Earnings Labs

Belden Inc. (BDC)

Q3 2020 Earnings Call· Wed, Oct 28, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to this morning’s Belden Incorporated Conference Call. Just as a reminder, today’s call is being recorded. At this time, you are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Kevin Maczka. Please go ahead, sir.

Kevin Maczka

Analyst

Thank you, Mary. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for Belden’s third quarter 2020 earnings conference call. My name is Kevin Maczka, I’m Belden’s Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer. With me this morning are Belden’s President and CEO Roel Vestjens and CFO Henk Derksen. Roel will provide a strategic overview of our business, and then Henk will provide a detailed review of our financial and operating results, followed by Q&A. We issued our earnings release earlier this morning, and we have prepared a Slide presentation that we will reference on this call. The press release, presentation, and transcript of these prepared remarks are currently available online at investor.belden.com. Turning to Slide 2 in the presentation. During this call management will make certain forward looking statements in reliance upon the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. For more information, please review today’s press release and our annual report on Form 10-K. Additionally, during today’s call management will reference adjusted or non-GAAP financial information. In accordance with Regulation G, the appendix to our presentation and the investor relations section of our website contain a reconciliation of the most closely associated GAAP financial information to the non-GAAP financial information we communicate. I will now turn the call over to our President and CEO Roel Vestjens. Roel.

Roel Vestjens

Analyst

Thank you, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. As a reminder, I’ll be referring to adjusted results today. Please turn to Slide 3 in our presentation for a review of our third quarter highlights. Business conditions improved during the third quarter, and I am pleased to report solid double-digit sequential increases in revenue, EPS, and free cash flow. Third quarter revenues increased 12% sequentially to $475.8 million, with both of our segments delivering organic growth on a sequential basis in the quarter. EPS increased 57% sequentially to $0.72, and free cash flow increased 78% sequentially to $35.7 million. I’m extremely proud of the way our global workforce has responded to the unprecedented challenges this year. The teams remain highly engaged and committed to supporting our valued customers while maintaining the safest possible working conditions. These significantly improved results demonstrate the continued dedication of our associates around the world. During the quarter, we made further significant progress with our $60 million SG&A cost reduction program. We expect to deliver $40 million of these savings in 2020 and the full $60 million in 2021. Our teams delivered $12 million in savings in the third quarter as expected, and we intend to deliver the full $15 million quarterly run rate savings in the fourth quarter. When fully realized, this represents approximately 300 basis points of incremental EBITDA margin expansion on an annual basis. As a reminder, these are permanent cost reductions that will not return as conditions normalize. As we successfully execute our cost reduction plans, we continue to make strategic investments to accelerate growth and capitalize on the opportunities in our key markets. To that end, R&D spending increased 26% year-over-year in the quarter, with over 60% of this investment now dedicated to software development. This includes standalone software and embedded software within…

Henk Derksen

Analyst

Thank you Roel. Please turn to Slide 5 for a detailed consolidated review. I will start my comments with results for the quarter, followed by a review of our segment results and a discussion of the balance sheet and cash flow performance. As a reminder, I will be referencing adjusted results today. Revenues were $475.8 million dollars in the quarter, compared to $533.1 million in the third quarter of 2019. Revenues decreased 10.7% on a year-over-year basis and increased 12.0% sequentially. After adjusting for a $4.9 million favorable impact from acquisitions and a $5.2 million favorable impact from currency translation and higher copper prices, revenues declined 12.6% organically on a year-over-year basis. After adjusting for a $12.3 million favorable impact from currency translation and higher copper prices, revenues increased 9.1% organically on a sequential basis. Recall that we entered the third quarter with a planning assumption that our channel partners would pursue a reduction in channel inventory levels of $25 million during the second half of the year and $70 million for the full-year 2020. Our expectation for the full-year is unchanged, but we now expect most of the second half reduction to occur in the fourth quarter after experiencing only modest reductions of approximately $3 million in the third quarter. Gross profit margins in the quarter were 35.3%, declining 210 basis points compared to 37.4% in the year-ago period. This decline was primarily due to lower volumes. EBITDA was $65.3 million dollars, compared to $49.1 million in the prior quarter and $90.0 million in the prior-year period. EBITDA margins were 13.7%, compared to 11.6% in the prior quarter and 16.9% in the prior-year period. As Roel mentioned, we made further significant progress with our $60 million SG&A cost reduction program. Consistent with our commitment, we delivered savings of $12…

Roel Vestjens

Analyst

Thank you, Henk. Please turn to Slide 12 for our outlook. As I mentioned previously, demand trends and visibility in our business are improving. As a result, we are resuming our traditional guidance practices. Assuming no further material disruptions related to COVID-19, we expect modest sequential improvement in underlying demand in the fourth quarter, partially offset by the incremental reduction in channel inventory levels that we discussed. We anticipate fourth quarter 2020 revenues to be between $460 million and $485 million, and EPS of $0.63 to $0.78. For the full-year 2020, we expect revenues to be between $1.824 billion and $1.849 billion, and EPS of $2.47 to $2.62. Before we conclude, I would like to reiterate our investment thesis. We view Belden as a very compelling investment opportunity, as we are significantly improving our portfolio and aligning around the favorable secular trends in Industrial Automation, Cybersecurity, Broadband & 5G, and Smart Buildings. Throughout this challenging period, we continue to invest in our business to position the Company for improving growth and robust margin expansion. As we successfully execute our strategic plans and deliver on our goals, we would expect this to drive superior returns for our shareholders. Finally, I would like to inform everyone that we will be hosting Belden’s 2020 Investor Day event virtually on Tuesday, December 15th. At this event, we will provide a detailed update on the Company’s strategy for creating shareholder value. We hope you will be able to join us for the live webcast. That concludes our prepared remarks, Mary, please open the call to questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator instructions] Your first question comes from Reuben Garner of Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Reuben Garner

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning everybody. So, maybe we can start, this is your - I guess you have been here for three or four - have been in this role for three or four months now. Can you just maybe give us some observations, update us on how things have been progressing in your new role. And as anything, I guess, changed in your mind since you took the seat earlier this year?

Roel Vestjens

Analyst

Sure. Thank you. So, obviously, it’s not an easy year to continue Belden’s transformation. But we are very excited about our strategic priorities. We highlighted the $60 million cost reduction, we highlight the strength of the balance sheet the Belden has. But probably even more importantly, we feel very good about the investments that we are making. Even in this time, where it’s offline is a little bit challenging. Of course, we continue to invest. And I think we highlighted about the 26% improvement of R&D investments. And we highlighted some of the areas where R&D investments are already yielding good returns. So, for example, our fiber and fiber related revenue and broadband in 5G year-to-date is up 70%. We feel good about the investments that we are making in the industrial Cybersecurity solutions, where we were able to record robust growth. So, I’m very excited. And we feel good about the investments that we are making.

Reuben Garner

Analyst

And so I guess you have got several different businesses, obviously with different macro items that are impacting them. Can you I mean, a lot of flipping takes going into next year. Can you just talk about maybe, you have got some short cycle business of sound comebacks and longer cycle visits that might, might take a while for return. Can you just kind of crystal ball, how you see the world today talk about what 2021 might look like with all the puts and takes from a market growth opportunity. And then obviously, you have made some investments to try to grow, grow and excellent to that. So can you just kind of give us the label in?

Roel Vestjens

Analyst

Yes, sure. So, we will guide 2021, either during our Investor Day that we just announced or when we report out Q4 results, but I think it is important to remind us of two things. So, first of all, we feel very good about three out of the four businesses. We leave mentioned that smart buildings, also in 2021 will probably be a little bit more challenging. There are verticals within the smart building segment that we see growth potential. But we have to be realistic, that the business will probably be challenged in 2021 as well. The other three businesses we feel good about. And a second thing, we should take into account is that, the $70 million of channel inventory draw that we expect in 2020 will obviously not return in 2021. So, that in it by itself will create a significant revenue growth. That is kind of how we see 2021.

Reuben Garner

Analyst

Perfect. Thank you, and good luck getting through the rest of the year. Stay safe everybody.

Roel Vestjens

Analyst

Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

We will now take our next question from Noelle Dilts with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Noelle Dilts

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Thanks. Good morning. Hi, gentlemen. And congrats on a good performance in the challenging environment.

Roel Vestjens

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Thank you Noelle.

Noelle Dilts

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Sure. So, my first question is around the channel partner inventory reduction. Given that they have sort of been running below your expectations, I’m just curious, why you are still expecting them to occur in the fourth quarter. I guess my question is, is there a chance it might be a little bit less than the $25 million you have been talking about.

Roel Vestjens

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Yes. Thanks for the question. So I think, the [Admixture Westco] (Ph) combination, the integration from what we can tell is going very, very well and we are very happy with the progress that they are making. But as a result of that, they didn’t draw as much inventory as we thought they would draw. And secondly, I think the balance that, our general partners are constantly trying to find is outweighing optimizing their working capital versus serving our customer needs. So, as they continue to improve and as they continue to update their revenue expectations, they will make the appropriate draws that they feel are appropriate at their inventory levels. So in Q2, we had a significant draw, in Q1 we had a significant draw, not so much in Q3. But we expect that they will draw the full $70 million before the end of the year.

Noelle Dilts

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Okay. And then on the increased investments in R&D, how should we think about that moving forward? It looks like R&D was running about 6.4% of sales in the quarter, is that a reasonable run rate as we think about this moving forward? Just kind of curious how you are thinking about those investments as we move into 2021.

Roel Vestjens

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Yes. It is. Yes, it is, that is a level that we feel comfortable with. We recognize that is an increase. But, we do expect that with the changing landscape within Industrial Automation, the further investments required for our Cybersecurity offering on the industrial floor, and as well as remaining very innovative on the Broadband and 5G segment that we have to increase that level of investments. But like I said, that should be approximately the run rate that we should expect and we feel comfortable with.

Noelle Dilts

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Okay, great. And then last, I’m hoping you could just dig a little bit deeper into the trends you are seeing in Broadband. Clearly, a lot of nice moments on outside the home, and I think that inside the home business has benefited a bit this year from social distancing, with some you are - Just could you give us some thoughts on how you see that developing into next year? Do you expect declines on inside the home business, given the tough comp and do you think that can be offset by growth on the outside the home piece?

Roel Vestjens

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Yes. Thank you. We continue to expect mid single-digits growth in that segment, that remains unchanged and we feel that the largest growth opportunity consistent with what we have learned in the past that consistent with our strategic investments will be outside of the home and driven by fiber. So, in this quarter, for example in Q3, our outside of the home revenue increased by 9%. So, we do expect that that trend to continue into 2021.

Noelle Dilts

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Great. Thank you.

Roel Vestjens

Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead.

Your are welcome.

Operator

Operator

We can now take our next question from Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Mark Delaney

Analyst

Yes, I was hoping you could speak a little bit more about the improvements the company has been seeing within fiber. And I think the company said that specific business is up and growing, maybe if you can update us on what percentage of Broadband & 5G business when you think about both outside and inside the home internality is now made up of fiber? And then how much is copper. And if you could also dough tale how do you see that evolving overtime. You know the company had talked about trying to access some of the mature copper portfolios or just trying to think through that evolution?

Roel Vestjens

Analyst

Yes, for sure. So, at the end of the third quarter Mark, there are fiber business for Broadband & 5G, the unit was approximately 30% of total revenues. And that compared to - let me say 2018, for example, where it was 5%. So, we made substantial improvements in the facility on the fiber side. Outside of the home and inside of the home is primarily a focus. And we expect to exit the year with more than 60% of our business geared or focused towards outside of the home.

Mark Delaney

Analyst

And on a mature copper portfolio, some of that business I think something was looking to back away from overtime. Can you talk a little bit about the latest thoughts on that?

Roel Vestjens

Analyst

Yes, sure. So, we are encouraged by the engagement that we are seeing from strategic as well as financial buyers.

Mark Delaney

Analyst

Okay, and then finally on margins in the fourth quarter. I was hoping to better understand gross margins in the December quarter. I think consensus EPS was a bit higher on similar revenue to what the company had guided to, so I’m not sure if maybe the company is thinking there is a little bit lower gross margin. Maybe something is kind of flattish quarter-on-quarter like 35%, or maybe that there is some increase in OpEx. So, I’m just trying to better understand gross margins in OpEx trends and better understand where maybe that disconnect is - EPS the industries as versus what the company like additive?

Roel Vestjens

Analyst

Yes, so gross profit margins in the fourth quarter, we expect to be about 36%. As I mentioned, we continue to focus on making investments in R&D. So, total OpEx approximately 24.5% to 25% in the fourth quarter.

Mark Delaney

Analyst

Understood. Thank you very much.

Roel Vestjens

Analyst

Your are welcome Mark.

Operator

Operator

Kevin Maczka there are no further questions at this time, please continue.

Kevin Maczka

Analyst

Okay, thank you, Mary. And thank you everyone for joining today’s call. As Roel mentioned, we will be hosting Belden’s 2020 Investor Day event virtually on Tuesday, December 15th. Please be on the lookout for registration details. For those of you that would like to join us for the live webcast, which will be accessible via Belden Investor Relations website. If you have any questions, please reach out to our IR team at Belden our email address is investor.relations@belden.com. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our call for today. You may now disconnect from call and thank you for participation.