Operator
Operator
Good morning and welcome to the Brown & Brown Incorporated Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. Please note that certain information discussed during this call, including the answers given in response to your questions, may relate to future results and events or otherwise be forward looking in nature and reflect our current views with respect to future events, including financial performance, and that such statements are intended to fall within the Safe Harbor provisions of the securities laws. Actual results or events in the future are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that may differ materially from those currently anticipated or desired or referenced or any forward-looking statements made as a result of a number of factors, including those risks and uncertainties that have been or will be identified from time to time in the company's reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Additional discussion of these and other factors affecting the company's business and prospects are contained in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Listeners are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and those actual results and events may differ from those intended… indicated in this call. Such differences may be material. With that said, Mr. Hyatt Brown, I’d like to turn the conference over to you. J. Hyatt Brown – Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thank you, Bill, and we have Cory Walker and myself, Powell Brown and Jim Henderson here with us in the room and we are going to start off with Cory who will talk about the financials. Cory? Cory Walker – Senior Vice President, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer: Great. Thanks, Hyatt. We had a good quarter considering the continuation of a very soft market environment. Our net income for the first quarter of 2008 was $51.8 million, which was down 13.3% from last year. Correspondingly, our net income per share for the quarter was $0.37 and that was down 11.9% from the $0.42 we earned in the first quarter of '07. However, as you will recall, in the first quarter last year we had an $8.8 million gain on the sale of half of our investment in the Rock-Tenn Company, which translated into $0.04 of the $0.42 earnings per share. Therefore on a continuing earnings basis, our $0.37 we earned in the first quarter of '08 was only down 2.6% from $0.38 last year. From a revenue standpoint, our commissions and fees for the quarter increased 3.2% to $253.5 million, up from the $245.6 million earned in the first quarter last year. As always in our press release, we have our internal growth table that shows the total growth rate, as well as the internal growth rates from our core commissions and fees and as you know, our core commissions and fees exclude contingency income and any business that was divested since last year. From a standpoint of our contingent commissions, in the first quarter of 2008 we only received $36.3 million of the profit-sharing contingent commissions, which represents a decrease of about $7.8 million from the $44.1 million that we received in last year's first quarter. Of this $7.8 million decrease, $7.9 million related to a reduction in our Retail Division, we had a reduction of about $1.9 million in our Wholesale Brokerage Division, but we actually had a $2 million increase in contingent income in our National Programs Division. Remember that 2007 and now 2008 are transition years for some carriers that have moved from their traditional pure contingency commission approach to a guaranteed supplemental commission, which we refer to as the GSC accruals. During 2007, we accrued approximately $6.6 million as of the end of December throughout the year for these GSC accruals. So, for the current year comparison purposes, we must subtract the $6.6 million from the $44.1 million that we received in the prior year to really arrive at a comparable contingency commission amount, which would be $37.5 million and of course that compared to $36.3 million that we received this year, the contingent commissions are only down about $1.2 million. Now looking at the contingent commissions for the rest of the year, our best guess and that's what it is, kind of a educated guess we think, may be between $7.5 million to $8.5 million of additional contingency commissions we’ll receive in the second half of... in the last nine months of 2008. We think the way that would fall would be probably about $2.5 million in the second quarter, somewhere between $4 million to $5 million in the third quarter, and probably again less than $1 million, right around $1 million in the fourth quarter. So, in summary, I think that we think we’ll have less contingency commissions for the final nine months of '08 compared to what we did receive in the final nine months of '07. Now if you look at the internal growth schedules we have there, our… the continuing soft market trends that occurred in '07 continue and we were... we had a negative internal growth rate of negative 4.1%. Our total core commissions and fees for the quarter did increase 9% and totaled $18 million. However, within that net number was $26.1 million of acquired revenue, so that means that we had $8.1 million less commissions and fees on a same-store sales basis. Hyatt and Powell will talk about the activity in each of those business segments in a minute. So, moving on our… if you look at your investment income, it decreased $9.6 million, which is due to the $8.8 million sale of the Rock-Tenn Company in the first quarter of '07. Additionally, we had approximately $1 million in less interest income as a result of lower investment yields, as well as less investable funds due to the increased acquisition opportunities. Our other income had a total of $1.2 million this year first quarter and that really came primarily... $900,000 came from a court order settlement from a producer that violated the non-piracy agreement. Now, moving down to our expenses and our pre-tax margins. Our pre-tax margins for the first quarter of '08 was 32.9% compared to our pre-tax margin of 35.8% in the first quarter of '07 when you exclude the gain on the sale of the Rock-Tenn stock. The majority of the percentage differential is due to the employee compensation and benefit line. So, when you exclude the Rock-Tenn gain in 2007, employee compensation and benefits in 2008 increased about 280 basis points to 47.2% of total revenues from the 44.4% of total revenue in '07. That 280 basis points represents approximately $10.4 million of net additional cost, of which $12 million came directly from stand-alone acquisitions that we made since April 1st of 2007. So, therefore when you exclude the impact of just the acquisitions that we added, the actual same offices that were there in the same-store sale basis, we actually had approximately $1.6 million less commission... less compensation and benefits overall. Our non-cash stock-based compensation cost was up about $400,000 and that was due to the additional PSP grants that we issued in February of 2008. We expect the 2008 annual cost to be in the $8 million to $8.5 million range as compared to the 2007 total annual cost of $5.7 million. Looking at the other operating expenses as a percentage of total revenues, again excluding the Rock-Tenn gain, it actually improved 60 basis points to 12.2% of total revenues. That 60 basis point improvement represents approximately $700,000 of net cost savings. However, again if you exclude the stand-alone acquisitions that we added, they made up approximately $3.4 million of new cost for the quarter. Therefore, our existing same-store offices really reduced their total expenses by an aggregate of $4.1 million. Now, $2 million of that reduction came from a reduced E&O claims activity and reserve balances, while the rest of it came from various expense line items that were just naturally managed by our outstanding leaders in each of our profit centers. Amortization and depreciation increased $1.8 million over last year's first quarter and that was primarily due to the increased number of acquisitions. Our interest expense decreased about $200,000 and that's reflecting a… the payoff of our old SunTrust note back from the original Riedman acquisition, but then that was increased... offset slightly by the new increased interest cost on additional $25 million that we borrowed in early 2008 from our private bond facility with Prudential. Our effective tax rate for 2008 is currently expected to run about 38.8%. And so in all, we ended up with a net income of $51.8 million, which reflects a 4.8% decrease, excluding the Rock-Tenn gain from last year. Just quickly looking to the balance sheet, we had a total cash of roughly $256 million, of which $17 million of that was just pure Brown & Brown cash. We currently have approximately $260 million of total debt and we have additional $150 million still available on our private bond facility with Prudential. In addition to that, we have been talking to our banks and with the bank debt cost coming down and tied more directly to the... to the LIBOR, we probably will end up increasing our line of credit with SunTrust by at least $50 million and potentially having a [inaudible] feature to where we expand that to $100 million over the next three to five years, so that would give us additional borrowing power should we need it. There is a couple other line items on the balance sheet that probably people ask questions about. The first is, you'll see that on the deferred... current deferred taxes that $17 million was there last year, that was eliminated as of 03/31 as we had previously mentioned because of the fact that contingent commissions were added into the... into our first quarter earnings and therefore, there is no differential as of 03/31 between book and tax handling on that. The other is, other current assets actually increased by about $25 million because we ended up having an acquisition deposit, basically a payment on a 04/01 acquisition. We made that at the end of March and so that was hung up as just basically a deposit on the acquisition and of course that will as of 04/01 will move into the intangible asset category. One other point I want to bring out is that on our… in our 10-K every year we have a… our cash commitment table that under the SEC rules we are required to report the potential maximum acquisition payments that are potential out there and of course, for the… for the end of 12/31/07, we had roughly about $120 million that potentially could be paid out on prior acquisitions. And I think it's important to note that given the soft market and the fact that some acquisitions did not hit their… the maximum target, we probably… out of that $121 million, we’ll probably only… my best guess would be maybe $30 million of that $121 million, so just keep that in perspective in terms of cash commitments coming up for '08. So with that Hyatt, I'll just turn it back over to you. J. Hyatt Brown – Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thanks Cory, good report. I am going to talk about Retail and then Powell is going to talk about Brokerage, Services and Programs. Looking at Florida Retail first of all, Q4 of '07 it was a negative 11.2, it has now moved to a negative 7.2. There is continual price decline across all geographical areas. In the tri-county area, Broward, Dade, Palm Beach, dirty accounts that is renewals that have bad loss ratios are being renewed flat to down 10% to 15%. Everything else is, for whatever, up to as much as 40%. Wind deductibles are being reduced, that’s not new from January. Citizens’ condo and apartments with land is still pretty much the bottom of the market, except for AAA structures. I would also comment that Citizens’ rates have stabilized, there has been a little upward movement on certain Citizens’ prices relative to condos that are AAA and more than $10 million in values... ensured values and those are A-rated, and those rates have moved up a little. To get a new account and this is true in the tri-county and it's true across the entire United States… to get a new account unless there is a huge amount of pain, then we are going to have to be 30% below expiring to be able to have a good chance of getting the account. So, that's just part of the way it is today. Further in South Florida, large yachts more than $1 million in value were flat to down 5%, but a new player is now in the marketplace as of really about two weeks ago, new risk bearer and they are quoting 10% to 15% to 20% down on those kind of yachts. Personal lines are flat to down 10% and really the ones that are down 10% are ones that have hardened up, some like shutters or mitigation credits as a result of garage doors and etcetera. If you look at the rest of the state, there is a very substantial shift from Citizen's land to... and this in on condos and apartments to non-admitted carriers that are anyplace to 5% to 10% below the Citizen's rates and better coverage. That started happening really in January and it's becoming widespread. It is not yet happening in Southeast Florida. We are also experiencing and this is true across United States, but it's a little more virulent in a couple of areas of Florida. We are experiencing reduced exposure units, that means lower payrolls, which means less economic activity and less trucks and less inventory and blah, blah, blah and those are the... those are renewals, that's part of downdraft and renewals. The biggest dip in Florida, however, is really Sarasota, Naples… Sarasota, Fort Myers, Naples and that has to do with the home building business really kind of drying up, almost like down 80% maybe. Large admitted carriers are now starting to write some property, a little bit here and there other than… as I have mentioned in the last report that they were writing some in the spine of Florida, along the spine. We still believe that it's… Q4 until we have somewhat normalized soft market and I guess if you want to say, what’s a real… what is a soft market normalized? Well, it may be 10% to 15% down as opposed to these other much more aggressive pricing. We think that there are some companies that are starting to actually trying to do something underwriting and using some exposure criteria and etcetera, but that's... I am not so sure about that. Personal Lines is the real capacity problem in Florida for the foreseeable future. However, new building quotes are helping plus individual home hardening, so that probably will take care of itself. Looking into… when I say taking care of itself, that's over a long period of time. National Retail was down a negative… last quarter down a negative 3% as now and down negative 1.7% and sort of giving you a broad brush across the number of states, looking into Georgia still very soft particularly in the Atlanta area, 25% to 40% down on prime package business. Bad loss ratios are starting to be flattish, umbrella is sort of flat to down 10% unless their large dollars and South Carolina is more of the same… except workers’ comp is not quite as aggressive, there is a little... little difference in the workers’ comp there. Moving into North Carolina, work comp is crazy, reductions are up to 40% and underwriters are simply ignoring the long tale of this business. Some construction, some property that is west of US 17, U.S 17 is kind of a coastal highway, is being written by middle markets. In Virginia, the marine markets, fish boats $400,000 in value to $1.4 million [ph] in hull value, are down 30% to 40% and that's the change from January. Packages in coastal areas are down 10% versus rest of states down more, and workers’ comp is down 10% to 15%. Pennsylvania, work comp has softened since January, companies are now writing monline and they weren't before January. Regionals are again leading the way, social services is still eroding about 10%. Condos maybe, maybe, maybe, maybe, maybe sort of starting to level off, but they may be down 10%. In the New York City area, not much changed since January 1. Fire resisting buildings are... were [inaudible]. So, a little difference there. Marine cargo is very competitive and in that area, two big companies are going head to head and so that's... that creates lower prices. And there are some capacity wind problems on homes along the coastal areas on Long Island. In upstate New York, some of the work comp trust funds have been shut down and so there is some business there moving into the regular marketplace. Lots of competition on frame apartments, regular packages down 30%, etcetera. So, it continues to be very, very aggressive. Looking at Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Michigan, across the Midwest non-admitted paper is moving into admitted. As a matter of fact, that needs to be... again, regionals are leading the way. And so, again there are... we hear some of these awful things and so that's 40% to 50% down on packages, but in some cases those are packages that haven't necessarily been shopped in the last 12 months. Payrolls are down in most places and large tough contractors, particularly in the contract in the Chicago area, are down maybe 10%. Looking into Connecticut, it’s really not much different from other regions and 30% minimum down to [inaudible] to look at a new account unless there is pain. Louisiana and Texas, rate decline in the Houston rate is more virulent now than January 1. Rural areas, the tax is more moderate. There, it's something about taxes and first tax is a little different in lots of ways. But they allow the rate modifications to be negotiated. And these rate modifications are supposed to be promulgated based on the actual losses, including IBNR. So, you can negotiate them there, that's a little different, any of the state I'm aware of. Coastal is still tight on wind, the economy is good. Looking into Louisiana, the New Orleans area, it’s not quite so competitive and the economy there is not quite so good either. And if you get north of I-10 in Louisiana, there is still lots and lots of competition. Looking at western retail, Q4 of last year they were down a negative 8.2%, they are down a negative 4.4%. Colorado and New Mexico, not much change. Payrolls are down, aviation very competitive, down 30% to 40%. I think that's going to last until the end of this year. So, by the end we will be getting renewals that have been down that much. In contractors, there is a little less competition on workers' comp. In California [inaudible], California is California, there is one thing that's different. The work comp rating bureau out there, for the first time I believe in five years, is not recommending a rate decrease. So what does that mean? Also one large national carrier has said, we're really not looking to write any more workers' comp in California. Keep what we have, but not going to write any more. Are they going to be able to hold that line, we'll see? So, maybe next year as the saying goes on sanity for workers' comp, the only other area would be the GL on small contractors and these would be artisan types, and there is a yard of those in California. They are not down quite like others. It's maybe 5% to 10%. In Washington, fish boats from the Northwest to Alaska are flat to down 5%, packages 15% to 30%, travel is off 5% to 10%. If you look at employee benefits across the country, employee benefits, the asking renewal price would be plus 8% to plus 15% and of course there are some areas where... some accounts that have bad loss ratios, so it's more... but on the average 8% to 15%, which is the asking price, the negotiation gets it down to maybe 3% to 4%, maybe a little more and that means that you've got different deductibles. We also have a fewer employees in some of our accounts. So, that's kind of a brief potpourri of Retail. So, now I’ll turn it to over to Powell for Brokerage, Services, and Program. J. Powell Brown – President: Thank you, Hyatt. Brokerage, starting with transactional brokerage, coastal property continues to be down 20% to 50%. Non-coastal properties are down 20% to 30%, with significant standard market pressure particularly in the non-coastal areas, but peaking into areas in certain coastal areas. Casualty pricing, non-construction typically down 30% to 40%, significant standard pressure on primaries and umbrellas. West Coast residential contractors under $100,000 in premium, rates are typically down 10% to 20%. Premiums over $100,000, the rates are down 20% to 40%. And as we’ve said before, exposure units are tending down... trending down 40% to 70%. In the commercial construction space, we continue to see significant standard in market impact there as well. And our binding authority business in Florida, specifically standard market, continues to have an impact, rates are down 20% to 25% with more property capacity in the binding authorities as a limit. Personal Lines continues to see in Florida Citizens and non-rated takeout companies, and the national binding authority business rates are down typically 10% to 20%. In the Services area, we continue to be very impressed and pleased with USIS and NewQuest being on budget or above budget depending on the operation last fall. As you’d remember, we lost a part of a large account, which roughly translates to about $400,000 a month, which really equates to that negative internal growth, everything else were going along as planned. In Special Programs, FIU core revenue in Q1 was down 12%, Citizens continues to play a role there to a lesser extent, but they continue to interpret their rules a little differently on any given day. The ex-wind business and the casualty business there, continues to be under pressure. Public entity business, with casualty specifically is down 20% to 30% in Q1. In Professional National Programs, lawyers are trending down 15% to 30% depending on the size and dentists are down 0% to 10%. In CalSurance on the West Coast, their professional liability programs are trending down about 5% to 10% in rate, and exposure units depending on the program are down 10% to 30%. The winner in the clubhouse in Q1 is Proctor Financial, which continues to do a great job for the team and we continue to see more force placed coverage on regional banks. So, with that I’ll turn it back over to you Hyatt. J. Hyatt Brown – Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Okay, thanks. And now I’ll turn it over to Jim who is going to talk about M&A [inaudible]. Jim Henderson – Vice Chairman & Chief Operating Officer: Thank you, Hyatt, and good morning everyone. M&A continues to produce favorable results for the company and we have a very positive outlook on acquisitions. The activity for the first quarter 2008 continues at a brisk pace. The $43.8 million with some 13 transactions this year announced continue... compares very favorably with the $108 million we completed for all of 2007, in 2007 we did some 27 transactions. There’s concerns about the increase in the capital gains tax rate and further soft market conditions are current factors that's influencing agencies to consider selling. We continue to exercise our dogged discipline on pricing and terms, our model is to pay a fair value for forward actual delivered earnings. Our ability to pay 100% cash for agencies is an attractive option when liquidity is very, very important as it is today. Next, I’d like to turn to some of the activities in Tallahassee with respect to the State of Florida, Citizens Insurance Company, and the Florida Cat Fund. The Florida Senate has passed Senate Bill 2860 that addresses certain regulatory rules and sets a possible rate increase in '09 and limitation on subsequent years. There is no companion bill in the House at this time and significant provisions of the proposed bill will have to be resolved between the Senate and the House. The Senate’s bill includes certain provisions to one that’s perhaps repealed the antitrust immunity currently for the insurance companies in Florida to eliminate the use of the used and file rates statute for Florida, a provision to freeze Citizens’ rates for 2008 with a possible 5% rate increase in 2009, and limit future increases after ‘09 to 10% per year. The bill requires more rapidly payment of claims within a certain number of days. A repeal of the arbitration provision exercise between insurance companies and the office insurance regulation on rate changes, requirements for approval for the hurricane cat modeling, and also the establishment of $250 million fund, a matching fund for new takeout companies. This money would come from the surplus as defined from Citizens. The State’s Chief Financial Officer has introduced a provision to reduce the Florida hurricane cat fund by some $3 billion for next year, not for this year but for next year, and considers certain private market reinsurance to assist the cat fund. This change is prompted by a concern on liquidity for Florida Citizens and for the cat fund obligations. The current bond market may not permit Citizens or the cat fund to issue the projected or timely issue the projected $25 billion to $30 billion in bonds required for a category, four to five storms. So, there’s certainly… there is a buzz in Tallahassee, a sense, perhaps a reality that Citizens Insurance Company has… over the last few years has written some... close to some half trillion in values, it's obligation given a significant storm is such a magnitude that in fact it may outreach the bond capacity for Citizens and for the cat fund. We view these changes as positive in a sense that the solution is the greater participation by the private insurance market. We think this would take some time, but definitely a sense of change from the growth that we’ve seen in Citizens for the state. With those comments, Hyatt, I’ll turn it back over to you for closing comments and questions. J. Hyatt Brown – Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Okay. Thanks, Jim. To pay back just a little bit on what Jim is saying relative to what's happening in Tallahassee, the legislature of course is trying to come up with solutions. Quite frankly, the best solution is to let the private marketplace work and of course I am a Florida cracker and born and reared here. And I kind of think that hurricanes do have a tendency to come in bunches like bananas. And then you don't have any for a while and so assuming that to be the case, there will be several years with not much wind blowing. And as you can tell from my remarks relative to what's happening outside of the bottom three counties, that the private marketplace is coming in at prices and coverages that are depopulating the commercial area of Citizens. So… but certainly I’m not in a position to [inaudible] of hurricanes this year, but kind of think there won't be. So, let's look at a general outlook. First of all there, a press release is put out yesterday by the Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers in Washington saying and I'm just quoting, the headline says, “The Council's survey shows soft market even softer in first quarter of 2008.” And I think that's correct in many respects. And so, some of the comments that they are finding from their members and of course, we are members also are and I’ll just quote you a couple of three, carriers will quote with less information and quickly. There is more flexibility in carriers in terms of expansion of classes they want to write, therefore it's coming out of the non-embedded market. And then the last thing is all about price. So, we see that some P&C carriers are starting to have a bit of a game phase in terms of not being quite so wild and crazy. But I think the broad profit marketability… profitability is overwhelming. According to [inaudible], the combined and of course, you can talk about accident year and you can talk about calendar year and blah, blah, blah. But Personal Lines moved from '06 92.7 to '07 96.1, and commercial lines moved from 91.3 to 93.7. So, the companies are still making a yard of money and as long as that continues, you can see this market is going to continue to be very, very competitive, which is good for the consumer. We think that Florida maybe would be a little better in the last quarter, but really not too sanguine about that. We are very pleased with the way our employee benefits are going along. We think they are going to be a run rate of about $150 million by year-end. We do recognize that the most significant organic challenge will be in Wholesale Brokerage and that bottom is going to lag Retail. We also feel that National Programs other than lawyers will tend to be slightly more stable. So, all in all, it's more of the same. But this is just... this is a repeat of ’98-’99 except Florida is a whole different world and I think that the profitability, the gross profitability meaning total profitability of the risk bearers is this greater during this time in the marketplace than it was in the ‘97, ‘98, ‘99 years. So, we continue to feel good about what we're doing, although we recognize that the suggestion that we had in the first quarter was that quarter one, two, and three are going to be very challenging and quarter four may be a little less [inaudible]. So, with that Bill, I’ll turn it back to you and we’ll open it up for questions. Question and Answer