Earnings Labs

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM)

Q2 2016 Earnings Call· Tue, Aug 16, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Avino Silver & Gold Mines Q2 2016 earnings conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in a listen-only mode and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Charles Daley, Corporate Communications. Please go ahead.

Charles Daley

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Avino Silver & Gold Mines second quarter 2016 financial results conference call. On the call today, we have the company's President and CEO, David Wolfin, as well as our Chief Financial Officer, Malcolm Davidson, and one of our directors, Mr. Jasman Yee. Before we get started, I'm required to remind you that certain statements on this call will include forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. These may include statements regarding Avino’s anticipated performance in 2016 and future years including revenue and cost forecasts, silver and gold production, grades and recoveries, and the timing of expenditures required to develop new mines in mineralized zones. The company does not intend to, and does not assume any obligation to, update such forward-looking statements or information other than as required by applicable law. Thank you. With that, I will now turn the call over to Avino’s President and CEO, Mr. David Wolfin.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Thanks, Charles. And welcome everybody. I’d like to thank you all for joining us here today. During this call, I’ll cover the highlights of this morning's news release and our financial and operating performance during the second quarter of 2016 compared to 2015. I'll then open up the call for Q&A to address any questions you may have. The second quarter of 2016 was a very significant period for the company, primarily because commercial production was declared at the Avino Mine. In past quarters, the sale of Avino Mine concentrate was classified as a recovery of exploration and evaluation expenses rather than revenue. Accordingly, revenue from mining operations for the quarter was CAD 11.9 million compared to CAD 5.9 million during the comparative quarter last year. Although significantly higher than last year, the figure was somewhat lower due to required maintenance of the ball mill on Mill Circuit 3 as well as lower grade material from San Gonzalo stockpile being processed using Mill Circuit 2, which together contributed to a 23% decrease in silver equivalent production. We're expecting a stronger quarter of production in Q3, which should add further to our topline revenue figure. Moving on, mine operating income was CAD 3.2 million compared to CAD 2.4 million last year. The increase was also due to revenue received from the sale of Avino Mine concentrate. Our realized silver price increased by 6% from US$16.10 to US$16.58 per ounce sold. Our realized gold price increased by 7% from US$1,179 to US$1,259 per ounce sold compared to the second quarter last year. Earnings for the quarter before income taxes was CAD 1.5 million compared to CAD 1.2 million in Q2 last year. Net loss for the quarter after taxes was CAD 450,000 compared to net income of CAD 361,000 in Q2 last…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Thank you. The first question comes from Rob Chang, Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead.

Rob Chang

Analyst

Good morning, gentlemen. A couple of questions. First off, with respect to the taxes, it seems quite high. Can you expand on how it got to that level and just more details on that please?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Hi, Rob. It’s Malcom here.

Rob Chang

Analyst

Hi, guys.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

So our total income taxes is, obviously, divided into current and deferred. So the current income taxes are just simply the tax that we’re paying on taxable income earned in Mexico. The deferred income tax is a little bit more complicated. A lot it’s driven by using the US dollar as our functional currency in Mexico, so we’re translating from pesos to US dollars and then to Canadian dollars. And, ultimately, what’s happening is we’re having a large – of the CAD 1 million deferred income tax expense in the current quarter, a large portion of it is driven by foreign exchange. So it is unusually high. It’s a non-cash number. With that being said, we’ve considered a few things to help mitigate this expense and one of them is reporting in US dollars as the reporting currency versus Canadian, although that can introduce other complications. But it’s really from translating from the peso through to the Canadian dollar of our Mexican subsidiary.

Rob Chang

Analyst

Would that qualify as an adjusted – or something that you could list as an adjusted net earnings and have that netted out?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

That’s a good question. I have to get back to you on that.

Rob Chang

Analyst

Okay. Because it might be a cleaner if that was taken out – if that qualifies.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

I can send an email on that.

Rob Chang

Analyst

Sure. Yeah, sounds good. Second question is – I’ve been looking for this. I’m not sure if I missed it. But do you have any hedging or some type of contracts in place? And the reason why I ask you is I tried to reconcile your sales based off of realized pricing and I couldn't quite get to the number you have in Canadian dollar terms. Because it ends up translating at probably a $0.89 US to Canadian exchange rate if I were to do it roughly. I’m just wondering if there are any hedges in place or anything that explains why it couldn't quite match up the numbers.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

We don't have a hedging program in place at the moment. It’s something we’re looking at. The operation has grown significantly, having the Avino mine online. But as far as the reconciliation, Jasman, maybe you can comment on – just not too much on the dollar wise, but on our ounces sold because that’s what’s driving the difference in revenues as well?

Jasman Yee

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Yeah. As far as revenues go, Rob, basically we get paid on the basis of our deliveries. So in our contract with Samsung, basically, our sales are based delivery and it's really the month of delivery plus three months down the road to finalize the pricing. And as far as I'm aware, all the revenues that we get based on the final invoicing is factored into the revenue side of things.

Rob Chang

Analyst

Okay. But that price –

Jasman Yee

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

I hope that answers your question.

Rob Chang

Analyst

It sort of does. What I'm driving at, though, is the realized pricing that you guys report, for example, $16.99 in silver in US dollar terms, if I were to just multiply that into your silver equivalent numbers, I'd get somewhere in the neighborhood of $10.6, let’s call it, US dollars. So if I throw in the exchange rate at the time, which I believe was better than $0.89, it gets to be a much higher number than CAD 11.9 million. So I was just trying to figure out how that reconciles. I’m not sure if that’s something you can answer over the phone or if we should do this offline, but I was just trying to get a sense of if there was an easy answer.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

It’s Malcolm here again. You know what, let’s have a chat after the call. I actually have a – I do have a few other comments that I can go over with you.

Rob Chang

Analyst

Great, thank you.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Bhakti Pavani from Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead.

Bhakti Pavani

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Good morning, guys.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Good morning.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Hi, Bhakti.

Bhakti Pavani

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Just a quick question, what was the capital expenditure for the quarter and how should we be looking for the expense for the remaining year?

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

So during the period, I think our capital additions was about CAD 1.5 million. So, now, when you’re looking at the statements just to clarify, you’re going to see a transfer of about CAD 8.6 million out of exploration and evaluation assets and about CAD 6 million going into property, plant and equipment. And that’s reflected in the adjustment to transfer the value of the Avino Mine from exploration and evaluation assets to property, plant and equipment. So that sort of is the movement within the balance sheet. Going forward, we’ve acquired most of our equipment needed for our current operations. We’ll have a little bit for maintenance, but it won’t be significant. And we have budgeted about CAD 2.5 million for the completion of the new tailings facility, which is planned to be completed before the end of the year.

Bhakti Pavani

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

And how would that breakup or distribute between Q3 and Q4?

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

I would say, 50/50. It might be a little bit more in Q4, but there are some upfront costs. But I would say 50/50 is reasonable between the two quarters.

Bhakti Pavani

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Okay. Also the cash cost was slightly higher compared to your past. And I'm assuming that because of the Avino – declining commercial production at Avino Mine. Could you maybe provide some color on how you can reduce that cost further for the remainder of the year, if possible?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Sure. Just a few comments on cash cost. First of all, the margin on San Gonzalo was relatively the same, although we did sell – we did sell fewer ounces from San Gonzalo. So that brought the cash cost up at San Gonzalo a little bit. But with the Avino Mine, at the moment, we’ve got a combination of a production mining cost and development mining costs. And development mining costs are significantly more expensive. That being said, when we transitioned to production in April, a large portion of the inventory that was traded over and subsequently treated as cost of sale was much higher because it was development type mining that was used when that inventory was actually produced. Now, going forward, probably for the next nine months, we’ll be using a combination of development mining and production mining. We will see the cost go down. And I would say, 2017, we’ll see a significant reduction when we’re only production mining.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

We’re still ramping down to the bottom of the mine and putting in new levels, so that’s the development mining.

Bhakti Pavani

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Fair enough. Fair enough. All right. Thank you very much, guys. That’s it from my side.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Thanks, Bhakti.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Heiko Ihle from Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead.

Heiko Ihle

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Hey, good morning, guys. Congrats on the quarter.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Hi, Heiko.

Heiko Ihle

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

I’ll start with this one. Consolidate all-in sustaining cost was CAD 14.51 an ounce per silver equivalent ounce, a 247% increase compared to CAD 11.72. I take it that it is just a typo, given that if you do the math it gives you 23.8%. But I just want to make sure and I'm pretty sure I'm not missing something insanely obvious here.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

No. Thanks for pointing that out, Heiko. Absolutely right. It did increase, but not by 247%.

Heiko Ihle

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Because that will be very scary.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

It would be.

Heiko Ihle

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Okay, fair enough. So 23.8% is the number to use then [indiscernible]. So long-haul mining on Bralorne, you’ve said you’re getting the equipment. It sounds like a lot. The technical analysis stuff is done. Couple of things. Can you just sort of walk us through timeline cost savings, anticipated cost of getting that stuff? Just elaborate a little bit of what you’ve got listed in the release please.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

For Bralorne or…?

Jasman Yee

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Yeah, this is for Bralorne. Heiko, we’re still studying this. And basically, the old method of mining, which is the standard scope mining, basically, you could get only about a third of the tonnage as you’re developing the scope. And, normally, this is the swell that’s being taken off while you’re mining. With the long-haul, basically, whatever you mine, you'll be getting it out, which is why the larger throughput makes a lot of sense. At the same time, you’ve really got to factor in – there’s also a dilution problem that you may be faced with. So, basically, we want to do the actual test with numbers currently being generated by Entech, which is the engineering firm that has a lot of long-haul mining experience and they’re sort of helping us walk us through on this. But the first phase would be to do an actual test and see how this works out when we start out the Bralorne operation.

Heiko Ihle

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Yeah. Fair enough, fair enough.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

We’ve already started ordering parts to expand the mill. We’re looking at upgrading the surface buildings, and so we’re already moving ahead on all that.

Heiko Ihle

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

I'll try again. Are you willing to sort of hinting at how you’ve spent or how much you anticipate spending?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Well, I can tell you what we’ve spent. It’s outlined in the financial statements. I'm just going to get a quick reference here. We spent about CAD 3 million this year. A big portion of that was – the most significant portion was the improvement of the tailings facility and also for water treatment. As we’re more or less at care maintenance at the moment, we’ve kept all of our other costs to an absolute minimum, other than any capital improvements we’re making to the mill. So, going forward, to answer your question, Jasman mentioned, we’re still analyzing a few different options. Obviously, each of them have a different capital expenditure amount. And we haven’t made any decisions on what is going to make the more sense. There’s still more information needed and we’re working with a number of consultants to come up with the most optimal plan.

Heiko Ihle

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Got you. Okay.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

We’d like to consider this week. And I think when I see you next week, I can give you a bit more of an update.

Heiko Ihle

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Got you, okay. So silver was down 16%, copper down 16%, but gold was down 20%. I know we’re only talking about 1500 ounces, but should we model out a little bit – I'm sorry, silver down 16%, copper down 16%, gold down 20%. Should we be modeling out maybe slightly lower gold grades for the rest of the year? Or was this sort of a one-off?

David Wolfin

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Well, when we declared commercial production, it's on the upper level on the perimeter of the deposit, which is lower grade, and the development mining down below is in the heart, and so we expect the perimeter mining – the mining method uses long-haul sublevel caving, which is going to retreat back towards the core area of the mine. So we anticipate better grades going forward.

Heiko Ihle

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Perfect. Thanks. Thank you, guys. Talk to you next call.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Thanks, Heiko.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Thanks, Heiko.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Mike Heim from Noble Financial. Please go ahead.

Michael Heim

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

Thanks. I'm still trying to understand the difference between the operating income and the net income and you touched a little bit on taxes and foreign currency. But I haven’t seen full financial statements at this point. I'm wondering if you can kind of those exact numbers and comment on when stuff will be posted to the Web site.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

Sorry. The income before other items or net income before tax?

Michael Heim

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

I'm looking at just some of the line items between operating income and net income, specifically the CapEx.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

Looking at the quarter, we’ve got CAD 230,000 in foreign exchange gains. That’s a combination of realized and unrealized on translation to pesos – sorry, from pesos to US dollars and Canadian dollars. A bigger number is the CAD 670,000, the fair value adjustment on the warrant liability. A few years ago, when we did a financing, we did issue warrants denominated in US dollars. And each reporting period, those need to be revalued and the biggest variable in that evaluation is foreign exchange. So depending on movements between the Canadian and US dollar, we’ll see a gain or loss each quarter. We’re hoping to perhaps have those warrants exercised or not have them at the end of the year. So we won’t have that fluctuation anymore. The accretion on the reclamation provision is simply the amortization of reclamation provisions in Mexico and Canada. We have an interest expense on our equipment loans and finance leases with Sandvik and Caterpillar respectively. And that’s sort of the main components of other items.

Michael Heim

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

And what was the tax expense?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

The tax expense was CAD 1.9 million and that was made up of CAD 900,000 of current income tax expense, which is basically tax on our net income. And it was about CAD 1 million of deferred income tax expense, which I commented on a little bit earlier with Rob. And the biggest component of that CAD 1 million, again, was foreign exchange.

Michael Heim

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

Also on an unrelated note, are we getting closer to new reserve numbers?

David Wolfin

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

Yeah, there’s a new 43-101 expected out this summer.

Michael Heim

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

Okay. All right, thank you.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Noble Financial. Please go ahead

Thanks, Mike.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Todd Davis, a private investor. Please go ahead.

Todd Davis

Analyst

Thank you, gentlemen. My question has been answered. I was just curious on your average silver selling price. It just seemed low for the quarter considering silver was above $17 an ounce rather than the first week of June. So I was just a little curious on that.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Malcolm?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

It’s a little low. My comment would be there is – simply different from about a month.

Jasman Yee

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Yeah, it’s N plus 3. The fact that our silver pricing is based on the month of delivery –

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Correct.

Jasman Yee

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

And three months after that. So, basically, we’re sort of lagging a little behind other the current price. It’s basically what –

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah. Some of the higher metal prices we’ve seen in the last few months, we will start to realize those in Q3.

Jasman Yee

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

Yeah, in Q3. Correct.

Todd Davis

Analyst

Okay, gentlemen. Congratulations again on bringing Avino online. Thank you very much.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Bernie Milask [ph], a private investor.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Yes. I have a fairly simple question. Your contract with Samsung, I guess, they take out treatment and refining charges. Now, do the treatment and refining charges and the shipping charges come out before income or are they counted as part of your income? In other words, is it pre-income or is it after income? And can I count that as a cost?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

It’s pre-income.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. So in other words, the revenue already includes those treatment and refining charges?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

That’s correct. The revenue is on a net basis. And then we deduct our in-house production costs.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. Now, the question on Avino is, you have production of 2,222 tonnes, but yet you shipped 2,665 tonnes or 2,663 tonnes. Where did the extra tonnage come from? If I'm reading your MD&A correctly.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

I think we always keep a surplus, so we may have delivered a little more that quarter.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. It’s just timing of deliveries.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Correct.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, thank you. That's all I have.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Thanks for the questions.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from David Sheridan from World Over Capital. Please go ahead.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah. Hi, guys.

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Hello.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Just coming back to this particular point everyone keeps talking about with respect to the price received versus the silver price that you state. It would appear to me, having gone back in history over the life of Avino, did you basically lose about 13% or 14% every quarter, which is basically the charge that you must be – now being charged by Samsung and previously being charged by someone else? Is that a fair comment?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Correct.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah. That’s what I thought. Okay, fine. Next thing, is the target for 2016 on production still to produce around 3 million equivalent ounces of silver?

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

It's between 2.8 million and 3 million.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

2.8 million to 3 million, okay. And after the second quarter's results, how are you feeling about that as far as where you are likely to be in that range? Are you feeling that you’re more likely to be at the conservative end or are you more optimistic you can get towards the upper end?

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Jasman, you want to take that one?

Jasman Yee

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah, I think on the conservative side. I think we’re probably looking more like about 2.8 million ounces for the year.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah, fair enough.

Jasman Yee

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

I would say, and if we do hit 3 million, that’s really a bonus.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Okay. Two more questions for you. There has been discussion – I know the CEO has mentioned at various time – that there is – once Avino Mine comes into production and that you establish your mining capability and you're more confident of your reserve position that you would contemplate an increase in mill capacity at the combined San Gonzalo and Avino Mines from 1,500 tonnes per day, which is where you are now, towards 2,500 tonnes per day at a cost of around $3 million. Is that still something that you're contemplating? And if you are contemplating, is the decision determined by the upcoming 43-101 statement, which will give you more conference as to how much ore you’ve got there or is it dependent on other factors?

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

The additional circuit we’re looking at is estimated to cost between 2 million and 3 million. That’s not including the cost for more underground mining equipment. So we're studying this right now. And as we develop the rest of the mine and open up enough levels to see the larger mill, we will then plan towards that in the future. So it's currently in planning phase.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah. But is it determined more by the 43-101 that’s coming up?

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

No.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

No, not determined?

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

No, it’s determined by a number of factors. It’s determined by having the mine fully developed, having enough haulage trucks to bring it out, to feed the larger circuit and timing it all, so when the mill is ready, we can feed it. So we’re looking at larger trucks for the underground and availability of getting the larger trucks. So it’s a lot that we’re – we don’t have a timeline on it just yet.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Right, okay. Which brings me to the next point which is that the new tailings dam that you are putting in place now at a cost of around 2.5 million, I'm assuming all of these costs that you talk about are in Canadian dollars because I'm not really sure. You didn’t measure at one point, but now it’s slightly different exchange rate, I guess, it matters a bit more. So are they Canadian dollars you talk about or US dollars?

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

No, it’s usually US dollars.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

US dollars, okay.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Most of our capital items and significant expenditures are in US.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Okay, fair enough. So it brings me to the point, you’re going to put in a new tailings dam, which should take out six months, take you to the end of the year, and then you’re contemplating at some point, basically, processing what is left in the old tailings dam.

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

How it works is that we have a PEA and then the recommendation we must drill off the entire tailings dam. And we want to test – metallurgically test the upper sulfides. There’s about 3.5 million tonnes of sulfide sitting on top of about 2 to 3 million tonnes of oxides. So in order for us to proceed and make a construction or production decision, we need to do more testing. So the PEA – it’s just a PEA. It’s not a pre-feas or a feas. So it recommends extensive drilling of the tailings and metallurgical test work to see if the upper sulfide leach. If so, that’s going to improve the economics and then we can – we’ll have a reserve and we can make a construction decision at that time. So to get a head start on all this, we pre-drilled over Sweden predrilled the exposed oxide bench because it wasn't damp, it wasn't dangerous to put a drill rig on it. So we've completed that. And that portion of the oxides is going to be included in the new resource estimate. So once we decommission the tailings dam, we’re going to drill some wells, so we can pump out the water that’s saturated through it and then it will be safer to put a drill rig up on the top.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Okay. So is there any timeline with respect to what you – when you think you’ve got to finish the drilling and get an idea of what you're –

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Well, as soon as we finish building the new tailings facility, then we’ll decommission. We’ll stop dropping new tailings on it and carry on immediately. So we’ll put in those water wells, dry it out. And as soon as it’s safe to put a rig on top, we’ll do that. So that will be next year. Then we’ll do metallurgical test work and Jasman can tell you what’s involved in that and how long that takes. Jasman, do you want to comment on that?

Jasman Yee

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah, basically, the drilling and the test work will take place next year once the tailings dam has been decommissioned – the old tailings dam has been decommissioned. According to the Tetra Tech schedule, when they did the PEA, they were looking at it from the time they start to the time the study is completed is around about eight months, the construction and everything. So that’s more or less the timeline that we’re sort of working with.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Right. So just to give me a rough idea, would that indicate that you’re drilling metallurgical work, it’s finished in 2017, eight months for construction, potentially you are going to be producing from there somewhere at the back end of 2018. Is that fair enough?

Jasman Yee

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

If all goes well.

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah.

Jasman Yee

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Okay. And is there any sort of relationship between that and the expansion – or potential expansion of production from Avino? In other words, does the two sort of some stage come together, you have to make a decision as to which one you opt for first or can they be run concurrently?

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

They can be run concurrently.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

But, of course, the mill is going to be the factor – is the mill going to be a factor as far as --?

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

We have three independent circuits, so we wouldn't be shutting down anything. So we could just build –

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

I know you’re not shutting down anything. But you can’t just keep – you can’t expand Avino and stop production at the tailings without –

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

The tailings is a separate operation. It’s right beside. It’s a heap leach operation. The mill is the flotation plant.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Okay, yeah. Okay. Yeah, yeah, of course, you’re on it. So there’s no overlap between increasing production at Avino and in heap leach operation at the tailings. You can do them the same and they’re not using the same equipment.

Jasman Yee

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Correct.

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Absolutely.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Okay, all right. And when you’re doing your drilling in metallurgical work next year, you’d be also assessing the cost – the final cost of doing – of trading the tailings because –

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Absolutely.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah. Your PEA said about 22 million, if I remember.

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

29 million on a standalone basis. We have 490 people there. So it won’t be a standalone operation.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

All right, okay.

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

All the infrastructure is there.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah. No, I understand that.

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

So 43-101 requires economic studies to be priced out on a standalone basis.

David Sheridan

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah, okay. Well, that’s the end of my questions.

David Wolfin

Analyst · World Over Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Mare Kas [ph], a private investor. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I’m sorry, operator. Can’t respond.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

We can hear you.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, good. Okay, sorry. I’m talking to you via Skype from Europe. That’s why I thought that – my telecommunications here wasn’t adequate.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

We hear you loud and clear. Please proceed.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Yes. My questions, the ATM of Cantor Fitzgerald, any indication as to when you might be using it or what point in the drop in your working capital because you have – based on the answers to some of other questions, that’s a question we think you have a fairly ambitious cash requirement over the next two years.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

As David – this is Malcom here. As David mentioned earlier, we’ve strategically used the ATM when it’s – it always works best for raising capital for some of the expansion, but we’ll continue to use it strategically. We may use it for some of our expansion plans or we may look at other financing opportunities with some of our current partners. But, no, we’ve managed it well and we’ve been very careful that we haven’t overused it.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. And also, just based on – pulling all the questions together from the analysts and from investors, I just see that there’s a lot of difficulty in understanding your financial statements because of the currency translations that you’d have to go through, which inadvertently seems to kick up some income tax liabilities. Maybe you can devote some time to peering it up, so we can easier time of understanding what you’re doing. You’re doing well, pardon me. You’re doing it well, except – so that we can understand it easier.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

It’s a really good comment and the finance team has looked a few alternatives and one of them is reporting in US dollars, which makes a lot of sense in many ways. But it also will depend on how we proceed with Bralorne. Not that that makes all the difference in the world, but most of the expenditures at Bralorne are in Canadian dollars. But it’s a good question and obviously we want to mitigate the impact of foreign exchange, certainly negative ones, on our financial statements. So it is certainly a priority for us. And this ATM will have some updates in the next quarter or two.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

All right. And just a very quick question. I know that you have in the past negotiated some good deals with Sandvik and Caterpillar. Are you noticing any tendency for price increases, which is basically what happened in the period from 2008 to 2013 where all the precious metal price increases were eaten up in the prior – I'm not referring to your particular case, but in general, in the mining industry, were pretty well eaten up by increased expenses on equipment raises and so on.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

It’s a good point. As I mentioned earlier, we’ve already acquired most of the capital equipment we need for our current operations. So we haven’t been buying a lot of new equipment. Obviously, we do keep a close eye on costs. But we do have a lot of sources that we can continue to utilize our current credit facilities at Caterpillar and Sandvik. We also may look at – there’s a lot of good used equipment on the market right now.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

So it really depends. But we certainly have low-cost access to it.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

And a quick question on the Samsung. Do they really – when they were doing due diligence on you and, obviously, they must have spent a lot of time with you, did you get the impression that they felt somewhat exposed or fragile that they couldn’t have a secure silver source?

Jasman Yee

Analyst · Rodman & Renshaw. Please go ahead

We didn’t sense that at all when we were negotiating with them.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

They had told us that Apple and Intel were promoting that they know where the source of their raw materials are coming from and that they weren’t coming from slave labor type operations. And they just wanted a secure source. They have ethical funds that own shares in their company and they don’t want them to be boycotting Samsung for any bad press or anything like that. So they just – they are trying something different and new and it seems to be working out well.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. So it’s sort of an ethical – from an ethics perspective rather than a supply shortage or securing a supply.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

It’s probably both.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. Eric Sprott is saying that – eventually, there’s going to be a silver shortage. [indiscernible] also. So I'm just questioning whether you’re actually – whether it’s actually – whether it’s actual or whether this is something that’s being only predicted at this point?

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Well, I think there's an imbalance of supply and demand. It’s being consumed. So at some point, yeah, there could be a squeeze that takes the value up higher. Nobody knows when that's going to happen because you’ve got the ETFs and the paper – the securities out there that kind of skew the figures and people's perception. So there's $1 billion worth of ETFs that change a day and there's only probably a billion ounces of silver produced annually.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you. That’s all for now.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Grant Marcat [ph], a private investor. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hello. How are you guys?

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Hi, Grant.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi. Perfect timing. This tails right on what you were seeing and about the current silver shortage, the imbalance of supply and demand. And as a shareholder, that's kind of the elephant in the room for me on investing in companies like yours. Really, the current mechanism that sets the price, anywhere from 4 to 12 players that set what 80% of the spot price. So I’m just kind of looking for comments, maybe more comments than you already touched on on things involving the gold to silver ratio that are way out of whack, just getting to the realization of the true supply and demand? And maybe you can touch a little bit on what happened in 2011. Why did the price jump up to $48? Why are we out where we’re at now? What's changed? We’re looking at something in 1980 that, as we all know, the Hunt brothers, two wealthy brothers bought too much of it and the raised the price to $50. So it’s a very interesting commodity and I’m just seeing if you can touch on some of –

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Yes. I think supply and demand is what helped – that drove it up in the mid-2000s. And then, in 2011, it was the COMEX that raised the margin requirements about five times in two weeks because the warehouses in Chicago couldn't keep up with the delivery and they wanted to stop the speculators from driving it up too fast. So that's what capped the ascent. But I think it’s just all a sign. I think that demand is growing. They’re using it in solar, they’re using it in electronics. All of that is growing. And they say it’s the poor man’s silver. So a lot of people are buying coins and putting them away. So I just don't see the demand slowing down anytime in the future. A lot of people are concerned about what’s going on in the world and they are loading up. There’s going to be like a squeeze, like it’s going higher. But I just can’t tell you within a year or two, but in the long-term it's going up.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Would you guess it would be more driven on industrial usage? Silver is something – now we really can’t live without it, with the way we use it now in our life. And we’re talking about a monetary metal that a lot of people forget. The financiers think so much about gold, but pre-1933 is when we have to go back to see gold as a currency. We can go all the way up to 1970 to see silver used as money. So, to me, silver is a much more monetary –

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Absolutely. And I think a lot of people agree with you. That’s why they buy the coins because if they had to use it for money, it’s a lot easier to sell them because they’re in smaller denominations than gold.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

So you think investment demand in the future could be just a stronger of a driver than industrial –

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Absolutely. The US mint can't even keep up with demand on printing – making the coins.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Or I hear. Well, some of the largest players setting the price are buying it.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

[indiscernible] anyone’s interested.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

But one last question, guys, if you don’t mind.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Sure.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I know one of the largest players in the industry has spoken recently of – suggesting a hold back of silver to help fight back against the silver fix.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Sure, sure.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Any comment on that?

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

We’d love to be able to do that, but we’re using all our cash to finish our expansions and grow operation. So at some point, we'd like to be able to do that. But we’re just not at that stage just yet. But it's a good idea.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

And one of those easier said than done things for [indiscernible].

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

First Majestic is holding back some of their production, but they're issuing equity. So which is better for the investor in the long run, I'm not sure.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I wish the best to you guys. I'm really liking your company. I’m liking the future of silver, as we spoke about. So keep going.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you very much.

Malcolm Davidson

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Thanks, Grant.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

You bet. Thanks, guys. Have a good day.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Yeah.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to David Wolfin for any closing remarks.

David Wolfin

Analyst · Euro Pacific Capital. Please go ahead

Well, I just want to thank you all very much for your time and interest in the company. Those questions were fantastic. Stay tuned. We have a lot of good news coming, more expansions coming. So keep an eye on us. And thanks again. Take care.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.