Peter Ho
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is open.
Yes. It's going to be – it maybe a while, Jeff. So Canada, Japan, Korea, and kind of a smattering of other countries make up the international segment. That together generates about 35% of arrivals and 35% of spend. And what we have happening right now is that number is less than half of what it is, what it has been traditionally kind of headlined by the Japanese who are down over 90% and the Koreans who are down, not quite as bad as that, but pretty bad, kind of offsetting that, Canadians are kind of effectively bounced back at this point. So that's positive. And Australians are kind of newly able to leave their country and we're seeing good fraction there. So I think that it's Japan and Korea, it's kind of anybody's guess. I think that’s the combination of both kind of health issues and conditions, and I understand Japan's kind of, again, starting to have some viral issues, COVID issues. But I also think it's also, just policy, right. And I can only imagine that the domestic Japanese visitor industry quite appreciates having all of their residents in house, if you will. So I don't know. I mean, I think eventually the business will come back, that's for sure. We know that. But kind of predicting which quarter might be a little bit more of a [indiscernible] area than perhaps we thought previously. When I talked to hotel professionals, a number of them are kind of thinking kind of beginning first quarter next year. And I think probably the sentiment had previously been kind of summer to later 2022. So that's a bit of a push out. But if we kind of zoom out a bit and take a look at the macro environment, we've got so much domestic traffic right now that almost is somewhat of a blessing that we don't have the international market back as strong as obviously eventually we want because I'm just not sure where we would put all of those people. I mean, we're at 92% in June by arrivals and over a 100% by visitor spend. So the way I look at it is the international market is going to get back. I can only imagine that certainly the Japanese visitor is really anxious to get back to Hawaii, which as you know, they've got a deep and long standing love affair with. And potentially as we start to see a little softening in the U.S. domestic side, that might be kind of a nice fold in for us as we move forward.