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BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI)

Q1 2009 Earnings Call· Fri, Apr 24, 2009

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the BJ's Restaurants First Quarter 2009 Results Conference Call. (Operator instructions). This conference is being recorded for replay today, Thursday, April 23, 2009 and will be available after 4 O'clock Pacific Standard Time today through April 30th at midnight. You may access the replay system at any time by dialing 303-590-3030 or toll free 800-406-7325 and entering the access code number of 4052692. Now I like to turn the conference over to Mr. Jerry Deitchle. Please go ahead, sir.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Thanks, operator, and hello, everybody. I'm Jerry Deitchle with BJ's Restaurants and welcome to our first quarter 2009 investor conference call, which we're also broadcasting live over the Internet. After the market closed today, we released our financial results for the first quarter of 2009 that ended on March 31st and you can view the full text of our earnings release on our Web site at www.bjsrestaurants.com. Joining me on the call today is Greg Levin, our Executive VP and CFO; Greg Lynds, our Executive VP and Chief Development Officer; and Diane Scott, our Director of Corporate Relations. The agenda for our call today will be as follows First, I'll provide a brief business and operational overview for the first quarter of 2009 and also discuss some of our upcoming key initiatives and expansion plans. Then Greg Lynds will comment on the status of our new restaurant development pipeline. After that, Greg Levin will comment on our consolidated income statement, our summary balance sheet, and our liquidity position as of the end of the first quarter, and after that, we'll be happy to answer your questions. We're going to get our call started right after Diane provides our standard cautionary disclosure with respect to forward-looking statements. Diane, go ahead.

Diane Scott

Management

Our comments on the conference call today will contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause the actual results, performance, or achievements of the company to be materially different from any future results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that undue reliance should not be placed on such statements. Our forward-looking statements speak only as of today's date, April 23, 2009. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements or to make any other forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, unless required to do so by the securities laws. Investors are referred to the full discussion of risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements contained in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Thanks, Diane. Now on to the substance of our conference call today I think that in spite of all of the continuing pressures of the current recessionary economy, our leadership team here at BJ's were very pleased that BJ's continued to achieve solid forward momentum during the first quarter in terms of building both our top-line and our bottom-line results. Most importantly, we continued to build additional market share in the estimated 80 billion or so casual dining segment of the restaurant industry. We also have a responsibility to prudently manage our business in response to the shorter-term pressures of the current recession and we believe that we've been reasonably effective in doing that so far as we continue to believe that BJ's continues to perform relatively well when compared to most of our similarly situated casual dining competitors in terms of size, scope of operations, available resources and geographical concentration. As we mentioned on our last conference call, our principal short-term focus is to outwork and outperform our peers during these tough times and at the same time continue to prudently invest in the overall quality differentiation of the BJ's concept and the strength of our restaurant support infrastructure. By doing so, what we believe that BJ's can be a high quality, early recovery opportunity for even more consumers and investors when the current recession eventually begins to abate. While some of our competitors have adopted a – what we would call a save your way to success strategy during these tough times, BJ's continues to execute our Grow Your Way to success strategy in a very productive and efficient manner. Over the long-term, we plan to continue building profitable market share in the casual dining segment, primarily through the gradual and steady opening of new restaurants over time.…

Greg Lynds

Management

Thanks, Jerry. Good afternoon, everybody. As we noted in our press release today, our 2009 new restaurant development pipeline remains in excellent shape and we continue to be very pleased with the quality of the new sites in our pipeline. Our new restaurant development strategy continues to focus on acquiring AAA, quality locations in mature, densely populated trade areas with premiere co-tenants that create maximum synergy in terms of guest traffic and brand positioning. We also continue to believe that today's softening commercial real estate market represents an attractive opportunity for BJ's to continue securing prime locations with favorable lease economics. So far in 2009 we've opened two successful restaurants. On March 9th, we opened in a dense mature submarket of Henderson, Nevada. We opened at the main entry of an existing mixed use retail and office complex known as Silverado Center. Then on March 16th we opened on a free standing pad to the main entry of the 950,000 square foot Oaks Regional Shopping Mall in Gainesville, Florida. This site was a former Don Pablo's Restaurant that we completely bulldozed prior to starting the construction of our new BJ's. As we mentioned in today's press release, both of these restaurants have opened with strong initial sales volumes. Our Gainesville restaurant set a new non-California BJ's opening sales record for us by generating sales in excess of $150,000 a week. And our Henderson site continues to achieve sales well in excess of $100,000 per week. The rest of our targeted seven restaurants to nine restaurants openings for 2009 have been identified and secured with signed leases, letters of intent, and four of these restaurants are already under construction. We're under construction in Mesquite, Texas; Downey, California; Allen, Texas; and Concord, California. We plan to start construction on as many as…

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Hey, thanks, Greg. We continue to believe that BJ's (inaudible) economics remain very sound. They support a continued steady pace of new restaurant expansion. As Greg mentioned, the hallmark of BJ's new restaurant development program has always been AAA, quality location in very mature, densely populated trade areas with premiere co-tenants that create maximum consumer synergy. There are certainly not any shortage of sites in general to support our longer-term expansion plan, but currently, I think as all of our investors know (inaudible) of the recent slowdown in retail project development across the country, there are less high quality sites available today in the trade areas where we want to develop that will best leverage our supply chain, our field supervision infrastructure and our overall brand awareness with the consumer. We're always going to pick quality over quantity when it comes to our new restaurant locations. So as we put together our pipeline for 2010, we'll keep you informed as this current year unfolds. One benefit of our reduced pace of planned expansion during 2009 this year is that we should be able to finance our new restaurant expansion primarily with internally generated cash from operations and our committed (inaudible) construction contributions. We believe that's a very favorable financial position to be in. So now I'm going to turn the call over to Greg Levin, our CFO for his comments on the quarter. Greg, go ahead.

Greg Levin

Management

Alright. Thanks, Jerry. Let me take a couple of minutes and go through some of the highlights for the first quarter and provide some forward-looking commentary for the rest of 2009. As Jerry previously noted our total revenues for BJ's first quarter of 2009 increased 18% to approximately $102.4 million from $86.8 million in the prior year's comparable quarter. This increase is the result of approximately 20% more operating weeks offset by a 1.5% decrease in our weekly sales average. The operating-week increase is due to a net 15 more restaurants that we have opened compared to the first quarter of 2009. As Jerry mentioned, our aggregate comparable restaurant sales for the first quarter decreased only 1/10th or 1%, and while we do not give out monthly comparable restaurant sales, in general, our monthly comparable restaurant sales trends were pretty consistent with what we have heard from other restaurants and retailers and that our comp sales comparisons for the month of January were slightly better than our comparisons for the month of February and March. For those of you that have been following BJ's over the last year, we have mentioned that our softness in the comparable restaurant sales metrics primarily began in the Sacramento Central California region, Inland Empire areas of California, and the Phoenix, Arizona market. These are regions of high growth over the last several years and the housing meltdown and related slowdown in overall construction activity has taken their toll on these local economies. As we stated before, we have ten restaurants in the Sacramento Central California and the Inland Empire areas of California that were in our comparable restaurant base since the beginning of 2008. These ten restaurants had comparable restaurant sales decreases in the 6% range to last year's first quarter and then gradually…

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Hey, thanks, Greg. Before we wrap up our remarks and take some questions, just a couple of more comments here. First of all, we've gotten off to a very solid start here in 2009 on almost every measure. We've got solid forward momentum in place today and really look forward to executing our key initiatives and our expansion plan as we move throughout 2009. The other thought that we'd like to leave with you before we take some questions is that we're going to reiterate our confidence in BJ's longer-term ability to continue to build market share in the casual dining segment. In our view, the casual dining segment is still a very attractive place to be in the restaurant industry. We don't think that the estimated $80 billion or so annual casual dining sales is going to disappear any time soon. Depending on current pressures in the macro environment, the segment may not grow as fast as it did in past years, it may even narrow a bit, but it's still a large, highly fragmented segment that's populated with thousands of restaurants that in our view, have gradually felt a gravitational pull downward over the years in terms of their overall quality, their points of differentiation, their overall energy level, their approachability, their relevance, and frankly, their overall value for the money. We believe that all of these factors play to the strengths of the BJ's concept. So we remain fully committed to our longer-term strategy to drive our concept and our business forward, and by doing so we should be even better positioned when the current economic cycle begins to turnaround. Until it does, we're going to keep doing our absolute best to control what we can control, to drive sales, to do our best to become even more productive and efficient in our overall execution. So that wraps up our remarks, and now we're going to open up the call for your questions. And if we don't have time to get to your question on the call, please feel free to call us at our offices. We're on California time and we'll be around for a while. So operator, we'll take some questions.

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions). Our first question comes from the line of David Tarantino with Robert W. Baird. Please go ahead, sir. David Tarantino – Robert W. Baird: Hi, good afternoon, and congratulations on a good start to the year.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Thanks, David. David Tarantino – Robert W. Baird: One clarification question on the comps. I think, Jerry, you mentioned that the Easter shift had an impact on the early Q2 comps. Can you quantify what the impact was on that early Q2 figure that you mentioned, and I guess (inaudible) in Q1?

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Sure. I'm going to turn – I'm going to let Greg comment on that I think he's got the data. Greg?

Greg Levin

Management

Yes, David, the flip flop was worth about 0.2% in regards to comp sales, and the reason for that is you get the pickup in the middle of the week related to spring break all around Easter time, then you lose it on the Saturday, Sunday. So in essence, you probably picked up about 0.1% to 0.2% in the first quarter and then down 0.1% to 0.2% here in the second quarter. David Tarantino – Robert W. Baird: Okay. That's on a quarterly run rate basis so –

Greg Levin

Management

That's correct. David Tarantino – Robert W. Baird: Right. Okay, great. Thank you. And then on your average weekly sales guidance down 2% to 4%, what – look like the gap between the comps and the average weekly sales narrows this quarter, presumably because of the good new unit performance. Do you expect the spread between those two numbers to continue to be in the Q1 range or would it widen as the year progresses?

Greg Levin

Management

Well, there's a couple things. In regards to the first quarter, I think we got a little bit of a narrowing spread. Some of that might have been due to we – due to January, which frankly, was a good month for us overall all weeks in January. And as we come in to this quarter with Easter and so on, we're seeing kind of that continued trend as the flattish numbers that we've seen. I do think it maybe you get back towards the second half of this year with a little bit more California restaurants in there that, that spread would narrow. David Tarantino – Robert W. Baird: Okay. So I guess the implication then would be your guidance would contemplate negative comps for the rest of the year? Is that how you're thinking about it?

Greg Levin

Management

Well, we don't really give guidance on comps specifically. I think what we've seen over this first quarter, what we saw frankly last year, is probably pretty consistent to what we're going to see through the remainder of 2009. David Tarantino – Robert W. Baird: Okay. Thanks. That's helpful. And then last question on the comp side, Jerry, you mentioned lot of initiatives to drive comps, and could you just elaborate on some of the menu initiatives that you mentioned? You cited several exciting new entrees and product. Could you just tell us a little bit more about what's going on there?

Jerry Deitchle

Management

I'd be delighted to. In our upcoming May menu change, which is going to be as I mentioned one of the most ambitious I think that BJ's has undertaken, we're going to do a number of things. We're going to be introducing our flatbread appetizer pizzas. We're going to be introducing a Thai shrimp lettuce wrap dish, which is absolutely terrific. We're going to be introducing two new signature pizzas, a Southwestern pizza and a combination pizza, pepperoni, sausage, and mushroom pizza, which happens to be one of the most popular combinations that our guests already order so we're going to go ahead and put that on the menu as a regular item. We're updating our alcoholic beverage spirits offerings with 10 to 12 new bar drink recipes. We're upgrading several of our current entrees with new presentations and new flavor profiles. We're going to totally upgrade, what we call our current country fried steak with a Texas style chicken fried steak. Being from Texas and having consumed mass quantities of chicken fried streak over my lifetime, I was finally able to convince Ray Martin, our corporate chef to really take another look at our presentation so we've got a new version of that coming out. We've also got a new version of our pot roast, our Italian chopped salad, which we're going to call something else. We've got a new plating for our crispy potato skins. We've got a new plating presentation for our meatloaf and many, many other things. In fact, I think we have as many as 25 to 27 different menu additions or updates associated with this particular roll-out. So we're very, very excited about the ability to add more variety, more quality, more differentiation to our menu. I've been involved with BJ's for 4.5 years now, and really for the vast majority of my time here so far, we've really worked hard on our operational execution ability, our kitchen systems, our – and frankly, working on upgrading our kitchen talent. And now after done a lot of that work, we're now more comfortable and really beginning to work on expanding our menu and adding much more quality to our menu because we feel that we have a much – a better chance of correctly and consistently executing some of these higher quality menu items in our kitchens today. So we're very, very excited about that. David Tarantino – Robert W. Baird: Great. Thank you.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Nicole Miller with Piper Jaffray. Please go ahead. Nicole Miller – Piper Jaffray: Good afternoon. Greg, I'm sorry. I missed the preopening guidance for the second quarter.

Greg Levin

Management

Pre-opening guidance will be somewhere in the $600,000 range. Nicole Miller – Piper Jaffray: Was that $600,000 to $750,000. Did I miss that?

Greg Levin

Management

I thought you said you missed it, but that's what I think I said. I think I said $600,000 to $750,000. Nicole Miller – Piper Jaffray: Okay. Okay. And then I guess my question, Jerry, if you had any thoughts, it seems like the price points in casual dining are moving to extremes, and I'm just wondering what you kind of think is philosophically sustainable and some of the mass market peers, if you will, are getting these entrees under the $10 and now under the $7 range, and I'm just wondering how that impacts your business in the industry?

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Well, those are all very good questions, and I'm not sure I'm really in a well-informed position to comment on the menu and pricing strategies of our mass market, casual dining competitors. I watch television, and I certainly see the heavy television advertising with respect to some of the brands, and I'm sure that they've all done their home work and have done their research and have looked at the impact on gross profit dollars in terms of trading per person expenditure per person profit and how that all manifests itself in additional per persons or guest traffic, and I think they've all made their own decisions in that respect. With respect to BJ's though, I think we're very, very comfortable in managing our menu and our price points to be right around the $12 range. I think that's really the suite spot given our current economics of our concept and our current pushes and pulls on our operating margins for us to protect margins, particularly during this period of time. I do think however over the longer run, once the recession abates, here at BJ's, we're going to continue to work hard to add more quality and more differentiation with respect to our menu and give our guests more opportunities to spend a little bit more money if they feel comfortable in doing so, if our guests feel like that they're going to get additional value for the money in our restaurants. But having said that, our overall strategy, I think remains in place here at BJ's to kind of peg our average check pretty close to what the mass market competitors currently charge. So that's really the best insight that I can give you. I think our strategy is pretty sound. And I think we're going to continue to execute it and try to protect that value positioning of the BJ's concept while at the same time offer a higher quality, greater differentiated dining experience to the consumer. Nicole Miller – Piper Jaffray: Thank you.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Larry Miller with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Larry Miller – RBC Capital Markets: Yes, a couple of questions, if I might. You talked about the seven new stores – Greg, I think you mentioned that they're entering the base. I realize that they're young comp stores, but are they following that same sort of trend as some of the West – California – Southern California Phoenix trends? Are they getting less that?

Greg Levin

Management

Are they following that – those trends? I guess from a comp sales standpoint, they probably are following those trends. They just now enter the (inaudible) to see how they mature throughout the year, meaning, when you look at California and Phoenix, Arizona, last year, they dropped off in Q1 as we mentioned and slowly, gradually built themselves up throughout 2008. It's too early to tell if they're building themselves up or not at the current moment. From a geographical standpoint, three of those seven are the Florida restaurants, and that is the Florida market, which is a market that is, I guess, more severe in recession from that standpoint. So we'll have to see how those ones mature out this year. Some of the other ones are just more geographically disbursed, meaning they're not just California restaurants or Arizona restaurants. Larry Miller – RBC Capital Markets: Okay. That's helpful. And then can you talk about some of the markets that have been good for you. I think, like, Texas was pretty good and maybe Northern California. How are those guys performing?

Greg Levin

Management

We still continue to see the same type of trends that we saw last year. Texas, as we said has come down, but it's still a solidly comp state for us. We continue to do well there. We continue to see some nice restaurants throughout Southern California or Northern California. In one of our restaurants in the Phoenix area, it's been positive in the first quarter. So it's really a mixed bag, so to speak. Larry Miller – RBC Capital Markets: Okay. I got it. And then just on your long-term targets, you had always been targeting, I think a 10% operating margin. Any reason that, that should have change at all?

Jerry Deitchle

Management

No. In terms of the longer-term outlook for our business model, Larry, I think again over the next several years assuming that we continue to execute our expansion plan at a reasonable rate and grow our revenues in excess of the rate of growth and our infrastructure expenses, assuming that we get additional supply chain leverage as time goes on, over the next several years, there's – everything else being equal, we still strongly believe that consolidated operating margin for this business of that 9% to 10% range is clearly achievable for a business model like BJ's. Larry Miller – RBC Capital Markets: Okay, great. Then I just have two kind of housekeeping questions. Did you say Greg, that the 19% operating week gross and the negative 2% to 4% average weekly growth – average weekly sales impact for the second quarter or for the year?

Greg Levin

Management

I said the 19% operating week is specifically for the second quarter. The WSA – negative 2% to negative 4% is throughout the year. Larry Miller – RBC Capital Markets: That's how you mix it up. And so are you still on target for something like 15% to 16% operating week growth? Yes, you said that in the press release. Okay. Perfect. That's helpful. And then D&A guidance, did you mention that at all because it looks like got a big jump?

Greg Levin

Management

I think you've seen the trends. They're probably going to be sitting there in that middle to upper 5% range. Larry Miller – RBC Capital Markets: Okay. And what's the cause of that?

Greg Levin

Management

Couple things. One is just the increase in capital expenditures for new restaurants over the last two years or three years, both from an inflationary environment. So our restaurants generally from kind of 2006 – well really 2007, 2008 were more expensive than what we previously built. And then the other side of the – as we moved outside of California a little bit, we've seen a decrease in weekly sales average so you just get a higher percent of sales. Larry Miller – RBC Capital Markets: Okay. Thanks, guys.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Steve West with Stifel Nicolaus. Please go ahead. Steve West – Stifel Nicolaus: Hey, guys, I got kind of a question on the longer term. I'm not asking for unit growth in 2010 but, Jerry just longer term, you talked about real estate development becoming tighter, not as many people building, you guys are looking for just AAA spots, and there's a lot of peers out there that you have that are also looking for those same spots, how do you see that longer-term developing? It doesn't appear to be very much construction going on and probably not for the next three years to five years as far as malls and kind of where you guys have that suite spot. Is that something you can address or that you're thinking about?

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Well, I think you have to take it into the context of the geographical markets that you select for development. So when you consider the major metropolitan areas that we operate in today, our first preference would be to open new restaurants during the next couple of years as fill-in locations so that we can obtain maximum leverage of our supply chain, of our field supervision organization, and continue to build overall consumer awareness for the brand in these trade areas. And clearly, with the current real estate project slowdown, that's presented some challenges. If you want to strictly follow that strategy of being more of a fill-in development strategy, and I think that it's very, very important for a business model like BJ's to do our absolute best to maintain as much discipline as we can to stay within that particular strategy for the next couple of years, particularly when you're in very uncertain periods with respect to the national economy. Now, over the longer run, there are – what, if we're in 13 states today, there are something like 37 states that we're not in today. And Greg Lynds, our Chief Development Officer, as we sit here looking at one another, in our monthly real estate committee meetings, believe me, Greg is here saying, "Look, Jerry, turn me loose on the East Coast. Turn me loose up in the Northeast. Turn me loose in the Midwest. Turn me loose in the Southeast." There are many, many tremendous retail projects that are available for us today in AAA, very mature locations that will quite adequately support the longer-term growth and expansion of our business I think in a very leveragable way. So, as time goes on, as we take a look at the – at how the retail development…

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Well, let me – this is Jerry. Let me to try address a couple of those questions for you. First of all, with respect to the cost side, at least during 2009, we are increasing the overall percentage of our own craft beer that's being produced by contract brewers. This year, we believe that probably around 55% or so of our total internal craft beer requirement for BJ's brand of beer will be produced by contract brewers. We believe that the contract brewers have much greater economies of scale and purchasing power with respect to the production of our beer and we will see that this year. However, those savings on an absolute production cost basis are going to be offset to some degree by inefficient freight. As we select contract brewers that are willing and able to produce our beer that frankly are a bit of a distance away from our own restaurants at the current time. So, as we continue to build restaurants further east, increase our penetration in those markets, and as we continue to work additional freight savings through our own supply chain and we have other opportunities to do that today I think over time it's fair to say that we would expect the delivered cost per barrel of our own beer to our restaurants to gradually decrease over time, but for 2009 we do have some freight inefficiency. As far as the overall presentation of craft beer in the BJ's concept, we've been experimenting for the last year and a half to determine whether or not we can establish a consumer positioning as the premiere retailer of craft beer in casual dining. Our first experiment of this nature was in our Austin, Texas restaurant. When we opened that restaurant up, we took our core…

Greg Levin

Management

And, Steve, just (inaudible) you and I have talked. Not everybody out there is a beer connoisseur like yourself, and as a result, we do get a handful of people that come in and they want a Bud Light or a Coors Light or a Miller Light. So BJ's, from day one always offered a kind of light beer from one of the mass players in the bottle only.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Bottle only. Right.

Greg Levin

Management

That's been there from the beginning. Steve West – Stifel Nicolaus: Okay. Thank you very much.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Paul Westra with Cowen and Company. Please go ahead. Paul Westra – Cowen and Company: Hey, thank you. Good afternoon, everyone.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Hey, Paul. Paul Westra – Cowen and Company: I was wondering if you could do another quick just comment or two on the menu initiatives. It looks like obviously a fun of separate after it's underway there, but was there any one overriding opportunity you saw? Was – do you want to get more price points at lower or higher levels or one of the (inaudible) customers in particular?

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Well, we do a gap analysis internally. We look at the competitive set. We look at our menu. We look at certain gaps. We also have a longer-term menu strategy for each category in the menu, Paul, and what we're trying to do is to attack them in a very systematic way. We felt that our signature products, our pizza and frankly, our beer, we are – I didn't mention we'll be rolling out our Nit Wit seasonal beer, which has been an award winner, and we'll be doing that as well. But we wanted to put some emphasis against our signature products. I think in casual dining today more than ever it's so important to have signature products, and for us it's our pizza, it's our beer, it's our Pizookie dessert. So we put some effort against that. We also wanted to strengthen the appetizer category a little bit, and that's why we wanted to introduce our own version of the flat bread appetizer pizzas, which we believe is very complementary as appetizers to our signature entree pizza line. And we also really wanted to take a look at some of the comfort foods that we have had on our menu for some time, the meatloaf, the pot roast, the chicken fried steak or what BJ's thought chicken fried streak was until the Texas guy showed up here and really do some work on enhancing those presentations. So we have a long list of menu evolution and menu upgrades that we want to do but this is kind of where we're starting.

Greg Levin

Management

And Paul, I think answer to your question a little bit. We didn't look and say, gee, we need to have a $5.95 lunch bowl or some $5.95 lunch item or a $9 item that we could bring in there to maybe come from a value perspective that maybe you're seeing from some of the other peers. We think our menu already offers a pretty wide variety in regards to price points for any guests. And really, we look at Jerry's point as to what are we missing on the menu that we can continue to enhance our business versus specifically looking at lower priced items or smaller portion sized items that you're seeing at a lot of other companies.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Very good point, Greg. Very good. Paul Westra – Cowen and Company: Has the total number of items on the menu changed materially?

Jerry Deitchle

Management

No, not all. We've got a couple of items that we're going to delete from the menu, but I think we're very, very comfortable with keeping our menu size at the 100 to 110 item level right now. Paul Westra – Cowen and Company: Okay. And then I was wondering if you just best you can talk a little bit about the overall restaurant level margin environment we're seeing out there? I mean, clearly, you guys have some of the expectations here, holding margins potentially flat without the – year-over-year without the marketing spend change, and down traffic, which is obviously a heroic performance, but I – as you probably know already, that we've seen some incredible margin performances elsewhere in casual dining. I was just wondering if you comment generally perhaps what the level of opportunity is for you and perhaps what your major competitors may or may not be doing that you choose not to?

Greg Levin

Management

There's a couple of things that are going on that. I think we mentioned in our call about we're seeing cost of sales more or less flat with the first quarter of 2008, and across the board it seems like most of the restaurant companies are getting a benefit from that. I can't speak to them specifically, but that seems to be the one of the areas that is a benefit going into 2009. Additionally, as we mentioned as well, we're not seeing much increase on hourly labor. So that area has become a little bit easier for us to manage per se, and I would imagine our peers are getting the same thing there. I do think though there's a – the slowdown in unit growth has really helped the restaurant business overall, both BJ's as well as other companies. Last year, we had 15 freshmen, and those 15 freshmen are now sophomores. They got to play better. They got to get those margins up, and I think you're seeing that across the board with many restaurant companies. That being said and we were very clear about it in today's formal presentation. The only way to sustain margins and to grow margins is you got to drive top-line sales. You got to get comp restaurant sales back into positive territory to really move your margins, and the ability to offset it in one year by not having growth and other things I don't think that is sustainable in regards to growing your margins over time. That's why at BJ's we're very proud to be only down -0.1% from that perspective. But as Jerry mentioned, everything we're doing here is thinking about driving that top line sales in regards to better menu items, more efficiency within the restaurant, better energy within our restaurants, investing back into our restaurants so we can take – so we consider – so we can continue to be relevant to the guests. Paul Westra – Cowen and Company: And this maybe one last question following up on margins. I mean, some others are talking about pretty significant, get cost reductions in the energy and healthcare, and I was wondering what yours are looking like and maybe looking – going forward for the rest of the year if there was more opportunity to get leverage there?

Greg Levin

Management

Healthcare is an interesting one because our contract is basically a calendar contract. So as we went into this year, we saw a nominal increase in our medical insurance, nothing to be too alarming. We'll have to see how that plays out into 2010. On utilities, it's an area that we're concentrating on. We've hired a third-party service that seems to help other restaurant companies as well so we can understand which restaurants maybe are using more energy per guest than some of our other restaurants. So I do think there's opportunity there. If energy costs stay the way they are, I think you're going to see some major opportunity there, really through the summer months, where those summer rates spike up across the board. Paul Westra – Cowen and Company: Good. And then I think – I mean, you have a bunch of other initiatives beyond the menu, which is an initiative of itself. I'm just – maybe talk about your – maybe one that would have the most impact going forward for the remainder of the year. I know you're doing a lot of work on your larger party initiatives, your table seatings, give it to go [ph], and the other ones I might be missing.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Well, I think there are a couple that are worth mentioning, Paul. First of all, we're going to be testing a bar system or – for example, in our kitchens we call it our "kitchen display system," where we rolled out over the past couple of years to really automate the firing of all of the orders as they hit the different stations on the cook line. We're also going to be working on experimenting with a bar system that's very, very similar. We're also in the process of – well, we just completed the rollout of a theoretical beverage cost component to our theoretical food cost system. So we've just rolled that out, we'll be uploading that over the next few months. And that's another – our alcoholic beverages represent about 20%, 21% of our sales, and we really haven't had a theoretical cost system associated with 20% to 21% of our sales until just now. So I think that represents an opportunity for us going forward. The other one that we're working on of a technological nature is a virtual shift management display system, which will be on a flat screen in the back of the house – in the kitchen – which will integrate with our kitchen display system, our automated table management system, and our POS system to capture critical metrics related to the execution of the shift as the shift unfolds, and it'll be just like looking at a scoreboard. And everyone in the restaurant, particularly management, will be able to quickly glance at this scoreboard in the back of the house and the restaurant. It's not going to be buried in a manager's office. It's going to be out there for everyone to see. And that will give another data point to take a look at guest counts versus plan, looking at the weight, looking at staff members that are on the clock that are getting ready to go in to an overtime mode or that are getting ready for a break, looking at all of the different critical shift metrics, your ticket times – all of those critical metrics as the shift unfolds to increase overall management awareness and gives them the opportunity to take action if they see some of the indicators moving in different directions. So I think those are a few of the more important initiatives that we're working on in addition to our sales-building initiatives. Paul Westra – Cowen and Company: One last one. Sorry. You mentioned the tax rate up to 30%. Again, I didn't quite see it why. Was there an offset (inaudible)?

Greg Levin

Management

Yes. Two things. One is less tax exempt interest, and the other is frankly, favorable free tax income.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Yes, favorable to the extent that we've had more than what we thought we were going to have.

Greg Levin

Management

Yes. Paul Westra – Cowen and Company: Yes.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

But we don't pay taxes on it. Paul Westra – Cowen and Company: Okay. Thanks. Take care, guys.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Okay, Paul.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes form the line of Tony Brenner with Roth Capital Partners. Please go ahead, sir. Tony Brenner – Roth Capital Partners: Thank you. I have two things I wanted to ask about. First of all, can you give us a little update on what's going on in Texas? I know that – as the subprime markets here were stabilizing, Texas has been weakening a little, and I'm wondering what impact that's having on your sales trends?

Greg Levin

Management

Tony, we mentioned earlier that Texas is still comping positive for us and continues to comp positive for us. It's not where it was last year or the year before that, and I'm sure that a combination of the economy there slowing down, and I think the other part of it is, the fact of the matter, we were doing high-single if not double-digit comps there for three to four-plus years. So it's come down, but it's still solidly positive for us. Tony Brenner – Roth Capital Partners: Okay. And, second, regarding costs, particularly ingredient costs, you mentioned that two in particular, cheese and beef, costs are down sharply. Cheese is down nearly 50% from this point a year ago. You're contracted only for one quarter out, and at least for beef you're expecting an upturn. So the question is why would you not contract for a longer period?

Greg Levin

Management

Couple things there. On the cheese, we've contracted out 25% of it, and, frankly, the risk premium, for lack of a better term, that they want – the suppliers – is too expensive. So it makes more sense for us to kind of float it a little bit at this time.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

But we're going to continue to evaluate that on a quarterly basis, and we'll take a look at it here for the next – in the next couple of months. And I think that goes –

Greg Levin

Management

Exactly.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

For every one of our commodities that we don't have contracted on a full-year basis. We always watch them on a quarterly basis, and as Greg mentioned, if we can get a supplier to step up and charge us a risk premium or an insurance premium that makes sense to us, well, then it would make, obviously, sense for us to go ahead and lock in, but we haven't seen that make it itself available yet. Tony Brenner – Roth Capital Partners: Fair enough. Thank you very much.

Greg Levin

Management

Okay.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

And, ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraints, we have time for one final question, and that's from the line of Greg Ruedy with Stephens, Inc. Please go ahead. Greg Ruedy – Stephens, Inc.: Thank you. As you ramp the growth up to an expectation of 25% capacity growth to manage your pipeline group, now that you've pulled back, can you just kind of maybe describe where the deltas at in the first quarter in terms of the number of managers, how that should progress as the year goes on, and how many managers will be in the pipeline at year end?

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Well, I can tell you for the full year, based on our own estimates of turnover and our requirements for growth, I think we're going to need to recruit about 145 total managers this year. Last year we recruited, I believe, about 175 managers. So that's as much information as we can provide at this time. Greg, do you have additional information?

Greg Levin

Management

Yes, just some real basic information, and I kind of give you a little bit of an idea. In the first quarter, our average – we had about 11 to 12 MIT's in our program per week. And we're expecting that number to double plus coming here in the second half. In fact, even here in the third quarter, we just had a meeting this week. I will tell you that we had the highest amount of MIT's in our system this week than we've had all year, which is close to 30. So that 11 to 12 MIT's that we averaged in Q1 has gone to 30 MIT's currently today. Greg Ruedy – Stephens, Inc.: Okay. I appreciate that color. When we look at the openings in the back half, if you could highlight any input costs or G&A leverage from the majority of these openings being in your home Texas and California markets?

Greg Levin

Management

In regards to G&A leverage, you're just going to get normal G&A leverage as you add the additional restaurants because we're not adding G&A at the same rate of new restaurants. So that should take care of that. In regards to the overall cost environment in regards to the middle of the P&L, I think it'll be a little bit closer to what we saw in the second half of last year when we opened up just about the same amount of restaurants. You'll see preopening go up. I would hope that operating and occupancy costs would come down versus where they were in Q3 with not having the energy spike and having a little bit more of a radical number in regards to marketing of around 1% for the – each quarter versus Q3 and Q4. I think we bump that number above 1%. Greg Ruedy – Stephens, Inc.: Great. That's all I had. Thank you.

Greg Levin

Management

Okay. Thanks.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Thank you all.

Operator

Operator

And that does conclude our question-and-answer session. I'd like to hand the call back over to management for any closing remarks.

Jerry Deitchle

Management

Thank you all. If you want to contact us at our office, we'll be here for a little while. Thank you all for being on the call today.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the BJ's Restaurants First Quarter 2009 Results Conference Call. We thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.