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Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY)

Q1 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, Apr 28, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q1 2022 Overstock.com Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your host of today's call, Mr. Lavesh Hemnani, Head of Investor Relations. Please begin.

Lavesh Hemnani

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning, and welcome to Overstock's First Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. I'm Lavesh Hemnani. Joining me on the call today are Jonathan Johnson, CEO; and Adrianne Lee, CFO. Additionally, Dave Nielsen, President of Overstock, will be available for Q&A. Please note that we are conducting today's call remotely. Next slide, please. Let me remind you that the following discussion and our responses to your questions reflect management's views as of today, April 28, 2022, and may include forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from such statements. Additional information about factors that could potentially impact our financial results is included in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, and in our subsequent filings with the SEC. A slide presentation accompanying today's webcast has been posted to our Investor Relations website and is available to download. Please review the important forward-looking statements disclosure on Slide 2 of today's presentation. During this call, we'll discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. The slides accompanying this webcast and our filings with the SEC contain additional disclosures regarding these non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures. Finally, instructions to ask questions during our Q&A session are also available in the slide presentation. With that, let me turn the call to our first speaker for today, Jonathan Johnson. Thank you.

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Thank you, Lavesh, and Good morning, everyone. During today's call, we will follow the agenda on Slide 3. Next slide. This morning, Overstock reported first quarter 2022 results. We were profitable for the eighth consecutive quarter with adjusted EBITDA margin at 4% of revenue, the low end of our stated targets. Revenue in the quarter declined 19% compared to the first quarter last year. For home-only revenue, the decline was 16% compared to last year. Later, Adrianne will share more on how our non-home exit efforts are impacting active customer counts and revenue. Our 2-year revenue growth rate was up 58% Q1 2022 compared to Q1 '20. The operational improvements we have made during the pandemic have made a difference and are sticking. We anticipated the first quarter would be challenging, considering the significant acceleration in sales last year, driven by pandemic-related factors. What we didn't anticipate when we last spoke with you, was the level of impact that macroeconomic factors would have on the business, such as consumer sentiment and spending resulting from a steep rise in inflation, coupled with various impacts of the war in Ukraine. Even though our sales performance was not what I anticipated, I am pleased that based on third-party data, we held our market share in line with fourth quarter levels, and we continued our 2-year track record of profitability. We are focused on delivering annual revenue growth outpacing the market while generating profits and improving our healthy balance sheet. While much has changed from a consumer and macro standpoint, we continue to execute against our 2022 initiatives. Our monthly sales trends improved sequentially from December through February, including Overstock's largest Presidents Day in the company history. As I have mentioned before, our team has developed an expertise in eventizing key shopping holidays. However,…

Adrianne Lee

Analyst

Thank you, Jonathan. Slide 6, please. I will begin with a summary of our first quarter financial results, including a review of key customer metrics and performance indicators. Next slide. Revenue declined by 19% year-over-year, but as Jonathan mentioned, increased nearly 60% on a 2-year basis. Adjusted EBITDA margin remained in the mid-single digits at 4%, a decline of 113 basis points versus 2021 and a 593 basis point improvement versus 2020. We reported adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.21, a decrease of $0.35 versus 2021 and an improvement of $0.55 compared to 2020. This excludes an immaterial impact from our proportionate share of the Medici Ventures fund performance and from our direct minority interest in tZERO. A quick note on our tax rate during the quarter. For the quarter ended March 31, 2022, our effective tax rate was 17.1% compared to 0.7% during the same period in 2021. This increase was primarily because we no longer maintain a valuation allowance on most of our federal and state deferred tax assets, which led to a lower effective tax rate in the past. For modeling purposes, we believe that a tax rate in the mid-20% range would be appropriate, noting there can be fluctuations quarter-to-quarter based on discrete items. I will now speak to these quarterly financial metrics in greater detail in the following slides. Next slide. We posted revenue of $536 million in the first quarter, a decrease of 19% year-over-year and an increase of 58% compared to the same period in 2020. The first quarter was impacted by a difficult comparison to last year, macro and geopolitical uncertainty and our strategic actions to remove non-home products from our site. While year-over-year revenue performance decelerated sequentially, our business continues to perform well relative to pre-pandemic levels, illustrating the operational…

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Yes, I would. Everyone should know that our strategic decision to remove non-home categories shop by a portion of our active customer base was intentional. Yes, there is some short-term pain, but our data continues to support that a home customer spends more as a higher average order value and repeats more frequently than other customers. Simply said, we are investing in our most valuable customers, and that should be good for the business in the long term.

Adrianne Lee

Analyst

Thank you, Jonathan. Next slide. I will wrap up my discussion on the financial section by highlighting our strong balance sheet. We ended the first quarter with $493 million in cash and only $37 million in debt. We have no significant debt maturities until March 2030. At the end of the first quarter, our net cash position of $456 million was down only modestly from fourth quarter levels. I want to highlight 2 key items to aid in comparability relative to the fourth quarter. We returned $25 million to shareholders via the share repurchases, and we invested $7.5 million in tZERO in the first tranche of its Series B funding round alongside ICE and the Medici Ventures fund, which was announced in February. Notably, we were able to maintain a solid financial position following these transactions. A quick reminder that our share repurchase program is authorized through December 31, 2023, and we currently have about $75 million available on it. We will continue to be opportunistic in making future share repurchases. To sum it up, we are proud of our strong financial position as it provides us ample opportunity to evaluate strategic options to enhance shareholder value. With that, back to you, Jonathan.

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Thank you, Adrianne, for highlighting our healthy balance sheet. Unlike others, we are not highly leveraged. I'm encouraged by how the team continues to execute against our home strategy and maintain strong financial discipline, generating profits quarter-after-quarter. We continue to see that our opportunity lies in increasing Overstock's brand association with home. The home-only customer metrics and financial performance that Adrianne shared with you, validate just that. And I like our strong balance sheet with almost no debt and a good amount of dry powder for strategic opportunities. In my view, many of the headwinds should be temporary as we steer the company towards long-term success. I remain optimistic about Overstock's future -- about the future for Overstock. Slide 16, please. Next I'll provide some key insights into our business, including where our focused home strategy is paying off and where we are targeting and driving growth. Next slide. Overstock is the fourth largest online retailer of home furnishings in the United States. Based on third-party forecasts, about a 1/3 of furniture and home furnishings purchases in the U.S. are expected to be transacted online during 2022. This continued migration online, combined with a growing and highly fragmented total addressable market of $390 billion and our planned growth in home SKU assortments means there is significant opportunity for Overstock to gain market share. Slide 18, please. I'd like to show this slide to remind investors that Overstock has significant white space available in the quadrant where home goods meets -- home goods expertise meets smart value. This quadrant is the right place for Overstock. We have been strategic about choosing to focus on it. Our target customers, those who seek smart value or simply the highest quality and style for their dollar, already have a greater propensity to shop with…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from Peter Keith of Piper Sandler.

Peter Keith

Analyst

Just given the step down in the demand trends, I was hoping you could address what you're seeing from the competitive environment with regard to pricing and advertising? And then, Jonathan, on that note, we are hearing that it's getting a little bit more promotional, more aggressive. Have you thought any further about exploring more of a house brand strategy just to provide some differentiation and maybe make it more difficult for comparability across sites?

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Peter, great question. On pricing and ad spending, I'll address it and turn to Dave, and then we'll talk about house brands. But on pricing, we continue to do well in getting price comparisons -- price for our page views. And in fact, we're much -- we have a much higher percentage of our pages that are price comparable, that's up to about 60% right now. And of those 60%, our goal is to be price competitive with plus or minus 5% on 80% to 85%, and we're right in that range. So on pricing, we continue to be very competitive. Dave, maybe you can comment on what we're seeing in the competitive ad environment.

David Nielsen

Analyst

Yes. The competitive ad environment is, obviously, when demand is off or visits are down across the industry, the level of competition for purchasing those clicks is more expensive. But it hasn't been out of control, it's been challenging. And we're tracking from a promotional standpoint, just looking at our percent of coupon, site sell promotions, about in line, very close to in line with the fourth -- with the first quarter even as we transition into April. So we're comfortable we have a handle on it and our competitive pricing is staying very consistent where it's been historically.

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Thanks, Dave. And Peter, I would add to that, with Angela joining our team, she's taking a real fresh look at where we're spending our ad dollars, where we can be more efficient and where perhaps we can back off a little bit. So a good set of expert fresh eyes is a good thing for us. As far as house brand, we look at this occasionally. We've done private labels in the past without a ton of success. It's something that we continue to evaluate. And when we think we have the right expertise and the right partners, it's something we'll pursue. At this point, don't expect us to go deep into that -- into those efforts.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Seth Sigman of Guggenheim.

Seth Sigman

Analyst

I'm just going to start with a shorter-term question and then a follow-up. I guess, first on the top line. It sounds like you exited March a bit weaker. Any indication on April, maybe how unique were some of the factors in March? Was there a seasonal effect there, maybe weather or anything else that you would highlight? And then what you're seeing here early on? And then how would you think about seasonality of the business for the rest of the year? Are we getting closer to normal seasonality? I guess, how are you thinking about that?

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Yes, Seth, I appreciate those questions. April is showing slight improvement relative to March. And I wouldn't attribute it to weather, although I will say that the East Coast has been colder and that affects our patio business, but I'm not sure that's had a huge impact. I do think things like the war in Ukraine and record high inflation make a difference. We've seen in the past, whether it was 9/11 or the Iraq war or different things that major news events like this cause people to pause. And so, that seemed to have a real impact in March. April is a little better, slightly better, but it's still difficult. As far as seasonality, second and third quarters tend to be our best quarters. And we think that's what we're headed into. And so, we're looking forward to those. Last year, we won the patio outdoor furniture category, we're poised to do that again. We have great in-stock inventory with our partners and are ready to go. We are working to be better with giftables, home giftables for the fourth quarter. Fourth quarter is historically over the last few years, not been our best. We think we can do better at it. So that's how I'd address the seasonality question.

Seth Sigman

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. And then the second question is just around the pricing strategy. I want to dig into this a little bit more, because it really seems like the smart value proposition should be even more relevant in this environment. So I guess 2 parts. One is, if you could frame sort of the relative price gap today, where you are, how that's progressed? And then the second piece of it is, I'm looking at your gross margin, which is above your long-term target. It's actually one of the highest ever this quarter for Overstock and the company's done a really good job of balancing sales and profitability, but yet customers are declining, orders are declining. Could there be an opportunity to actually invest more in price at this stage, especially given how price-sensitive it seems like the customer is right now?

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Seth, a lot of things that are important there. One, smart value has become more important than ever. If the savvy shopper and the reluctant refresher are 40% of the market yesterday, we expect with the inflationary environment, they will become more than 40% of the market tomorrow. So I think more people become savvy shoppers as their wallets are pinched and they're trying to stretch dollars. That bodes well for us. As far as pricing, this is something we monitor every single day. We're looking at pricing on a myriad of products, practically all our products all the time and moving them up and down to make sure we're competitive with the market. Adrianne, I'll let you comment on gross margin and where it is now versus historically, but we are not trying to maximize gross margins, as we've said before. Our goal is 22% range to provide smart value because we think our business model, at that 22% range, still lets us split out mid-single-digit adjusted EBITDA. Adrianne, any comments more on gross margin?

Adrianne Lee

Analyst

I'll add one thing, Jonathan. And Seth, as we looked at the gross margin year-over-year, we did increase our kind of promotional activity to be kind of in this more normalized environment in 2022, and that was offset by some great operational efficiencies that the team delivered. So we were more promotional this year than last year.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Anna Andreeva of Needham.

Anna Andreeva

Analyst

Just a quick follow-up on the category exit. Should we expect a similar 3-point headwinds here in the second quarter? And then, secondly, we were surprised to see you guys utilize, I think, only $25 million on the buyback. I just wanted to check what's the appetite for share buyback, especially at these levels?

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

I'll answer those questions in reverse order. On our last quarter, I said that at the prices the stock was at, we thought it was undervalued. It's at a lower price today. We continue to think it's undervalued. I'm glad we have more buyback ability now as it's trading in the 30s as opposed to when it was trading in the 40s. So you may have been surprised, but I think that should turn into a happy surprise as we still have $75 million left in the program to purchase should the stock be where it is today or at these levels. Your other question was -- remind me.

Anna Andreeva

Analyst

On [ the category ] exit.

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

On exit, yes, thank you. So non-home exit, Adrianne, I'll let you comment on what we think the headwinds are. We should be done by the end of Q2. We have our largest non-home categories that we'll exit out of Q2, jewelry and watches. Those will have an impact. Adrianne may comment on what percent we think it may have or she may choose not to comment on that. I think that as long as it chooses -- as long as it proves to be useful, we'll continue to show that slide that Adrianne added to the deck this time. So you can see what non-home versus home is for year-over-year comparable to give you a little more color. Adrianne, anything you want to add to that?

Adrianne Lee

Analyst

Jonathan, I would just echo jewelry, our biggest category is yet to come off site. So Anna, take that into consideration as you're thinking about the non-home versus home that we showed in the first quarter here.

Anna Andreeva

Analyst

Okay. Got it. And if I may squeeze another one to Adrianne. Gross margin discipline in the business has been really good for a number of quarters now. And you mentioned being a little bit more promotional here in 1Q. But can you talk about specifically what's worked well operationally for you? How sustainable that is? And do you think you could still have gross margins up for the rest of the year?

Adrianne Lee

Analyst

Thanks, Anna, and not necessarily won't comment on kind of the balance of the year projections, right? We continue to target the 22%-ish range. I will say from the operational efficiencies that I noted earlier, those are sustainable improvements in our business. There are things that we've done over the last 2 years and continue to find improvements in things like customer care and our fulfillment services. So we expect to continue to find those and deliver those operational efficiencies.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Thomas Forte of D.A. Davidson.

Thomas Forte

Analyst

So for my one question, Jonathan, can you give 60-second high level on how inflation is impacting your business?

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Tom, great question, and thanks for following one question. Look inflation is real. Gas prices impact everything from the cost of inputs, things that are made with oil to shipping to the U.S. to the factory -- sorry, to the warehouse and to the customer. It's real. And gas prices, when people are driving around, their wallet gets pinched. So we think it has a real impact and we think that's why March had the slowdown it did. That's the downside. The upside is we think inflation turns people into savvy shoppers looking for smart value. That's what we offer. When I go back and think about 2008, 2009, that's when our home business began to take off. 2009 is when Overstock first became profitable under my second year being the President of the company. We do well in -- we have done well in inflationary environments when budgets are pinched. So we think we're in a good place there. Inflation is tough, and it's real, particularly when we're at 40-year high levels. I will say this, people are still buying homes and when people buy homes, that's good because they then buy furniture. So we think all that's good. Home prices remain strong too.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Curtis Nagle of Bank of America.

David Malinowski

Analyst

It's Dave Malinowski on for Curt Nagle. Just a quick remark on market share. I mean you referenced earlier, that you maintained share according to your third-party data sources in the quarter. Just looking at our end, it looks like you might have actually lost share. Can you please elaborate on what you're seeing on your end and what sources show that?

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Yes. We're seeing just what we said that we maintain market share. And there's a lot of different sources. Ours are -- we footnote ours and it is a tough market. I think it's particularly important to note this new slide we've added that when we look at where we are in the home space, our decline was not 19%, but 16%. And when you see what our competitors report, particularly those that are home-only, look to see where they are there. Frankly, we can all predict the scores looking at market source data. But when results come out, that's what the score shows. So that's where -- Dave or Adrianne, do you want to add anything to add?

David Nielsen

Analyst

No, nothing to add.

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

I hope that's helpful, Dave.

Operator

Operator

And our last question will come from Brad Safalow of PAA Research.

Bradley Safalow

Analyst

I really had 2. First on the vendor front, can you talk about, let's say, your renewed efforts to expand your vendor count after kind of rationalizing it for a period of time, what you can achieve there? And then 2, with the new hiring of the CMO, it seems like there's a lot of opportunity to improve the messaging from a consumer perspective. You've obviously done well over the last few years without a consistent national advertising campaign, but can you explain what you plan to change about your marketing going forward?

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

Thanks, Brad, for each of those questions. I'll address the first on vendor. Maybe Dave, I'll let you talk a little bit about the market, and then I'll wrap it up. Vendor count. Vendor count's important as we add new vendors, but more important the vendor count is SKU count. We have a lot of vendors where we are underrepresented in their business, that we are growing. As you look at the vendor number as we reported going forward, there's 2 things to remember. We have one more quarter of exiting non-home. We have a significant number of jewelry and watch vendors. They will drop off. We continue to add vendors in the home space and SKUs in the home space, as I mentioned. And we have -- our merchandising team has goals for increasing the breadth and depth of our home SKUs. They exceeded those goals in Q1. I expect them to keep working hard and exceed the goals in each quarter of the year. So we're focused on it. And you should see some new categories we get into in the home space. But mostly, it's expanding the breadth and depth of the categories we're in, good, better, best, more products within categories where we need to grow. Mattresses, was an example we shared with you. It's one we think we want we learned to win in this quarter to take those learnings and replicate going forward. CMO, Angela is great. She's less than 2 months into the job. She's very analytical and very well connected and well respected in the industry. You can expect our messaging to improve whether that's in national campaign or not, she'll be the person who calls that out because we know how to reach our customers. And sometimes, it's not just more advertising on the cable news stations. It's being more select and direct. Dave, anything you want to add to that?

David Nielsen

Analyst

Nothing to add, Jonathan. That was spot on. That's exactly where we are focused, consistent messaging through important channels with high acquisition rates.

Jonathan Johnson

Analyst

So Brad, thanks for those questions. I'd like to thank everyone for participating on today's call. I was going to emphasize this. I like our business. Our strategy is aimed at increasing Overstock's brand association with home that's important. I believe our business model is advantageous and resilient within economic cycles, especially with the foundational operating improvements, the operational wetsuit that we have made and continue to make. We have a strong balance sheet with little debt. We have dry powder for strategic opportunities. We pay our partners quickly never late. I believe we are in a favorable position to deliver market share growth and profits to the bottom line regardless of macro headwinds. We appreciate your interest in and ownership of Overstock. We hope you all have a great day. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.