Octavio de Lazari
Analyst · BTG
Well, loan book growth, we spoke a little about this. The write-off has been greater than origination, as you mentioned. But if you observe, personal credit growth is 6%, rural loans 7%, 8%. Mortgage is performing better. So I believe that for the year 2023, we are going to have better growth of these credit lines, personal credit, collateralized personal credit or the rural loan portfolio that should grow. We are taking part in all agricultural trade shows. So if we get just a trade show that is happening as we speak, every show, the business volume, we already have business contracted at the fair 3 times more than in last year's agri show. So I think the rural alone is an important growth portfolio. So we've been seeing growth for corporates in the business plan and for end consumer, for individuals. Obviously, the interest rates did get in the way a little, but Brazilians end up paying installments -- or it has, but they do get mortgages to buy their own home. So that is expected to grow. Foreign exchange deals and operations should have a better dynamic now starting in Q2, Q3, Q4. Particularly Q2 should post a better growth dynamic considering the dollar rate that we currently see. And for corporate, the corporate line will grow. So micro and small enterprises have been suffering more, Daniel. It is true, but there are good companies out there in the market. So just one detail here, story to tell you. A month ago, we visited all capital cities of Brazil where we have our regional offices of the bank, 17 capital cities. So we visited them in 9 business days. So we visited and met with the whole managers of the bank, conveying to them the same message, criteria, preserving credit quality, that we need to give loans to good clients but that we cannot stop operating. We need to operate without a good pricing, credit operations without a good pricing. And that was the message for the whole team, not only for the retail bank but for the whole sale team as well. So I think that in essence, to answer your question, I think that the main lines that are expected to grow more where we can have better growth would be personal credit line because it has pricing to withstand a perhaps higher delinquency. Credit cards, easy, higher spending by higher-income clients, real estate operations, mortgages, rural loans and exchange. And of course, these portfolios will take us to a growth that is close to 2 digits. One technical aspect about your question, the increase in write-offs is also related to the fact that we did not sell portfolios in Q1. The write-off have been a little lower because part of what would be excluded via write-off was excluded via sale. It's not that the level changed so much. There is also this aspect that explains this difference.