Earnings Labs

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS)

Q2 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, Aug 14, 2024

$71.55

-7.36%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the AST SpaceMobile Second Quarter 2024 Business Update Call. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your host today, Scott Wisniewski, Chief Strategy Officer of AST SpaceMobile. Please go ahead.

Scott Wisniewski

Management

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me refer you to Slide 2 of the presentation, which contains our Safe Harbor disclaimer. During today's call, we may make certain forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions and, as a result, are subject to risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause actual events to differ materially from the forward-looking statements on this call. For more information about these risks and uncertainties, please refer to the Risk Factors section of AST SpaceMobile's Annual Report on 10-K for the year that ended December 31, 2023, with the Securities and Exchange Commission and other documents filed by AST SpaceMobile with the SEC from time to time. Also, after our initial remarks, we will begin the Q&A section with questions submitted by our shareholders. Welcome, everyone. For those of you who may be new to our company and mission, there are over 5 billion mobile phones in use today around the world, but many of us still experience gaps in coverage as we live, work, and travel. There are also still billions of people without cellular broadband and who remain unconnected to global economy. The markets we are pursuing are massive, and the problem we are solving is important and touches nearly all of us. In this backdrop, AST SpaceMobile is building the first and only global cellular broadband network in space to operate directly with every day mobile phones supported by our extensive IP and patent portfolio. It is now my pleasure to pass it over to Chairman and CEO, Abel Avellan.

Abel Avellan

Management

Thank you, Scott. Good day, everyone. The hard work of the past few years is culminating in a period of tremendous activity and excitement for AST SpaceMobile. We have moved past a primary focus on improving our technology and funding our growth into the next phase of executing our vision and operationalizing our business. We are shifting from R&D to full scale production and commercialization of our Space-Based cellular broadband network. Our technology is proven, patented and validated. Our commercial ecosystem is in place and growing. We are funded to achieve our near-term goals and reach initial revenue. Our business is now accelerating. Just last week, our first five commercial satellites called BlueBird’s arrived in Cape Canaveral, Florida, after completing final assembly at our manufacturing facilities in Texas. These satellites are now undergoing final preparation for integration with Falcon 9 launch vehicle for a dedicated mission. We have seven-day contracted orbit and launch window in the first half of September. Our current expectation is that we will launch in the first half of September. So this is ultimately based on a variety of factors outside our control, including the weather conditions. As the target date is finalized, we will communicate this with the public. To put our first commercial satellite into orbit, release a culmination of significant progress to the date. I am incredibly proud of our team. We have spent over seven years and over $1 billion investment to get to this point, along the way generating over 3,400 patent and patent pending claims, completing the assembly, testing, and other logistics to ensure that our BlueBird were ready to transport to Florida and were ready to launch is a major milestone for our company and mission. These BlueBird's will each be the largest communications array ever to be deployed…

Scott Wisniewski

Management

Thank you, Abel. As we accelerate the commercialization of our network, I wanted to spend a few moments to go through the commercial and regulatory progress during the quarter, including some early wins to the first five commercial satellites. Earlier this month, we received an initial license for Space-Based operations in the U.S. from the FCC. This initial license authorizes AST SpaceMobile to operate using V, F and UHF frequencies to support our gateway, theater link, and telemetry tracking and control operations for the first five commercial BlueBird satellites. This license will serve as our primary license for operations in the U.S. over the life of the constellation. So it was a big deal for the company and our commercialization both in the U.S. and as a blueprint globally. Going forward, we continue to work with the FCC as well as our partners AT&T and Verizon to apply for upgrades and modifications to this license to facilitate full scale commercial operations on wireless frequencies and to expand the license to support our operations over time. This FCC authorization followed the March 2024 update of our constellation filings with the International Telecommunication Union and related filings with the FCC that placed our planned commercial satellites under the jurisdiction of the United States. This initiative represented a closer strategic alignment of our network build-out and future network operations with the United States and is a key piece of our overall regulatory strategy. In addition to the progress Abel reported with AT&T and Verizon, we continue to believe our patented technology, including our large phased array antenna technology in space, creates significant opportunities for new mission-critical capabilities in the government sector. We are moving forward with these dual use capabilities on our constellation and expect to generate revenue from both commercial and government…

Andy Johnson

Management

Thanks, Scott, and good afternoon, everyone. I joined AST this past May because I believe wholeheartedly in the company's mission to close the digital divide by connecting young connected and was convinced that this was a once in a lifetime opportunity after visiting the manufacturing facilities in Midland, Texas. There I saw firsthand the sophistication of the company's technology and most importantly, the incredible commitment of our team, led by Abel, and producing the world's first Space-Based cellular broadband service satellites. This is a seminal moment in the history of AST SpaceMobile, and I want to personally thank all of my teammates for their dedication to our mission and delivering our first five commercial BlueBird satellites for launch in just a few short weeks. I also want to thank Sean Wallace, our former CFO, who continues to consult for us for his leadership, service to the company and partnership in making my transition seamless. It's a fantastic time to be a part of the AST SpaceMobile ecosystem, which includes our shareholders, our talented employees across the globe, and our mobile network operator partners. We are at the forefront of our commercial constellation deployment and I deeply appreciate those of you who are on this life changing journey with us. Let's review the key operating metrics for the second quarter that are displayed on Slide 10. On the first chart, we see for the second quarter of 2024, we had non-GAAP adjusted cash operating expenses of $34.6 million versus $31.1 million in the first quarter. Non-GAAP adjusted operating expenses excludes certain non-cash operating costs, including depreciation and amortization and stock-based compensation. These expenses are up slightly from the first quarter due to final Block 1 expenses as we neared the finish line of producing five of the largest satellites ever to…

Scott Wisniewski

Management

Thank you, Andy. Before we go to the queue of analyst questions, we'd like to address a few of the questions submitted by our investors. Operator, could you please start us off with the first question.

Operator

Operator

Tanner asks, will you wait until the first BB Block 2 is launched and unfolded before working on additional BB?

Abel Avellan

Management

Thanks, Tanner for the question. No, the answer is no. We're already working on the next build of the subsequent satellites. We are actually in the process of building parts for the next 17 satellites. The main mechanical system is changes and upgrades, but it's basically the same as BlueWalker 3 and Block 1 and we will not wait for that deployment to continue building. So we're in the process of building we actually started a few months back our next satellites built. With the next satellite, we have a satellite that will be equipped with the FPGA and a satellite that will be equipped with the ASIC. And the first launch of four will be based on FPGAs, and the subsequent satellites will be Block 2 -- first four Block 2 and the subsequent after that will be all based on ASIC, which is a 10 fold improvement compared to the FPGA. And we're fully focused on -- in building our next batch of satellites and to get them on the air as soon as possible.

Operator

Operator

Matt asked, you mentioned that full U.S. coverage is the first priority. What regions will you look to fulfill next and in what timeframe?

Abel Avellan

Management

Hey Matt, thank you for the question. Yes, our -- obviously the U.S. market is the largest a more developed wireless market. In this market we have AT&T and Verizon and yet, we will be prioritizing deployment for the U.S. market. Then we will prioritize investors and M&Os that are paying prepaid revenue. That includes Vodafone markets, that include Rakuten in Japan and then new M&Os that are going to be prepaid for initialization of the service as a priority. We are launching on a 50 degree of inclination. So basically we can cover all the latitudes from 59 degrees north to 59 degrees south. So we have the benefit of being able to select the regions that we prioritize according to prepayment priorities set by new investors.

Operator

Operator

Cody asked, what concerns does the company have being that we are currently in a solar maximum. How susceptible are your satellites to solar storms?

Abel Avellan

Management

Thank you, Cody for the question. Well, first of all, before I answer the question, let me remind everybody about how we design these satellites. These satellites -- they're big, they are built out of identical modules that we call microns that make this satellite system very resilient and it's built out of a distributed system that no one single part can make the satellite to fail and that make it very resilient to the space weather, including solar storms and other conditions. We had all the data that we have collected over two years operating BlueWalker 3 and we really -- of course, we have needed a time to react to solar activities but never having a failure caused by it. So we are very confident on our satellites resilient is where need to be as it relates to weather conditions.

Operator

Operator

Tanner asked after the first BB Block 2, how many at a time will be launched?

Abel Avellan

Management

Okay. Well we have decided -- thank you, Tanner for the question. But we have decided the system to be launch agnostic. So we basically envelop our profile to able to support basically every large or medium launch service provider, launch systems. And depending on the size of the launch, I mean on Block 1 we're launching five satellites in a Falcon 9. And depending on the launch configuration and the launch vehicle, it will be anywhere between four per launch for the new larger Block 2s or eight per launch depending on the launch vehicles.

Scott Wisniewski

Management

And with that, I'd like to thank our shareholders for submitting these questions. Operator, let's open the call to analyst questions now.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. And our first question comes from the line of Griffin Boss with B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Griffin Boss

Analyst

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. So first for me, the 17 satellites under construction is certainly more than what we expected. How would you characterize your current production capacity? I know in the past, you've discussed expectations to reach something, I think equivalent to six satellite per month cadence. Have you reached that? Are you tracking better? Any more color would be helpful.

Abel Avellan

Management

Yes. I mean, when we say 17 satellites that referred to the subsystem that we are producing. They don't need to be all produced at the same time. So we actually time them. So we start with the long lead items. We start them first. The parts that take more time to get out of the factory, they are being produced for 17 units. And for that, we buy parts in advance. We start manufacturing them way in advance. And as we need it, so we keep ordering the different parts for the system. Yes, we're ramping up. We are accelerating our production cadence. Going through the five first commercials that we're launching now in September has helped us to expand our production capacity. Also going forward, we have work on vertically integrating around 95% of the subsystems. So we either control the IP, manufacture by ourselves, and control the manufacturing process for around 95% of the satellites that are on build going forward.

Griffin Boss

Analyst

Great. Thanks, Abel, for that color. Appreciate it. And in terms of the initial Block 2 satellite launch, are you still tracking for the late 4Q, early 2025, kind of launch window there? Are there any delays or issues you're seeing with the launch provider?

Abel Avellan

Management

No, we're still tracking for Q1 2025.

Griffin Boss

Analyst

Okay. Great, great. Glad to hear it. And then, so Scott, there was sort of an informal interview with you recently on a financial blog where you cited some ARPU assumptions for the U.S. I can't recall hearing the company formally mention potential ARPU in the past. So I would love it if there are any assumptions or expectations for ARPU you can share it today, especially now that you've got two definitive agreements under your belt?

Scott Wisniewski

Management

Hey Griffin, how you're doing? No, we've been making a lot of progress with commercial agreements, and alongside that, been advancing our go-to-market strategies, as you would expect. We don't have any pricing or go-to-market strategies to report at this time. And I think that article was misquoted. But we're very excited about the revenue share model that we've been pushing for a long time, and we're very excited about the adoption rates and the ability to command a good wallet on this service. So no pricing guidance at this time, but I would say that go-to-market planning has definitely accelerated.

Griffin Boss

Analyst

Okay. Got it. Understood. Thanks, Scott. And last for me, very quickly, I'll pass it off; I just want to confirm that this new contract liabilities line item we're seeing in the statement of cash flows is that reflecting the Verizon revenue commitment? Or is that something else?

Andy Johnson

Management

Yes, this is Andy, Griffin. I do think it's the revenue commitments against the prepayments and so forth, so none of that's revenue at this point yet until the services are initiated.

Griffin Boss

Analyst

Got it. Okay. Thanks, Andy, and welcome to the company, and thanks for taking my questions, everyone.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Benjamin Soff with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.

Benjamin Soff

Analyst

Yes. Hey guys, thanks for taking the question. Exciting quarter with a lot of interesting development. I was wondering, now that the satellites are on-site in Florida, can you walk us through the timeline and key milestones between launching in early September until you get to commercial service?

Abel Avellan

Management

Yes, we actually -- hi, Ben, how are you? So we actually indicate now, we were on final preparation for launch. The plan is to launch early September, first half of September. We anticipate few months to basically activate service on those first five satellites. We have two type of users already booked on them. One is a Gorman user, and then we have our MNOs. We are prioritizing U.S., Vodafone, and our investors and people that have an MNOs that are preparing or are going to prepare for services. So in terms of timeline is, we launch a few months to activate services, and then we are already preparing and have prepared all the ground infrastructure to start connecting to the spacecraft. So we will have some early usage immediately after for the Gorman, in parallel with the MNOs.

Benjamin Soff

Analyst

Okay. Great. And then just going back to the 17 Block 2 satellites, do you have any updated thoughts on the cost per satellite and the timing to launch those?

Abel Avellan

Management

Yes. We are maintaining our guidance on cost. Actually, we continue to look for ways to continue to improve our cost basis, as we are getting close to 95% vertical integration, but the guidance per satellite remain the same. And as I said, we're starting a launch campaign, starting in Q1 and then following-up with additional launches as the satellites are ready and the launches are available.

Benjamin Soff

Analyst

Okay. Great. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Schoell with UBS. Please proceed with your question.

Chris Schoell

Analyst · UBS. Please proceed with your question.

Great. Thank you. We've seen a number of regulatory milestones here in recent months. Can you help us think through your remaining approval process here in the U.S. and the likely timeline for that? And I think there was general optimism previously that other countries could follow suit with similar rulemaking to the U.S. Have you seen any evidence of that to-date?

Scott Wisniewski

Management

Hey Chris, it's Scott here. Yes, so clearly, we're happy with the progress this year on the regulatory front, as we mentioned in our remarks. And the FCC does truly play a leadership role globally with other countries. So in our initial markets, we're working with our close partners on moving all the regulatory processes forward. We've been relatively pleased with how that's progressed with no showstoppers, really. We really view it as a process that we go through diligently and that the FCCs demonstrated a lot of leadership this year with developing new rules for supplemental coverage from space and things like that. So for us, I think initial markets are trending positively in the U.S. Next milestones to look for, there'll be a lot of filings going forward. I think part of commercial service is just there's a lot of regular filings that come. So there'll be filings about gateways on the ground. There'll be filings about test campaigns on when we first start getting Block 1 going. And then the big one is SCS rights in the U.S. with the FCC. So that's something that will be -- they'll start seeing filings on that with us and with our two partners in the U.S.

Chris Schoell

Analyst · UBS. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. Great. And if I can just fit in one more, I think you mentioned no public equity offering this year, but as you look toward Block 2 and beyond, can you just help us think through the timing of additional funding requirements and how do you think about the trade-offs for different capital sources going forward? Thank you.

Andy Johnson

Management

Sure. This is Andy. Chris, thanks for the question. So as we noted, I think our priority right now is to continue our current operating model of working on prepayment relationships with our MNO partners. That's been a very effective way to raise required capital. And we have a number of MNO partners that we're making progress with in that respect. So non-dilutive approach is sort of how we're viewing our near-term opportunity. We also have, in that same vein, we have the opportunity to realize certain milestones in connection with the launch with respect to our existing MNO partners among Vodafone and AT&T and Verizon, which could be meaningful capital. And we'll continue to analyze what's available to us. We're very cognizant of different capital structures, debt, equity opportunities, but we wanted to reiterate the fact that we are focused on being good custodians and weighing the capital needs that are inherent to a satellite business that's as capital-intensive as we are with the fact that our shareholders expect us to be responsible as it relates to dilution. So I reiterated our point from last quarter that we have no current plans to do a public security equities offering. And that's our plan for the end of 2024. And that we think we have a lot of opportunity to continue to make progress on cash as we optimize some of our expenses and turn toward a real focus on Block 2 for the remaining four or five months of the year.

Chris Schoell

Analyst · UBS. Please proceed with your question.

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Quilty with Quilty Analytics. Please proceed with your question.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Quilty Analytics. Please proceed with your question.

Thank you. So, I noted that in the press release, you mentioned that there is an outlook for larger size government contract awards. And I mean, are we talking kind of like Phase 3 or some OTAs or a budget line item in terms of the types of programs that you might be able to participate in?

Scott Wisniewski

Management

Hey Chris, yes, Scott here. I think all of the above are on the table, Chris, over time, right? The contracts that we announced earlier in the year and then the awards we referenced on this call, these are all, like I said, early opportunities, small revenue, kind of the fewer Phase 1 type of stuff that you referred to. But as you know, the intent of programs like that is not to do a science project, but rather to build out a capability. And so that's what we're referring to in our remarks that initial tests are going well. Other initial contracts awards have been made through our prime contractor partners. And the outlook for those has improved.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Quilty Analytics. Please proceed with your question.

Got you. And mentioning your prime contractors, some of those are involved in the PLEO contract. Is it fair to assume that that could be a potential vehicle for funding or --?

Scott Wisniewski

Management

We don't want to comment on specific programs at this time, Chris.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Quilty Analytics. Please proceed with your question.

Also, just back to the ASIC, I mean, is it fair to assume that the ASIC production or delivery into production is sort of the gating factor for -- scaling up to the full Block 2 satellites?

Abel Avellan

Management

No, Chris. I mean, the size of the satellite, the 2,400 square feet, the largest size for Block 2 is independent, if they are equipped with FPGA or ASIC. We have completed the ASIC FPGA tape out. The first launches will be still on an FPGA configuration, but we can keep launching on FPGA for as long as is needed. So there is not a prerequisite for launches. But of course, we want to incorporate the ASIC as that is a 10x increase in capacity per satellite. And we're very happy to conclude the tape out. It's -- we received the first dive several weeks back, and we're incorporating into our micron design as we continue to build the next batch of satellites.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Quilty Analytics. Please proceed with your question.

Great. Thanks for all the details.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I'm showing no further questions. I would like to turn the call back over to management for closing remarks.

Scott Wisniewski

Management

Thank you, Operator. We're building a Space-Based cellular broadband network designed for the use of the phone in your pocket today, and other government applications. We want to thank all of our shareholders and the research analysts for joining the call and everyone's continued strong support of our mission, and we look forward to the upcoming launch. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.