Dan Sheldon
Analyst · Evercore Partners
Thanks, Rich. I'm now on Slide 6, Key Financial Drivers and Free Cash Flow. Rich already mentioned our 5% total in recurring revenue growth for the quarter. To the far right, you can see we are still forecasting 3 to 4 percentage points of revenue growth for the year. In Q4, we expect to earn around $200 million in the equity proxy revenues, so we're in the homestretch with continued positive momentum. Looking at the drivers specifically. We're very pleased with 6 points of revenue growth coming from new recurring revenue closed sales for the quarter. Year-to-date is only at 4 points, but that's due to the slow start in the first half of this year. As Rich also mentioned, we've caught back up to last year's closed sales of $58 million year-to-date for closed sales less than $5 million and expect to have a solid finish again this year, which includes 1 to 2 larger deals in the mix. Client losses remain at 1%, and again, no new large losses to report. Internal growth was disappointing with respect to trade volumes as they continued to be down internationally. I'll discuss more when I review the segments. Although we still haven't closed any acquisitions year-to-date, just like sales, we have a pipeline of deals that we are reviewing. Event-driven revenues remain relatively flat to slightly up, and, you heard Rich talk about, they primarily happen in the first quarter. Distribution revenues have picked up, but all a function of the clients' use of an alternative mailing service, so profits have remained about the same. Non-GAAP EBIT margins were up almost 200 basis points to 13% for the quarter, and we expect to be up at least 100 basis points to a minimum of 14.9% for the year. We've been focused on cost containment over the last few years and still have some additional restructuring to complete in Securities Processing Solutions segment, so in Q4, we may take some additional onetime charges. I would still expect to be in the mid to the high end of the 14% range and with the onetime activity. But as the chart shows, we expect to be at a minimum go-forward run rate of at least 14.9%. At this point, the tax rate for the year could round down to 36% versus the 37% on the chart. But when trade volumes return and we benefit from the U.S. sales being implemented next year, I would expect these rates to move closer back to a 37% range, given the United States tax rates. Finally, our free cash flow is still estimated to be in the $200 million to $250 million range. And our ending cash position is expected to be in the $315 million (sic) [$350 million] to just under $380 million range, and this is before any acquisitions or additional share buybacks we may do in Q4. So the takeaway is we're very pleased with the quarter and given the results and expectations for our net new business drivers of sales and retention rates, we expect we're positioned for continued growth as we move forward. Let's turn to Slide 7, Investor Communications. The momentum for recurring revenue growth continues in this segment as we hit 8% growth year-to-date, driven primarily by net new business. In this business, stock record and mutual fund positions growth have been positive, and as already mentioned, we're looking forward to recording approximately $200 million in global annual equity proxy revenue in the fourth quarter as most of the work is behind us. Revenue retention rates continue to be at 99%, and our recurring revenue closed sales range remains between $50 million and $70 million, with the higher end requiring the closing of a few deals greater than $5 million. As far as event-driven revenues, yes, they're up 7% year-to-date, as we already mentioned, primarily in the first quarter, but also, it's mainly coming from mutual fund off-cycle interim activity. So we're going to keep our guidance at approximately $130 million for the year. Our guidance on margins remains unchanged, at an increase of greater than 200 basis points, of which you should think about half coming from revenue growth and the other half coming from cost improvements we've put in place. Let's move to Slide 8, Securities Processing Solutions. As mentioned last quarter, we continue to see momentum in net new business growth in this segment. Sales for the quarter added 7 points of growth, and client revenue retention rates remained at 98%. Our to-be-installed, or revenue backlog, from sales already closed is at approximately $65 million, and we still expect $60 million to $80 million in closed sales for the year, where both the low and the high end will require to achieve some of the larger deals in the pipeline by June 30. The takeaway here is that even without large deals being signed in the near term, which can take up to 12 months to install, we still expect to see a continuation of net new business generating above 5 points of revenue growth as we move forward. As for equity trade volumes, they were down for the quarter by 2 points. Back in January, I was pleased to see the U.S. was having some upward momentum, and in Q3, U.S. volumes were up 6%. However, international volumes have remained weak for this quarter. Good news, April did show some positive trends for international so maybe we're starting to see the right direction here for overall trade volume growth as we move forward. It's a "wait and see." Another point I'd like us to remember, and Rich already mentioned this, is that we have, over time, moved more of our pricing to a less trade-volume-variable model, so when you review the key stats for this business on Page 21, note that 70% of our equity revenues in this segment are not totally based upon trade volumes. We call these revenues other equity services, and they include our new products and our acquisitions as well. Rich, I'll turn it back to you.