Earnings Labs

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (BCRX)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 26, 2026

$8.89

-0.17%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

+10.76%

1 Week

+7.59%

1 Month

+19.62%

vs S&P

+27.94%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the BioCryst Fourth Quarter 2025 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Nick Wilder with BioCryst. Please go ahead.

Nick Wilder

Analyst

Good morning, and welcome to BioCryst's Full Year 2025 Corporate Update and Financial Results Conference Call. Participating with me today are President and CEO, Charlie Gayer; Chief Financial Officer, Babar Ghias; and Chief Development Officer, Dr. Bill Sheridan. A press release and slide presentation about today's news are available on our Investor Relations website. Today's call may contain forward-looking statements, including statements regarding future results, unaudited and forward-looking financial information, as well as the company's future performance and/or achievements. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which may cause our actual results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or implied in this presentation. For additional information, including a detailed discussion of these risks, please refer to Slide 2 of the presentation. In addition, today's conference call includes non-GAAP financial measures. For a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures against the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, please refer to the earnings press release available on our Investor Relations website. I'd now like to turn the call over to Charlie.

Charles Gayer

Analyst

Thanks, Nick. This is my first earnings call as CEO of BioCryst, and I'm happy about where the company is today and even more excited about our future. We closed 2025 with strong momentum, delivering full-year ORLADEYO revenue of $601.8 million. That was up 38% for the year and 43% when you exclude our Europe business that we sold in October. We are also starting 2026 on a high note as we expanded our HAE portfolio with our acquisition of Astra Therapeutics last month. As I step into my new role, I want to be clear about BioCryst's strategy. We are and will remain a profitable rare disease company committed to meeting the unmet needs of patients through commercialization, innovation, and excellence that is backed by well-understood biology and disciplined clinical development. Where we will continue to evolve is how focused and explicit we are about capital allocation and accountability. We want to ensure that every dollar we deploy has a clear line of sight to driving long-term value creation. Coming back to our HAE portfolio, we see a tremendous opportunity to build value by meeting the needs of a growing number of HAE patients. We view HAE not as a winner-take-all efficacy race, but as a structurally segmented market, driven by biology, patient preference, and real-world experience. Rather than a market that resets with every new entrant, we see a market that segments based on the needs of individual patients. We now have a portfolio of differentiated products in ORLADEYO capsules for ages 12 and up, ORLADEYO pellets for younger kids, and a late-stage asset in Navenibart. Each of these therapies will allow us to achieve growth and durable revenue within specific segments of the market. ORLADEYO has grown strongly in part because of its differentiation as the oral…

William Sheridan

Analyst

Thank you, Charlie. I'll cover our HAE programs to start with and then provide a brief update on our Netherton syndrome program. First, the Navenibart pivotal Phase III trial continues to recruit very well with strong enthusiasm for the study from investigators and potential trial patients. We expect to complete enrollment of the required 145 patients around the middle of 2026. The primary efficacy analysis of the alpha-Orbit pivotal trial will be the comparison between each navenibart dosing regimen and placebo with the time-normalized rate of investigator-confirmed HAE attacks through 6 months. The Phase II efficacy and safety profile that we are reporting at Quad AI this weekend from the ALPHA-SOLAR Trial is excellent, with no safety signals in 29 patients through up to 24 months of dosing and a reduction from baseline in mean attack rates of 92% for every 3 months of dosing and 90% for every 6 months of dosing. Overall, the mean attack rate decreased from 2.23 per month at baseline to 0.16 per month during navenibart treatment. For both dose regimens, the median attack rate reduction was 97%. These are outstanding results. These strong results illustrate the durability, consistency, and quality of treatment responses with navenibart and provide high confidence that the pivotal trial will be successful. We expect the pivotal trial results to confirm that navenibart every 3 months or every 6 months will set a new standard in the field and provide a very attractive choice for HAE patients seeking injectable prophylactic therapies. Second, we are thrilled that our application for ORLADEYO oral pellets for children aged 2 to less than 12 was approved by the FDA in December 2025. We're now continuing with marketing authorization applications in other major regions with the goal of transforming treatment choice for patients, parents, and children…

Babar Ghias

Analyst

Thanks, Bill. Last year was a defining year for our company. We delivered strong top-line growth, record profitability, and reinforced our strong balance sheet position. Those results weren't just numbers. They were proof that our strategy is working and our operating model is built for scale. Before I turn to financials, I want to highlight that we are providing more clarity in our financials to enable a better understanding of the strength of our core business. Please refer to today's press release for our GAAP financial metrics. In my remarks, I will be referring to non-GAAP figures, which are adjusted for the sale of the European ORLADEYO business, stock-based comp, workforce reduction costs, and transaction-related costs. We believe that non-GAAP figures provide a clearer view of the business on a forward-looking basis. Our non-GAAP 2025 total revenue increased 45% year-on-year. Since other revenues include contributions from Rapivab, which is non-core to our business, I would draw your attention to the non-GAAP ORLADEYO revenues, which increased by approximately $169 million or 43% year-on-year. This was a result of phenomenal day-to-day execution by our commercial team over the course of 2025. By leveraging our superior real-world evidence generation capabilities, we successfully drove higher patient volume and made significant progress on paid shipments. We have already started to see the impact of the European divestiture on our operating performance in Q4. Our non-GAAP operating profit jumped to $214 million, an increase of 198% year-on-year, the highest ever in BioCryst's history. R&D costs came down slightly in 2025 as we progress key programs while winding down some others and realigning the team structure. We anticipate that 2026 R&D costs will increase over 2025 as we complete the ongoing Phase III trial and BLA-enabling CMC activities for Novenibart. These activities, once complete, will naturally bring…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Laura Chico with Wedbush Securities.

Laura Chico

Analyst

I guess I wanted to start off on Navenibart. Could you talk a little bit more about the timing for the regulatory submission by year-end '27? Does that assume Phase III data still arriving by early '27? And I guess I just wanted to understand the steps that have to occur between top-line data and submission. And then, related to that, you mentioned the Quad AI late breaker. How should we think about this, I guess, in relation to ALPHA-STAR? It seems quite consistent in terms of the attack rate reductions. I'm wondering if there's incremental learning here, around maybe an attack-free period.

Charles Gayer

Analyst

Thanks, Laura. Yes, we're clearly super excited about Navenibart. And yes, everything is on track for filing, such that we would be on track for filing by the end of next year. And so on track for approval by late 2028. Bill, do you want to answer the question just about the regulatory process?

William Sheridan

Analyst

Sure. Like for other prophylactic therapies in HAE, 12 months is a chronic condition. You need 12 months of safety that will be delivered in mid-'27. And that's really what's driving the timing of the BLA submission. And what was the final question?

Charles Gayer

Analyst

And then the final question, just the data, yes, we're really excited about the data, the 92% reduction mean reduction for the 3-month dose, the 90% for the 6-month dose, just shows incredible consistency. I think what's also really important is the mean attack rate of 0.16 across the population from their baseline. That's fewer than two attacks per year for patients plus the severity of the attacks went down as well. So, for most of the year, patients are functionally attack-free, and that's what patients are looking for.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets.

Brian Abrahams

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Congrats on the continued strong progress. You talked a little bit about the ORLADEYO super responders staying on with good persistence for long periods of time. I guess, do you have any sense of how to predict who would be a super responder? And then just maybe along those lines, I'm curious how you envision positioning Navenibart in that context in terms of whether you push patients to switch to ORLADEYO? And then if they don't respond, Navenibart could be an option for them? Or would you be primarily positioning Navenibart for those 5,000 patients doing well on injectables who could use something that's less frequently dosed? Then, just maybe remind us of some of the aspects of the profile for Navenibart in terms of the number of injections, anti-drug antibodies, refrigeration requirements, just anything else that needs to be done with regards to formulation ahead of commercialization.

Charles Gayer

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Great. Thanks, Brian. I'll start, and then I'll have Bill answer some of those questions as well. As far as the predictability of the super responders in ORLADEYO, there really is no way to predict other than for patients to try. So, first of all, patients have to want to be on an oral, and we know that the majority of patients actually would prefer an oral. But as we've looked at all of our clinical data, all the different factors, age, sex, prior prophy history, weight, everything else, there is nothing that can predict who is going to respond. As we know, HAE attacks are often driven by stress and other life factors. And so, I think our strategy is to try to get patients who are interested in oral to try. Most of them do great. We want them to do a 3- to 6-month trial to really figure out if it's the right drug for them. And as we see, by a year, about 60% of them realize that it is the right drug for them. As far as the Navenibart positioning versus ORLADEYO, we see the primary opportunity for Navenibart to be those 5,000 patients on injectables. Like I said in my remarks, those patients are on injectables because they're doing well, but some of them are injecting 100-plus times a year. And so, to be able to do just 2 to 4 injections, we think, is going to be really compelling, and that's what we see in our patient research. So ORLADEYO then is going to be for patients who want to start prophy on oral, it's going to be the known, the trusted option with many years of data and experience. So ORLADEYO is for anyone who wants oral. Navenibart is for people who want an even better injectable positioning. And then for those patients who try ORLADEYO and it's not the drug for them, that also is an opportunity for Navenibart, all within the same BioCryst portfolio. For Navenibart, the number of injections is really going to be very simple. So, it's going to be launched with an auto-injector and the 3-month dose after a 600-milligram loading dose, which will be 2 injections, 2 milliliter injections. The 3-month dose is then 1 injection. The 6-month dose is 2 injections. So very simple. And then, Bill, there was also a question just around ADAs and other things.

William Sheridan

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

Yes. Before I get into that, with regard to predictability, I'll just reinforce what Charlie said. You have to try ORLADEYO to find out whether you're going to be a super responder. And so, it benefits people in every category with HAE. So, in addition to age, sex, race, weight, prophy exposure, you can also add to that whether you have a high attack rate or a low attack rate, whether it's less or more predictable, whether you have type 1 or type 2 HAE or C1 inhibitor normal HAE, all of those categories benefit. And we've shown that very definitively from both our clinical trials and our real-world evidence studies. So, you also asked about the maturity of the formulation development program for Navenibart. It's all done. It's very mature. CMC is in a great spot.

Brian Abrahams

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

And then just a question about ADA?

William Sheridan

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

With regard to ADA, there's no evidence of ADA impacting efficacy in the Phase II experience. And of course, with every biologic, it's part of the development program that you develop assays and look for ADAs; you always find them. What matters is whether people continue to benefit from the drug. And so far, that is exactly the case. There's no evidence of ADA impacting either safety or efficacy.

Charles Gayer

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

And just to remind folks, the data being presented this weekend, these are patients on Navenibart who out to as far as 24 months with a mean of about 12 months.

William Sheridan

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets.

So, one last thing about the injections, they don't hurt.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Steve Seedhouse with Cantor Fitzgerald.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald.

This is Timurvaniov on for Steve. For Neethererton, we just wanted to clarify, are you guys going to be releasing Part 3 and 4 data at the same time? And then also, could you talk about disease severity, the variability at baseline? Do you anticipate how difficult it would be to enroll more uniform patients? And then what background treatments are allowed, and how patients proceed based on their disease phenotype?

Charles Gayer

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald.

Okay. I'll start with just the Part 3 and 4, and then Bill can talk about the disease severity and the patient types. Our plan is to release all the data together. We're only going to have maybe 2 or 3 patients in Part 3. And as Bill said, we're now prepared across our sites to go into Part 4, and that 3-month dosing is what we think is really going to be meaningful. So we don't plan to do one patient at a time. We want to release a complete data set. And then Bill, just talk about the patients.

William Sheridan

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald.

With regard to the spectrum of severity, there is one for sure, in Netherton syndrome. What we're finding from our research on the prevalence of disease, for example, is that, as Charlie said, it's underdiagnosed, and that's mostly because there are no approved treatments, but also because of the differences in severity from one patient to the next. The patients we've met with this illness have obvious, really obvious disease, and they have adapted coping strategies. And that their lives have been dramatically impacted. That part of it, I'm not worried about in terms of recruiting subjects. So the investigators that we have that are lining up their subjects are more worried about getting spots for their subjects in the trial rather than not having enough patients to put in the trial. With regard to the eligibility, yes, we need to have evidence of illness so that we can identify whether there's a benefit from the drug. So we're doing that. We're selecting patients who have an obvious illness. And I think it will be fine. I'm not worried about that.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Maury Raycroft with Jeffries.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Jeffries.

This is Amy on for Maury. Congratulations on the quarter. Just a follow-up on a previous question. Can you provide more specifics on how you would provide updates and disclosure around the Navenibart program? And can you talk about your strategy to potentially get the FDA to accelerate the timelines?

Charles Gayer

Analyst · Jeffries.

Sure. So for Navenibart, as Bill mentioned, the enrollment is going well. And so we would probably update once we have the pivotal study fully enrolled. And then, sorry, what was the second part?

William Sheridan

Analyst · Jeffries.

The second part is about doing our best to pull that forward as this program matures; that's obviously something we'll be focused on. So, for example, elements of the BLA that we can start writing, we'll start to write. We won't have a crystal clear understanding of the timing of the BLA until two things happen. And one is the last patient's first visit, so that we can predict when the last visit is for 12 months later, obviously. The next step is getting clarity with the division at a pre-BLA meeting on the total content of the BLA. And obviously, that comes later. So I think we'll be able to provide more clarity in due course.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Jon Wolleben with Citizens.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Citizens.

This is Catherine on for Jon. I just have a quick question about whether you guys are seeing any impact from the recent new entrants, including the oral acute therapies, and whether any patients are switching to ORLADEYO? Are you seeing differences in the reasons for patients switching? I know there's not really been much of an impact on revenues, but if you expect any impact or if you're starting to see it at all? Any color on that?

Charles Gayer

Analyst · Citizens.

Sure, Catherine. As we've said, particularly a lot last year leading up to new entrants coming in, we did not expect there to be an impact on ORLADEYO from new prophy entrants because there's a real difference between patients who want oral prophy and then patients who are more comfortable with injectables. So we expected the injectables to be competing more with existing injectables, and that's what we're seeing. So it's not changing ORLADEYO prescribing patterns or patient patterns in general. As far as oral on-demand, oral acute therapy, that's something we're certainly not seeing affect ORLADEYO negatively in any way. We think over time, there is a potential for a tailwind of just patients who want to be in an all oral combination, so one pill once a day to prevent attacks and then for the occasional breakthrough attacks, treat with another oral, that's a great opportunity for many patients. But it's too early to say whether that tailwind is going to occur.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Serge Belanger with Needham & Company.

John Todaro

Analyst · Needham & Company.

This is John on for Serge today. First, just on ORLADEYO. You guys took a 9% price increase in January. Beyond that, curious which levers you'll be looking at most closely in '26, whether it be maintaining trends of new patient adds or making slight improvements on paid prescription rates, either in Medicare or commercial channels. And then on the pellet formulation for pediatrics, curious how we should think about the pacing of patient identification and conversion throughout '26. And does your current guidance assume any material contribution from this segment this year?

Charles Gayer

Analyst · Needham & Company.

Great. Thanks, John. Yes, we did take up a 9% price increase in early January, which is higher than we've done in the past. We'll net about half of that, so about 4.5%. So that is something more because ORLADEYO was a lot lower priced than most of the other products in the market. And so this was just a little bit of a catch-up, but not something that we need that kind of pricing going forward to get to our long-term peak of $1 billion. For this year, the KPI that is most important to us is net patient growth. And as we've said, and it's in our slides today, what we need is 150 patients net patient growth average per year for this year and 3 more years to hit $1 billion in 2029. So we are very much within sight of getting to that $1 billion. And so that's the #1 thing. Of course, we're always working to improve the paid rate incrementally. We made a big jump in the last year. And now it's just about making incremental improvements, and we're using our real-world evidence. So, for example, in patients with normal C1 inhibitor, we're starting to see more plans adopt favorable coverage policies for this based on the real-world evidence that we're providing. So that's a constant process. Then, for the pellets, one of the things I mentioned in my remarks is that HAE is underdiagnosed in kids. We found about 500 patients in claims data for kids under age 12. But statistically, based on the epidemiology, there should be 1,200. And one of the reasons is parents are sometimes reluctant to get their kids tested because they're frankly hoping their kids don't have HAE. But the availability of an oral therapy, we think, and we've seen this in the early days of the HAE market, having a therapy encourages diagnosis. So there's a market growth opportunity. And then kids are only treated with prophy at about a 40% rate, which is half that of adults. And so there's a potential to up to double the number of kids diagnosed and up to double the treatment rate. And we think that an oral prophy is the thing to do. Then, as far as guidance, yes, the peads launch is in our guidance for this year, but it's a really small part. We are very bullish long-term on what this indication is going to mean for kids and for revenue. But what we don't know is how quickly that transformation is going to happen. And so we've been conservative in our thinking for this year. And then we'll see how it goes. But if it goes faster than we expect, it could be a tailwind.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Stacy Ku with TD Cowen.

Vishwesh Shah

Analyst · TD Cowen.

This is Vish on for Stacy. Congratulations on a great year, and I really appreciate your comments on the competitive dynamics. We have a couple. So first, for ORLADEYO, expectations for Q1. Can you give us an idea of how the reauthorization process is progressing this year? We know you made some improvements in the process last year, which resulted in faster-than-expected reauthorizations. So just walk us through what you're seeing and what we, and investors, should expect for Q1? Then, second and final for us, given the EU business sale, are you willing to split your 2026 guidance for U.S. and ex-U.S. contributions? How should we be thinking about that?

Charles Gayer

Analyst · TD Cowen.

Great. Thanks, Vish. I'll take the first question and pass it over to Babar for the second question. Every Q1 is the big reauthorization season. It's a ton of work. Our team prepares for it. They're right in the midst of that process, and our team has gotten really good at it. What you should expect for Q1, because this year, we don't have any huge tailwind like we did last year with the Medicare patients and the IRA, making it more affordable for patients. The Medicare patients are in great shape. So we won't have that tailwind. So this year, you should expect revenue probably to be slightly down versus Q4 as we go through the reaff. We have to give away more free product. We have to pay a higher percentage of co-pays for the commercial patients. And so that drops revenue even as our patient base continues to grow. So down a bit in Q1 and then it pops up again in Q2. And Babar, do you want to just talk about the U.S. versus global?

Babar Ghias

Analyst · TD Cowen.

With respect to your question on the costs and contributions from Europe, if you look at our press release in the financial tables, we actually attempted to break out all that European business. I think, as we have previously stated, that European business, while growing, was also loss-making. So you can actually see that our base business margins were incredibly strong compared to the U.S. The U.S. business margins are incredibly strong compared to Europe. So when you look at that profitability metric that I quoted, the $214 million, that strips out all of Europe. And from the exhibits, you can glean that the base business costs are $380 million for the U.S. in 2025. To give you a perspective on what it looks like in 2026, and this goes back to the same cost discipline, we shut off Europe, but we added a very, very highly derisked late-stage program in Navenibart. So our total costs are in the $450 million to $470 million range, of which the base business is actually not growing by much. The cost additions are primarily coming from adding Astria. So that's the discipline that I talked about that we will continue to make sure that our base business costs remain low, and we continue to drive growth. I hope that answers your question.

Vishwesh Shah

Analyst · TD Cowen.

Yes. My question was relating to the 2026 guidance, the $625 million to $645 million that we're expecting for this year. How should we think about the U.S. and ex-U.S. split there?

Babar Ghias

Analyst · TD Cowen.

Yes. So a majority of that is going to be from the U.S. We have retained some markets. And as you can see, after Europe, the split is now it's a little bit over 90%. So, while we're not breaking out, the majority of that is coming from the U.S. business.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Charlie Dyer for any closing remarks.

Charles Gayer

Analyst

Thanks very much. 2026, as we've been describing, is a really big year for BioCryst. We've got continued ORLADEYO patient growth. We're super excited about the launch of ORLADEYO for kids. A lot of important clinical trial execution for Novenibart and 17725 is going well. And I'd really like to thank all the hard-working owners at BioCryst for what they did to make 2025 a great year and what they're doing this year to deliver another year of great results. So thanks, everyone. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.