James J. O'Brien
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
The decision to invest or not to invest is all based upon the returns to the shareholders, as far as the invested capital. We've always invested in the projects which have the highest return on capital. And ASI has some of the best returns. And if they are superior to other options within the corporation, they'll continue to get the bulk of the capital. Valvoline, as far as its growth capabilities, if you look at where growth can occur in Valvoline, it's internationally. And we have continued to invest in the channels of distribution internationally, and the growth rate this past quarter was 10%. So I think we have invested appropriately to take advantage of that growth internationally within Valvoline. We'll continue to invest in that growth. But most of the investment is around people, training and gaining better and broader distribution and training those people to help serve the broader markets. So that will continue, and it doesn't take an extensive amount of capital. When you look at Valvoline Instant Oil Change, that industry is consolidating, and we have made several transactions with our franchise organization, where they have bought large groups. One large group was bought in California last year, and we helped them do that. That was very profitable for them, as well as for ourselves. They continue to build new stores. We would be interested in consolidating people that want to get out of business in our core market, which is basically the Midwest and the Southeast. So we'll be interested in consolidating there as far as company-owned. And we would support those types of projects, if they would meet our cost of capital requirements, as far as exceeding the returns that we need. So that would be something that we would continue to consider and we have done in the past, we'll continue in the future. So as I look at Valvoline, it isn't so much that we have not invested appropriately in the business, I think we have. We will continue to invest in that business, it's just that it doesn't require a lot of capital. And I think that we have opportunities within ASI, where it is a more capital-intensive business, that we could deploy that cash in a very productive way in growing that business, as well as using the cash to help continue to pay down debt, where appropriate, as well as continue to buy back stock. So we have many, many ways to, I think, create shareholder value, and Valvoline helps contribute to that in its current form.