Earnings Labs

TopBuild Corp. (BLD)

Q4 2017 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 27, 2018

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the TopBuild Earnings Conference Call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded Tuesday, February 27, 2018. I would now like to turn the conference over to Tabitha Zane. Please go ahead.

Tabitha Zane

Analyst

Thank you and good morning. On the call today are Jerry Volas, Chief Executive Officer, Robert Buck, President and Chief Operating Officer, and John Peterson, Chief Financial Officer. Please note, we have posted senior management’s formal remarks on the Investor Relations section of our website at topbuild.com. As shown on Slide 2 of today's presentation, many of our remarks will include forward looking statements concerning the company’s operations and financial condition. These forward looking statements include known and unknown risks, including those set forth in this morning’s press release as well as in the Company’s filings with the SEC. The Company assumes no obligation to update or supplement forward looking statements that become untrue because of subsequent events. In addition, we will also discuss non-GAAP financial measures which can be reconciled to the most comparable GAAP measures in a table included in today’s press release. I will now turn call over to Jerry Volas.

Jerry Volas

Analyst

Welcome, everyone. And thanks for joining us today. As you can see from today’s press release, we had a strong fourth quarter with organic sales growth of 8.3%, handily beating lagged housing starts. We also expanded our adjusted operating margin 180 basis points to 10.1% and our incremental EBITDA pull-through on a same-branch basis was a robust 35.5%. It was a very good end to a very good year for TopBuild, a year with many significant accomplishments for our Company and John will talk in more detail about the fourth quarter. Starting on Slide 3, you can see we had a productive 2017. First, we successfully completed six acquisitions that are expected to generate over $83 million of net annual revenue, including four residential and two heavy commercial installation firms. These companies have bolstered our management team, enhanced our scale, increased our penetration in key markets and augmented our business product mix and capabilities. Second, we upsized our term loan and revolving credit facility to $600 million, further enhancing our liquidity and extending our debt maturity to May 2022, almost two years beyond our prior loan maturity date. This additional capital strengthened our ability to capitalize on strategic acquisitions and other opportunities designed to enhance long-term value for our shareholders. We returned capital to our shareholders through a $200 million Board authorized share repurchase program, including a $100 million ASR. Over the past two years, we have repurchased 3 million shares of our stock, demonstrating our commitment to optimizing our capital structure. We continued to improve labor and sales productivity in our ongoing commitment to profitable growth. We’ve implemented new bonus programs for our branch managers, with operating profit being a key metric. Our technology tools have enhanced our installers’ efficiency and improved the sales process, and our back-office consolidation…

John Peterson

Analyst · Jefferies. Please proceed. Your line is open

Good morning, everyone. As Jerry noted, we had a solid fourth quarter and a strong 2017. I'll start by discussing our fourth quarter results on Slide 6. Then provide an overview of full year 2017. In the fourth quarter, consolidated revenue increased 12.9% to $501million, primarily driven by sales volume and improved selling prices at both TruTeam and Service Partners, as well as $21.8 million of revenue from companies acquired since January 2017. On a same branch basis, revenue increased a healthy 8.3% compared to fourth quarter 2016. Gross margin expanded 60 basis points to 24.3%, compared to the same period a year ago. Adjusted operating profit grew 37.2% to $50.8 million, with a corresponding margin improvement of 180 basis points. Both gross margin and operating margin improvements were driven by volume leverage, higher selling prices and improved labor and sales productivity; partially offset by higher material costs, higher amortization expenses and higher share-based compensation expenses. Fourth quarter 2017 adjustments totaled $864,000, over half of which were acquisition related expenses. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was $57.9 million, compared to $42.1 million in 2016, and our EBITDA margin was 11.6%, a 210 basis point improvement from fourth quarter 2016. This margin improvement is a direct result of the transformative changes we have made at TopBuild to improve our operations, increase labor and sales productivity, optimize our footprint and streamline many of our processes and procedures. Profitable growth continues to be a key focus for everyone in our business. Our drop-down to adjusted EBITDA margin was 27.7% in the fourth quarter. On a same branch basis, adjusted EBITDA was $55.0million, a 31.3% increase, and our drop-down to adjusted EBITDA was 35.5%, driven by improved selling prices, strong cost control and continued leveraging of our platform. Incremental EBITDA margin related to our seven…

Robert Buck

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open. Please proceed

Thanks John, and good morning. 2017 was another great year for both TruTeam and Service Partners. Our success is due, in large measure, to the hard work and dedication of our over 8,000 employees. Their focus on working safely, providing outstanding service to our customers and pushing for operational excellence throughout our Company enables us to grow profitably and ultimately enhance value for our shareholders. Looking at TruTeam’s financial results on Slide 10, fourth quarter sales increased 16.2%, benefiting from higher same branch volume, acquisitions and a 1.2% increase in selling prices. Adjusted operating margin was 12.7%, a 270 basis point improvement from fourth quarter 2016. Although volume leverage was a key contributor in the quarter, results were also favorably impacted by higher selling prices and continued improvement in sales and labor productivity. On a same branch basis, TruTeam’s revenue increased 9.2% outpacing fourth quarter lagged housing starts of 2.0%. For full year 2017, TruTeam’s revenue increased 11.4% and adjusted operating margin was 11%, a 240-basis point expansion from 2016. On a same branch basis, TruTeam’s 2017 revenue aligned very closely with lagged housing starts of 5.2% for the year. TruTeam’s commercial business grew 23.5% for full year 2017, from a combination of organic growth and acquired revenue. Our commercial backlog is strong and our bundled services approach is giving us a competitive edge in this business. We also saw strong spray foam growth, which is benefiting from sales execution, new building codes and consumer education. Installation revenue from this product increased almost 18% in 2017. Moving to Slide 11. At Service Partners, sales were up 9% in the quarter driven by volume growth and higher selling prices. As we forecasted, selling prices at Service Partners improved throughout the year, with a 2% increase in fourth quarter. Adjusted operating margin…

Jerry Volas

Analyst

Before opening it up to questions, I want to again emphasize that 2018 should be another year of profitable growth for TopBuild. The external environment is positive and our team has demonstrated that it knows how to execute well. We look for continued M&A opportunities which will further add long-term value for our Company. Operator, we are now ready for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Phil Ing with Jefferies. Please proceed. Your line is open.

Colin Mooney

Analyst · Jefferies. Please proceed. Your line is open

Hi. This is actually Colin on for Phil. Good quarter. I just want -- had a couple of questions. In terms of your sales guidance for 7% to 11% growth. I was just wondering how much of this attributable to acquisitions that you guys are already made versus organic growth? And do you have any price increases baked in there to offset some of the manufacturing increases in the market?

John Peterson

Analyst · Jefferies. Please proceed. Your line is open

Yes. This is John Peterson. We are not going to be giving a lot of additional guidance. I think what we provided in our talking points was the fact that from a booking standpoint we had starts at $1,240,000 and we had the low end we started at $1,280,000 in the high end. You are right in assuming there are absolutely acquisitions there I think we just announced two acquisitions this year and if you -- you took the press release on that basically on those two it is about $34 million worth of revenue that's in that total for those two acquisitions which will impact 2018. And then there is carryover of last year's acquisition which is falling into that total, so that's lower numbers. So, yes, there is -- there are acquisitions impacts in that total. Obviously more they driven by the same branch organic growth.

Colin Mooney

Analyst · Jefferies. Please proceed. Your line is open

Okay, great. And then just in terms of what you guys are seeing in the cost side. Obviously, there is definitely a lot of price increases out there by the manufacturers. How you guys are enable to manage this and on quarter-to-quarter basis, it's tough to predict, but do you think you will be able to hit your longer term incremental margin target this year just given this inflationary back up?

John Peterson

Analyst · Jefferies. Please proceed. Your line is open

Great question there. So I would say that we feel really good about and particular when we look at annual period and so the guidance that we put out there for 2018 were very, very strong about that. Two ends of that equation. One is the relationship, the partnership that we have with our suppliers which is never going to better shape, and our ability to partner with them and negotiate well with them took to the benefit of both of us. And then on the sales price side, we do have thousands of customers out there that we work really hard with on pricing to get that right both in terms of amount and timing. But on a quarter-to-quarter basis historically there has been some volatility in terms of matching things up. We have been very, very good historically at managing that. And we feel like we will continue to be able to manage that really well. Quite frankly, we believe as the capacity utilization continuous to tighten from a manufacture viewpoint which facilitates higher pricing in the marketplace. We really believe that plays to our strength, in terms of our ability to manage that and our ability to turn that into excellent financial results. So we feel real good about how we are positioned right now from that perspective.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ken Zener with KeyBanc. Your line is open. Please proceed.

Ken Zener

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open. Please proceed

Good morning, gentlemen. John, question for you. And I asked this you at Analyst Day; I am going back to EBITDA incrementals which you guys have kind of laid out at 22% to 27% range ex any price, correct?

John Peterson

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open. Please proceed

Yes. The 22% to 27% assumes the certain relationship between pricing and material that we would hold margin essentially manage that so.

Ken Zener

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open. Please proceed

Yes. So realizing your M&A has lower incrementals, I am fine with that. I am just trying really to understand how that 22% to 27% could for FY18 would price way up labor tightening, given what we saw in FY17 where your incremental margin was higher than that. Could you just kind -- was that -- if you did 32% for the year not picking on any one quarter, why that was above the 22% to 27% range and why some of those same wouldn't dynamics persist in FY18.

John Peterson

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open. Please proceed

Again say I think there is always going to be dynamics here year-to-year that are different. In 2017, when we talked about this on prior call, I'd say the first half of the year we had some very good dynamics going on in terms of material cost and pricing on the TruTeam side. And so that's one example. Obviously, there is always one offs and things, cost reduction which are non-recurring and we said from day one that, I think if you look at our total pull through on same branch basis in 2017 we were at 47%. And we are not going to sign up for 47% pull through each year as you know. In terms of the guidance, we've given, you are right there are differences between M&A and same branch which we pointed out. And I think if you do math in terms of what we provided, we are within the guardrails we provided in terms of our pull through certainly at a lower expectation, lower than we have in 2017. But again I don't think it was anybody's expectation that we are going to continue that type of performance on a go forward basis so.

Ken Zener

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open. Please proceed

Yes. It is interesting because everything keeps getting more favorable for you. And if I could just transition, you guys had a lot of perspective on the industry. There are manufactures out there, their common price, I don't want to you get specific but if you could just give us a larger by way of insulation, your contacts for the three increases we saw last year, obviously, the last two were more stronger than the first one. But this year, the January price increase what is normally March or June announcements or, there is not lot of activity in January. So it seems like we are seeing prices pretty sticky. What is your view about prices when it is usually most realized from the manufactures to the customers you guys and then you out to the market. Because it seems like it's much more of spring early summer event not January. So the fact January sticking seems to be very bullish for pricing, as well as labor demand.

Robert Buck

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open. Please proceed

Yes. Ken, good morning. This is Robert. So you are typically right that spring as we come out of spring selling season to get into the busier time that is better time of the year. But there is an important dynamic that happening right now the industry with capacity and material. So relative to loose fill material that on allocation and so there has been tightness of material happening I think everyone in the industry is aware of that including the builders. And so that's what driving the usual term stickiness of the pricing right now which we are seeing. So there are short-term capacity things going on with different manufactures, I see that drives the ability relative to price and what's happening in the dynamic right now. Coming out of Q4, very strong here in Q1 and that's probably going to be 2018 type of event base on work up capacity and talking to the manufactures.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Matt McCall with Seaport Global. The line is open. Please proceed.

Rubin

Analyst · Matt McCall with Seaport Global. The line is open. Please proceed

Thank you, good morning. It's actually Rubin on for Matt. So just quickly on the contribution guidance, I want to make sure I understand it correctly. Can you -- if you said that I apologize, did you breakout what's your expectation was for inorganic incrementals for 2018 versus organic?

John Peterson

Analyst · Matt McCall with Seaport Global. The line is open. Please proceed

Rubin, this is John. No, we haven't. And we are not going to breakout again the individual components from a guidance standpoint. Again, we will give the kind of high end guardrail around the residential starts but suffice to say that they baked there certainly some M&A both in terms of the acquisitions we did in January and the carryover from last year which we will obviously have lower pull through than as a normal same branch that we receive. So that's baked in there and the only -- I just said on prior question was that I think if doing a math basically you get within our long-term guidance that we provide in terms of EBITDA pull through, you are within the parameters on that if you look at the low end and high end so.

Rubin

Analyst · Matt McCall with Seaport Global. The line is open. Please proceed

Okay, perfect. Let's see, so product on allocation I guess can you talk about maybe if you had any issues getting product and this sort of environment I guess can help you guys relative to the industry given your size and scale. Can you just talk about that dynamic?

Robert Buck

Analyst · Matt McCall with Seaport Global. The line is open. Please proceed

Yes. So, Rubin, this is Robert. So, obviously, we have relationships and buy from all the manufactures across the business so we have that relationship ongoing discussions. It is in allocation, sometimes we have to pull supply from other sources but generally between both our contracting and our distribution business actually we are working directly with the manufacture so there is some lines coming back to have some maintenance stand of last year. Those will be back up March, April timeframe. So there will be some short-term dynamics that will happen there, but I think overall we feel really comfortable what we are doing and how we addressing allocation working closely with our supplier partners.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Scott Rednor with Zelman & Associates. Your line is open. Please proceed.

Scott Rednor

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is open. Please proceed

Hello, everyone, good morning. John I had a question, John, the 401K match, I was hoping you guys could maybe elaborate what has changed? Meaning what was the prior approach to that? How you guys are changing that now and then what's financial impact? I would imagine that's diluting some of the flow through intentionally in 2018. So I was hoping you could maybe kind of walk us through those various pieces.

John Peterson

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is open. Please proceed

So, Scott, this is John. So we haven't finalized all the specifics around that. But the expectation is that ultimately we are going to increase the company match from an employee standpoint. Our best estimate right now will be that number is probably into $2 million to $3 million range in terms of impact of the business. And that assumption right now is baked into the guidance that we provided. But again not finalized but range wise you can probably kind of go with the numbers I just shared.

Scott Rednor

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is open. Please proceed

And I just want to make sure everyone is clear on the -- maybe this is best for Robert. Just recognizing that on the loose fill side, it's on allocation and that facility is not going to go come up until 2Q. I mean are you guys feel comfortable with the margin guidance annually that you are going to see now the expansion in 1Q as well.

Robert Buck

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is open. Please proceed

Good question, Scott. I think building on what Jerry said earlier, there is all of our conversations are happening with customers started in Q4 and Q1 here. And there can be some lag there some fluctuations but overall for the full year we feel very, very confident in our guidance. We are very comfortable and confidence in the statement I made earlier, where we are going to see expanded margins in 2018 across the business. So, yes, we feel very, very confident in that.

Scott Rednor

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is open. Please proceed

Okay, great. And then just one last and kind of acquisition story, just maybe a little specific but just hoping to get little more color. When you guys talk about Santa Rosa just as one example, you already have I think 9% of your installed branches in Florida. So can you maybe help us explain why you needed to in that example increase your penetration in Florida? How that kind of one plus one equals two?

Robert Buck

Analyst · Zelman & Associates. Your line is open. Please proceed

Yes. That's a great question, Scott. The Santa Rosa pretty long standing company; headquartered Miami, good relationship across Florida. I'll give you two direct things to your question. Number one, great commercial presence in Miami like downtown Miami which is expanded market penetration for us. And then second, Santa Rosa goes all the way into the Keys and so relative to the rebuild from [Indiscernible] -- we did reach before, that given their relationship we will be doing a lot of work in the Florida Keys and the rebuild that's happening down there. So we think its win, win all the way round Santa Rosa and the value they bring to TruTeam.

Operator

Operator

I am showing no further questions registered at this time.

Jerry Volas

Analyst

Thank you for your support and all your interest in TopBuild. And we look forward to our Q1, 2018 call in May. Thanks again.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation. And ask that you please disconnect your line.