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American Vanguard Corporation (AVD)

Q4 2012 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 28, 2013

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the American Vanguard Corporation Fourth Quarter 2012 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Bill Kuser, Director of Investor Relations. Thank you. Mr. Kuser, you may now begin.

William A. Kuser

Analyst

Well, thank you very much, Rob, and welcome, everyone, to American Vanguard's fourth quarter and full year earnings review. Our speakers today will be Mr. Eric Wintemute, the Chairman and CEO of American Vanguard; and Mr. David Johnson, the company's Chief Financial Officer. Before beginning, let's take a moment for the usual cautionary reminder. In today’s call, the company may discuss forward-looking information. Such information and statements are based on estimates and assumptions by the company’s management and are subject to various risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from management’s current expectations. Such factors can include weather conditions, changes in regulatory policy, competitive pressures and various other risks that are detailed in the company’s SEC reports and filings. All forward-looking statements represent the company’s best judgment as of the date of this call, and such information will not necessarily be updated by the company. With that said, we turn the call over to Eric.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Thank you, Bill. Good morning, everyone, and welcome. Thank you for joining us as we report on a very successful performance during the fourth quarter and full year of 2012. David and I welcome this opportunity to tell you more about current trends in our business and the prospects that we see on our horizon. I'm going to let David give you the operating and financial details. I will preface this section with a brief summary of highlights then finish our talk with some comments about how we see 2013 developing, and some strategic initiatives in international expansion and natural pesticide development that are very exciting. As you saw in our press release, American Vanguard's quarterly and full year performance has been excellent. Revenues are up 28% in the fourth quarter and 22% for the year. Strong demand for our most profitable products has allowed our full year gross profit margin to expand from 41% of sales in 2011 to 44% in 2012. This gross margin improvement contributed significantly to our 77% increase in net income for the fourth quarter and our 67% increase for the full year. We are successfully capitalizing on the growing demand for our Granular Soil Insecticides in the U.S. corn market and are operating on a 24/7 production schedule to meet the industry's requirements. We also have enjoyed strong demand during our 2012 for many other products, including our soil fumigants and potatoes, our Bidrin foliar insecticide and Folex harvest defoliant and cotton, and our non-crop products, from mosquito control, turf fungicides and commercial pest management. We also experienced 10% growth in our international business. And later in this call, I will comment on the future plans, in an important segment of our business. We have continued to manage our expanding business with financial discipline and ended the calendar year with a strong balance sheet, a healthy cash position and no outstanding bank revolver debt. During the year, shareholder equity rose 20% to $225 million and in December, we are pleased to pay a special dividend to our shareholders. With that overview, I will turn the call over to David, who will cover the financial and operating details. I'll then return for those additional comments about the factors that we see shaping a bright future in 2013 and beyond. David?

David T. Johnson

Analyst

Thank you, Eric. As Eric has already mentioned, and as you will have read in our earnings announcement, our 2012 sales increased by 22% to $366 million, as compared to $301 million in 2011. Within this number, our crop sales were up 21% at $330 million and our non-crop sales were also up 26% to $36 million. In our 10-K filing, scheduled for tomorrow, you will see a detailed description of sales by product groups. Let me give you a brief summary. Insecticide sales rose $57 million or 41% to over $194 million. This group includes both our Granular Soil Insecticides and our foliar insecticide. As Eric mentioned, the strong demand for our soil insecticides in corn was a driving force in this product category. Our herbicides, fungicides and fumigant group posted $90 million in sales, flat as compared to 2011, primarily due to limitations on the availability on our impact herbicide from a European supplier. Our other product sales were up 4% to $46 million, with record Folex sales offset somewhat by modest decline in pharmaceutical sales. Our non-crop sales increased to $36 million, mainly as a result of strong demand for our mosquito products, increased sales for both our turf fungicides and our commercial pest control products. Finally, as Eric mentioned, our international sales increased by 10% to nearly $70 million for the year, driven by gains in South and Central America and Europe. In the 10-K statement, we have given a lot of information about price increases that we have secured in the marketplace during 2012, overall amounting to about an average 5%. Offsetting this, we have incurred raw material price increases of an average of approximately 2% across all product lines. As a result of these dynamics, as Eric mentioned, our gross margin for the full…

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Thank you, David. I must tell you I've never been more enthusiastic about American Vanguard's future than I am today. The opportunities that we have to grow our business over the next 2 years are extraordinary. And we are making the critical, operational and organizational investments necessary to take full advantage of those opportunities. For many years we have advocated the use of broad-spectrum soil insecticides to enhance the yield achieved by corn growers, whether they're using traditional hybrid seed on refuge acres or genetically modified trait seed. For a number of reasons, this advice is now particularly relevant. The economic profitability of corn -- of growing corn relative to soybeans and other raw crops has prompted growers in the Midwest to plant corn year-after-year on the same acres in lieu of the traditional rotation of crops. This corn-on-corn practice has provided soil insects with an unchanging environment in which to proliferate. The resulting expansion of insect populations has created an intensification of test pressure that can overwhelm single defensive measures, whether genetic or chemical. Additionally, recent genetic defenses have been focused on defeating the primary midwest soil insect, the corn rootworm. However, there are other secondary soil insect such as cutworms, wireworms and nematodes that are relatively less affected by seed trait technology. And on some acres, these pests can do as much serious root damage as the rootworm. So to provide a truly comprehensive root defense, 2 sets of tools are necessary. Finally, as we all know, when growers use a single defensive technique, whether genetic or chemical, for an extended period of time, Mother Nature tends to work around an obstacle, by adapting tolerance to the defense in question. We've seen this time and time again with the continued use of certain chemicals, and now are beginning…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from the line of Richard Paget of Imperial Capital.

Richard S. Paget - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

I know you said you were able to get about 5% pricing. But with corn still up considerably year-over-year and acres going up, do you think there is more room for getting price increases going into this growing season?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

We have taken price increases going into the season.

Richard S. Paget - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Of similar magnitude? Or is it...

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Yes, similar to what we put in place in Q4 last year.

Richard S. Paget - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And then how are -- how's demand for SmartBox volumes trending?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

We'll probably end up about -- up about 75%, that's my guess at this point from where we were last year.

Richard S. Paget - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay, and you guys have the capacity to handle that?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

We do.

Richard S. Paget - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. Now I know you guys don't give specific guidance, but are there any non-operating items you can help us with, whether it's tax rate or CapEx that you can help us get a handle on for 2013?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

So David, CapEx, we're expecting flat or down?

David T. Johnson

Analyst

Flat, I think.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Flat. As far as tax rate?

David T. Johnson

Analyst

Tax rate, I mean we work consistently on that. I have targets and we're working to try and improve on that one.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

And I think we're excited our international business should roll in.

David T. Johnson

Analyst

Improvement in 2013. It will be fully in 2013.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Right. But I don't think we saw any impact of that really.

David T. Johnson

Analyst

Very marginally in the last months of the year.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Right. So that's something that, again, has been my dream for at least for the last 10 years. And so I'm excited...

David T. Johnson

Analyst

We've been making steady improvement year-on-year for the last few years.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

That's correct.

David T. Johnson

Analyst

Continue with that.

Richard S. Paget - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

And then maybe one more for David. When's the 10-K coming out? And it looks like you've adjusted some of the prior periods.

David T. Johnson

Analyst

Yes, we had one small item, relatively small item, which we missed in Q3 and identified as a transaction where we had a sell and a buy and we should have had them netted in, in cost of sales. So we've adjusted them for 2012 and look back to 2011 and did the same adjustment. So it's actually $3 million. It doesn't affect gross margin. And simply, there is a note in the 10-K, which will be out tomorrow.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

I just reflects that this is a toller where we supplied material to them and...

David T. Johnson

Analyst

And then they slide everything back. Initially, we didn't realize that we're supplying everything back to us. So under revenue recognition test, I determined that we should have netted the long cost of sales.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Brett Wong with Piper Jaffray.

Brett Wong - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

With CapEx being flat to this year, can you maybe provide some color around expansion in insecticide?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

I'm not sure I quite understand, around expansion in insecticide?

Brett Wong - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

Your plans for insecticide expansion this year.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Are you talking about capacity?

Brett Wong - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

Capacity, yes.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Okay. So at the Axis facility, which is, again, primarily -- and we've got capacity without any real investment ability for Counter and Thimet at Hannibal. But at Axis, where we're synthesizing materials for our Aztec and our Smartchoice. We had completed a plant in June of last year for Tribufos, that's our Folex. And in order to handle the increased capacities, increased demand for Aztec, we have adapted that facility so that they can also make the intermediate for Aztec. So we'll have the ability to make that in 2 different units. And with that, we believe we can handle kind of significant increases with Aztec.

Brett Wong - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

What capacity increase does that provide you?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Well, with that, we can more than double our current volume.

Brett Wong - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

Okay.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

In addition, for this upcoming year, we are going to be shifting manufacturing of Mocap. We're under supply agreement with there and we'll be shifting that to another supplier in Mexico. And we'll have some investment there, probably in the vicinity of $7 million over the course of this year. And that will afford us to have kind of closer supply-ons. And I think you remember that our supply of Mocap has been less than desirable. So we're pretty excited about having those opportunities for growth in 2014 and beyond.

Brett Wong - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

That's great. Just on a volume perspective for insecticides, what are you targeting volume-wise for 2013?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Yes, we don't give those kind of forecast out in advance, to the frustration of Jay Harris, who'll probably ask a question here in a moment and others. But we don't give forecast going forward by product line or by grouping.

Brett Wong - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

Okay, and then just on the SmartBlock approval. Can you maybe walk us through kind of the pass-through commercialization in the U.S.? And then provide a little more color around window registrations for Europe maybe Canada would be coming in?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Sure. In the U.S., we received approval, I think earlier this month. And as you'd know, this is the season that starts in September, October, after harvest. We will be -- we've targeted a number of applications for this year. We have selected 3 regional distributors which will handle the potato market in the U.S. and the 2 different markets. And then Canada, once that comes through. We expect Canada momentarily because this was applied for duly in conjunction. And so PMRA should be coming through shortly. So this is kind of the initial year for positioning the product. We'll have the results of the first commercial uses or coming up to the next year. So our main product launch would be for next year and should include Canada at that point. Europe, our best guess is we're probably -- I think we saw that our package was complete, got that information back from Europe, but we're probably looking at about 18 months. We do have a new Regulatory Manager, Andrew Dykstre. And in Europe in our Holland office and he's very familiar and that'll be a priority for him getting this through.

Brett Wong - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And just, I don't know if you can help with this, but maybe provide a little insight in how your expectations of the ramp for SmartBlock. So we submit [ph] in the U.S. here this year?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Well, one of the things where we would like to see and have had discussions are this -- this is kind of exempt from tolerance that as such, the application of this product would definitely decrease the footprint of potatoes. And so we're targeting some of the major consumers. If they adapt the concept they could demand and shift over, and that would be a rapid increase use of the product. So 's part of the strategy, is to get the major players in that market on board with this. So that's a little bit of a variable, that would ramp it up much faster. So that's the approach.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is coming from the line of Daniel Rizzo, Sidoti & Company. Daniel D. Rizzo - Sidoti & Company, LLC: One follow-up question. You indicated that operating expenses were up just to support your sales efforts. Is this what we can kind of expect going forward in terms of percent of sales? Just over next year or so?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Our goal certainly is to drop operating expenses as a percent and I think that we got a target of moving down to 25%. These rapid expansions we want to make sure that we do not miss the opportunities to grow a market when they're in front of us. So I wouldn't say necessarily 100% as efficient as possible. But yes, I think that kind of views that as kind of a worst-case scenario. I think maybe that might be the way to look at it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Christopher Kapsch of Topeka Capital Markets.

Christopher Kapsch - Topeka Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

I wanted to try to further dimensionalize your opportunity in corn, herbicides and the Ipact product, more specifically. I think you mentioned that Roundup was at 40 million corn acres. And so I'm just wondering, you mentioned 3 million acres at your product [indiscernible]. Is that to suggest that the resistance issue is sort of currently less than an issue and less than 10% of the overall corn acres where glyphosate is relevant?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

No, I think that what we were saying is that without the agreement, we were touching 3 million acres and with the agreement, we'll see a much greater opportunity for our specific product to reach in to greater volumes.

Christopher Kapsch - Topeka Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Do you know what percentage of those 40 million acres that where resistance is an issue?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Well, yes, I think Monsanto is positioned and others that are applying glyphosate have maybe shied away from the concept of just treating acres that have resistance shown to -- this needs to be a method in order to prolong and preserve the value of the trait and the value of glyphosate on a long-term basis. So I think it's a practice that Monsanto is promoting that should be used, not just for the resistance.

Christopher Kapsch - Topeka Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

I got you. So not effectively the entire 40 million acres could be in play in terms of pursuing like best sort of yield management practices, right? So it [indiscernible] like a resistance issue from becoming more acute, right?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

That's correct.

Christopher Kapsch - Topeka Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

And the 3 million acres that your product touched, that was, I assume, was based on constraints in your -- the availability of active ingredients. Or the order of magnitude the expansion of that capacity from your supplier? Do they double, triple the availability?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

So the restrain in 2012, that's correct, that was the first year that we had our agreement in place. So yes, in that magnitude of 3x.

Christopher Kapsch - Topeka Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

3x. Okay. And so 3x would be your capacity in terms of the market that you could address in 2013? 3x...

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Right, that's correct.

Christopher Kapsch - Topeka Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Okay, and then a follow-up on -- more on the corn insecticide and as it relates to this growing season. I'm just wondering like your perception with what the driver of adoption is. Is it more that there is in fact this proliferation of the corn rootworm resistance or is it just more grower awareness and adopting sort of preventive practices sort of like you suggest about on the Roundup herbicide discussion. And then just -- and then also anecdotally, sort of hearing like because of the drought conditions carrying over from last year that there's some suggestion that corn rootworm pressure could be a little more acute this year and is there any indication that, that in fact is the case in your sort of order patterns or...

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

So we're -- we have laid out a supply plan with our customers based upon our ability to produce. And we have 4 different product lines and some in bag and some in SmartBox and some in Lock 'n Load. And we tried to accommodate the demand that our customers say there and I think, initially, we certainly felt that we were meeting everybody's expectations. And I would say this goes back into third quarter of last year of what they expected for the upcoming year. But of course, as time has gone along, we've seen that demand continued as well and we're in a position where -- for most of the product lines, we think that all the material produced will be consumed and will be producing products through April and depending on late plantings that may occur up in Minnesota, the upper northern areas, we may see some ability to continue on with that. The reason that people are utilizing the sites I think are the combinations of the 3 things that we've mentioned. And we have long stated that every year, since 2007, we're doing dozens of studies at all the major universities in the corn area to show that the use of trait technology with our insecticides does give a return on investment that's worthwhile and this return on investment is there are corns at $4 an acre or at $8 and acre. So that's the message that we delivered continuously year-after-year and in 2010, we saw, an increase in use. And in 2011, we saw a very significant increase in use. It wasn't until later that summer that the discussion of potential resistance with the traits materialized. So our feeling is the wisdom of using, as we called, the "Best of Both Worlds" already was seen at that time. Now definitely, the continued ramp that we see, there's got to be some influence certainly from some of the university discussions about the traits. But our feeling is that traits will have continued to improve. They will make inroads through dual actions. But our position is that long-term, with corn soil insecticides, we can deliver that which seed treatment is restrained because of the sheer volume that they can put on that seed. So our thinking, whether it's the refuge acre or refuge in the bag, the concept there, we just think it makes smart decision for our corn former to look at this practice of dual usage as part of their long-range plans.

Christopher Kapsch - Topeka Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And then just a follow-up, is there anecdotal suggestion that this year, the test pressure could be particularly acute in wake of last year's drought?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

We certainly heard that. And I think it will be in certain areas, where we've seen the greatest SmartBlocks activity this year is Iowa. That is, by far, taken the majority of our Smart new systems. And so that may be an area where it got hit by drought and maybe they do you have more concern there going forward.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Jay Harris from Goldsmith & Harris. Jay Richard Harris - Goldsmith & Harris Incorporated, Research Division: Could you share with us the importance of corn products to your growth last year of this, what was it, 65 million in revenue gains? How much of that was products sold into the corn crop?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Okay. David, you want to pull that up quickly and -- do you have another question while we pull that... Jay Richard Harris - Goldsmith & Harris Incorporated, Research Division: Well, I also would like to know what the percentage increase in that number was fourth quarter of '11 to fourth quarter of '12?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Q4 '11 versus Q4 '12? Jay Richard Harris - Goldsmith & Harris Incorporated, Research Division: '12.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

No, I was going to ask you to pull it together.

David T. Johnson

Analyst

No I just want to make sure that you are pulling out the right one.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Okay. So you're looking for year-over-year totals and you're talking about the corn soil insecticide as opposed to corn. Jay Richard Harris - Goldsmith & Harris Incorporated, Research Division: And impact. The company impact.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Okay. Combination of impact and then --

David T. Johnson

Analyst

[indiscernible]

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

No, no. He's just looking at corn.

David T. Johnson

Analyst

[indiscernible] Smartchoice, Force.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

[indiscernible] just like half again.

David T. Johnson

Analyst

Right.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Okay. That's Q4-to-Q4 and then year-on-year. Jay Richard Harris - Goldsmith & Harris Incorporated, Research Division: Yes, then I'd like to hear you talk a little about the non-corn growth prospects of the company, looking out over the next 3 years. We used to talk about a organic growth rate of this company of 5% to acquisitions of new labels adding -- getting the total growth into the low teens. You've been generating very high growth rates organically the last couple of years. What do you see as sort of an outline of your prospects in non-corn categories over next couple of 3 years?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

So one, on the SmartBlock, we see a nice opportunity for growth there in the new chemistries, certain amount of corn. We're excited about the new product lines that we've launched under advance. And that has -- so those products are exempt from an EPA registration. They do require registrations in other countries. And we do have registration in Germany and I think it's France, and should have U.K. very shortly and looking to expand over there. The whole concept of taking -- and outside of these products, yes, they work -- they're extremely rapid and is comparable to the synthetic chemistries that we've tested as well. And you got product that, again, are natural occurring products. In the South American market, again we see the opportunity for essential South America for Mocap which, as you know, we've been supply-constrained. We believe, starting in the 2014 season that we'll have the ability to grow that by about 50%. And now that we'll know that the product is available, we'll have to kind of get back into those markets that maybe we were not able to supply. Our Soil Fumigant business continues to build maybe at that 5% level, which is nice. We have new technology in [indiscernible] or [indiscernible], which is essentially a solid [ph] version of metam that we're kind of a excited about. And again with Thimet we continue to see growth with Thimet. I think we were up about 30% this year as we look through to improve or to take advantage of the absence of aldicarb in that market. Now, we are looking at 2013 with lower cotton acres and potentially lower peanut acres. We're -- due to the high demand for corn but we point out that even though we've missed out on cotton, our impact in any of our soil insecticides delivers more than twice the margin per -- net margin per acre that we get in corn and that we get in cotton and peanuts. So that's kind of that pace and now have the numbers I think and the percentages. So full year, we're looking at an increase of looks like about 47% or $30 million in Q4, we're looking at 20% increase of $6 million.

David T. Johnson

Analyst

And just to understand that, the shipments of products for the 2013 corn crop in the fourth quarter were up 47% from the similar number.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

No, that was year-over-year. For the fourth quarter, just 20% at $6 million. So we have strong sales forecasted in Q1 and certainly some, depending on the season in Q2, depending on how long we can move the material from the factory and get it into the ground before planting. Jay Richard Harris - Goldsmith & Harris Incorporated, Research Division: What do you sense is the growth of the company will -- at what point does -- well, how much can corn drive the growth of the company over the next 3 years? And will you get a significant non-corn growth attribute as well?

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Well, I think right now, certainly the easy forecast for '13, '14, '15, you can see corn as a continuing growing driver but we're taking -- we've got a number of other great opportunities that we'll be pursuing that should add to that growth and continue in the years that follow.

Operator

Operator

Thanks, gentlemen, we've reached the end of our allotted time for question-and-answer today. I will turn the floor back to management for closing comments.

Eric G. Wintemute

Analyst

Okay. Rob, thank you very much for that and for all of you on the phone. I appreciate the great questions and opportunity to speak with you. We look forward to talking with you again in the near future, and thank you so much for your support, and have a great day. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for your participation.