Dan Behrendt
Analyst · CL King. Your line is open
Thank you, Rick. So revenues for the third quarter were very strong and above our internal expectations at $50.4 million in the quarter. We expect fourth quarter revenues to come in line with these results due to the strength of third quarter taken projected annually year-over-year growth to approximately 17%. We also expect to see an increase in bookings in the fourth quarter from the third quarter with very strong momentum we’re continuing to see in the market. So revenue recognition asset can be lumpy for several reasons of which we believe investors should be aware. The first is the delay of revenue recognition due to customer request to delay shipping the product in order for their team to have time to get the appropriate policies, training, and roll outs in place. We have had several large customers dictate staggering shipments of the camera for this purpose which can delay the revenue recognition in total. The second is the delay due to the implementation and integration services. Some customer purchase integration services with RMS, Record Management Solution or CAD system through our professional services team. Delays can happen for many reasons during these process and we believe that we waiting for the customer to accept the work is the appropriate time to start revenue recognition. Finally, there is a concept of contingent hardware for highly discounted camera purchases where the customer gets initial camera for free or at highly discounted price. The cases where the hardware is highly discounted we still allocated post of the total contract initial camera purchase based on the sales value the camera versus the other products service in store purchased. We spread that allocated revenue over the life of the camera which causes little revenue be recognize its selling but more camera revenue be recognize each subsequent month versus traditional sales where the camera revenues recognize at once at the time of selling. Although life of the contract, the revenue recognize is identical to similar size deal where the customer pays full price for the initial camera, the only difference is the timing when revenue takes place for the initial camera. So gross margins for the third quarter came in at 61.7% which is compared to 64.7% the prior year and 65.8% in the second quarter. The decrease was driven by a mix shift to the lower margin video signal hardware, an increase in contingent hardware deals and an increase in discounting through programs such as the standard issue grant program. As mentioned above, in contingent hardware deals, revenue of the camera dock is recognized over the life of the contract, which might be as long as five years, while the cost of the camera is recognized upfront. As a result, we may see some continued fluctuations in gross margins as the product mix changes, a proportion of the contingent revenue deals recognize [various]. However, having a more significant portion of our sales to be the Axon camera is a positive leading indicator of an increasing install base seats on Evidence.com which will lead to a growing software portion of the business creating predictable, high margin, recurring revenue stream for TASER in the long run. We anticipate gross margins on a consolidated basis to range from 60% to 64% in the near term. As Luke, mentioned earlier, we want to share with you the key metrics we are using as a Management team and our Board are also reviewing constantly with us. These include, lifetime value of the customer compared to the customer acquisition cost ratio, which keeps us focused on the return on our sales and marketing investments in the business. In the third quarter of 2015, our lifetime value for customer to acquisition cost ratio was 4.7. So as a reminder, conventional wisdom indicates that anything greater than three means that investments are well placed. While we're investing in additional sales and marketing cost, we're also introducing incremental revenue producing products to increase the lifetime value of each individual customer. In the third quarter, we saw a new seats book at an average of $3,500 per seat. As Axon Fleet [indiscernible] and other products gained traction and along with unlimited HD plans ramp up, we expect the average booking per seat to continue to trend higher over time. We're also very keyed into our active paid user base. These are the seats that are past the integration of customer housing points, and are included in our revenue recognition figure. In the third quarter, our active paid user base increased to approximately 33,000 seats. While we're still happy with the increase here, as I discussed earlier, some of the items that delay revenue recognition also delayed the timing of when seats go out of system. Total booked seats for the third quarter by comparison was approximately 9,300 and on a cumulative basis we've booked over 45,000 seats. That means that we have about 12,000 seats under contract which will eventually be in our monthly service and stores revenue, but are not currently in that statistic at the end of September. Our average revenue per user ARPU was 27.59 in the third quarter, which is sequentially down. It's important for investors to recognize there is some noise in this figure due to catch ups of revenues based on milestones for customers that incurred during the quarter. The second quarter had a larger catch up in the historic run rate which normalizes itself in this quarter. We believe that the trend from approximately $26 per month earlier this year to $27.59 in the third quarter is still favorable. And we expect this trend to continue upwards over time as we're signing more and more customers into our higher tiers of service. In the third quarter, approximately 70% of customer signed up for either the ultimate, unlimited, or officer safety plan license tiers which is priced at $55 per officer, per month and above. Clearly, all the metrics just discussed are solely focused on the Axon segment. We want to make sure that we're placing our investments in all areas of the high quantum return as we continue to believe they're paying off. Regards to the weapons business, we remain focused on profitable growth. And as a result, income from operations and weapon specific earnings per share are the target metrics for the segment. To get to weapons segment EPS, we're simply taking the operating income for the weapon segment, plus or minus interest and other expenses, lessen allocated provision for income taxes based on our consolidated year-to-date tax rate. Based on this calculation, we had weapons earnings per share of $0.14 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2015, and $0.44 per diluted share year-to-date. This compares to $0.19 and $0.42 of diluted EPS for the same periods in the prior year. As we grow the international portion of the business, there'll be some near term drag on the metrics, but we believe the long term ROI is evident given large potential addressable market in our top tier countries alone. There are other ancillary metrics we're including in our statistics, that's what our website for investor reference such as seats booked, future billings, future contracted revenue, average book contracts earned, [indiscernible] attachment rate. However, we believe that the above metrics are the ones that are most critical drivers in business over time and we're consistently sharing these with investors with commentary on each call. We're ultimately looking to create a long term value for both our customers and our shareholders and want to be consistent in sharing our progress with investors. Sales, general, administrative expenses for the third quarter were $17.8 million, an increase of $5.4 million compared to the prior year. We've recognized this is up 4.7% higher than the amounts we referenced in last quarters call. But as we messaged over the past year, this market is moving fast. At third quarter, this momentum peaked at all time high going in the IACP. We knew that incremental investments are necessary to continue to capitalize in this opportunity and capture market share. We spent incremental dollars on Axon [indiscernible], we also hired another 19 sales and marketing employees in the quarter as we're shrinking our sales regions to be able to be in front of the ever expanding ground with interested customers. We want to be in front of every deal that is in the marketplace. IACP made it clear that the competition in national space is multiplying quickly. We have a very large first floor advantage, we need to capitalize on it now in order to avoid market fragmentation. Given the sales leadership is not adjusting in the target bookings or sales on a per rep basis as we increase the number of reps and reduce the size of each territory. We're confident that each rep that we add, well that should be accretive to both sales and earnings. As we look at Q4, we're further increasing our spending guidance to an incremental $2.1 million and SG&A compared to the third quarter. We're exhibiting at the MILIPOL conference in Paris, which is the international equivalent of IACP to continue our momentum stemming from our latest product announcements in the international market. We also anticipate higher consulting spend to fill some long term gaps in our organization and search for the best hires. Research and development expenses in the third quarter were $6.4 million, an increase to $2.8 million compared to the prior year. Due to the additional test tools and materials related Axon Body 2, and associated consulting, we anticipate that our research and development –several hundred thousand dollars higher in the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to the third quarter amount. We believe that it was imperative to have a fully function models of Body 2 at IACP show, going into last weekend, which proved to be a phenomenal decision as we learned that many of our competitors did not make the same choice, and as a result had to talk in generalities about their technology, giving our customers the opportunity to interact and observe live demonstrations of these new products. It's just one of the many examples of how our team executed to ensure our presence in IACP was tremendous. Income tax for the quarter was $5.2 million, which is -- obviously abnormally high for the Company. The effective tax rate for 2015, increased to 47.7% due to changes in expectations for the profitability of the new TASER International BV subsidiary located in Netherlands. Because of the manufacturing delays, startup cost and increased expenses to grow the international business undertaken in 2015, the Company no longer expects the TASER International BV to be profitable in 2015, as a result the Company's effective tax rate has increased to 47.7% for 2015. The Company does expect the effective tax rate to come down to more traditional 36% to 40% range in 2016, and see additional effective tax rate coming down as the international business increases and the international income resulting from that also increases. Operating cash flow in the third quarter of 2015, was $19.3 million, an increase of $2.7 million compared to the third quarter of 2014. The increase was primarily driven by the increase in deferred revenue balances of $7.5 million, and decrease of inventory of $5.2 million during the quarter. Finally, as we look into 2016, we want to make it crystal clear to the market that we're going to continue to invest to win the market. Every customer that we get on our platform strategy is significantly more valuable over their lifetime than the cost to acquire them. In addition, we expect the return of our customer base to be relatively low, making it very important to win the majority of new deals, or risk losing a customer to competitor for five or more years. We're now going to move into the question-and-answer portion of the call, but I would like to remind investors, we've added supplementary results package on our investor website, www.investor.taser.com, to review the drivers of the third quarter results and provide a dashboard of our statistical metrics. We're going to take two questions in each person in the queue in the first round of questions, and ensure everyone has a chance. Should you have additional questions, please get back into the queue. And with that, we'll turn it back over to the moderator to start the Q&A session.