Thomas Schievelbein
Analyst · Oppenheimer
Thanks, Ed. Good morning, everyone. I'm going to start with brief comments about the quarter and our outlook and then I’ll cover some of the actions that were taken to improve both short and long-term results. Joe will provide a detailed review of the quarter and assumptions behind our guidance.
The real story behind the third quarter earnings was profit decline in Latin America, most of which was caused by two items; a $4 million write-off related to a government receivable in Argentina, and a profit decline of $4 million in Venezuela due to inability to fully recover value-added tax receivables from the government.
We expect continued volatility and profit pressure in Venezuela. The combined impact of these two items was $0.09 per share. Combining these two items with the $5 million currency impact, reduced our year-over-year earnings by $0.15 per share.
As a result, we have adjusted our segment margin rate guidance for 2012. We had expected to finish the year at 7%. We now expect it to be closer to 6.7%. Our initial outlook for 2013 calls for a margin rate of about 7%, which includes solid operating margin expansion while factoring in significant uncertainty in Venezuela, continued investment in IT-based productivity and higher investment aimed at further profit growth in Mexico. We expect organic revenue growth remained in the 5% to 8% range for both 2012 and 2013.
My first 100 days since becoming the permanent CEO were largely dedicated to meeting with employees, customers and shareholder. We’re redefining what it means to be customer-centric and what the benefits of doing so mean to our customers as well as to Brink’s.
We’re also conducting a thorough review of which functions should be centralized versus decentralized at the global, regional, or country level. I expect these initiatives to yield positive results including lower costs or more effective decision-making and higher profits. Our challenge is to deliver better result in the near-term as we transform Brink’s to achieve sustainable growth over the long-term.
As we look ahead to 2013, I believe we can deliver modest profit growth while investing in the necessary resources to position us for the longer term. So, my primary focus is to reposition the company for accelerated growth in 2014 and beyond.
We’re making solid progress in North America and Europe. We’re assuming there will be no meaningful revenue growth in either region and we certainly can’t assume that market conditions will improve, at least in the near-term.
Therefore, sustaining this progress in driving margins in both regions towards the 7% range over the next three years will require additional cost reductions and productivity improvements.
In Latin America, we expect continued growth, despite the recent profit decline. With the exception of Venezuela, the outlook for the region as a whole remains positive, especially when you consider the upside impact of our goal to achieve a double-digit margin rate in Mexico.
Successful execution in each of these regions is critical to profit growth over the next three years. So, we are not - as we’re not assuming a significant contribution from new higher value solutions until the end of 2015 or so.
By then we expect to achieve substantial margin expansion in our core businesses that will be supplemented by an infusion of higher margin revenue from new services. This would include such things as full-service ATM support and other services that help our customers operate more efficiently.
I’m now going to close with a summary of some of the actions we have taken aimed at both short and long-term results.
In North America, the gains we've achieved thus far are the result of headcount reductions and other cost cutting initiatives. The benefits of these actions have been partially offset by continued price and volume pressures, but we are on track to achieve the lower end of the margin rate in guidance that we provided earlier in the year. We have, or are in the process of consolidating selected CIT and cash processing operations among several locations.
We are closing seven branches and we expect to exit certain markets by year-end. During 2013, we should also begin to realize the benefits from some of our IT based investments that we are making in back office productivity and route optimization tools.
Initial pilots have been promising. But we need to roll out these changes across the enterprise to get a true reflection of the savings. In Europe, our portfolio review is ongoing and beginning to yield opportunities. As I’ve said before, if we determine that we cannot achieve an acceptable return in a certain market, we will take steps to either reduce our presence there or completely exit that market.
As noted in our earnings release, we recorded a $4 million impairment related to reshaping of our footprint in that region. Our review will continue until we are satisfied that we are achieving that acceptable return. We will provide more details when it is appropriate to do so.
Instilling more discipline into our company wide capital allocation process is another priority. Despite spending more on IT based productivity initiatives, our full year expenditures should be more than 10% below last year. Finally, since none of this happens without effective leadership, we are also strengthening our leadership team in several key areas. The heads of North America, Europe, Latin America and the Asian Pacific regions now report directly to me. A search is underway for a new president of North American operations. Amit Zukerman, President of Brink’s Global Services has assumed additional responsibilities for the Asia-Pacific where we expect to reduce cost by consolidating that regions administrative functions with global services.
At the corporate level, we have recently hired a new Chief Human Resources Officer, Holly Tyson. Holly comes to us from Bristol-Myers Squibb and is playing a key role in planning the leadership changes needed to achieve long-term growth.
In addition to the North American position, we have searches underway for a new Chief Information Officer and new Chief Commercial Strategy Officer. Each of these positions will be instrumental in shifting our revenue mix into services that generate higher margins.
In summary, we have taken action on several fronts in an effort to improve near term results as we transform the company to achieve sustainable long-term growth. We will continue to take the decisive actions necessary to improve performance. Joe is up next and then we’ll open it up for questions. Joe.