Mark Bristow
Analyst · HSBC. Please go ahead, sir
Thanks, Philippe, and good afternoon and morning, ladies and gentlemen. As I’m sure you have all seen, and if you haven’t it is available on our website, our presentation we made to the analysts in London at midday. And I’m not intending to repeat the full presentation now, but try and take you through some highlights and then give you a chance to ask questions. As I say, the web cast is available on our website. So, moving then -- and I assume you’ve all got a copy of the presentation. Our highlights, a very good first half-year considering the challenges that we’ve had to get through in Loulo. The team there did an excellent job in keeping production on track and settling the operation. Loulo, for all intents and purposes, is now substantially complete. And I’ll touch on some of the outstanding issues, but none that will affect the throughput in the short term, a good performance from Morila as well. Exploration had its -- probably its busiest quarter. And looking generally at our operations, we were able to get Ivory Coast. All in all, I think that one would expect in a higher gold price scenario in the first half comparing it to the second half of last year, which is a good reference, our revenue up, profits up, gold production up, and by those sort of numbers that one would expect in a stronger gold market. And that really is the fundamental base on which we set out to build this Company and that is profitability. If we move to the next slide, highlights for Loulo. As I’ve said, satisfactory quarter. As we commissioned the crusher we had a couple of difficulties in the June month and those rolled on to the July month, as we settled the operation down and dealt with the transitional. The delay in the commissioning of the hard rock crusher took us into the start of the rainy season. So, we had an additional operating environment that we had to deal with. Having said that, and as I’ve said earlier, the team did extremely well in getting through that. It’s not an easy thing to commission. We originally were going to commission with a good stockpile of oxide high-grade ore to back us up early in the year, and certainly not in the rainy season. We -- as you’ll see in the next slide, we still kept throughput on average for the quarter above design, which I think is a particularly good achievement. We were able to finish off on the tailings and water storage facilities, which was important, ahead of the rains. And I’m happy to say that we today also announced the appointment of Shaft Sinkers out of South Africa as the subcontractor to support us in our development of the underground mines, both at Yalea and again at Loulo 0. Deep drilling at Loulo 0 also certainly adds to the potential of the underground resources. And I’ll come back to that in a moment. Just quickly, the operational results for Loulo, they pretty much speak for themselves. Grade slightly down, largely because of lack of choice. The high-grade ore wasn’t all capable of being processed. Towards the end of the quarter we did stockpile a considerable amount of it. We had to very -- try very hard to just stick to the hard rock to get the crushers commissioned. So, we were thus restricted on access of grade, although the grade was there. Recovery is well maintained considering the stop/start nature of the last three months with the commissioning. Ounces down because of the lower throughput than last quarter, but certainly still above design to 10,000 tons a month average. The operating costs, well contained. This is after, I must point out, accounting adjustments for the stockpiling of some of the high grade ore or the full grade ore out of Loulo, because we just weren’t capable of processing it this quarter, but generally a satisfactory quarter. Next slide really touches on the Phase 2 expansion, pointing out, and you can see the pictures in the slide if you have the slides, the substantial steelwork that had to be completed. The outstanding work to be done is the completion of the final A-frame around the discharge on the stockpile. This really allows the stockpile to assume a bread loaf shape. At the moment we’ll be building a cone shaped stockpile. But we in our design improved on the Morila design, which allows the stockpile to be built up laterally and gives it more of a large capacity. So, not impacting on throughput immediately, but certainly gives us that security of supply. And then we’re busy with the CIL expansion, an extra four tanks. Again, not critical for the current process, but something that will help us improve and maintain the recoveries, and particularly when we get into the higher grade sections of the ore body later. Apart from that, it’s just a clean up dealing with the tidying up around and final buttoning and but lift, the trouble-shooting and making sure everything fits and works properly. And, of course, the big focus now shifts to -- shifted to trading. I’ve spent quite a bit of time on the mine. I’m very, very happy to see how the mine management’s operating team has settled down. We have, over the last two weeks, divided the operating team from the capital team, which will focus on the underground project now, and really let the operating team focus on getting that operation settled down. On to the underground mine; all ready to start. We have the people moving in to site as we speak, with the settling of the shaft sinking. Contract now Kinnerstratum [ph] is on site. We’re busy with the clearing for the box cuts, the first box cuts. And that should happen this quarter with the intention to start sinking in the final quarter of this year. We have now been able to schedule Yalea. And if you have the presentation, here you’ll see the very detailed scheduling that has taken place. We are very excited about the potential of this underground mine. It certainly contributes significantly to a natural growth in gold production for Loulo going all the way out to 2012. The next slide takes you to Loulo 0, which is now the focus of our attention with the objective of signing off on this development program -- the underground development program, as we have done with Yalea, and then looking at ways to shorten the life and increase the productivity. Right now we’ve got a scheduled life that takes us out to 2024. We are using -- assuming 100,000 tons out of Yalea underground and 50,000 tons out of Loulo underground that add to the amount. We’ve certainly put in capacity to hoist more than that in Yalea and we intend now to try and reoptimize the Loulo 0 underground project. The drilling to date, you’ll see, the deeper drilling has come up with some very encouraging results, particularly deeper down below some of the lower grade zones that we had in the shallow regions of the ore body. And it’s also interesting that we’re seeing a [indiscernible] change in part of the ore body as we go at depth, raising the question of what it’s going to look like as we continue. We’ve seen a shift in the structure away from the tourmaline zone and a lot more sulfide and a commensurate increase in grade. So, we have hit some very significant intersections across the whole body, ranging above 10 grams a ton. So, we’re pretty excited about that. Just to finish off, and I don’t touch on it anywhere else, you know we had that high grade intersection in the south at 22-odd grams south of the pit in Loulo 0. We have drilled a number of holes going south. We certainly confirmed the presence of the mineralized structure but not been able to duplicate any high grade intersections. We’ve drilled the holes quite deep. We’ve still got to settle a bit on the shallower portion, but certainly it does reinforce that that target is certainly a target that we need to continue to look at depth as we drill out Loulo. That’s really Loulo as far as the project goes. As I’ve said, the challenge now is to get the mine settled to deliver on our 250,000 ounces forecast. And that’s a tough call. But with a bit of planning I think we -- that’s still reachable. And then really get the optimization settled. I think we can get to 220,000 tons a month just on good efficiencies. The team seems to believe and has set itself a target over the next couple of years to lift the throughput to 250,000 tons a month with what we’ve got. We have an option to go to 300,000 tons a month with some extra crushing capacity. And the big question is the ore bodies and their ability to deliver enough to feed a plant like that. And that’s all the focus -- where the focus is going to be on our new business and capital projects team, while the mine operating team focuses on delivering on the budget. Morila, moving to Morila, a solid operational performance, the same as last quarter, slightly better cost management. I think a very aggressive drilling period but so far no ore body. A lot of technical success and we’ve just suspended the drilling program for a while the geologists catch up with all the data that they’ve collected over the last couple of months. I think the very encouraging thing out of Morila is to see the metallurgical team and how they’ve managed to really improve the recoveries despite the drop in grade. That’s over the page on results. And also, their cost control management has been impressive. We’ve got a long way to do the same in the mining department and that’s our next big focus, along with our partners AngloGold and Ashanti. So, good set of results, nice and consistent, slightly better grades, slightly lower throughput, largely because of a big [indiscernible] line. Recovery is encouragingly well maintained, considering that we did come off on the grade from last year. Cash operating costs, total cash costs are in good shape. And I think the point I would highlight here is that going forward we are stockpiling ore at Morila. We’ve got a large provision against stockpiles on the balance sheet. The intention is that we want to -- unless we find any more reserves that we can mine from open cast, we want to complete the mining by late 2008/early 2009. And so we are building stockpile and it’s critical that the mine manages that stockpile and we do have those grades and tonnages that we are putting on the stockpile available to us when we start processing those stockpiles in 2009. Another project that we talked about last quarter and we’ve made good progress on is the Tongon project in the Cote d’Ivoire. We’re now back in the country and during the past quarter I visited our Tongon project with a high level delegation, which had the blessing of the President. And we were accompanied by the now Minister of State and the Head of the New Forces, along with representatives from the Ministry of Defense -- the Government Ministry of Defense, Ministry of Mines and the Governor of the North to the site. It was very encouraging for us to see the commitment on both sides towards the mining industry and particularly to our project. And we had a day of speeches and visitation. And the thing that impressed me most was that at no stage did any of either party exploit the event politically and it was very much a focus on this project. Really we’ve always said that we don’t want to develop mines in -- where we have to have our own private armies. And I’m again happy to say that so far we haven’t had to do that and the boys are still working at Tongon trying to -- desperately to complete this 10-hole tactical drilling program, although the rains have started there. Whatever happens, we should finish that before the year end. And at this stage with -- providing that the political process continues as it is, we see ourselves starting up the detailed feasibility drilling in January; we are out to tender for that program. It’s a big program, 35,000 meters of drilling. The next slide is just a summary explaining what we’re doing with this program. And really what we are doing is that we only drilled to 150 meters in Tongon South and a lot shallower at Tongon North. And we -- these 10 holes are designed on two of these -- on both projects to take us down to some depth, so that we have a coat hanger on which to design the detailed drilling program, and to date no surprises. Moving now to -- leaving the projects and the mines, to our exploration review. Really our focus here, and I think it’s evident, and we’ve put in a couple of slides to demonstrate that our job is we are hunting down those projects that fit our criteria. We are committed to turning over ground that isn’t prospective and we have been able to do that quite successfully. And we’ve really -- probably had the busiest quarter, certainly the busiest six months that we’ve had in the history of our Company. We’ve acquired -- and I’ll just -- if you just go through the slides, we’ve -- on a global basis we’ve acquired 10 new permits across our portfolio. We’ve dropped seven and we’ve got six new ones under application, and that keeps the flow of projects. We’ve, over the last six months, been drilling at six projects in four countries, and we now have 168 defined targets on 65 permits covering 20,000 square kilometers out of the six countries. The West African field season is now in recess and -- because of the rains. But we are about to start with the -- our work in Tanzania as it dries up. And so the next three months will be spent evaluating all the data and preparing for the next round of exploration programs in the respective countries. If I try and step you through the key projects, Loulo remains our most prospective in our portfolio and the focus has really been, and will remain, on the immediate satellites around the Loulo 0 Yalea deposits. And then, of course, as we discussed last time, we’ve been focusing some of the bigger, more significant targets that we have, Baboto South being one of them, which is in the north of the lease area. We now have finished the surface work. We’ve trenched the structure over 1.3 kilometers that averages 24 meters in width and its grade is between 1 and 2 grams, averaging about 1.5. We’re now going to investigate the depth extent of the structure and having seen how Loulo and Yalea have thrown up numbers, we’re pretty excited about what that can produce. Down in the south, continuing with Faraba and P64. You’ll see that we have managed to get a couple of holes into both those projects. We’re still -- we have right at the end finished some RC drilling at Faraba. And we haven’t quite been able to complete the infill drilling in the gap area between Faraba North and South. That will have to happen in the next season. It’s because of just availability of rigs and we moved the diamond rig into Loulo, particularly to chase that southern extension for a while. And some of the RC rigs arrived late, both in Loulo and in Senegal, so it delayed some of our program. P64, however, did produce some good numbers. And P64 is quite a complex structure. We’re slowly unraveling that. We’ve drilled the first two holes. We’ve got a couple more to do to test the fold nature of this ore body and we’ve got to do it step by step. On Faraba, as I say, it’s just a matter of drilling. We’ve done a lot of trenching. I think we’ve identified the targets and related the different stratigraphic positions across the gap. The gap is really an alluvial value that separates two continuously mineralized structures and we need to go under that and try and find it and see if it continues. By all accounts, it does look as though it does continue, but we’re waiting for that opportunity to drill it through. Further to the south at Boulandissou and Sinsinko, again some encouraging results out of two reconnaissance holes. And particularly in Sinsinko we had holes below a very interesting structure with not a lot of grade, but came back with some very significant intersections. So, again, I think reinforcing the mineralization, the opportunity in the region and we’re not short of targets. In fact, the Board has approved an additional budget to be spent on the Loulo exploration program, it’s about $1.8 million, to allow us to continue both with the development drilling, or the extension drilling at Loulo 0, and pursuing some of these targets I’ve just talked about now. If I then move on to the Morila region, really Morila we’ve completed the program we set out to do for this half of the year. We’re now going to wait and target that to the results of the brainstorming session out of Morila, which is it got a very aggressive and much deeper drilling program. And then we will reassess it and go back and see what the next step is that we’re going to effect on this package. The challenge here is really looking for that hidden ore body. And it’s not an easy task but we are -- we believe that, given the cash that Morila’s thrown off, the fact that it’s such a big project and, more importantly, that we are seeing a low grade halo extend far away from the main ore body that we think it’s definitely worth a continuation of this program in some form or another. And that’s what we’re really debating in our minds, exactly what form will the next phase take. Senegal, more of the same. We are two down on the seven that we set ourselves to drill out -- as targets to drill out this year. We have four already defined and three more to come. Mansa we’ve now rejected. We did a couple of follow-up drillings, couldn’t confirm the mineralization at depth and we have now rejected that target. Delya is a new target, a very interesting target, high grade. We’ve now defined the trenching over a kilometer -- just over a kilometer, in fact. And it looks interesting. It averages about 10 meters, 10 grams, thereabouts, eight to 10 meters, eight to 10 grams. And we’ve done a couple of holes now, two results back. One average and the other one confirming that high grade over a reasonable -- so -- but that’s early days and we’ve got quite a bit still to do as far as drilling goes. Then the next two drill targets that are already on the second phase drilling of Sofia and Bambaraya. And that will happen as soon as we get back in the field. And then we will be progressing some of the other targets to a drill target phase as we go. We’ve also got a big RAB drilling program planned to choose some of these targets that go undercover of the [indiscernible]. Again, that drill rig arrived late and that’s been postponed until after the rains. Burkina Faso, we completed everything we set out to do. We’ve now finished the first phase exploration on all the permits. That’s the soil geochem surveys, along with ground mapping and geophysical interpretations. And we’ve started the drilling program, started with the RAB program and the Kiaka permit, which has extended the original Kiaka target by a couple of hundred meters. And we’ve just finished an RC drilling program where we drilled under those trenches. They are trenches running at about 100 meters with just over 1 gram of mineralization consistently. So, above target and again early days, but at least we’ve got the drill rigs exploring beneath the surface target. Ivory Coast, our fieldwork hasn’t only been confined to the Tongon project. We have two new projects going to start, Appouasso, which is on the southern extension of the Sefwi Belt in Ghana. And on the -- that’s the same belt as the Newmont Ahafo project, which we’ve started. And we’ve got another one, Dignago on -- in the west -- south west of the project. And both those permits we are currently busy with, or have just completed, soil surveys across them. And again, we hope that we’ll be able to develop targets from that work for the next field season. Ghana, again, it’s the earliest phase of our resource triangle. Our focus is to produce not only by new targets for the base of our resource triangle. Again, we’re just about complete on the first phase exploration coverage of this ground. And, in fact, in the JV with Central Goldfields we’re a little bit more advanced than that. We’ve already generated some follow-up targets. And then finally, Tanzania, the -- our two main focuses in Tanzania are the area between the old -- two old colonial mines. Kiabakari Buhemba is a focus of ours, and particularly the Kiabakari project. We’ve recently acquired it. It’s an old colonial mine that produced some high grade gold from a deep structure on the edge of a granite. We’ve subsequently done some stratigraphic style drilling well into the foot wall and we’ve certainly intersected gold mineralization in other structures sub parallel to the main structure that was mined. And we have -- we’re really excited about this target. It’s certainly opened up the target as far as a bigger prospect. And we’re now moving a full camp on to this site and we’ll be developing some surface ground treating first and then get back into a second phase of drilling as soon as we can. The second area that we’re focused on is the extensions of the two main regional structures east of the North Mara mine, where both structures host economic deposits being mined by the North Mara mine. And we have a joint venture with Barrick on some of the ground to the east and we have our own permits as well. And we are pursuing both the structures that we’ve identified on surface, as well as targets developed from geophysical investigations. Again, that’s going to probably be pushed back a little while because I believe that we should be focusing on Kiabakari. And we've got a couple of other interesting prospects that we're pursuing in Tanzania and not least of which is a new bit of ground in this shaft, which is the newly identified Singida Dodoma greenstone belt, and we've got four permits there under a joint venture with Barrick as well. Then finally just finishing off with the numbers and, as normal, a few slides just to create some debate. Numbers I guess are most encouraging and nice to be able to present these numbers, as they certainly tell a pretty compelling story. Again, as I started out on this talk, revenue up, profit up from mining, profit from operations up and so on. And we were able to keep quarter on quarter fairly steady. And I think the other thing is we see the impact of us having more than one operation. On the bottom line we're still in line with our heads-up to the market on costs. We're still intact as far as our 400,000 ounces production goes for the year. And that's largely because we've -- although we've slipped a bit on Loulo, we've been able to catch up on Marila. So we're well set to get to the end of the year in line with our target. In fact, with a little bit of luck, we should be able to beat our 400,000 ounces, heads-up. I think the other thing is -- a very important thing is the profitability of our business. Last year at this time we had a cash of US$56 million. We've raised US$10 million and since then we still have US$151m, despite the capital spending of project finance repayments at Loulo. That's because of the strong cash flow generated by our operations and so that's encouraging to see the business performing as a business. Finally then, ladies and gentlemen, a couple of slides. The first one is, as I've often said before and as our record shows, we at Randgold Resources are really committed to being a return-driven business and to the creation of value. And we have an interesting way of measuring value and its returns. It shows the market capitalization against earnings per share, per share price of the respective peer group companies, or ones that we identify as peers, and compares us with them. And what is clear is that Randgold Resources still sets itself apart from its peers as having more upside value when considering its profitability versus market cap. And that's something we as a team continue to strive to communicate to the market and reinforce that gap and promote it. The next slide, again what our record also shows is we've grown up and, again, we see that now in being able to manage a difficult situation. It's not the first, and I'm sure it won't be the last, difficult situation we face as a management team. But we are a fully integrated business, which allows us to be able to deal with these issues. We've been able to invest not only in our future but people who can properly manage these challenges. And we believe we're capable of sustaining profit generation at the upper end of our peer group and certainly now we can plan for the next 10 years and beyond. And, as the previous slide indicates, that is really not yet, we believe, fully reflected in our market rating. And this is borne out again by analysts’ indicated target share price, which is shown on this graph, even though our share price has enjoyed a steady improvement over a considerable period now. And finally, something that is -- I put into the slide presentation not only to inform the market but also to remind my management team that costs is something that we all need to focus on. It's something that often gets lost when the gold price is high and we've always consistently said we want to be profitable and that means we have to protect our margins. And the industry at large, and certainly companies like us who are located in remote places, are under cost pressure and it requires constant attention from management. And we can assure you that that's right in the front of our minds everyday when we wake up. Ladies and gentlemen, that's pretty much the story. Again, we'd be delighted to take any questions, if you have any, so we'll pass you back to Dylan.