Earnings Labs

Avista Corporation (AVA)

Q4 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 26, 2025

$41.04

-0.03%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Avista Corporation fourth quarter 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Stacey Wenz, Investor Relations Manager. Please go ahead.

Stacey Wenz

Management

Thank you, and good morning. I'm happy to have you with us this morning on Avista Corporation's fourth quarter 2024 earnings conference call. Our earnings and 2024 Form 10-K were released pre-market this morning. You can find both on our website. Joining me this morning are Avista Corporation President and CEO, Heather Rosentrater, and Senior Vice President, CFO, Treasurer, and Regulatory Affairs Officer, Kevin Christie. Today, we will make certain statements that are forward-looking. These involve assumptions, risks, and uncertainties which are subject to change. Various factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations we discussed in today's call. Please refer to our Form 10-Ks for 2024, which is available on our website, for a full discussion of these risk factors. I'll begin with a recap of the financial results presented in today's press release. Our consolidated earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024 were $0.84 per diluted share, compared to $1.08 for the fourth quarter of 2023. For the full year, consolidated earnings were $2.29 per diluted share compared to $2.24 last year. Now I'll turn the call over to Heather.

Heather Rosentrater

Management

Thank you, Stacey, and good morning, everyone. I want to start by saying how proud I am of the performance and what we accomplished in 2024. Even with the headwinds we experienced from higher costs, including purchase power costs in 2024, our utility earnings were near the midpoint of our original expectations and improved nearly 5% from 2023. Our regulatory strategy has been central to our focus and critical to our success. Our Washington general rate cases concluded in December with a constructive order from the Washington Commission that provided balanced positive outcomes for our customers and shareholders. The commission also increased our return on equity to 9.8%. Our shareholders will see the benefit of increased margin related to timely capital and improved operations and maintenance cost recovery. The commission also continued its support for important deferral mechanisms like our balancing accounts for wildfire and insurance costs. Unfortunately, the commission did not support our request to modify the mechanics of the energy recovery mechanism. We will continue to look for opportunities to modify the mechanism so that in time, it appropriately reflects the changes we are experiencing in regional energy markets. And we plan to build on the constructive outcomes in the coming year as we work through the regulatory process in our general rate cases in Oregon and in Idaho. We laid a strong foundation in 2024 in more ways than one. Beyond constructive regulatory outcomes, we invested a record $510 million at Avista Utilities to better serve our customers. We entered a memorandum of understanding for the North Plains Connector, and we're excited about the potential opportunity from that project. Completion of the North Plains project will connect our region to generation and markets we previously have not been able to access, which is an important step to…

Kevin Christie

Management

Thank you, Heather, and good morning, everyone. Turning to our earnings, our consolidated results demonstrate the strength of our utility operations. Avista Utilities delivered earnings near the midpoint of our original guidance range for the segment. In 2024, we recognized a pre-tax expense of $8 million under the energy recovery mechanism because of poor hydro and power supply costs. AEL&P's results were right on target, and we continue to be pleased with their performance. At our other businesses, we recognized a $0.09 loss per diluted share in 2024. This loss is the result of periodic market valuations within our portfolio of investments, losses from early-stage joint venture investments, and borrowing costs. We pursue these investments because they provide us with an opportunity to learn about innovations related to the utility of the future and the future of energy technology, and because they provide for the economic development of our service territories. There's a value that comes from these investments beyond any formal contribution to our earnings. Our regulatory strategy is critical to our success, and the constructive outcomes from our 2024 Washington general rate cases provide a crucial foundation for further execution in 2025. We filed general rate cases in Oregon in November and Idaho earlier this year. In both cases, we are primarily seeking to bring our capital invested in these service territories up to date, as well as set costs at an appropriate level for both jurisdictions. Power supply cost is also an important component of our case in Idaho. We requested to modify Idaho's sharing mechanism, the PCA, to a 95/5 split, as well as include power purchase agreements associated with certain renewable resources into authorized power supply costs. These resources serve our Idaho customers, and we believe it's appropriate that authorized levels of power supply cost…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. And our first question comes from Shar Pareza of Guggenheim Partners. Your line is open.

Shar Pareza

Analyst

Hey, guys. This is Alex Afrechar. Good morning.

Kevin Christie

Management

Good morning.

Shar Pareza

Analyst

Just on the guidance for 2025, just given some of the past challenges including the drag in the other business, can you just talk about where you see yourself within the range for the year and same with the 4% to 6% CAGR given the increased visibility around the five-year plan?

Kevin Christie

Management

Well, we're establishing guidance at a midpoint of $2.62. And we've taken other to zero for the reasons that I mentioned as well as embedded the energy recovery mechanism. So we think with that combined with the O&M levels that we've set and I've described here, that we've given ourselves a very good chance of meeting our guidance range and certainly being towards the midpoint. There will be a few variations that happen throughout the year, and we'd like to think we have a chance to beat the midpoint, but we'll see how that plays out. On the long-term growth rate side of 4% to 6%, again, 2025 is the base year. We haven't been able to say that for a while. And we think that with this base year and the way we've set it up and the regulatory support we received in Washington, we expect in our other jurisdictions and the potential growth beyond with the capital I've described, we think we've got a good opportunity to grow at that 4% to 6% and maybe more, but we'll describe that later if we have those opportunities to invest additional capital.

Shar Pareza

Analyst

Got it. Thanks. That's helpful. And just on the Idaho rate case, I know we're, you know, somewhat in the early innings, but can you just go into more detail on how the proceeding's going and just sort of any key dates that we should be looking out for? Thanks.

Kevin Christie

Management

Yeah. Great. Thanks for that question as well. We're very early in the process. We're establishing the procedural schedule. We think if we go all the way to a technical hearing, it would occur in the latter part of July. We have settlement opportunities leading up to that date or the date that will be established. In the past, we've had good success settling in that jurisdiction in particular. So we'll work towards the settlement. If we can't get there due to some of the headwinds that we've had, then we'll move towards a hearing.

Shar Pareza

Analyst

Got it. Thanks. I'll leave it there. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Hello. Next question comes from Anthony Crowdell of Mizuho. Your line is open.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst

Hey. Hey. Good morning. Nice job here. Just a couple of cleanup questions from the earlier one. When you talk about the growth rate 4% to 6%, you talked about you're targeting or you have a bias this year towards the midpoint and whether that's maybe the base $2.62. But do you expect to hit it each year of your forecast that you'll be within that 4% to 6% range, or there could be volatility above or below that range as we move forward?

Kevin Christie

Management

Good morning, Anthony, and thanks for the question. Yeah. Good question. We would, of course, generally plan to be in the midpoint of the range as we go forward or in the midpoint of the 4% to 6%. We do have multiple jurisdictions, and so those regulatory outcomes can be, and I'm using a technical term here, a little bit lumpy. But generally speaking, we'd expect to be in the range of 4% to 6% barring inflation, barring some kind of incremental investment opportunity on the capital side. So, you know, those things can move us outside, but again, generally in the 4% to 6% range.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst

Do you expect to rebase off of actual, say, you know, as we move a year from now, does that base move to the actual number of 2025 or what's the company's plan, I guess, as you update it moving forward? Or are you thinking we're just going to keep this and maybe every several years, we'll re-strike the ground?

Kevin Christie

Management

We'd like to be able to rebase every year, and it will depend on our ability to move forward with the rate cases as well as make these other investments. We have another investment opportunity that would cause us to rebase a bit. If we're, for example, moving forward with the next Washington case, depending upon what that case looks like, that might create the ability to rebase. And so it'll be those factors that we'll have to watch. So I can't give you a clear answer at the moment, but we'll be able to update you as we go from quarter to quarter.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst

Great. And I think you said in 2025, you're not including any contribution from your non-utility businesses. Can I make the assumption that you're not going to include any of those contributions also as we move forward? I think this year, maybe you said it's zero? But if in 2026 or 2027, if you had, you know, positive contribution from those non-utility businesses, that you're also going to exclude them from the 4% to 6%?

Kevin Christie

Management

Yeah. I think on a go-forward basis, given what we know. We went back and looked at the data over the last ten or fifteen years, and we have these periodic gains at other. And more often than not, the results are near zero or negative. And when we look at the average, it's closer to zero. So it feels like that's the right place to be right now. We're not seeing exits in those types of investments. And without exits, it's hard to see a valuation increase. If that were to start to happen in the future, then we'll reassess. But right now, I think our run rate and the expectation around other would be near zero.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst

Great. And just my last one, and I apologize. I may have missed some of your comments, but you talked about, I think, in the base year in 2025, you are including some of, like, that firm or the power prices, I guess, a negative for you and you're including that in it, in the base year. Is that accurate? And could you quantify that?

Kevin Christie

Management

Yeah. Again, that's a shift from past practice for us. And we're doing that because of the outcome in the Washington rate case. That case was very, very constructive with the one exception, that being the energy recovery mechanism. And what we're telling you now, again, different than the past, is we are including $0.12 of negative impact of the energy recovery mechanism. And there really isn't a situation that we can see right now that would pull us significantly up from there, and that's why we're including it.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst

Great. Thanks so much for taking my questions.

Kevin Christie

Management

You bet. Thank you, Anthony.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn it back to Stacey Wenz for closing remarks.

Stacey Wenz

Management

Thank you all for joining us today and for your interest in Avista Corporation. Have a great day. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.