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Brunswick Corporation (BC)

Q3 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 27, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Brunswick Corporation's Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's meeting will be recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time. I would now like to introduce Neha Clark, Senior Vice President, Enterprise Finance, Brunswick Corporation.

Neha Clark

Analyst

Good morning, and thank you for joining us. With me on the call this morning are Dave Foulkes, Brunswick's CEO; and Ryan Gwillim, CFO. Before we begin with our prepared remarks, I would like to remind everyone that during this call, our comments will include certain forward-looking statements about future results. Please keep in mind that our actual results could differ materially from these expectations. For details on these factors to consider, please refer to our recent SEC filings and today's press release. All of these documents are available on our website at brunswick.com. During our presentation, we will be referring to certain non-GAAP financial information. Reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures are provided in the appendix to this presentation and the reconciliation sections of the unaudited consolidated financial statements accompanying today's results. I will now turn the call over to Dave.

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Thanks, Neha, and good morning, everyone. We delivered a record third quarter with $1.7 billion in net sales and almost $280 million of adjusted operating earnings, continuing our trend of exceptional, resilient performance in a challenging macroeconomic and supply environment. These results were achieved despite an extremely difficult end to the quarter for many of our Florida employees and locations as a result of the impacts of Hurricane Ian. All our divisions contributed to the strong performance, with many new products, sustained cost control and a continued focus on operational efficiency, together with the benefits of capacity investments and ACES initiatives, driving growth across our businesses. Consumer demand for our products remains resilient with boat field inventory levels getting healthier, but remaining nearly 40% lower at the end of the quarter versus the same time in 2019. Our boat and engine production levels remain generally on track and the percentage of our boat production that is already retail sold continues to be high, especially for our fiberglass brands with no evidence of wholesale cancellations. Mercury continues to capture market share, with gains likely to accelerate in the coming quarters due to major new product launches and the completion of the capacity increase in the Fond du Lac, Wisconsin production facility in the coming months. P&A sales benefited from acquisitions completed in 2021, while Freedom Boat Club saw significant overall and same-store membership sales increases in the quarter. As the economic outlook continues to create overall market and sector dislocation, we executed $140 million of share repurchases in the third quarter, bringing our year-to-date share repurchases to $360 million. And we plan to continue an aggressive repurchase schedule as we close out the year. Prior to discussing business segment performance, I'll share an update on Hurricane Ian. At the end of…

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

Thanks, Dave. Good morning, everyone. Brunswick delivered an outstanding third quarter with record sales, operating earnings and EPS for any third quarter on record. When compared to prior year, third quarter net sales were up 19%, with adjusted operating margins of 16.4%, up 90 basis points. Operating earnings on an as-adjusted basis increased by 26% and adjusted diluted EPS of $2.67 increased by 29%. All segments delivered sales growth resulting from solid demand, new product performance and pricing implemented since the third quarter of 2021, partially offset by unfavorable changes in foreign currency exchange rates, the impact from Hurricane Ian and supply chain challenges. The strong operating earnings growth was also enabled by these factors, together with benefits from cost containment measures, tempered slightly by continued elevated material and freight inflationary pressures and spending on growth initiatives, including capacity expansion, ACES and new products. Note that changes in foreign currency exchange rates were more unfavorable than anticipated, resulting in a high single-digit million dollar earnings headwind in the quarter, with the P&A segment most impacted. On a year-to-date basis, Brunswick has also delivered record results, including over $5.2 billion of net sales, almost $850 million of operating earnings and $8.02 of adjusted diluted EPS. You'll note that we continue to show comparisons to 2019 on these two slides to highlight the strong growth CAGRs over the last three years and the record performance of the business versus the third quarter of last year, which was the previous best third quarter in company history. Turning to our segments. Our Propulsion business delivered yet another quarter of outstanding top line earnings and operating margin performance. Revenue increased 14% versus the third quarter of 2021 as higher sales volumes were driven by strong global demand, capacity increases and market share gains around the…

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Thanks, Ryan. Closing out Q3, we've already received almost 90 awards, recognizing exceptional product business and individual performance across our enterprise, and I wanted to share a few highlights. Earlier this month, Brunswick was named by Forbes to the list of World's Best Employers for the third consecutive year. Brunswick ranked in the top 15% of all recognized organizations and ranked in the top 10 companies in the world within the engineering and manufacturing category. Recently, we were named the Most Innovative Marine Company in 2022 by Soundings Trade Only magazine, the third time in the last four years that we've received this recognition. Additionally, Aine Denari, our Boat Group President, was named by Boating Industry magazine as its 2022 Mover and Shaker of the Year. This is the third consecutive year that Brunswick has won or had a finalist for this honor. And finally, Mercury Marine accepted a Business Friend of the Environment Award from Wisconsin's chamber of commerce and manufacturers association. The award is an acknowledgment of Mercury's continued sustainability leadership, particularly recognizing progress in adopting renewable sources of energy, implementing energy efficiency production processes, using recycled aluminum in its die casting operations and using returnable and reusable packaging. The third quarter was also characterized by a number of business expansions and important new product releases. Last week, Mercury opened its new purpose-built and highly-automated distribution center to further expand its industry-leading parts and accessories business. The new 512,000 square foot facility is strategically located near Indianapolis, Indiana, a major transportation hub, and will significantly improve P&A delivery times to domestic and international customers. At the end of the quarter, the Navico Group launched a significantly enhanced version of its Fathom e-Power System, an integrated lithium-ion auxiliary power management system that delivers reliable power and unparalleled performance for…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question today is from Kevin Heenan of JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.

Kevin Heenan

Analyst

Hi, thanks for taking my question. I guess just on the Propulsion segment, can you elaborate on your confidence in the accelerating market share gains you see in the coming quarters between the new product launches and capacity expansion. What's the latest on the competitive environment that you see today? How do you feel pricing-wise relative to peers? And looking to next year, just relative to the 8% multiyear growth you've laid out, how best to think about Propulsion relative to that, given the benefits you see landing in the fourth quarter of this year? Thanks.

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Thanks, Kevin. We're very confident in continued market share gains by Mercury. We just, yesterday, heard that at the Fort Lauderdale boat show that just started yesterday, Mercury has something around 56% share of engines on transfers, which is about 3 points up from last year. And that is ahead of some imminent major product launches in the high horsepower categories that we're very excited about. So Mercury's expansion is going extremely well internally in terms of getting everything ready. And I think production will be up about something like 14% in Q4 versus where it was last year on a unit basis and also getting the supply base ready. Obviously, that's - they're both major tasks, but I think Mercury as usual that it's doing a super job. And we have a lot of customers waiting in the wings to take that product. So momentum is incredibly strong. You saw a 65% share of can, 56% share of floats on - and those are new boats, new models and ahead of major new product launches and the new capacity available. So we're very excited. I think that obviously, conditions next year, overall economic conditions are uncertain. But Mercury's growth is really very secular and people are still looking for the best product. What we're seeing in the market right now is premium products and fiberglass holding up very well, being very resilient, and that's where most of Mercury's high horsepower engines go. So I would say our confidence remains extremely high.

Kevin Heenan

Analyst

Great. And just as a follow-up, Ryan, as you think about the different moving pieces in the macro backdrop, I guess, how best to think about the progression of your EBIT margin on a consolidated basis next year relative to the targets you laid out in March? Would you expect to continue to move forward at the EBIT margin level and maybe some of the puts and takes to consider by the segments next year? Thanks.

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

Yes, Kevin, that's a good question. Obviously, we're putting together as we speak, our plans for next year through the budgeting process that we go through annually. I'll tell you, there's a range of scenarios for next year. They focus primarily on a flattish market that is kind of a unit flattish market. I would tell you, margin growth continues to be something that we focus on year in and year out, both on the cost side, which I think you've seen margins continue to expand this year despite headwinds such as FX and tariffs. I would tell you that the plan today would be to continue margin growth each year of the plan to 2025, whether that's 10, 20 basis points or more is kind of dependent on a lot of the external factors, FX being really the main one at the current moment. But we would not anticipate a plan where margins would go backwards in any year.

Kevin Heenan

Analyst

Great. Very helpful. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from James Hardiman of Citi. Please proceed with your question.

James Hardiman

Analyst

Hi, good morning. So I was going to start with maybe - I was going to start with maybe an unfair question, but maybe you just answered it. MarineMax said they expected the industry to be down mid-single digits, somewhere between five and 10 next year. Sounds like you think that, that is too bearish of an outlook. Maybe just sort of initial thoughts there.

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Yes. I think we're exploring a range of scenarios, James, to be honest, that span up to flat to slightly down. Obviously, we'll be preparing our cost structure for a more bearish scenario. But in terms of core planning, if you think last year, industry was down 8%, 9% something percent, something like that. This year, it's probably going to be down mid-teens based on where we are in the year right now, retailers in the year right now. So on a compounded basis, down more than 20%. So I think preparing for reasonably flat market still seems about the right thing for us. It's certainly a bifurcated market with stronger premium and stronger fiberglass versus alumina. But I think it depends where the market ends up this year, most of it is done. But I think compounded 20% down, seems like a good place to start for our next year. But as I said, we will certainly be preparing our cost structure for something that is not as positive as that.

James Hardiman

Analyst

That makes a lot of sense. And then sort of along those lines, I mean a lot of uncertainty here as we close out 2022. How does that make you think about sort of the fourth quarter shipment strategy, right? You talked about some customers are likely deferring into next year. We're going to be in our seasonally slow period. How do you think then with all of those unknowns in mind, how you want to finish the year in terms of weeks on hand inventory or total inventories? How are you targeting that for year-end '22?

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Yes. For year-end 2022, as you saw, pipelines continue to be down significantly, so we don't see a case to moderate wholesale right now, given the fact that we have dealers continuing to look for product and continuing to place orders. So I think we'll be looking at the end of the year, how we - more about how we plan production for 2023 than how we close out 2022. We're not currently planning to sell wholesale shipments in this year. And certainly, one of the things that we didn't specifically mention about the pipeline is the incredible freshness of it right now. There is almost no 2022 model year product anywhere in any pipeline, it's all '23 model year product. So dealers don't have any aging inventory at all. Everything is very fresh and very relevant as they go into 2023. And obviously, all we're shipping right now is 2023 model year products. So what we will be shipping is very healthy, very contemporary inventory, and dealers really don't have anything that's aging so...

James Hardiman

Analyst

Got it. Thanks Dave.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Xian Siew of BNP Paribas. Please proceed with your question.

Xian Siew

Analyst

Hi guys. Thanks for the question. So a big part of the story is the P&A business and how it's kind of resilient even as industry boat sales are low. But you took down the margin guide for this year for P&A. I mean it sounds like a lot of it is transitory, but maybe can you parse out how much of the cut is transitory factors and what gives you confidence in the underlying business and margins?

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

It's a great question. It's one we obviously anticipated being able to discuss a little bit. Listen, it's really two main factors. One is FX. And unfortunately, the FX impact on P&A can't be understated. It's just a big number. It is over half of our FX impact for the year on the earnings and sales side. And so that is really causing some pain. It is upwards to 80 or more basis points of the decline this year. If you think of the P&A segment, down 200 basis points from last year, which is the guide, so that's about half of it is FX. The lion's share of the rest is just a mix issue. It's obviously with the Navico business, SemahTronix and RELiON coming on in the fourth quarter of last year. Those are businesses with very strong gross margins, but cost structures that we need to get after and we are getting after to get those operating margins up to where the legacy P&A business is. So you saw the announcement in August, the change over the name and the combination of a lot of cost items, that is not complete. There's more underway that will be coming. So I would consider right now almost the trough margins for kind of the Navico Group, and we look forward to continued growth and expansion even starting in the fourth quarter. The last thing I would say is supply chains really, really hampered P&A. It's just taken longer to get product. The freight is more expensive and that's shown through with some of the margin pressure on the cost side.

Xian Siew

Analyst

Okay. Got it. That's really helpful. And then maybe on the revenue side, are there any other kind of data points? I guess you talked about the retail sell-through, but any other data points showing maybe boat usage remains strong and consumers are not deferring any maintenance? I'm trying to think more about the P&A maybe as trips for a member in Freedom is still high or content per new boat is not coming down. Just any color on the P&A drivers, especially...

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Yes. I think I think you pointed to a couple of engine P&A sales, I think, on a constant currency basis up versus last year. I think that's normally a good indicator of healthy boating participation. Freedom members are using their boats very happily. So we're excited about that and membership growth continues there. So we don't really have any indicators of kind of diminishing participation at the moment. We're in a part of the season where in the northern markets, the season is coming to a close. So we'll get a good idea about winterization efforts maybe through there. But the two metrics that you alluded to, I think, both indicate continued strong participation.

Xian Siew

Analyst

Okay. Got it. Very helpful. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Craig Kennison of Robert W. Baird. Please proceed with your question.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to go back to the first question asked on the Fond du Lac capacity expansion and really ask it in a different way. In a flat marine market which you described, how many more engine units would you expect to sell due to the share gain? You noted the repower market opportunity and some international opportunities as well.

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Yes. I don't know if we've ever specifically disclosed like unit share opportunity, but the capacity expansion does double the potential output. So I would say for Mercury, share gain and AUP associated with horsepower increases have really been a huge driver of Mercury's continued growth and success versus specifically bulk market expansion. And we would continue to believe that to be the case, Craig. So I would say unit production will be substantially higher. I don't think we've quoted a number yet. But AUP will also be higher as we migrate to higher and higher horsepower. The new products that we're shortly introducing are in that category. We think they're very attractive. We think that they will accelerate our share gains. So we're very confident in substantial growth next year, even in a flat boating market.

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

Craig, the one addition I'll put out there and these numbers we've given over time. But those three markets, if you consider saltwater, commercial and repower, those global markets are multiple billions of dollars. And so if we get our fair share like we think we will, you can kind of back into what you think from a dollar wise or share-wise where we can get to.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

Thanks. And just to follow up on the engine side as it relates to currency, to what extent is currency a disadvantage competitively for you given some competitors are based in Japan?

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

We're continuing to - we're really pricing for our technology and product features, Craig. So we continue to price at a premium across most of our product line to manufacturers, and we have not so far seen any evidence of any abnormal behavior in market pricing.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Mike Swartz of Truist Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Mike Swartz

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Maybe to start off with, I think, Dave, you made some commentary coming out of the recent dealer meetings from a number of your brands just around strong order patterns. Maybe give us a little context or a little bit of color on what exactly that means.

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Yes. What it means is we have kind of a trimester system of ordering where three times in the year, the dealers place orders. And we go through - it's important to do that after the dealer meetings so the dealers experience the new products that are going to be delivered. So I think it was 60 new products that we planned to launch or have already launched the majority of already this year. They were extremely well received. And so they are driving order patterns consistent with prior years and consistent with what we expect. So we have no indication of dealers in showing any kind of hesitancy with wholesale ordering pattern in this particular round of ordering, which would essentially support year-round markets plus stocking for the seasonal markets. So that's really the context, if you like.

Mike Swartz

Analyst

Got you. Okay. That's helpful. And then maybe, Ryan, second question on Propulsion, just the 20% margin this quarter. Maybe help us think about, going forward, is that the right run rate? Were there some mix positives that you had in the quarter that we shouldn't expect to get? Any color on that would be helpful.

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

Well, I have to be careful because I know my President and CFO of Mercury are probably listening to this call. But yes, I mean they still lever - if you look at our leverage, change in sales over change in earnings, they still lever up north of 20%. And so there's certainly a case that, that is achievable more often than not. There were no kind of odd one-offs really in the quarter. There's always puts and takes. I will tell you that the expansion project is close to completion. Efficiency is probably improving better than we anticipated and the output is strong. You combine that with the fact that the mix of products continues to mix up to high horsepower, which is our newer products, which have more costs taken out of them from the design process and you just kind of get a steady stream of margin growth. There's a reason they've grown margins annually every year for the last decade, and we plan to continue that trend over the next couple of years.

Mike Swartz

Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Fred Wightman of Wolfe Research. Please proceed with your question.

Fred Wightman

Analyst

Hi guys. Can you touch on the European business and just the outlook there. I think that was up 15% in the quarter, and you've heard some pretty scary macro commentary from other parts of the consumer landscape. So how should we think about that chunk of the business going forward?

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Yes, Fred, actually, it's surprisingly strong. Definitely, strength in the Mediterranean markets prepared with some comparative softness in kind of Scandinavia and some of the Northern markets. But in aggregate, remarkably resilient, I would say, both on the engine side and the boat side. So we did a little promotional activity in the Scandinavian marketplace. But really that's pretty much all we've done, and sales continue to be pretty good, in fact, remarkably resilient. So we're really not seeing - although it's different country by country, and I'm talking about Europe as opposed to markets like ANZP, ANZP is strong as well. But really probably more resilient than we might have expected.

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

It's also one of the places, Fred, that has not gotten their lion's share of engine products that they would like. And with the new capacity, again, coming online, we would anticipate our ability to satisfy more OEMs and repower in Europe in 2023.

Fred Wightman

Analyst

Understood. And then, Ryan, you touched on the 2025 targets a little bit earlier. But have you changed your thinking about some of those downside scenarios that you touched on, I think it was a $6 and $8 number that you put out there. Any change to those figures, based on what you saw for March?

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

No, Fred. No change whatsoever. And just to remind everyone that's been around us for a while, we do these three and now four-year plans, and they're never linear, but the results are never perfect on a page. We're still very confident that we can get to where we told the world we'd be in '25. It may be a little bit bumpier in the front due to macro, things that are out of our control, but we are still very much in support of our 2025 targets.

Fred Wightman

Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Scott Stember of MKM Partners. Please proceed with your question.

Scott Stember

Analyst

Good morning. And thanks for taking my questions. You guys made some comments that, I guess, for things like aluminum fish, you would expect some people to delay their purchases or placing orders. Have you actually seen that cancellation activity? Or is this just something you're looking for?

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Yes, we haven't really seen any cancellations. What we have seen is that the aluminum fishing is probably the slowest part of the market right now across - if you look across SSI data and our data, you'll see pontoon actually remains strong, but aluminum fishing is the weaker part of the market. Now that tends to be a more northern, kind of Upper Midwest product, and that is obviously the most seasonal part of our market. So if you look at how you think about interest rates at the moment up until about two or three months ago, interest rates on boat loans were roughly where they were in 2019. Over the last two or three months, it declined about 150 basis points. So that obviously is a factor to consider. On the positive side, gas prices have dropped well below the high. So that's positive. But I'm just - as we work through explanation for what is - why is aluminum fishing a little softer, you can imagine most people in that part of the market would be potentially buying a product that they would use for a few weeks and then put away in storage for five or six months before they use it again at the beginning of the year. That might have made sense when they thought that they might not get a product in 2020, in the next year, in the next season. But I think given improving pipelines and more product availability, I think some people are clearly going to make the decision that product is likely to be available in the following season, and they may not choose to make the investment to put something away for five months. So that is, I think, a partial explanation of why aluminum fishing in the markets is a little softer.

Scott Stember

Analyst

Okay. And just one quick follow-up. You talked about '23, I guess, an assumption of a flattish market for new boat sales. But what about propulsion P&A and just consumables in general, how would you expect that to perform?

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

It depends a little bit on what the weather patterns look like in the following year, but we have seen usage patterns in 2022, much like 2021. So I don't think there's a lot of reason to suppose that they would be significantly different. We've seen through pretty much every downturn that people continue to use that product. So we would expect that to continue next year. We would also expect to see strong freedom participation. So yes, no indications really. I think that things will be a lot different next year.

Scott Stember

Analyst

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Joe Altobello of Raymond James. Please proceed with your question.

Joe Altobello

Analyst

Hi guys. Good morning. Just want to go back to P&A for a second. Sales up 1% organic in the quarter. I think back in July, you described the month of July as extremely robust. So it sounds like that business slowed a little bit throughout the quarter. I guess first, is that accurate? And then second, why are retailers and distributors slowing the pace of restocking? Is it just macro concerns if it's not participation?

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Maybe I'll talk about the last part and maybe Ryan can talk about the first part.

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

Sure. Yes.

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

So I think what we've seen is that - and that we've seen, obviously, as we've looked at the results from other P&A companies recently, similar patents where some of the big box and online retailers, some of the larger distributors during the period where a maximum supply chain disruption really stocked up, assuming that there would be discontinuities in supply. And now they are preparing themselves for - just as we would, for more adverse conditions in the marketplace. And so destocking to where they - more reasonable levels that they believe relevant going forward. Now obviously, over time, retail and wholesale are going to have to come into balance. So what we are seeing is where we have visibility, which is mostly through the major retailers, retail sales are up. But generally, wholesale is trailing retail. And I would say it's in the kind of 5% to 10% range. So wholesale is kind of 5% to 10% behind where retail is and retail is positive. And I think it's just retailers preparing for the potential of lower demand going forward.

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

And then, Joe, I'll give you the - I mean, there's really no magic here. That's - we do tend to try to avoid small sample sizes and maybe the July comment could have been one of those, but there really wasn't a pickup or a slowdown. There are definitely - if you remember, the spring, there was a little bit of slowness. And as we came into July, it had picked up. And so you saw a sequential growth just kind of from June and into July and August. This is a business that when it's doing really well, you have to separate a little bit at some of the recent times where we've had some explosions in - of sales in certain quarters. But it's still up 30-ish percent from 2019. It's still large numbers, if you kind of go back even further. So no slowness in the back half of the quarter. This is a business that kind of tumbled around slightly up given consistent participation and that's really where we landed on a constant currency basis.

Joe Altobello

Analyst

Okay. That's very helpful. And just maybe a follow-up on the boat side. Is it still your expectation that you'll be refilling the channel throughout 2023?

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

I think so, but it will obviously change by segment. It's - as Ryan said, it's hard to imagine a reasonable scenario where we would be able to refill the fiberglass pipeline in 2023. So that will almost certainly extend to 2024, depending on what the market conditions over the longer term look like. I think there is a scenario where we could refill the aluminum pipeline through 2023, probably not in the first half, but maybe in the second half.

Joe Altobello

Analyst

Got it. Okay. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Eric Wold of B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Eric Wold

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning. Two kind of quick follow-ups. I guess, one, on the P&A segment, obviously, Ryan, you stressed just how much FX has been impacting on the top line and the bottom line this year and expectations that likely continues. What can you do, if anything, to kind of offset that? Have you taken price to try to offset? Is that something you kind of really don't want to necessarily do in this environment?

Ryan Gwillim

Analyst

We can and have taken price, Eric. I think there is a - kind of a level where you don't want to go too far away and have people delay a service or not by the things that drive the business. So we have taken price. One thing that we should mention, we have a very active hedging practice here that the company - and it's very programmatic. We are - believe it or not, the FX impact would be double what it is without our hedging impact. And that includes - actually those of you that dive deep into our financials will see this. We did some cross-currency swaps that netted us about $50 million to help offset. It's not a P&L event. It's not a free cash flow event, but it's obviously cash in the door. So the treasury team does a fantastic job of doing hedging, and we'll continue that practice. But this is - we're in unparalleled times where the dollar is so strong and 30% of our sales are outside the U.S. and a good portion of those are denominated in non-U.S. currencies. So we're doing the best we can within the guidelines, but - and taking price, but there's only so much we can do without disturbing the underlying market.

Eric Wold

Analyst

That makes sense. And then a follow-up question. I know you kind of talked about the projection on the targets for 2025, maybe the trajectory changes a bit in terms of being more bumpy upfront. Do you think that the inputs or the assumptions or drivers sort of need to change as well in terms of what gets you there, maybe more acquisitions than not or something else? Or do you think the original kind of assumptions around that are intact, it's just the trajectory that you may need to change?

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

I don't think we need to change anything fundamentally. The path to 2025 assumed about 70% of revenue growth was organic, including acquisitions that we'd already completed like Navico and about 30% would be from additional acquisitions. And I - that still seems reasonable. I think a lot of the secular growth expectations remain in place, particularly for Propulsion. We haven't really had an opportunity to talk about it much, but Navico Group is doing very well, particularly penetration into non-marine markets, for example, which is also part of the thesis, and boat group, if anything, is ahead of schedule. So I would say a lot of the inputs remain strong. We continue to look at M&A. But obviously, at the moment - and then if you think about 2025 targets, including the $10 billion of revenue, but also including the kind of roughly $70 of EPS, obviously, $450 million of share repurchases is very helpful for the EPS portion of that 2025 target. So yes, we're definitely adjusting capital strategy a bit, but I would say that, that is more adjusting to the environment and where we can get the maximum return as opposed to any fundamental change in the path.

Operator

Operator

At this time, we would like to turn the call back to Dave for some concluding remarks.

Dave Foulkes

Analyst

Thank you all for joining us and for the great questions. Really appreciate them. As you've seen, despite the very dynamic environment and the recent added challenges of Hurricane Ian, our businesses continue to perform very well. There's no change to our thesis. Overall, we had really strong margins in the quarter, and notably, Boat Group well into the double digits again. So our margins are really holding up well despite FX and slightly lower revenue, which I think is a testament to the work we've already done on our cost structure, continue to do and prepares us extremely well for a range of scenarios next year. We're also making real progress with the strategic initiatives to support the 2025 plan, including the capacity expansions, the new distribution center, new product introductions. We mentioned returning record levels of capital to shareholders, particularly through accelerated share repurchases. I just want to remind you, once again, please join our investor event at Lake X in November. You will not be disappointed by the experiences that we're going to have on display there of recently released products and some exciting unreleased products and technologies. This afternoon, I'm heading down to Fort Lauderdale. The show seems to have opened very well. Mercury has got great share there. And our premium brands once again seem to be doing well. So I'm very excited to be there. So thank you, and goodbye for now.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.