Robert J. Hombach
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thanks, Bob, and good morning, everyone. As Bob mentioned, earnings per diluted share in the first quarter, excluding special items, increased 4% to $1.05 per diluted share, which is at the higher end of our guidance range of $1.03 to $1.05 per diluted share. As we mentioned in the press release, GAAP results include after-tax special items of $29 million or $0.05 per diluted share. The special items in the quarter were primarily associated with deal-related costs for the planned acquisition of Gambro AB. Now let me briefly walk you through the P&L by line item for the quarter before turning to our financial outlook for full year 2013. Starting with sales, worldwide sales of more than $3.4 billion in the first quarter increased 2% on both the reported and constant currency basis. Growth was driven primarily by acceleration in emerging markets, particularly BRIC countries, and solid performance in several key franchises within BioScience, which offset softness in the U.S. Medical Products business. In terms of individual business performance, global BioScience sales of $1.5 billion advanced 5% on both the reported and constant currency basis in the first quarter. Within the product categories, hemophilia sales of $765 million increased 3% on both the reported and constant currency basis. U.S. sales growth was strong as sales advanced 7% driven by double-digit growth of ADVATE and FEIBA. This more than offset the impact of European austerity measures and international tenders. We continue to be pleased with the benefits associated with our differentiated label of ADVATE as we continue to drive conversion from plasma-derived therapies and competitive offerings and enhanced penetration of prophylactic treatment. In BioTherapeutics, sales of $509 million increased 2% on both the reported and constant currency basis. As expected, sales growth of GAMMAGARD LIQUID and albumin was in low single-digits, driven primarily by improved pricing as we remain capacity-constrained, while sales of Alpha-1 treatments continued to -- continued strong growth. In the first quarter, sales in BioSurgery of $172 million increased 12%. After adjusting for foreign currency, sales rose 11% driven by growth of TISSEEL and the benefit from the Synovis acquisition of approximately $10 million. Finally, vaccine revenues totaled $84 million in the quarter and increased 25%. Excluding foreign currency, sales increased 28%, driven primarily by strong demand from the FSME vaccine and the incremental milestone payments totaling approximately $10 million related to our ongoing collaborations on the development of influenza vaccines. In Medical Products, global sales in the first quarter exceeded $1.9 billion and were comparable to the prior year. Excluding foreign currency, sales declined 1%. Within the product categories, renal sales totaled $590 million and were flat to the prior year while on a constant currency basis, sales were up 1%. Sales in this category were impacted by austerity measures implemented in China, the timing of tenders and lower HD sales, which offset the contribution from patient gains in the U.S. and emerging markets. Sales in the fluid systems category of $740 million increased 3% and on a constant currency basis, sales increased 2%. Performance continues to be driven by solid demand for IV solutions and price improvements for certain injectable drugs like cyclophosphamide, which collectively offset lower sales of infusion pumps and access sets as planned. Specialty Pharmaceuticals, which includes our inhaled anesthetics and nutritional therapies, posted sales of $363 million, reflecting a decline of 1% on a reported basis and a 2% decline on a constant currency basis. Double-digit growth of anesthetics across international markets were driven by increased penetration in new markets, which was more than offset by lower sales in the U.S. attributed to softness in surgical procedures and fluctuations in the purchasing patterns of U.S. wholesalers. Finally, sales in BioPharma Solutions, which is our pharma partnering business, totaled $225 million, representing a 10% decline on a reported basis and 11% decline on a constant currency basis. This was due to temporary constraints, which resulted in delayed shipments to customers which have been resolved, and shipments have resumed. Turning to the rest of the P&L, gross margin in the quarter of 51.0% reflects margin expansion of 20 basis points versus the prior year margin of 50.8%. This was a result of underlying operational expansion driven primarily by the benefit of positive mix, which offset a number of headwinds including incremental pension expense, the medical device tax, government austerity measures and approximately $20 million of accelerated costs. SG&A totaled $778 million and increased to 5%, driven by the impact of incremental pension expense, investments we are making in promotional and marketing initiatives and within international markets to enhance our global presence. In total, these items more than offset the benefit from tight management of discretionary spending and operational efficiencies derived from our process reengineering efforts. R&D spending in the quarter increased 4% and totaled $246 million reflecting the progress we are making in advancing a number of programs in our pipeline, including those in our leading hemophilia franchise, Alzheimer's and other key programs. The operating margin in the quarter was 21.3%. Interest expense was $25 million compared to $18 million last year. This increase is due to incremental expense associated with the debt issuance last year and lower interest income. Other income totaled $30 million in the quarter and is primarily attributable to the favorable foreign exchange impact on balance sheet positions and a gain of $10 million associated with the sale of intangible assets. The tax rate was 21.3% for the quarter, in line with expectations, and includes a modest benefit from the 2012 R&D tax credit. And as previously mentioned, adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.05 increased 4%. Turning to cash flow. Cash flow from operations in the first quarter totaled $386 million and capital expenditures totaled $292 million, both in line with our expectations. DSO ended the quarter at 53.6 days reflecting a 4-day improvement versus the same period last year due to a significant reduction in DSOs in certain international markets. Inventory turns of 2.2 turns are modestly lower than the first quarter last year. As you know, we continue to increase inventory level to support growing demand, particularly for plasma proteins, as we remain on track to benefit from enhanced capacity in the second half of the year. Lastly, in the quarter, we repurchased approximately 8 million shares for $534 million or, on a net basis, 4 million shares for $351 million, in line with our full year objective. Finally, let me conclude my comments this morning by providing our financial outlook for the full year 2013. As you saw in the press release, we confirmed guidance and continue to expect earnings of $4.60 to $4.70 per diluted share. This includes the impact of the Gambro acquisition, which is projected to close at the end of the second quarter, with estimated dilution of $0.10 to $0.15 per diluted share. This dilution is primarily related to non-cash amortization of intangible assets which will be finalized upon closing. By line item of the P&L and starting with sales, we expect sales growth excluding the impact of foreign currency of approximately 10%, and this includes a half-year sales contribution from Gambro of approximately $830 million. Excluding Gambro, we continue to expect sales growth on a constant currency basis of approximately 4%, and at current foreign exchange rates, we expect a modest negative impact on sales for the year. For the full year, given current foreign exchange rates, we now expect gross margin for the company to be approximately 50.5% for the full year. While year-over-year, we expect margin expansion of approximately 100 basis points in the base Baxter business, this will be more than offset by intangible asset amortization related to Gambro; incremental pension expense; government austerity measures, including medical device tax; and a negative impact from foreign currency. In terms of expense, we expect SG&A to increase approximately 10% and R&D to grow in mid single-digits, with both line items reflecting leverage in the Baxter business at Baxter expense base along with the addition of Gambro. We continue to expect interest expense to total approximately $170 million which reflects the impact of the debt issuance associated with the Gambro acquisition. In addition, we now expect other income to total approximately $10 million for the full year. We expect a tax rate of approximately 22% and we expect the full year average share count of approximately 550 million shares which assumes approximately $300 million to $400 million in net share repurchases. From a cash flow perspective, our plan remains to generate cash flow from operations of approximately $3.3 billion with capital expenditures totaling approximately $1.7 billion which includes Gambro and the investments we are making to enhance our plasma manufacturing footprint in Covington, Georgia. Let me move to sales and expand our assumptions for the 2 businesses and the major product categories. Beginning with Medical Products, on a constant currency basis including the half-year contribution related to Gambro, we expect sales growth in the low teens. Excluding Gambro, we expect sales for Medical Products to grow 3% to 4%. Specifically, we expect Baxter renal sales to grow in low single-digits, which will be augmented by a half-year sales contribution from Gambro totaling approximately $830 million. We continue to expect fluid systems sales, which includes IV solutions infusion pumps and access sets, to grow in mid single-digits. We expect Specialty Pharmaceutical sales, which includes our nutritional therapies and inhaled anesthetics, to grow in low single-digits. And we expect the BioPharma Solutions business to have comparable sales to 2012 of approximately $1 billion. For BioScience, we continue to project sales growth, excluding foreign currency, in the 4% to 5% range. Our outlook includes low to mid single-digit growth in our hemophilia franchise, which includes recombinant and plasma-derived factor VIII and factor IX therapies and FEIBA, an inhibitor treatment. We expect mid to high single-digit growth in BioTherapeutics driven primarily by strong demand for immunoglobulin therapies, including GAMMAGARD LIQUID and subcu therapies, as well as growth in albumin and our treatments for Alpha-1 deficiency. In BioSurgery, we expect high single-digit growth. And finally, we expect our vaccine franchise to grow in mid single-digits. As mentioned in our press release for the second quarter, we expect earnings per diluted share of $1.12 to $1.14 and sales growth, excluding the impact of foreign currency, of approximately 4%. At current foreign exchange rates, foreign currency may have a modest negative impact on sales growth in the quarter. Thanks, and now let me open up the call for Q&A.