Earnings Labs

Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Wed, Apr 29, 2020

$27.44

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Please standby, we're about to begin. Good day everyone and welcome to the Peabody Energy First Quarter 2020 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following today's presentation instructions will be given for the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded Wednesday, April 29, 2020. I would now like to turn the call over to Julie Gates. Please go ahead.

Julie Gates

Analyst

Good morning and thanks for joining Peabody's earnings call for the first quarter of 2020. With us today are President and CEO, Glenn Kellow; as well as Interim CFO, Mark Spurbeck. Within the earnings release, you will find our statement on forward-looking information as well as a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures. We encourage you to consider the Risk Factors referenced there along with our public filings with the SEC. Given the unique circumstances of COVID-19, we will begin today's remarks with a robust discussion of Peabody's specific actions underway in response to the evolving situation. I'll now turn the call over to Glenn.

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · B. Riley

Thanks, Julie, and good morning everyone. I'm pleased to note that Julie has recently taken over as Head of Investor Relations and Communications. So welcome. I'd like to start today by extending my sincerest gratitude to our global workforce of more than 6,000 employees, particularly those serving on the frontlines to provide products to meet vital needs. Thank you for all you do each and every day. It has been a challenging start to 2020 and among the most complex global backdrops in my more than three decades in the global resource industry. For context, in just the first quarter, Australia was still facing the impacts of persistent and tragic bushfires immediately followed by some of the heaviest rainfall to hit New South Wales since the 1990s. In the U.S., we saw natural gas prices hit 21-year lows, and now we and the rest of the world are managing through the devastating and complex COVID-19 pandemic. Coal mining has been designated as an essential business by many governments to support coal fueled electric power generation and critical steelmaking needs. Even so, the health and safety of our employees and broader communities remain at the forefront of all we do. We will continue to operate our mines only went decide and economic to do so. We're following recommendations by the CDC and the Australian Department of Health with rigorous protocols, controls, and prevention measures implies at all of our locations. This includes temperature and health screens, paid COVID-19 leaves, enhanced cleaning and sterilization practices, expanded use of personal protective equipment, remote work where possible, and social distancing procedures. We're also utilizing more flexible rosters at many of our sites to reduce exposures. In these times of the great global uncertainty, we're enhancing our efforts to protect our business. We believe it's…

Mark Spurbeck

Analyst · B. Riley

Thanks, Glenn. Against this difficult backdrop, I'd now like to touch on a few of the key financial results in the first quarter. Revenue totaled $846 million compared to $1.25 billion in the prior-year largely due to the impact of reduced volumes and lower pricing. As a reminder, our Kayenta mine ceased production in the third quarter of 2019. DD&A in the first quarter totaled $106 million representing a 39% decline from the prior-year. DD&A reflects the closure of Kayenta as well as lower contract amortization expense and volumes. First quarter SG&A improved 32% versus the first quarter of 2019 down to $25 million. This reflects the benefit of actions taken to-date as well as lower share-based incentive compensation. Earnings from equity affiliates reflect the loss of approximately $9 million related to the independently operated Middlemount joint venture due to the impacts from heavy rainfall in January and February. The joint venture recently agreed to have one of Peabody's General Managers run the day-to-day operations at the mine. As expected, first quarter adjusted EBITDA of $37 million was impacted by lower realized pricing and higher seaborne metallurgical costs. We continue to see strength from our seaborne thermal segment. Adjusted EBITDA margins of 27% were driven by $32 costs per ton even as drilling and blasting at Wilpinjong were impacted by wet weather. As expected results from our seaborne met segment reflected the impacts of an extended longwall move at Metropolitan, pit sequencing at Moorvale, and the start of the mainline conveyor system upgraded at Shoal Creek. We also completed high wall mining at the Millennium mine in the first quarter. Lastly, U.S. thermal demand has been challenging as indicated by first quarter volumes. In the PRB, a ton rose 4% due to pit sequencing and an increase in the federal…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. And we will first hear from Lucas Pipes of B. Riley.

Lucas Pipes

Analyst · B. Riley

Hey, good morning everyone. I hope you're all doing well and staying safe.

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · B. Riley

Good morning, Lucas. Thank you. Same to you.

Lucas Pipes

Analyst · B. Riley

Thank you, thank you. I first wanted to ask you about the metal business and in the release, you mentioned how you're going to be rebuilding essentially all the operations for profitability and when you look at Q1, obviously costs were unusually high and I assume you don't really see the benefit yet of oil and exchange rate changes, but now kind of second quarter prices have come down a lot more and how should we think about that business and how should you maybe adjust to this current market environment? I appreciate your thoughts and color on that.

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · B. Riley

Yes, thanks. Thanks, Lucas. So as we indicated in the previous quarter and call and also in this release, we were expecting some activities that would give elevated costs in that first quarter. One was the extended outage at our Metropolitan mine. The second was pit sequencing and coal activities at our Coppabella and Moorvale mine. And we also commenced the upgrade project at Shoal Creek. So we were expecting higher costs and that continuing to set us up in terms of operational capability at a later point. Our met business unfortunately did make a loss in the quarter. As you've indicated, prices have moved further which would continue to impact that that business into the second quarter. I think and this is a general across all of our portfolio our first priority is obviously the health and safety of our workforce and the communities in which we operate. And then we're thinking about the challenge really at two ends. Firstly is staying very close to our customers, understanding our markets, understanding our customers, understanding their requirements. And then from our business in the -- through that lens of safe operations, being able to adjust our operations, production plans to meet those customer needs. You saw us tight action progressively in the first quarter and again through the month of April as we continue to adjust our mine plans to meet those customer requirements. On top of that, we do have a number of activities underway which you would expect in order to appropriately respond and position our business. We would expect our mines if they come pressured at low price environments to be able to identify a path to cash generation. Otherwise, we've had a track record of acting to suspend or curtail mine -- mine production. The particular practice of our activity, Lucas, as you have alluded to would be our met platform for some of the reasons that I've indicated.

Lucas Pipes

Analyst · B. Riley

That's very helpful. I appreciate all the color. Switching -- switching topics, on the liquidity side, you've taken some measures to further bolster that. And then when I looked at some of the working capital changes, big benefit on the inventory side, but then on the payable side, that also looked like a change quite substantially from the end of the year. What were some of the big drivers behind that? And if you could maybe wrap that into a broader discussion of how you think about liquidity in this market environment, what's adequate et cetera, that that would be very helpful. Thank you.

Mark Spurbeck

Analyst · B. Riley

Yes, good morning, Lucas. Couple of things on the working capital, the payable side, a couple of biggest movers was timing related to network research and royalty payments, compensation as well, accruals for payroll. So normal working capital items, nothing -- nothing out of the ordinary from that perspective. As you mentioned, given the uncertainty around the COVID-19 pandemic, we certainly are protecting the company's liquidity and cash position. After quarter end, as Glenn mentioned, we drew down $300 million on the revolver to bolster the company's cash position. Certainly, without knowing the depth and severity of the pandemic, the company has taken a very cautious approach today.

Operator

Operator

Matt Vittorioso from Jefferies.

Matt Vittorioso

Analyst

Glenn, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I guess I have two questions first, just on the potential monetization at Goonyella, is there any way to help us think about the magnitude or the size of the proceeds you might be able to get or what the valuation is there. I know there are other miners that are right there in the vicinity that probably have their eye on at least each of those assets. And maybe you could tell us around what you're thinking as far as the size or what approaches might be from potential monetization there?

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · B. Riley

Good morning. Thank you for the question. Given that we have a commercial process underway, you'd naturally expect us not to comment on views around that. Having said that significant reserve position, high quality, coking coal routinely would be able to sit, start has been participating setting the benchmark for that particular product. Good infrastructure, good location. So we like the asset. But there is a commercial process underway, yes, you would and you wouldn't expect me to comment. But with respect to North Goonyella, you also took the source type significant steps as we've indicated over the last couple of quarters; our focus was on reducing the holding cost. And we've been successful in being able to do that particularly now, not only in the activities that are occurring on the ground, but the take or pay commitments we expect to be mitigated from the third quarter.

Matt Vittorioso

Analyst

Okay, great. And then my second question, I guess would just be on capital allocation. You were, I guess, pretty clear that you have to spend a debt reduction activity and are not looking to repurchase any of your secured notes in the open market. I guess I find that a little disappointing from a debt perspective. You've got $1.2 billion of liquidity. You've got a 2022 maturity that's trading at a pretty deep discount. You guys were out buying equity. When the equity implied a $4 billion or $5 billion valuation, you now have bonds that imply the company; the enterprise is worth less than $500 million. And you've got liquidity. It feels like this is a real opportunity to create equity. And then you're basically saying you're not going to do anything. I was just hoping comments on that.

Mark Spurbeck

Analyst · B. Riley

Yes, sure. Happy to add a little more color there. As we noted last quarter, we intend to reduce debt over time. The pacing and quantum of debt reduction, however, is dependent on both industry and company specific factors. The overall uncertainty related to COVID-19 resulted us in suspending guidance. It certainly muddies the water from a liquidity perspective. Rather you saw a straw on the revolver to protect the company's cash position and financial flexibility in these uncertain times. We also have no further clarity with regard to the PRB joint venture with Arch or at North Goonyella since the last time we spoke. So, the answer to your question, we've taken a cautious approach. We think that's prudent given the industry conditions and the overall uncertainty in the market today.

Operator

Operator

Mark Levin with The Benchmark Company. Hearing no response, we'll take a question from Matthew Fields from Bank of America.

Matthew Fields

Analyst · Bank of America

Hey everyone. Can you hear me?

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · Bank of America

Yes, Matt.

Matthew Fields

Analyst · Bank of America

Yes, thanks. I just like to echo Matt Vittorio comments and just kind of note that it reminds me a lot of in 2015 and 2016, when analysts begged Plastic Energy to repurchase their bonds at a discount, and they chose not to. But I guess that's a story for another day. So I guess in that light, what is the difference from your point of view between available revolver and having the cash on the balance sheet unless you think that the banks that lend to you are going to become insolvent? Like, what's the difference between $630 million of cash and $930 million of cash when you're operating in that margin; you have full, full access to your revolver?

Mark Spurbeck

Analyst · Bank of America

Yes, Matt. It's Mark. Just again, I think there's two things. There's available liquidity on the revolver when we decided to draw down after quarter end, it's really to have that cash on the balance sheet. Given the uncertainty and the unknown depth and severity of the crisis as it rolled out here, so an additional cash on the balance sheet was a better position to be in. I think you saw in many companies, including ourselves in the industry as well as the broader industry do the exact same thing.

Matthew Fields

Analyst · Bank of America

Okay, happy. Thanks very much. I just would sort of echo the other questions about buying back bonds at a steep discount that could create equity value and give you further runway and sort of do all sorts of good things for the company. But thanks very much and good luck.

Mark Spurbeck

Analyst · Bank of America

Thank you, Matt. Appreciate those thoughts.

Operator

Operator

Dave Gagliano of BMO Capital Markets.

Dave Gagliano

Analyst

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to perhaps drill down a little bit on some near-term operating metrics. I know obviously guidance is suspended. I think obviously the met business generated [ph] operating loss in the first quarter on two million tons. I think it was two million tons of shipments. Can you at least give us a sense as to what you're thinking in terms of the volumes for the remainder of the year on the met side? And are related sort of within that question, can you give us a sense as to obviously with the weakness in pricing now, how much of the -- previous target was 8.3 million for the year you did two, so let's say 6 million left to go. How much of that is actually EBITDA positive in the current environment?

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · B. Riley

I will take the first one, Dave. I think we, as we said, we suspended guidance but also in Q1 there were factors around positioning the business that are just planned as part of the mine change or in the case of Shoal Creek, some flag work we were doing on our price. The part answer is around the market. And as I said this -- need to addresses this problem a challenge of both ends. The first is for the met market in particular, the extent to which nations will be under enhanced restrictions and how quickly they will recover. And two important markets, I think from a metallurgical coal perspective will be India, which extended its second three weeks shutdown. That is a large importer of met coal and Japan. And Japan's important I guess from two perspectives not only met coal and I talked about the decline in steelmaking that have taken place there with current conditions, but also it's a major consumer of high quality thermal coal. So an important market from both perspectives. China, of course just because of the size and scale and importance on the seaborne market will be another factor. And we've seen encouraging signs in China. But the question remains, how quickly will let that recovery take place? And then what if any additional restrictions, import requirements will work across that. So those things are really lead to uncertainty and being unknown and essentially a frustration but that's what led to the removal of guidance, just the nature of trying to call things we just don't know. Having said that we actively with our customers try and understand those markets try and understand those requirements. But there's a lot, I don't know at this point in time as well.

Mark Spurbeck

Analyst · B. Riley

Maybe I would just add. From an EBITDA perspective, I think your last the second part of that question how much that was EBITDA positive? Given the fact that we pulled guidance, we wouldn't be able to speak to that either. Certainly, we expected improvement in costs in the second half of the year. But without knowing where prices are going to be, as I mentioned in my remarks earlier, prices have been volatile, and they're certainly lower than that first quarter and that will have a negative impact on Q2 and then the rest of the year if prices stay where they're at.

Dave Gagliano

Analyst

Okay, and that's really the nature of the question. I appreciate that. It's challenging extremely challenging environment, but at the same time obviously in this environment burning cash is not an option for an extended period. So I guess the question really I'm getting at is why not shutdown more capacity now given the environment, are the cost savings expected to offset where we are in pricing at this point?

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · B. Riley

I indicated that we were looking mine-by-mine, obviously a particular focus on our met business. Look for opportunities and activities. If mines can’t demonstrate a path to cash generation, we would make those decisions.

Dave Gagliano

Analyst

And when do you expect those decisions to be announced within the next three months, or on the next earnings call?

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · B. Riley

No, we will provide updates as appropriate. You could consider it's an ongoing process. We took actions, there are over 500, I think 570 positions that we took across the first four months of 2020. And we will continue to take actions, we took actions to meet changes in demand, you would expect us to continue to take those actions going forward.

Dave Gagliano

Analyst

Okay, appreciate it. I realize it's an extraordinarily difficult time and these are not easy decisions to make. I just appreciate the update. Thanks very much.

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · B. Riley

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Next, we'll hear from Mark Levin of The Benchmark Company.

Mark Levin

Analyst · The Benchmark Company

Sure my [Indiscernible] gets cut off the floor and I apologize if I missed any answer to this question, but realize you guys aren't giving guidance going forward. So I don't want to go directly to that but maybe more anecdotally and what you're observing, as it relates to Australian Thermal or seaborne thermal segment, the global LNG price is around two bucks or so, are you guys seeing any customer pushback on volume from maybe some of your key importing countries in Southeast Asia ex-China, some of the other countries? Just kind of curious what the demand environment looks like right now for seaborne thermal?

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · The Benchmark Company

I indicated its important markets for seaborne, important customers obviously Korea and Taiwan so continue to move through reasonably well versus other environments. I mentioned China seeking to recover. The extent to which coal stocks are hot there and the extent to which they work their way through. The real key is going to be their impact on import restrictions, if any, how quickly we see that being applied. I mentioned Japan as the activities there and India really being a key market particularly on metallurgical coal having a second of its extension. So they are all key markets, Peabody on a seaborne perspective in key markets, I guess for the global seaborne industry in general.

Mark Levin

Analyst · The Benchmark Company

Glenn, are you getting pushback I guess maybe as it relates to the seaborne met and the seaborne thermal side, are you having customers approach you looking to defer deliveries, delay deliveries, buyouts, whatever the case may be, what's sort of been the discussions with customers?

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · The Benchmark Company

The discussions with customers to try to understand their requirements and there's a great deal of uncertainty around them working with customers, if that's appropriate, but also defending our contractual rights as well.

Mark Levin

Analyst · The Benchmark Company

Yes, that makes sense. And then last question from me. I think 2020 you guys lowered CapEx to $235 million. I think you got to finish up spending on Wilpinjong and Wambo. Sounds to me like and maybe Shoal Creek, so it sounds like Wilpinjong and Shoal Creek will be done this year, a lot of Wambo will be done next year. So when you think about 2021 CapEx is it -- it sounds like it would be maintenance plus, whatever's left it at Wambo. How much would you have left at a) is that correct and b) how much left to spend would you add at Wambo in 2021?

Mark Spurbeck

Analyst · The Benchmark Company

Yes, Mark. Two points, one first, I'd make you’re right, we initially was guiding toward $250 million for the year. You remember that was a significant reduction from probably the building block that we put out earlier about $400 million. So took a significant reduction in CapEx heading into the year, did find $15 million of opportunities to reduce that again here for this announcement going forward. And you're right outside the sustaining CapEx, the two large projects this year at the Wambo, Open Cut joint venture with Glencore, as well as the Wilpinjong expansion project. Wilpinjong that was started last year significantly finishing up this year with maybe just a little bit of spend next year. And then the joint venture there's going to be some significant spend next year for the joint ventures that continues to ramp-up. So that would be the biggest thing outside of routine sustaining CapEx.

Operator

Operator

And that will conclude today's Q&A session. At this time, I would like to turn the call back over to Glenn for any additional or closing comments.

Glenn Kellow

Analyst · B. Riley

Thank you, operator, and thank you to all on today's call. These are certainly unusual and difficult days and Peabody like the rest of the world is navigating uncharted waters of the pandemic. I continue to be impressed however by our team's ability to react quickly to the evolving situation and a new way of doing business as we work to provide an essential service that is vital to so many. Thank you to all our employees for your tremendous efforts. I'd also like to thank our investors for your ongoing support as we tackle near-term headwinds and advance robust, aggressive actions targeted towards the most structural improvements. With every positive near-term action, we believe, we are best positioning Peabody for longer-term success. We look forward to keeping you apprised of our progress. So all please stay safe and well and operator, that concludes today's call.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Once again, that does conclude today's conference. You may now disconnect.