Operator
Operator
Good day, and thank you for waiting. Welcome to the conference call to discuss Banco Santander Brasil S.A.'s results of the fourth quarter of 2013. Present here are Mr. Carlos Galán, Vice President Executive Officer, CFO; Mr. Oscar Rodriguez, Vice President Executive Officer, CRO; and Mr. Luiz Felipe Taunay, Head of Investor Relations. The live webcast of this call is available at Banco Santander's Investor Relations site, www.santander.com.br/ri (sic) [www.santander.com.br/ir], where the presentation is available for download. [Operator Instructions] Before proceeding, we wish to clarify that forward-looking statements may be made during the conference call relating to the business outlook of Banco Santander, operating and financial projections and targets based on the beliefs and assumptions of the Executive board, as well as on information currently available. Such forward-looking statements are not a guarantee of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions as they refer to future events and hence depend on circumstances that may or may not occur. Investors must be aware that general economic conditions, industry conditions and other operational factors may affect the future performance of Banco Santander and may cause actual results to substantially differ from those in the forward-looking statements. We would now like to pass the word to Mr. Carlos Galán, Vice President Executive Officer, CFO. Mr. Galán, you may proceed. Carlos Alberto López Galán: Thank you. Good afternoon, and thank you for attending Santander Brasil 2013 results conference call. The table of contents summarizes the topics that will be covered: A quick view about the macroeconomic scenario, the highlights regarding 2013, the evolution of 2013 performance and commercial activity. I would finish with a final remarks. But before I start, I would like to mention 2 points. First, in the 4Q 2013, we had BRL 1.5 billion of additional net revenues, mainly originated by the conclusion of the sale of Santander Brasil Asset Management and complemented with the addition of [indiscernible] refis tax amnesty. These 8 items were offset by nonrecurring expenses of the same amount, so there was not an impact on the bottom line. For more details, see Page 30 of the earnings results. It's worth noting that in order to ensure a better understanding of the period results, all the figures in this presentation show the managerial results excluding these events. Second, the capital optimization process that we announced in September was executed on January 29. We issued 3 billion additional Tier 1 and 3 billion Tier 2, and we already distribute the same amount of capital. The transaction was well received by all stakeholders and markets and our strong capital position was upheld while a more efficient capital structure was achieved. On the next page, regarding the macroeconomic outlook, I would like to highlight 3 ideas. First, in terms of GDP growth, market consensus shows a moderate growth for 2014 and a slight recovery for 2015. It is expected that GDP growth for both years will be around 2%. Regarding inflation, we share the market view that the Central Bank will manage to keep inflation within the inflation target ceiling for 2014 and 2015. It will continue to run around 6% in 2014 and 5.6%, 5.7% in 2015. Third, looking at interest rates, exchange rates, we think that Brazil is ahead of curve versus other emerging market countries. After 325-basis-point adjustment, the Selic rate is very close to the peak. We expect another hike of 50 basis points, reaching 11% for 2014. And in terms of exchange rate, we see a gradual depreciation of the Brazilian real for 2014 and 2015, which should lead to an improvement of the current account balance. Even though Brazil's macro outlook remains challenging, as recent financial volatility is recurring, we are confident with fundamentals and in terms of employment stability. Therefore, in our scenario, we do not foresee a sovereign debt movement. On Page 6, going through the highlights of 2013, I would like to share 6 points. First, net profit amounted to BRL 5.7 billion in the year, 10% lower than 2012 and flat in the quarter at BRL 1.4 billion. Secondly, expanded credit portfolio grew 3% in the quarter and 9% year-over-year. Third, revenues, NII plus fees, decreased 1% quarter-over-quarter and 4% year-over-year. However, other revenues, net of allowance for loan losses, continued to present a positive outcome. They grew 2% in the quarter while they remained flat on a yearly basis. The fourth point, operating expenses excluding depreciation and amortization increased 5% in the quarter and 3% over 2012, below half of the annual inflation. These NPLs over 90 days improved 180-basis-point in the year, with improvements in individuals and corporates. Allowance for loan losses decreased both on a quarterly and a yearly basis. Sixth, and finally, a strong balance sheet. The bank remains in a comfortable position in terms of coverage ratio, liquidity and capital. On Page 8, the 4Q 2013 results amounted to BRL 1,409 billion, flat against the previous quarter and 12% lower than the same quarter last year. Regarding the full year, we had a net profit, including 100% of goodwill amortization, of BRL 5,744 million, a 9.7% decrease or BRL 618 million in 12 months. This implies a profit per unit of BRL 1.51 in 2013. Page 9. For a few quarters, we have been discussing the changes that are taking place in the industry and the measures the bank is putting in place to position itself in this new environment. The themes are: the increased focus on collateralized lending, with lower spreads but also lower cost of credit; increased segmentation of the client base; and efforts to improve efficiency and productivity. The encouraging point on this -- of this quarter is that, for the first time in a prolonged period, credit-related NII increased and credit-related NII after provisions maintained its improvement trend for the third consecutive quarter. This is in line with the expectation that we shared with you previously. In relation to the latter, it increased about BRL 290 million, or 10.2% in the quarter. As a result, approximately BRL 250 million reduction in loan loss provisions in the quarter together with the increase of BRL 40 million in credit-related net interest income. We believe that net spreads will continue to improve in the next quarter. This is a signal that we have already overcome the initial stages of this transaction process. Let me run through the major lines. Revenues, they were affected by moderated credit growth, product mix change and sluggish economic growth. NII decreased 4% in the quarter and 8% in 12 months. And fees and commissions increased 9% in the quarter and 10% over 2012. Lower allowance for loan losses, as we anticipated. Allowance for loan losses totaled BRL 11.7 billion, a decrease of 9% in the quarter and 11% year-over-year. Cost of credit reduced 50 basis points in the quarter and 110 basis points on the annual terms. General expenses control, with annual growth below inflation, reflecting our efforts to increase productivity and efficiency. Total expenses increased 5% in 3 months and 3% in 12 months. The fourth point is an improvement by 7% year-over-year of the other operating income expenses, reflection of our efforts and initiatives to normalize the contingency levels, especially contingencies for labor [indiscernible] claims. As a result of previous dynamics, profit before taxes improved 6% or BRL 102 million in the quarter. And with higher taxes in this period, the final outcome is a flat net profit evolution quarter-on-quarter. Regarding net interest income, I'd like to comment 4 points. Net interest income came to BRL 29.8 billion, a reduction of 8% over 2012. In a quarterly comparison, NII decreased 4% or approximately BRL 310 million, which is explained by the decrease of almost BRL 390 million related to line orders, which more than offset the increase of around BRL 75 million in the credit- and deposit-related NII. Credit-related NII grows approximately BRL 40 million in the quarter. This is good news, an increase after 5 quarters of consecutive decreases. As we shared with you previously, this sign out suggests the beginning of a stabilization process. The trend change in the quarter is explained by factors. First, better or higher evolution in average credit growth in the period. And secondly, the lower reduction of the average loan portfolio spread. This quarter, the spread declined approximately 10 basis points, while in the average of the 5 previous quarters it declined 50 basis points per quarter. This movement is related to origination price management refinement and deceleration in the pace of the mix change of the loan portfolio. Credit-related NII after provisions increases for the third consecutive quarter, in a more robust way in the last 2 quarters. In fact, it improved 10.2% quarter-over-quarter. We believe in the maintenance of this improvement for the coming quarters. Regarding the line orders, which includes capital remuneration, results from a structural interest-rate risk mismatch and treasury activities, keep in mind that this is a volatile line. The 4Q was more modest in comparison to the previous one, which had a stronger outcome. In this quarter, we reduced gains from market activities and, as a result, we posted a figure below the average of previous quarters. On Page 11, looking at the loan portfolio. The expanded portfolio reached BRL 279.8 billion, an increase of 2.6% in the quarter and 9% in 12 months. We have been growing in line with private banks. We have a good diversification in our credit portfolio between segments, half with individuals and half with corporates. By segments, we have loans to individuals up 2% quarter-over-quarter and 6% year-over-year, with mortgages and credit cards, due to seasonality, as the main growth drivers in this quarter, with 9% and 10%, respectively. And in annual terms, mortgages grew 33% and revolving credit decreased by 4%. Consumer Finance totaled BRL 38 billion, up 3% in 3 and 12 months. SMEs decreased 2% quarter-over-quarter and 8% in 12 months. I do like to reinforce that SMEs remains a strategic focus for us. However, the evolution of this segment reflects the more moderate pace of economic activity throughout the year, as well as our efforts to prioritize the profitability of this business. On the other hand, we have to bear in mind that in Brazilian GAAP, the discounting of performed [indiscernible] credit card flows is not accounted in the credit portfolio. If we adjust for this, the quarterly evolution would be positive in 1.3%. Corporate increased 4% in 3 months and 19% over December 2012. This segment was benefited by the FX movement. Without this effect, the portfolio would have grown 2.5% in the 4Q and 14% in a year. Looking at credit indicators on the Page 12. The early delinquency from 15 to 90 days remained flat against the previous quarter at 4.7% in the total, with 6.7% in individuals and 2.9% in corporate. We continue to see stabilization in this indicator, as we commented in the previous call. Nevertheless, new vintages [ph], another forward-looking indicator, has been showing improvement in the retail segments for individuals and SMEs. Information is shown in the annex of this presentation. Regarding the NPL over 90 days, this reached 3.7% of the total credit portfolio, down 80 basis points in the quarter and down 180 basis points in 12 months. Evolution in this quarter is slightly better than we have anticipated. For individuals, delinquency improved 90 basis points in the quarter, reaching 5.1%. And for corporate, delinquency improved 70 basis points to a 4.4% level. Moreover, the NPL formation metrics, which adjusts the 90-day NPL change for charge-offs and renegotiated loan evolution, improved 20 basis points in the quarter. The NPL positive evolution, both in individuals and corporate, is due to a combination of elements: better quality of in [indiscernible] origination, better evolution of the credit portfolio, and a mix change in the products and recovery process performance. As a consequence of the asset quality improvement, the allowance for loan losses totaled BRL 11.7 billion in 2013, a decrease of 9% in the quarter and 11% in 12 months. It is the third consecutive quarter that we have observed a reduction in the allowance for loan losses, which is now almost BRL 1 billion below the first Q '13 level. The annual evolution of credit cost implies a decrease of 110 basis points. It has been accelerating throughout the year and finished in the upper range of the expectations that we shared with you in the beginning of last year. We continue to see a moderated and gradual improvement in the cost of credit for the sort of macro outlook discussed previously. It should be mentioned that the increase in the income from recovery of written-off loans reflects the fact that the bank is increasing the amount of resources deployed in this activity. I would like to remind you that, excluding cash recoveries, when a written-off loan is renegotiated it does not impact the allowance for loan losses, since the increase on income from recoveries is offset by the increase in gross allowance for loan losses. In the next page, we can see how fees have evolved. Total fees and commission income in 2013 reached BRL 10.7 billion, an increase of 10% over 2012 and 9% in the quarter, mainly due to more business and transactions. The highlights in the quarter were: Card fees grew 20% in 12 months and 11% in the quarter, strictly due to the increase in credit card transactions, reflecting the previous seasonality and the growth of acquiring services revenues; income from collection services grew 12% in 12 months and 7% in the quarter, the latter upturn being primarily due to the increase in the volume of settled collections in the period, which is partially explained by seasonality, and also by the increased penetration of this product in our client base; others, which included a diversity of items and products, was positively impacted by the increase in the appraisal services related to mortgage and car finance; finally, insurance fees presented a 25% growth year-on-year and 38% in 3 months, being impacted by the new regulation issued by Sussex [ph], the insurance sector regulator, who changed the rule for recognizing policies' renewals. They used to be highly concentrated at the beginning of the year and, as a result, we now recognize in December 2013. If we exclude this effect, the insurance fees would have grown by 16% in 12 months and 4% in the quarter, while total fees [indiscernible] would have moved up by 9% and 4%, respectively. On Page 15, regarding costs. It's well known that the 4Q cost figures are always impacted by a few seasonal factors, especially in the personnel line, with the annual collective bargaining agreement, and other impacts renewals concentrated in general expenses. As a result, the quarter shows a 5% increase. However, in annual terms, total expenses including depreciation and amortization increased 2.9%, below half of inflation over 2012. As we discussed in previous quarters, the productivity and efficiency improvement are multi-year goals. We have been working in a special program, which comprises various initiatives such as commercial processes review at the point-of-sale, number of headquarters building optimization, the improvement of branch commercial distribution, call centers integration and general processes optimization. We have created a special fund in order to avoid nonrecurring impacts derived from these plans and to assure that our cost base line grows well below inflation in the years to come. Regarding performance ratios, efficiency ratio reached 49.5% in 2013, an increase of 320 basis points over 2012. This is basically explained by the top line pressure we previously presented. Recurrence ratio reached 65.5% in 2013, an improvement of 440 basis points in 12 months. Return on assets closed 2013 at 1.3%, a decrease of 20 basis points year-over-year. And finally, our return on equity reached 11% in 2013, a reduction of 190 basis points against 2012. On Page 17, assets totaled BRL 479 million, an increase of 5% in the quarter and 9% over December 2012. Equity, excluding goodwill, amounted to BRL 53 billion, flat in the quarter and an increase of 6% in 12 months. Considering the goodwill, equity totaled BRL 63 billion. On the next page, coverage ratio over 90 days improved almost 29 percentage points in the quarter to 179% and continues to be at a comfortable level. As we have indicated, the bank does not have a target for coverage ratio. The quarterly and annual increase of the coverage ratio was strictly due to a bigger reduction in the balance of nonperforming loans over 90 days, given the improvement in the quality of the portfolio and the improvement in the renegotiation practice, with a prudent stance with regards to provisions recoveries that I referred before. BIS ratio reached 11.2%, the highest among large Brazilian banks, 150 basis points lower than the previous quarter. And it's basically composed of Tier 1 customers [indiscernible]. The reduction of the BIS in the quarter is due to 100 basis point affected by the implementation of the new rules of Basel III since October 2013, more or less we are talking about DTAs and risk-weighted asset consumption in the large corporates, and the other 50 basis points were impacted by credit growth and dividends distribution. On Page 19, you can observe a vigorous growth on the deposit activities, which reflects our strong counts [indiscernible] on our clients and on [indiscernible] with them. Total funding from clients amounted to BRL 222 billion, an increase of BRL 23 billion in 12 months, which is higher than the increase in the total credit portfolio of BRL 16 billion in the same period, improving the loan-to-deposit ratio about 400 basis points in the last 12 months, reaching 102%. We would like to highlight the good performance in our core deposits, demand and saving deposits, which have increased 8% in the quarter and 22% in annual basis. Total funding plus assets under management amounted BRL 388 billion, up 4% in the quarter and an increase of BRL 36 billion or 10% in 12 months. Assets under management reached BRL 145 billion, up 0.5% in the quarter and an increase of 7% in 12 months. Finally, 2013 has been a challenging year for the bank and for the financial system. Structural changes are taking place but the resulting business model that will emerge will be more sustainable and resilient. Since the new CEO joined the bank in the middle of 2013, the bank entered in a new cycle. Customer orientation and improving the quality and profitability of our retail franchise is a focus. Since then, the bank has reorganized its management and incorporated new, skilled professionals with a strong commercial retail orientation. Order, the bank is undertaking several initiatives and measures aiming at boosting customers’ linkage and enhancing the relationship with them with a special focus in services and deposits-related activities; reduction of NPL ratios and allowance for loan losses with a more resilient business mix; increased productivity and efficiency. And the result of all above will improve our profitability. It's going to be a long journey but we are confident that we are in the right direction. I would like to highlight 5 items in our 4Q results that suggest that we are in the right direction and that we are starting to bear fruits. In the quarter, credit-related NII grows after 5 consecutive decreases in the previous quarters. This is related to the lower spread compression seen in the quarter related to a more normalized speed of asset mix change in the quarter. What happened in the quarter is aligned with our view that the pace of change in mix would abate and we expect a more normalized change in mix base going forward. Credit-related NII, after loan loss provisions, increased for the third consecutive quarter, and we believe, it will continue increasing in the coming quarters. NPLs improved both for individual and corporates. It is the third consecutive quarter we observed a reduction in the allowance for loan losses. Our operating expenses grew close to half of inflation in the last 12 months, reflecting our efforts to improve efficiency and productivity. The robust growth in deposit-related activity is a reflection of the renewed focus in increasing the linkage with our clients. Looking forward, it's paramount to continue improving the loan portfolio quality and to pursue relentlessly productivity efficiency gains and to continue the efforts to increase customer loyalty, there's no sectionality [indiscernible] with them, and to ensure the right offer of products and services for each customer cluster. These are our key targets to adapt the bank to their new banking environment. Thank you.