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The Brink's Company (BCO)

Q2 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, Aug 7, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Brink's Company's Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. This morning Brink's issued a press release detailing its second quarter 2024 results. The company also filed an 8-K that includes the release and the slides that will be used in today's call. The release and slides are available at the Investor Relations section of the company's website at investors.brinks.com. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded and will be available for replay. This call and the Q&A session will contain forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from the projected or estimated results. Information regarding factors that could cause such differences are available in the footnotes of today's press release and in the company's most recent SEC filings. Information presented and discussed on this call is representative of today only. Brink's assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. This call is copyrighted and may not be used without written permission from Brink's. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Jesse Jenkins, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Jenkins you may begin.

Jesse Jenkins

Management

Thanks and good morning. Joining me today are CEO, Mark Eubanks and CFO, Kurt McMacken. This morning Brink's reported second quarter 2024 results on a GAAP, non-GAAP and constant currency basis. Most of our comments today will be focused on our non-GAAP results, because we believe these results make it easier for investors to assess operating performance between periods. Reconciliations of non-GAAP results to their most comparable GAAP results are provided in the press release, the appendix of the presentation and in this morning's 8-K filing. I will now turn the call over to Brink's CEO, Mark Eubanks.

Mark Eubanks

Management

Thanks, Jesse. Good morning and thank you for joining us. We'll start here on slide 3. We delivered total organic growth of 14%, accelerating sequentially over the first quarter. ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions or AMS DRS grew 26% organically and accelerated sequentially across all geographic segments. Cash and Valuables Management or CVM was up 10% organically with strong pricing discipline, offsetting continued cyclical market softness in our Global Services business. Adjusted EBITDA grew 16% to $226 million and margins expanded 200 basis points to 18%. Transformation initiatives led by North America, drove labor and cost productivity throughout the P&L. Profit growth and the results of our share repurchase program drove a 31% increase in earnings per share to $1.67 per share. Free cash flow conversion remained strong with the flow-through of higher profits, margin expansion and working capital improvements. We continue to make meaningful progress executing against our strategy. DRS and AMS continue to grow as a percent of our total revenue, exceeding $1.1 billion of revenue on a trailing 12-month basis. Demand in these key business lines remained strong as evidenced by the 26% organic growth in the quarter. We continue to sell these innovative tech-enabled solutions to -- into both underserved and under-penetrated markets across all of our segments and are encouraged by building customer demand in our growing pipeline. Additionally, we see increased demand for our tech-enabled solutions from both existing CIT customers as well as new customers in both retail and banking verticals. This mix of higher margin revenue coupled with the benefits of the rollout of the Brink's business system drove second consecutive quarter of mid-teens EBITDA growth as we progress towards our year-end targets. Notable is the continued margin expansion in North America, which improved 360 basis points year-over-year in Q2.…

Kurt McMaken

Management

Thanks, Mark and good morning, everyone. Starting on Slide 8. $167 million of organic revenue increase, represents 14% growth over the prior year. $100 million or about 60% of the growth came from Cash and Valuables Management with the remainder coming from AMS and DRS. As Mark mentioned, the US dollar strengthened over the second quarter and we ended the period with an 11% translational foreign exchange headwind. Through the first half of the year we've had a $30 million revenue headwind against our original full year constant currency guidance. Total revenue growth of $37 million produced $32 million of adjusted EBITDA. EBITDA growth was impacted by restructuring activities in Latin America and Europe as we opportunistically rightsize operations in certain countries. As Mark mentioned earlier, second quarter EBITDA growth was aided by the lapping of a $12 million increase in security losses from the prior year, primarily related to one large event in our BGS business. Normalizing for this $12 million, $37 million of revenue generated $20 million of EBITDA in the period for a 54% incremental margin. In total, adjusted EBITDA margins increased 200 basis points or normalized 100 basis points, driven by the realization of productivity, improved revenue mix and disciplined pricing. On slide 9, I'll walk you from operating profit to adjusted EBITDA. Starting on the left, interest expense was up $6 million year-over-year to $57 million. The increase is related to higher interest rates and slightly higher debt from growth in provisional capital for our DRS customers. Tax expenses were $31 million in the quarter, a $7 million increase in the other category, primarily relates to higher interest income on cash balances. Income from continuing operations was up 25% to $75 million. Through the effectiveness of our share repurchase program, our diluted share count was…

Mark Eubanks

Management

Thanks, Kurt. In mid-June, we had our global leadership meeting with our top 150 leaders. We all came together during the week to discuss the potential of our strategy and how we begin to move Brink's forward as a company. Leaving the event, we aligned on the unique value creation opportunity that we have in front of us, as we execute in the coming quarters and years. I want to thank our leadership team and our employees worldwide for their hard work to get us to this point. I'm encouraged about the future together, as we continue to transform the business by focusing on our four strategic pillars: growth in customer loyalty, innovation, operational excellence and our people and talent. I'm confident continued progress on the pillars of our strategy will position us to drive meaningful, consistent shareholder value for years to come. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question comes from George Tong with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

George Tong

Analyst

Hi. Thanks. Good morning.

Mark Eubanks

Management

Good morning, George.

George Tong

Analyst

You saw significant AMS and DRS organic growth of 26% in the quarter, which was still strong at 23%, even if you exclude the equipment sales benefit. Can you talk more about broader customer traction and receptivity you're seeing within AMS and DRS? And how sustainable current growth rates are?

Mark Eubanks

Management

Yes, sure. Thanks, George. We did -- we had a strong quarter. And I think this is just a continuation of our teams, not only executing kind of in the quarter, but really developing the longer-term pipeline that's let us build up to where we are. We've talked -- been talking about this, I think, for some time. I will say the 26% is a little bit offset, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, with some equipment sales that supported those about $8 million, but still strong 20%-ish growth that we think can continue for the foreseeable future. If you really look at sort of the regions, it was really broad-based across all four regions. North America, we certainly saw an acceleration that we talked about quite a bit coming out of the fourth quarter with installations and sort of some pent-up demand. As we mentioned, we got through that in Q1. Really, Q2 was just continued solid progression and execution against the platform. Same thing in AMS in North America, we continue to see a reacceleration of progress with more ATM deployments into our independent ATM network here in North America. If you move on to Latin America, again, good growth there. We've seen some -- we talked about in the fourth quarter, we talked about some reacceleration, particularly in Brazil, as we continue to really focus more on AMS there versus sort of traditional CIT and in many cases, in certain market segments, we're only offering DRS. This has really been coming through, and we see this in the numbers and again, see that coming not just in Brazil, but also in Mexico and other areas of Latin America. I'd say that the offset to that and what we're seeing this broadly would have been our Global…

George Tong

Analyst

Got it. That's very helpful color. Sticking with AMS and DRS, could you directionally parse out the growth in terms of which of the two grew stronger? Where was the growth really led by? And how much of the growth came from conversions of legacy traditional CIT services and Cash and Valuables Management versus new business wins of non-existing customers?

Mark Eubanks

Management

Sure. So I'll speak broadly George because I don't have that -- all that much detail all the way down by segment in each of those. But what I would say is we think it's about -- well it traditionally been about one-third of new business kind of unvended customers. About one-third of our AMS/DRS would be conversions. And then the other one-third would be competitive wins or to us they're new customers whether they were served by another DRS provider or another CIT provider that would be -- or for AMS the same. So I'd say it's about one-third, one-third, one-third is how we look at it. Largely in the quarter we would have seen higher growth and you can see the numbers in North America, but really a pretty balanced AMS/DRS globally getting good growth out of both neither are sort of outperforming let's say the number. And our balance in the AMS/DRS this has also been some of the discussion in the past is really -- it's not 50-50. DRS is a little bit bigger, but it's not 60-40 either. So somewhere in that 50-50 -- 60-40 range DRS being a little larger. And that continues to progress at the same scale.

George Tong

Analyst

Got it. Very helpful. Thank you.

Mark Eubanks

Management

Great. Thanks, George.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Tim Mulrooney with William Blair. Please go ahead.

Tim Mulrooney

Analyst

Kurt, Mark good morning.

Mark Eubanks

Management

Hey, Tim. Good morning. Welcome to the call. Glad to have you onboard.

Kurt McMaken

Management

Hi, Tim.

Tim Mulrooney

Analyst

Glad to be here. Thank you very much. Just a couple of questions for me this morning. We saw some nice improvements in the North America organic growth in the second quarter here. So, I'm curious is there a good way to think about organic growth run rate as we move into the back half of this year? Is that -- what we saw in the second quarter is that a good number to think about representative for the back half? Or do you expect another step-up here as we move into the second half of the year?

Mark Eubanks

Management

Yes, Tim and we talked about a year ago really we were this portfolio rationalization we did was in Q2 of last year. So, there's a little bit of hangover I'd say in this quarter still. That was a headwind for us. But if you think about the progression we saw in Q4 -- last year Q1, now in Q2, we think there's a little bit more of a step-up as we think about Q3 and Q4 that will continue sort of toward that mid-single-digit run rate that we think is the exit rate for the year.

Tim Mulrooney

Analyst

Yes. That's exactly what I was wondering, Mark, that lapping the portfolio rationalization there was a little bit more there. So, thank you.

Mark Eubanks

Management

Yes. Q2 should be -- I mean I'm sorry Q3 would be our first full clean quarter on that. Now, the underlying piece of this a little bit is the -- still the global services business that's in the North America segment. That has been a little bit soft. And that's a substantial business for us. But that's in the CVM numbers.

Tim Mulrooney

Analyst

Got it. Okay. Thank you. And then shifting gears here from North America down to Latin America, I mean, it just looks like that FX headwind spiked quite a bit in Latin America. And you're able to get pricing offset most of that. But can you just like stepping back can you just help us understand a bit better how you're approaching this inflationary issue if there is an expectation for this elevated headwind to continue through the year? And any detail on how the Latin America segment is performing outside of these highly inflationary areas like Argentina?

Mark Eubanks

Management

Sure. So maybe I'll take the Argentina piece first. Argentina largely is in line with our expectations for the year and really has not been a big headwind for us relative to our to where we are today and kind of what we see the rest of the year. We have seen some -- a little bit of margin compression that I mentioned in the prepared remarks about just really catch-up over the steep devaluation that occurred at the end of the year last year. But on a revenue perspective, largely okay. Our pricing continues -- cadence continues and we think we can hold -- continue to do what we've done in the past. I think the one that we would -- that caught us in the second quarter was the Mexican peso and the Brazilian real. There was an election down there. That's not really a highly inflationary market as we think about it, but those are good business for us, they're big businesses for us, and they're profitable businesses. So, that -- we did see some headwind that we had to largely perform through in the first half. If we took the -- and that's sort of the way we're thinking about the future in the back half. We -- and Kurt mentioned it in the prepared remarks that we think there's a -- if you took current rates, we think there could be anywhere from $50 million to $75 million worth of revenue headwind from those currencies. This is not really again an Argentina issue. And so for us this is where we would continue to think about and how we are going to run the business and how we manage the business and whether that's uncontrollable costs or overdriving productivity that we have been doing. In fact, we did a little bit of restructuring in the first half and quite [Technical Difficulty] in Q2. That was related to our margins in Latin America. Otherwise, we would have had good expansion in Q2, excluding that restructuring. Of course, that's in our numbers, but we think it was the right kind of investment to make for the future to right-size our footprint in those markets. Kurt, anything else you want to add?

Kurt McMaken

Management

Tim, I might just add, that was also a reason. We mentioned that we had about a $30 million headwind in the first half of the year, yet it really overdrove on productivity and mix to drive the profitability. So we kind of overcame a lot of those headwinds from the FX side. And just to add kind of what Mark was saying about -- I think there was also a good way to think about the second half in terms of how we're thinking about trying to overdrive on other areas to overcome those kinds of headwinds, if you were to use those rates.

Mark Eubanks

Management

And one last thing, the tough thing for us Tim, obviously, we don't prognosticate on FX. I think this color is more about sort of current state, it sort of at the end of the quarter. I mean, I looked this morning, peso actually has strengthened this morning about 1.5%. So we've not traditionally seen Mexican peso be volatile. And so obviously, the election down there in the second quarter was part of that. But also, frankly, it's really Central Bank interest rate policy. And so as the regimes are moving back towards cutting or not cutting, I think this is something we'll continue to watch and be fluid as we go through it.

Kurt McMaken

Management

And organically, we're on track.

Tim Mulrooney

Analyst

Understood. Okay. Thanks very much and great quarter guys.

Mark Eubanks

Management

Yeah. Thanks, Tim. You're welcome again.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Tobey Sommer with Truist Securities. Please go ahead.

Jack Wilson

Analyst

Yeah. Hey, good morning, guys. This is Jack Wilson on for Toby. Maybe just to start out, can we really sort of maybe dig into sort of the long-term business mix and sort of how you see that developing with sort of AMS and DRS growing so quickly?

Mark Eubanks

Management

Yeah, sure, Jack. Good morning. We think this -- let me back up. We started at the beginning of the year talking about high teens to 20% kind of growth rates in AMS/DRS for the year and likely into the coming years. We think we can sustain that kind of growth rate. We obviously get into a lot of small -- or larger numbers as we go forward. We have accelerated here. We think some of these big customers are still pretty lumpy. We get some big ones, and so they end up impacting quarters. We think 20% still is kind of the right kind of organic growth rate. If you run that forward the next few years, it's not so hard to imagine we get to 30% penetration of our total portfolio in the coming two to three years, three to four years, whatever that math is. So we don't think there's a structural reason why we can't continue to grow given not only the conversion capability or potential in our portfolio, but the multiple of the unvended space, particularly in DRS, when you think about smaller retailer small and medium retailers, but then also on the AMS side as we start to see more banks globally outsourcing their networks to drive better productivity and efficiency in their networks.

Jack Wilson

Analyst

Okay. Great color there. And then just on the capital allocation front, so in the same vein, are there any sort of opportunities you see in the AMS/DRS space to sort of grow inorganically or to sort of add new technologies to the portfolio?

Kurt McMaken

Management

Yes Jack, this is Kurt. Yes, we have a nice pipeline of opportunities in AMS/DRS that's as we look to allocate capital if there's an acquisition that in terms of -- that looks attractive to us to advance our strategy, that's where we would do it. And so it's something we assess all the time. And as we talk about acquisitions, generally for us, there are a lot of hurdles that it has to cross to make sense for us relative to our total allocation of capital. The other thing we always do is make sure that we're doing it connected with all the other aspects of the -- of our capital allocation philosophy. So, we've got to make strong strategic sense and we do have opportunities that we're always looking at.

Mark Eubanks

Management

And so let me -- I'll just put a bit of a finer point on that. We have talked about this historically as well. We're -- we like our footprint. We like our portfolio today. We think geography, we've got a big geography, 52 countries operate in over 100. But anything that we would do of significance in M&A would be very tightly aligned to AMS and DRS, whether that was ATM networks and you've seen us in the past, whether it's PAI or NoteMachine in the UK. We've done a couple of little small bolt-ons here lately that were ATM networks. But we would be focused on that or somewhere in the hardware/software technology space connected to DRS or to AMS. And again, these would be with the focus of extending the value proposition to our customers that allows us to leverage our network that we have installed already and our customer base already to serve those customers in further up the value chain that would be a good value prop to them. And we talked about that on the call, whether that's cost productivity or improved reliability for ATM networks. This is an area where we continue to focus on thinking about the outsourcing of bank infrastructure that leverages our network.

Jack Wilson

Analyst

Sounds good. Thanks. I’ll turn it over.

Mark Eubanks

Management

Great.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mark Eubanks for any closing remarks.

Mark Eubanks

Management

Thank you all for joining us today. We appreciate all your support and look forward to speaking to you all soon. Thanks and have a great day.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.