J. Bruce Flatt
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
Thanks, Brian. My comments today will deal simply with one issue, and that’s the state of the financial markets, and particularly the debt markets. After I talk Sam and Aaron will address our infrastructure activities and post that, I'd be pleased to answer any other items or questions which people want to address… or Brian and I would. There has been significant volatility recently in the capital markets. This has been in the stock market over the past couple of weeks. But prior to this over the past few months in the credit markets largely. As all of you know, this started with the sub prime residential mortgages being affected by the U.S. housing market and has spilled over into debt of virtually all types, but in particular high yield financings in leverage buy outs. The bad news I would say is everyone is affected in some way. The good news for us is that our exposure to this type of financing is quite limited, and the level of capital that we have at risk is minimal relative to our operations. Firstly, just keeping things into perspective we have approximately $20 billion at book value of real estate assets, obviously more at intrinsic value. Of that, 90% is invested in commercial properties, which to date have largely been unaffected by the issues that I just spoke of. Our net exposure to residential properties is about $1 billion at book. A lot of that, which is outside the United States, and is similarly unaffected by all of this. In fact, as Brian noted, our Canadian housing business is enjoying its best year ever with results up 50% over last year for the first six months. However, we are affected in our U.S. homebuilding business, our results this year-to-date are off substantially, even though you generally don’t… we generally don’t sell housing, where sub prime is relevant to the buyer. Essentially all home buyers have gone on strike at the current time. So there is a significant supply-demand imbalance in the markets in the U.S. You don’t see it as vividly in our numbers, as Brian mentioned, because of the strong performance of the Canadian operations and the stable performance in South America. But our sales in the U.S. are down. We had been worried for a long time about the U.S. residential business and therefore we largely quit buying land after 2004. As a result today some of our crude gains in our portfolio have deteriorated, but unlike others we have not had to take any write-downs as of yet, and barring unforeseen events, given the cost based we have in most of our lands, none of the significant issues of write-downs which the U.S. homebuilders are dealing with, should affect us, possibly relatively small amounts compared to our balance sheet. On the positive side, we are assessing this environment and considering alternatives to deploy capital in this sector at higher risk adjusted returns than we have seen for at least five years. And we are considering a number of opportunities. The second place, where this environment is affecting us, is in the capital we manage on behalf of clients in commercial and residential mortgage security mandates. Given the current environment, we believe our managers have done well by our clients. But extreme liquidity events can sometimes take good with the bad. We believe our performance for the year has been good given the circumstances. From a balance sheet perspective, we have very small exposure to any of these products. Our largest exposure is less than $50 million of shares, which we own in an entity called Crystal River REIT. We manage the entity which owns commercial mortgage backed and residential mortgage backed securities in addition to real estate. And while the sub prime exposure in Crystal River is relatively small, the margin ability of even quality paper has seen reductions, and therefore we are ensuring that Crystal River works through this environment in a prudent fashion. We don’t see any major issues, and hope we can identify opportunities again to utilize our capital in this environment, should asset come available at a great price. The third place where the environment touches us is the debt markets for highly leveraged transactions. Debt has become harder to obtain in the market. We do think this is temporary, as the markets will re-price debt and bring the market back in the balance, but it's likely that’s the covenants and terms recently available will not return. In the meantime, some of the debt that we've sold in the markets on transactions is trading at wide spreads from recent times, and this may again, present opportunities to us in asset classes where we haven’t been able to find value over the past couple of years. Finally, a comment on the last, on the "watches," I would say in the market on debt positions, which are often are referred to in the newspapers. And clearly there were many bad sub prime loans written in the market. In fact there were probably some bad LBO and entity loans made. But by and large, the underlying business climate remains very good. And the collateral backing most loans are… is very good. What is happening in the markets, is the spread widening is causing mark-to-market losses for financial institutions and borrowers, sometimes resulting in forced selling of loans because of margin reductions. I guess the important point here is the note that this is a “Wall Street” issue, not a main street issue. In fact the fundamental of most company and most property types, particularly commercial property assets are currently extremely good. And while we suppose these events could negatively impact a strong global economy and cause other events, this clearly has not happened to date. We are not happy to see credit issues in the marketplace because it does affect everyone. And as a result, this could become a more widespread issue. To end on an upbeat tone, before I turn it over to Aaron Regent, we believe we’re well positioned to take advantage of opportunities in the market, both with capital available and with knowledge of a number of these markets, should opportunities for great value purchases arise out of liquidity issues. With that I’ll turn the conference call over to Aaron.