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Bentley Systems, Incorporated (BSY)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 7, 2023

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Transcript

Eric Boyer

Management

Good morning and thank you for joining Bentley Systems' Q3 2023 Operating Results. I'm Eric Boyer, Bentley's Investor Relations Officer. On the webcast today, we have Bentley Systems' Chief Executive Officer, Greg Bentley; Chief Operating Officer, Nicholas Cummins; and Chief Financial Officer, Werner Andre. This webcast includes forward-looking statements made as of November 7, 2023, regarding the future results of operations and financial position, business strategy and plans and objectives for the future operations of Bentley Systems, Incorporated. All such statements made in or contained during this webcast other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. This webcast will be available for replay on Bentley Systems Investor Relations website at investors.bentley.com on November 8, 2023. After our presentation, we'll conclude with Q&A. And with that, let me introduce the CEO of Bentley Systems, Greg Bentley.

Greg Bentley

Management

Good morning, and of course, thanks to each of you for your interest and investment in BSY. In our agenda, I start by interpreting directions within our quarterly operating results. Each quarter, a natural KPI headline is our ARR growth year-over-year business performance. While in '23 Q3, that nominally ticked down to the 12.5% midpoint of our financial outlook for the year, this nonetheless, represents continuity in our strong growth momentum given puts and takes specific to this quarter, which I will explain, and we are likewise steadily tracking to our planned annual gains in operating margins and cash flows. Leading the way, even among more broadly strong market conditions this quarter is the public works/utilities infrastructure sector in the U.S. With almost half of our ARR here, this mainstay in effect serves as the governor on our underlying flywheel. U.S. public works/utilities continues to benefit from the fundamental expansion emerging finally beyond transportation both infrastructure investment and Jobs Act funding. This quarter's ACEC survey of U.S. engineering firms across all sectors, reports a medium current backlog of 11 months, reflecting an engineering resource capacity gap. Even more permanent for digital workflow investments, expectations for a year from now, across economic sentiment anticipate an even stronger market for engineering firms throughout next year that will result in yet higher backlog. When ACEC asked this time about the lack of qualified workers, you see there was a strong agreement that an engineering resource capacity gap is already constraining engineering firms from growing to meet this backlog of work. Another indicator of this engineering resource capacity gap is that the average duration that our applications are used in a workday has continually increased now by 23 minutes per day since before the pandemic. We will shortly come back to count these workdays.…

Nicholas Cumins

Management

Thank you, Greg. The engineer resource capacity gap is indeed top of mind. Two weeks ago, I attended a CEO Summit for top engineering firms organized by AEC advisers. There were two takeaways relevant for this conversation. First, firms recognize their role in solving the world's biggest problems. Infrastructure is key to support economic growth, ensure energy security and address climate change. Second, firms cannot find enough engineers to do this important work, and they are looking for solutions. Software is how they will drive efficiency as one engineering firm CEO said during a panel conversation. This is a great summary of our current market conditions. Let's start with Infrastructure sectors. The trends remained broadly in line with Q2. ARR growth was once again led by public works and utilities. The sector continues to benefit from large infrastructure investments around the world, and we expect this to be the case for years to come. ARR growth and resources remain above company average. Seequent with its core business in mining performed as expected. As discussed last quarter, we see less funding available to finance new exploration projects. However, Seequent is used through the mining value chain and is well positioned to help mining companies be more efficient when under margin pressure. ARR growth in industrial softened somewhat, in particular with EPCs in India and Southeast Asia, focused on energy projects after many quarters of rapid expansion. The commercial and facilities sector remained flat. Moving on to regions. Americas performed well once again led by North America with more federal money from IIJA being spent on a greater variety of infrastructure in the U.S. and given our strong momentum with the State Departments of Transportation. Our growth rate with DOTs has increased by 50% year-over-year. All the more impressive given that these…

Werner Andre

Management

Thank you, Nicolas. We are pleased with another strong quarter. Total revenues for the third quarter were $307 million, up 14% year-over-year or 11% in constant currency. Year-to-date, total revenues grew 13% on a reported and constant currency basis. Subscription revenues for the quarter grew 15% year-over-year or 12% in constant currency and represented 88% of our total revenues. Year-to-date subscription revenues grew 14% on a reported and constant currency basis. The onboarding of Power Line Systems at the end of January 2022 accounts for approximately 0.5 percentage point of this year-to-date improvement. Our E365 and SMB initiatives continue to be solid contributors to our subscription revenue growth. Perpetual license revenues for the third quarter grew 26% or 23% in constant currency. Year-to-date, perpetual license revenues grew 6% on a reported and constant currency basis. Even though perpetual license sales make up only 4% of total revenues, and will certainly remain small relative to our recurring revenues, they are likely to become more significant to us as they did in '23 Q3. This is particularly true for SMB and that it served as a competitive differentiator, helping us to attract new logos and in China due to local preferences. Our professional services revenues remained essentially flat for the quarter. Year-to-date, services revenues grew 6% or 8% in constant currency and benefited from the acquisition of Vetasi, which we acquired within our Cohesive Digital Integrator Group in 22 Q4. Moving on to our recurring revenue performance. Our last 12 months recurring revenues increased by 13% year-over-year or by 14% in constant currency. The acquisition of Power Line Systems contributed about 1 percentage point. Our last 12 months constant currency account retention rate rounded down to 97% from 98% as a result of exiting Russia mid-2022. Our constant currency recurring revenues, net…

A - Eric Boyer

Operator

Thanks, Werner. In order to get to everyone's questions today, we ask that you limit yourself to just one. Our first question comes from Matthew Hedberg from RBC.

Matthew Hedberg

Analyst

Thanks for all the commentary on the call. I was just kind of curious, it sounds like a consistent outlook this year. I know there's a lot of investors that are kind of wondering about some of the major trends including IIJA, it's probably too early to kind of think about next year, but if you were kind of helping us with some of the major building blocks for growth next year. Is it consistent with kind of '23? Are there things that you're kind of particularly excited about maybe China joint venture is ramping? Just sort of any help you can kind of think about next year would be certainly helpful.

Greg Bentley

Management

Well, the fourth quarter is going to inform our view of next year. And of course, we'll have our annual outlook guidance after the first quarter -- after the fourth quarter. Much happens for us in the fourth quarter it's been almost 3/8 of our ARR renews. And even on E365, there are negotiations about floors and caps especially that consume the quarter we're in just now. But generally, thinking of next year, our business at large is not that volatile, and there is considerable visibility in what we do. Now I suppose the exception that proves that rule is new mining exploration, which this year has a downturn, but it is a minority of what we do even in mining, things to be excited about for next year include the continued expansion of IIJA. It's now in water and also there has been grid funding. Now for grid improvements, there also needs to be permanent. That is yet to happen. But it will happen, we think, during the coming year, those are things to be excited about. Things that are complicated are China, so much of that new business happens in the fourth quarter. And the joint ventures are slowly coming on. But more significantly, we continue to have E365 -- excuse me, to continue to have ARR accretion in China, but sometimes it's now in favor of perpetual licenses. So, we're going to have to balance that out and maybe that looking at next year, we have to factor in that not all new business is going to be new ARR subscriptions. But generally, that which we depend most upon doesn't change very fast and it's rather favorable momentum more so now than ever.

Eric Boyer

Management

Next question comes from Joe Vruwink from Robert Baird.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

Great. Can you hear me?

Greg Bentley

Management

Yes.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

Two related questions on ARR performance in the quarter. Do you have a sense of where ARR growth and network retention would be, if you just applied this quarter's application usage rates across a normal amount of working days? And then part B of the question, I want to make sure I heard this right. So ARR growth outside of China remained at year-to-date highs. It sounds like industrial markets maybe softened relative to the trend. So is the correct interpretation that public works and the Americas actually improved a bit sequentially?

Greg Bentley

Management

I think that is the correct interpretation. And as to industrial, those are very large EPCs on very large projects that are very production-oriented and maybe especially sensitive to this calendar phenomenon. And to go back to that, there isn't quite a simple calculation to answer your questions and to explain, on the one hand, under E365 project lines, which is our single largest dollar program is not counted on usage days. It's any usage in the quarter creates a charge for project life has already been -- always been that way. Asset wise, it's based on asset count. And then even for the applications, there are a lot of floors and caps that are binding at any point in time. And the calendar volatility can cause the caps and floors to come into play in a dynamic way. And then, we have some contracts where the usage-based pricing is in ban. So we do that for government contracting and so forth. So for all these reasons, it isn't quite as simple a calculation, as you might think it could be. But we can say that without the change in -- without having one fewer day than last year without having the bulge in perpetual licenses that instead, they've been the usual mix and without the attrition in China. If we didn't have any of those three things, then there wouldn't have been a reduction in our indicated ARR growth for the quarter.

Eric Boyer

Management

Thanks, Greg. Next question comes from Kristen Owen from Oppenheimer.

Kristen Oppenheimer

Analyst

I wanted to ask specifically about the BP announcement, the asset-wise project. How we should think about that as a blueprint for this migration or increased penetration with asset owners and the owner operators versus sort of the CapEx cycle? Just help us unpack the remote asset moderate opportunity, recurring revenue sources and the development of that type of agreement.

Greg Bentley

Management

I think you had that exactly right. Imagine how important it is for BP in its history to get right, the access, the engineering information over the operations life cycle of assets. So very smart people and very smart data scientists made very good long-term decisions about their approach to this over time, and it really is unique that they have agreed on a system and a data model and a schema that they can use both during their CapEx, and they have a huge CapEx program and their operations. It really is unique to share that data model for engineering information and has enabled asset-wise to be extended to asset-wise reliability for, I would say, in inspection and corrosion management and so forth. I think it's more important than anyone to BP. And they have, as you know, in industrial, we do not have the footprint we have elsewhere. So I think it's really important that BP is leading the way in what we call infrastructure intelligence using the engineering information for not only safety, but reliability, uptime and so forth. It's a down to earth application of that that is now propounded throughout BP and really is a model. Generally, industrials that are ahead of public works and utilities, and I think this is a respective that you're seeing with the BP enhancement.

Eric Boyer

Management

The next question comes from Jason Celino from KeyBanc.

Jason Celino

Analyst

Guys, can you hear me or same

Greg Bentley

Management

Yes.

Jason Celino

Analyst

Yes. Perfect. One of your competitors has been pretty vocal about the studies and partnerships they've been doing with different DOTs. Greg or Nicholas, can you tell us about this partnership with AASHTO? I think as they say it, is there any revenue opportunity? Or is it more about influence?

Nicholas Cumins

Management

AASHTO is a nonprofit organization working with all the DOTs in the U.S. The partnership we're doing with them goes beyond a study. It is about integration of our software with a software that they all actually call AASHTOWare, which is managed by Infotech. And in order to enable true digital delivery, meaning data flowing freely from one system to another, from AASHTOWare, from OpenRoads, from ProjectWise, from SYNCHRO and from one phase of the infrastructure life cycle to the next. From design to construction which is usually exciting because we see that as a big growth opportunity for Betley going forward. We are very strong when it comes to design, we're going into construction with the DOTs in particular, as the embracing digital delivery across design and construction.

Greg Bentley

Management

This will have a bearing on most projects.

Eric Boyer

Management

Next question comes from Michael Funk from Bank of America.

Michael Funk

Analyst

Yes, I come to with the mute button there. I apologize. So Greg, you mentioned a bit about IIJA, some of the funding starting to flow through. I think specifically, you mentioned now in water grid funding, still not permitting in that area. But can you help us quantify this based on the amount of funds for different projects, where you feel you have relative strength, obviously, in those two areas you do -- and the modeling you've done a potential uplift to ARR from those projects coming online during 2024 and 2025? And then related question, you also spoke a lot about iTwins on the call. I appreciate the commentary there. How much potential lift to ARR do you believe at iTwins could provide in the next 12 months?

Greg Bentley

Management

Well, first on IIJA, of course, the transportation funding had been slowing. It doesn't increase. It just continues to flow for the next three and four years. The other programs had to be put in place, and that's still not complete, but it is finally for water for grid, it's kind of hit miss, but some of it has begun subject, however, to permitting for -- you don't need just money but also permits to do a new transmission capacity. So that is yet to happen. As far as quantifying the grid opportunity, the International Energy Association has done a good paper during the past quarter that estimates that what's spent on transmission and distribution needs to double over a period of time globally to accomplish everything that's required for electrification. I don't know that -- I don't mean to say that I predict it will necessarily double, but it will grow a lot. And that is the reason to say that our opportunity in grid, especially can multiply. But generally, there is the capacity constraints at the same time. So, I believe it will be a continued ramp in the right direction, and we saw that this quarter and year so far in North America. For iTwin, let me ask Nicholas.

Nicholas Cumins

Management

Yes, iTwin is our platform for Digital Twins, Infrastructure Digital Twins. And as a platform, it is leveraged more and more across our product portfolio. This relates to a more fundamental evolution going on, where we as an industry overall, if you want, we're going from file-based to data-centric workflows. The technology we're using to do this is Digital Twin. What it means is all of our products over time will adopt iTwin as a platform. Last year, we announced Bentley Infrastructure Cloud, which is a combination of ProjectWise, SYNCHRO asset-wise to be powered by iTwin. And this year at YiI, we announced that our open applications, the first one being MicroStation. We're going to also leverage iTwin going forward. What I mean by this is iTwin is not a discrete part category. If you're trying to put an ARR number to it, it's actually our overall growth as a company, which will be based on iTwin as our entire product portfolio is more and more powered by iTwin.

Eric Boyer

Management

Our next question comes from Matthew Broome from Mizuho.

Matthew Broome

Analyst

All right. everyone. So Greg, you mentioned positive survey results. Could you maybe talk about how you found customer sentiment in recent months based on your conversations? What are their concerns on their main pinpoints?

Greg Bentley

Management

Well, Nicholas has just been with the CEOs at the conference you described, I might ask him. He's had those first hand meetings. In general, they are very excited and enticed by the possibilities of generative AI in helping to enable their work to get more efficient, but they're very aware that they have valuable data at stay there and they never failed to bring that up and it's appropriately so, I think. What we're saying is their data should benefit only then, but that will be sufficient and is what they really want. But Nicolas, over to you, perhaps it will help.

Nicholas Cumins

Management

It very top of mind is on their side, how much demand there is for infrastructure? And how important is the role, by the way, in designing, building, delivering that infrastructure and to address so many of the world's problems but at the same time, how much constrained they are in terms of engineering resource capacity. By the way, we heard it from the CEO of the top engineering firms we met a couple of weeks ago in Arizona. But we hear it across the regions the engineering resource capacity gap is just getting deeper. I heard that, for example, in India now, we're starting to be constrained in terms of engineering capacity when it comes to very advanced engineering for offshore platform, for example, or high speed rail. So this is a global problem. And they all understand that the way for them to be able to bridge the capacity gap is by going digital. So of course, software plays a big role. And in that context, indeed, they are very interested in AI. I was surprised that in every conversation we had with infrastructure engineering firms, CEOs two weeks ago, AI came up as a topic every conversation. So, it is very much top of mind. They're looking at it as an opportunity to increase the productivity, the efficiency, the effectiveness of their engineers as a step function.

Eric Boyer

Management

The next question comes from Joshua. Joshua Tilton from Wolfe Research.

Joshua Tilton

Analyst

You guys, can you hear me?

Greg Bentley

Management

Yes.

Joshua Tilton

Analyst

All right. Great. I actually want to just kind of sneak in a two-parter on the infrastructure build bundling. The first is kind of a follow-up to an earlier question. And it's -- you talked about funding for a wider array of projects that's coming online, like we had transportation now we're going to have water and other things coming. So the question is, is it fair to assume that the tailwind to growth from the infrastructure bill will just be greater next year than it was this year because you have more projects. And the second part is on the other side of that, are you guys maybe seeing a dynamic where the current interest rate environment is maybe eating away at some of the excitement around the infrastructure bill relative to when it was passed initially?

Greg Bentley

Management

Well, I think it is the case that there not only is the expansion of the IIJA to the other areas beyond transportation grid and broadband and water. There also are now a variety of these grant programs, Nicholas mentioned one, which is another vehicle to get some funding. But the base load in transportation is going to continue, and these others will come on. I want to go to the interest rate question because fundamentally, while not much of our work in the scheme of things is a privately financed. That is the case with new mine exploration and new mine exploration does turn out to be sensitive to capital market constraints to do with interest rates and other aspects. And that has turned down during this year in a way that couldn't have been anticipated. The thing is that, on the other hand, existing mines need to run at full capacity. There's no lack of demand that and where the costs are sunk for the new infrastructure and so forth, it makes economic sense to go full tilt there and we have a lot to help with in respect of that. I'll mention also in terms of private funding its industrial sector. And we do talk about that having gotten a little softer. But again, I don't -- I think we can't say that, that's a trend because it might have to do with the number of days of the quarter and the consumption aspect of that, which, by the way, is even more pronounced in India, where they had more holidays during Q3. So, we're not calling that a trend yet necessarily. Something very interesting, it isn't quite to do with interest rates, but is purchasing behavior where monitoring is preference for perpetual licenses and would say, how does that make sense to lay out money upfront when interest rates are higher. Well, there could be concern about future economic conditions and some SMB businesses apparently anecdotally say, while things are going well and we can fund it, let's buy the perpetual license. In China, I'm afraid it's a different phenomenon. It probably is geopolitical anxiety that's leading to some bigger deals than we've seen ever before become perpetual license deals because they don't want to take a chance with continued subscriptions perhaps under threats of possible sanctions. So it's a complicated world in that in that respect. So we see on the margin, these impacts of interest rates, but it doesn't affect very much public works and utilities and our other domains.

Eric Boyer

Management

Next question comes from Warren Meyers from Griffin Securities.

Warren Meyers

Analyst

Can you hear me now? Thank you, guys, for having me. I'm obviously in for Jay. Just a quick one with respect to the multiple industry solutions you announced at your recent infrastructure conference. How would you rank those in terms of potential materiality to product and/or services, revenues or margins in 2024 and beyond kind of a multi-part question here?

Greg Bentley

Management

I'm going to ask -- I'm sorry, go ahead, you had another part to it. Go ahead.

Warren Meyers

Analyst

No, no. That's basically it.

Greg Bentley

Management

Well, I'm willing to ask Nicolas to help quantify, but this notion that the bulk of our opportunity is doing is for operations and maintenance. So, infrastructure intelligence compounding the value, that is where the economic value occurs and the opportunity for analytics for AI generally. And one of the earlier questions referred to that in what BP is doing. So, we're -- so go ahead, Nicholas.

Nicholas Cumins

Management

Yes. The -- as you know, our business is roughly half-half between engineering firms, owner operators. But when we look at what owner operators are using for the most part, it is also software related to the design phase of the infrastructure life cycle. So, we think one of the big growth opportunities for the Company is the software for the operations phase of the infrastructure lifecycle. And this is why the industry solutions are all about. Now there are a bit of a dimension that cuts across because what we're doing with these industry solutions is combining different products that we already have and then adding some additional capabilities when it's be. For the most part, these industry solutions are focused on giving more intelligence around infrastructure assets themselves. So being able to inspect remotely being able to sense through IoT devices, If anything is wrong with that infrastructure asset and triggering some preemptive actions if necessary. Obviously, this is also a good use case for AI. This is why we're already using quite a bit of AI capabilities for asset analytics. So this is not discrete product opportunity, if you want, it's more of a long-term growth opportunity for Bentley.

Eric Boyer

Management

Our next question comes from Blair Abernethy from Rosenblatt Securities.

Blair Abernethy

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning. Trying to get the mute button off there. Just wanted to follow up on some of Nicholas' comments and maybe partially for a word or two the concept of copilots as a way to help increase the productivity of design infrastructure design engineers. Where do you see yourselves sort of first implementing that? What kind of monetization schemes are you considering? And so what's the timing of this? Is this -- are you in preproduction at this stage or private previews? Or is this a year or two out? Just give us a sense of when you can sort of see this in the market?

Nicholas Cumins

Management

We are already with AI when it comes to asset operations, as I just explained, we've had capabilities there for a couple of years now, which also made the acquisition of Blyncsy, which is also leveraging AI in order to detect what's going on around the transportation network. We are absolutely excited about the potential of AI when it comes to helping engineers in the design phase. This is very early stage as an industry overall. We are in exploration phase and we previewed what we're working on, which is when relevant for some of the engineering firms, leveraging AI as a copilot when it comes to evaluating different site layout options, leveraging AI in order to automate some production of drawings that is really just a sync of time for them right now. The overall vision we have is AI to empower the engineers, not replace them. And we use our own experience actually as an analogy. Our own engineers are leveraging GitHub Copilot to be much more productive. GitHub copilot as I explained in the prepared remarks is taking over all the mundane tasks so they can really focus on high-value tasks. So, we see exactly the same for infrastructure engineers. And we -- the potential is huge, as I mentioned two weeks ago, in every conversation with infrastructure engineering firm CEOs, AI came up. So the potential is huge for sure. We all see the same. Our approach is going to be leveraging our own engineering applications to train the AI agents not the data of our users, which is different from an approach that other companies may take, right? So, we will train the AI agents with our own engineering applications so that they can learn from entering applications, whether the engineer roles, right. And based on this, we'll be able then to suggest site layouts or components of designs of infrastructure, et cetera, going forward. And what we envision is our users will then leverage their data to fine-tune those models, those AI agents, this copilot will give to them. So, it's a quite distinct approach from what you may see in other industries, actually very adapted to our industry infrastructure and very much resonating. The idea of AI is a copilot, the idea that we training with our own engine applications that we let the users decide when and if they want to use their own data to fine tune. This is what's really resonating. With exploration right now with a number of engineering firms gaining us feedback, the time line for us to deliver those capabilities will depend on that feedback.

Greg Bentley

Management

Blair, on monetization, I will point out indirectly when engineering firms and owners recognize the value of the data for ways in which they didn't even anticipate it could compound in value in the future, for instance, with generative AI training their own tools. ProjectWise has become our single largest product just now. And the advantage of ProjectWise is a common schema where this state can be understood and come understood and comprehensively more valuable. So, there are ways for us to implicitly monetize on the value of entering data without yet working out how the -- whether there would be new products or enhanced products as far as monetization.

Eric Boyer

Management

Our next question comes from Clarke Jeffries from Piper Sandler.

Clarke Jeffries

Analyst

So I wanted to follow up on a prior question and maybe reflect I think there are some memories of some of the civil construction projects being positive at the shovel-ready stage. And I think that there has been discussion of that before. So, I wanted to pose a question like that. How much of the engineering design work will be done entirely pre-shovel-ready on the construction? And how much continued engineering design work could be available after it moved to that final stage when construction on site starts to happen? And then as a follow-up, when can the sale to the owner-operator occur when it's entirely at the sort of specialty contractor or engineering consultant stage or somewhere during the project?

Greg Bentley

Management

Well, what an interesting question. And yes, it could be that in staging of projects, even those funded under IIJA. Some might wait for materials costs and labor costs and so forth to balance out rather than bulge. But that won't have, in general, the impact on the design, getting the project to being with shovel ready. However, we're just back from year-end infrastructure last month, and we are reminded that in Asia, which leads in so much in the world, in Singapore, a case in point of that, if you get a chance to watch some of the keynotes. Things have moved very far toward design build. And very often, major projects in Asia, the owner from the SAR has a Digital Twin in mind, and it isn't something that comes along after the fact that it really is interesting. And it is leading the way. We say they're leapfrogging ahead not being constrained by traditional contracting structures and so forth. So I think you'll see some examples of that in Going Digital Awards finalists and winning projects Asia. And that's why we remarked that to me, it's a pleasant surprise to see that 17% of all of these 300-plus nominated projects this year, use SYNCHRO. So, they're incorporated six even incorporating 4D modeling of the construction process during the design, and it's just an indication of the progress of design build and constructability ultimately to improve civil project execution and take out risk and variability.

Eric Boyer

Management

That concludes our call today. We thank each of you for your interest and time in Bentley Systems and look forward to updating you on our progress in coming quarters.

Greg Bentley

Management

Thank you.