing quite as fast, maybe with the rig count slowdown. I just love to hear what you're seeing from that level of detail, please?

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Thanks, Jim. What we see with our customer base right now is consistent activity and to be really clear, the Permian is still leading the order book by like 60% to 80% depending upon how you cut the time frame. Even in the nearest term, we're looking at 55% of our order book in the quarter coming from the Permian. But interestingly, that means that the rest is coming from other plays as well. And although it is all incremental compared to the volumes that we see in the Permian, we do see activity in the Eagle Ford in the Haynesville, in the DJ, the Powder River, in particular, a little bit in the Marcellus. So we see that the reactivation of some of the dry gas plays that certainly the continued growth and investment in all of the shale plays is something that we see ahead. There is uncertainty, however, as to how much of that gas is going to come or need to come from these other plays depending upon how the Permian performs. In any event, really importantly, the Permian gas volumes, our compression business in the Permian is going to grow near-term, medium term and long-term. it's just so much volume is tied up there in the most cost-effective play that we have in the country that, that seems to be an inescapable dynamic in the production of oil and gas that we see ahead.

James Michael Rollyson

Analyst

That's very helpful. And maybe as a follow-up, just curious, last time we spoke a quarter ago, really hadn't seen much of an impact at that stage on the tariff front, and I'd love to get an update there If possible, from your OEMs?

D. Bradley Childers

Management

We don't expect a material impact to the tariffs on our business. It's certainly not in 2025 and very limited in 2026. The supply chain that feeds us is predominantly U.S.-based and domestic. And in any event, any cost increases that we would expect for 2025 have been put into our guidance, but it's just been very negligible as an impact to our business and our outlook.

James Michael Rollyson

Analyst

Thanks for the color, Brad, and nice results, and maybe you guys can get to executing on that remaining $59 million in repurchases given your share price today.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Nate Pendleton with Texas Capital.

Nate Pendleton

Analyst · Texas Capital.

Congrats on the strong quarter. historically, your contract compression model has been resilient throughout commodity cycles has been discussed over the past few quarters. Now that we've seen the rigs dropping. Can you talk in a little bit more detail about the elasticity of demand for your horsepower specifically, how much of that 2026 order book is durable versus potentially subject to customer delays or renegotiation.

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Thank you for the question. The order book that we have in place and the level that we talked about, we think is durable -- and it's robust and durable. We are not expecting any shifting in that level of spend. And I'm going to point out what we cited was an expectation for a minimum level of spend that's going to be required to meet customer demand. I think that the odds are greater that we're going to have a higher top end to our guidance when we can give top end guidance. But right now, we had enough of an order book build that we thought we could share that level of growth that we think that is in the books for 2026 at this earlier date. We think it is durable.

Douglas S. Aron

Management

And look, I might just add, I realize what we see reflected on the screen, what we're seeing in some other calls is that maybe some uncertainty around oil activity. I think Brad hit it really well in his prepared remarks. Natural gas volumes in North America are growing and growing meaningfully. And we are seeing that reflected in historically low levels of stop activity for our equipment. And again, with large midstream customers that are seeing a significant amount of new gas coming online in 2026 is what is supporting our view for that minimum level of CapEx. So it is -- we are there for our customers, and we expect that gas to come even if oil production doesn't grow at the same rate that we have been seeing it grow over the last several years.

Nate Pendleton

Analyst · Texas Capital.

Got it. I really appreciate the color, Brad, and Doug. And if I may, my second question, in the prepared remarks, you talked about your geographic diversification. Can you talk a little bit more about the current competitive dynamics you're seeing outside the Permian? And if there are opportunities to expand any of those basins really in a meaningful way going forward?

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Every basin has a couple of players in it at least. So every basin has a competitive dynamic. What we're experiencing in this market, however, is that with our customer base, we are essentially their partner and contract compression provider of choice. And when they have horsepower needs, they predominantly come to us. Now, I think that, that works for others in the market as well, but it gives us a much better planning cycle, look into the market and level of dependence because of the very critical position we play in the operational kind of capabilities of our customers as well as in their capital stack. They know they can count on us to deliver excellent service in the field. They know they can count on us to bring equipment and our capital to bear when they need it. And that creates a very close working relationship and dependence between us and our top customers with which we put out new capital and expect to grow.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Doug Irwin with Citi.

Douglas Baker Irwin

Analyst · Citi.

I just wanted to start by getting your latest thoughts around gas allocation given that you linked pretty heavily on the buyback program this quarter and obviously announced the dividend increase as well. Just curious how you're thinking about buybacks versus dividend growth moving forward, given both your level of confidence in the outlook moving forward, which is more durable and then maybe some of the asset sales that potentially free up some more onetime cash flow here as well.

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Doug, thanks for the question. On the good news front, we expect to grow this business. We expect to grow our profits. And that means we expect to be able to continue to return the amount of capital we return to our investors, both in the form of dividend as well as in the form of buybacks. The dividend rate that we get to grow at with the coverage that we have, I think, should be viewed as our expectation is -- the business continues to perform the way it has over the last several years and quarters that we should have the opportunity to increase our dividend consistent with the way that you've seen it raised over the last several years and quarters. Buybacks on the other hand, are activated by our potential value capture on what we see as the ability to not just return capital to our investors and to our shareholders but based on the price of the market. We are definitely price sensitive on that. And currently, we might be ambitious. But that's the way we think of it. Both are tools we expect to use to the benefit of our investors going forward.

Douglas Baker Irwin

Analyst · Citi.

Understood. And then I was just hoping you could help unpack the updated guidance range a little bit here. There were obviously a few different moving pieces with acquisitions and sales and some of the updated segment margins as well. Just curious how much of this guidance you would categorize as maybe being more nonrecurring tied to gains on asset sales and things like that versus more operational outperformance across the 2 segments that's going to be a bit more ratable moving forward here?

Douglas S. Aron

Management

Yes. I'll take that one, Doug. It's -- look, let's start with outperformance in both our legacy and acquired businesses on the contract compression side. That's a little less than half of the $20 million guide upwards. It's about $9 million comes from that outperformance on the AMS side, with gross margins and revenues, both being a little higher than forecasted, albeit gross margins on AMS were slightly lower because of the part sale that Brad mentioned. That's about $4 million of it so that gets you to sort of call it, $13 million of the $20 million. And then we had $4 million in asset sale gains in the quarter and about $3 million in other income that we talked about mostly being from insurance sales. And then I think important to understand that, that $20 million an increase was offset by the assets that we sold in the Flowco transaction. And while we're not giving any guidance on what that EBITDA was, all of that kind of gets you to the $20 million that we raised guidance by today.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Steve Ferazani with Sidoti.

Stephen Michael Ferazani

Analyst · Sidoti.

Appreciate all the detail on the call. The other piece I wanted to ask about, Brad and Doug was the strength in the aftermarket because that was certainly how you beat me on revenue in the quarter, and you did raise the aftermarket guidance. Can you talk about what happened in the quarter? And how much -- how extendable that is? Was there anything specific there?

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Overall, we've been really pleased, very pleased with how the aftermarket service businesses have performed, especially over the last probably now going on 8 quarters. Part of what you're seeing just reflects the market needs equipment -- it needs equipment to run and that has placed more demand on both of our businesses, contract compression as well as our aftermarket services businesses, our customers are doing a better job maintaining their own equipment and to maintain better run times for themselves. So that overall market dynamic, we think, is definitely sustainable. We don't see that changing in the near term. Our team has done an excellent job, capturing that and doing good work, excellent work for our customers. So we see that part of it being sustainable. But I will point out, as I put in my prepared remarks on the top line, However, this quarter did include a large -- some engine sales that took the top line up and also diluted the margin just a little bit. We don't expect that to repeat. That's a more unusual transaction that happens, but it's more unusual. But overall, we remain ambitious about the value we can bring to our customers and that we can get from this aftermarket services business today.

Stephen Michael Ferazani

Analyst · Sidoti.

Great. And then I want to ask about the mix in the order book. We know electric demand was growing. But in this more volatile oil price environment, knowing that, that's higher priced and knowing a lot of your customers are cost conscious, are you seeing any shift away from electric to go to a lower cost option?

D. Bradley Childers

Management

We are seeing a shift in the mix to include more gas drive and incrementally less electric motor drive, but it's not as sharp a turn as you might expect. I think looking ahead, we expect 20% to 25% of the business to be that CapEx to go toward electric motor drive compared to where we were, which was 30% or higher previously. So it's tapered off a bit. The issue, however, I don't believe is cost. The issue is power availability. What we're seeing is tremendous strain on the grid and the inability of even distributed power opportunities to keep up with the overall demand. And I think that is driving our customers -- some of our customers to include more gas drives where they would have had a preference for electric motor drives had power been available.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Selman Akyol with Stifel.

Selman Akyol

Analyst · Stifel.

Just going back to the order book, I just want to ask the question a little bit differently. You referenced the $275 million, and you haven't done that previously. So my question directly is, if we look back to 2024, are you ahead this time, this year as opposed to where you were last year?

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Number one, I want to just take on the number. What we guided was that we see a minimum of $250 million for 2026 CapEx. That's okay. I want to get that out. But I'd say we're very much in line with what we saw at this point in 2024 and in prior years. But we have more clarity in the order book today than I think we may have had at that time of the year. We also know that, candidly, a lot of discussion today and questions from our investors are focused on what's going on in the market? And are we going to see a pause in the growth, in investment and infrastructure because we're seeing a decline in rig count, and we're seeing some lay down for crews also in oil and gas services. And our answer to that included the fact we wanted to come out with what we're seeing in the market today, to say very distinctly, that is not what we expect to experience. We had growth in '25. We expect growth in '26 and our order book, including the level of minimum capital commitment that we see, we thought was helpful information to support our assertion that notwithstanding the macro, our business is poised to perform and to grow.

Selman Akyol

Analyst · Stifel.

Got it. Appreciate that. And again, my apologies. You referred -- in your opening comments, you talked about largest contractor in the Eagle Ford in the Haynesville. So I was just going to ask if you could expand a little bit more on what you're seeing in the Haynesville?

D. Bradley Childers

Management

We see activity. And what we said on the Haynesville, in particular, is that we support the business of some of the largest midstream operators in the Haynesville is the way we characterize that. And we do see incremental demand in the Haynesville. Now I'll point out again, it helps in scale to what we see going on in the Permian, but we do see constructive and profitable horsepower additions going into that play -- into the Haynesville, which we're happy to see. Right now, I think that Permian is attracting so much capital, so much labor and so many -- so much operational focus, we like seeing a diversification of the growth in every other play that we can see growth in as well. And that's the nature of what we want to show there.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Josh Jayne with Daniel Energy Partners.

Joshua W. Jayne

Analyst · Daniel Energy Partners.

Just one sort of long-ish one for me, which is, in the prepared remarks, you talked about the dislocation that you believe exists between the share price today and future expectations. Could you expand on that a bit more and how you're ultimately thinking about that because you've been buying back stock, obviously, at the dividend, but it sounded like you were potentially going to be a bit more aggressive moving forward on the buyback based on what you're seeing in the business and the thoughts on '26 and '27. So long-winded question, but has anything changed in the last 6 months or so to make you more aggressive about using those tools? And maybe you could just expand on that mindset a little bit.

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Sure. I'll share a few thoughts. First, we have great confidence in the future of this business. And again, our confidence is both near, medium and long-term. So that makes us ambitious about the way this company is operating. Second, we've transformed this platform significantly to focus on large horsepower, very stable midstream applications and operations. And from the term that we stay on location, you've seen a complete change, almost close to a doubling of the time we stay on location with our units. So the stability of this business is there as well. The macro environment has got us poised for growth. And so -- it means that we are very strategic in using both our dividend and the share buybacks as a way to return capital to investors. But we are not price insensitive. And what's changed over the most recent environment is that the market seems to be valuing energy and valuing some of our shares less than we think, ultimately, in a longer term or stable market should be the case. And so that does make us want to look at using both tools as well as we can to return capital and cash to our investors.

Douglas S. Aron

Management

And I just would add one additional comment, which is a bit of a differentiating point, I think, in the compression space. And that is we have the lowest leverage in the industry. We have continued to delever over the last couple of years, which has put us in a position to be able to do that. So yes, we see our share price is very attractive. I think I said in my prepared comments that it's our expectation that we will continue to delever through the year. And I do think, as folks think about Archrock and compare us to some of our peers perhaps, that's a bit of a differentiating factor.

Joshua W. Jayne

Analyst · Daniel Energy Partners.

Great. And then actually, just one quick follow-up. You had mentioned that equipment staying on locations sort of 50% longer than it was in 2021. How do you see that evolving going forward? Like when we're sitting here 2, 3, 5 years from now, how do you ultimately see that playing out based on what you're seeing today?

D. Bradley Childers

Management

We believe that, that number is likely to extend too longer over a period of time. I'm going to point out that the amount of turnover in the fleet varies significantly by horsepower size. And since we're adding predominantly more large horsepower into the mix, that is by nature going to pull that term into more years, not less. So we think that number is going to continue to increase over time based on the investment profile and the position we have in the infrastructure and midstream marketplace today.

Operator

Operator

And there are no further questions. I'll turn the call back over to Mr. Childers for any final remarks.

D. Bradley Childers

Management

Great. Thank you, everyone, for participating in our Q2 2025 review. I look forward to updating you on our progress next quarter. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.