BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) Q3 2026 Earnings Report, Transcript and Summary
BorgWarner Inc. (BWA)
Q3 2026 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 29, 2026
$51.63
-3.79%
BorgWarner Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Key Takeaways
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BorgWarner Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Good morning. My name is Nick and I will be your conference specialist. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the BorgWarner 2026 third quarter results conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by a zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star one on your telephone. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star two. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up the handset before asking your question. I would now like to turn the conference over to Patrick Nolan, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Nolan, you may begin your conference.
PN
Patrick Nolan
President
Thank you, Nick. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. We issued our earnings release earlier this morning. It is posted on our website, borgwarner.com, both on our homepage and our investor relations homepage. With regard to our investor relations calendar, we will be attending multiple investor conferences between now and our next earnings release. Please see the events section of our investor relations homepage for a full list. Before we begin, I need to inform you that during this call, we may make forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties as detailed in our 10-K. Our actual results may differ significantly from the matters discussed today. During today's presentation, we will highlight certain non-GAAP measures in order to provide a clearer picture of how the core business performed and for comparison purposes with prior periods. When you hear us say adjusted, that means excluding non-comparable items. When you hear us say organic, that means excluding the impact of FX. We will also refer to our incremental margin performance. Our incremental margin is defined as the organic change in our adjusted operating income divided by the organic change in our sales. We will also refer to our growth compared to our market. When you hear us say market, that means the change in light vehicle production weighted for our geographic exposure. Please note that we have posted today's earnings call presentation to the IR page of our website. We encourage you to follow along with these slides during our discussion. With that, I am happy to turn the call over to Joe.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Thank you, Pat, and good morning, everyone. I am pleased to share our results for the third quarter of 2026 and provide an overall company update starting on slide five. I want to begin by thanking our employees, customers, and suppliers for all of their trust, efforts, and continued support. In the quarter, we achieved sales of just under $3.5 billion. Excluding the decline in our Battery Energy Systems segment, our organic net sales were down modestly year-over-year or roughly in line with the decline in global market production. Importantly, our light vehicle eProduct sales were up 33%, primarily due to European growth. Our adjusted operating margin and adjusted earnings per share performance was strong in the quarter. The company continued to operate at a very high level and delivered 20 basis points of adjusted margin expansion and 12% adjusted earnings per share growth despite a declining production environment. This solid result was once again driven by our focus on cost controls across our business. I am excited to report that our strong award activity continued into the third quarter. Today, I will highlight nine new business awards across our foundational and eProducts portfolios. These wins represent only a portion of the awards secured during the quarter and highlight the strength of our foundational and eProduct portfolio and the need for our products across combustion, hybrid, and electrified architectures. Additionally, I believe the sustained level of award activity that we have seen over the last several quarters underscores the strength of our technology-focused portfolio and our deep customer relationships. Equally exciting is the progress we made in the quarter in taking meaningful steps to advance our product readiness and accelerate our quoting activity across our data center and other industrial markets portfolio. I will share a more detailed update in a few moments. Lastly, we remain focused on the efficient deployment of capital to drive shareholder value. In the quarter, we returned approximately $210 million or over 100% of our third quarter free cash flow to shareholders through share repurchases and the payment of our quarterly cash dividend. Including our currently planned fourth quarter repurchases, we expect to return over $700 million to shareholders in 2026. Looking back on our year-to-date performance, I am very proud of our team and our results. Once again, we executed at a very high level, which I believe positions us well to achieve our full-year sales, margin, free cash flow, and increased EPS guidance. Next, I would like to highlight nine product awards that demonstrate both the competitiveness of our technology and our ability to support our customers' powertrain needs in key markets. First, BorgWarner will supply engine control modules for a new internal combustion engine pickup truck platform for one of our long-standing global OEM customers. The new high-volume contract extends the company's existing customer relationship. Securing this strategic ECU program maintains BorgWarner's electronics leadership and extends our engagement with this longtime partner through 2034. Next, BorgWarner has secured three separate conquest business awards with a global powertrain technology leader, including one contract for our variable turbine geometry turbocharger and two contracts for our wastegate turbocharger. The technologies will be used on the customer's light vehicle gasoline platforms in both South America and Europe. I believe these awards reflect the strength of our offering, including our competitive solutions and technical expertise. Next, BorgWarner has secured its first business award for its new aluminum wire E-motor technology from a major Chinese OEM, marking the technology's introduction to the market. This product will be used in hybrid vehicles across multiple applications, including generator and traction motors for auxiliary drive applications. The technology combines aluminum conductors with BorgWarner's hairpin winding expertise to deliver significant weight and cost benefits. Compared with a conventional copper wire motor, the aluminum wire solution maintains peak torque and peak power while reducing wire weight by more than 60% and reducing wire cost by more than 80%. We are proud to introduce BorgWarner's aluminum wire E-motor technology to the market, and to further strengthen our long-standing relationship with this customer. Next, BorgWarner has secured three E-motor business awards in China for a range of electrified and hybrid vehicle programs. The new business broadens the company's customer base and expands the application of its E-motor technologies in the Chinese market. I believe that the breadth of these programs demonstrates our ability to address diverse application requirements through strong product performance, cost optimization, and localized manufacturing. Lastly, BorgWarner has secured a next-generation high-voltage inverter award for future battery electric vehicle programs with a global OEM. The award builds on an existing electrification partnership and further strengthens BorgWarner's position as a leading provider of advanced power electronic solutions for electric vehicles. I believe this business reflects the confidence customers place in BorgWarner's power electronics expertise and our ability to deliver innovative, high-performance electrification solutions. Next, on slide seven, I would like to discuss how we are improving our product readiness and accelerating our quoting activity across our data center and other industrial markets portfolio. Let's start with an update on our turbine generator launch progress. I'm very pleased with the advancements we've made over the past quarter. Our partner is planning to expand external demonstrations of the turbine generator system during the fourth quarter due to strong customer interest. Our UL compliance process continues to progress well. The UL certification process of the subsystems is now largely complete, and system UL certification is underway. The construction of the final assembly plant in North Carolina has now been completed, and manufacturing floor and capital installation are expected in December. As a result, we expect to begin production trials by year-end. Overall, I'm very excited and pleased with the team's progress, which will position us well to meet the strong customer interest that we continue to see, including multiple hyperscalers. Turning next to our battery energy storage system. Our energy storage solutions are intended to support a range of use cases in data center and other industrial environments, and we continue to assess new potential applications. Customer validation and our UL compliance processes are advancing well. In addition, we are getting solid engagement with multiple customers across both NMC and LFP cell applications. We continue to expect that we will be production-ready in 2027. Now, turning to our microgrid inverter offerings. We have now shipped BorgWarner samples to seven customers, and engagement with other potential customers are underway. We expect to complete UL certification of our microgrid inverter in early 2027. Customer reaction has continued to remain very positive. For example, our inverter system efficiency testing is ahead of peers based on customer feedback. Customers believe we have the right value proposition, including U.S. manufacturing. Additionally, our high voltage and power dense liquid-cooled power electronics expertise is seen as a competitive advantage as we continue to advance our product readiness. We are also continuing to expand our power electronics portfolio for both data center and industrial applications. We've developed an 800-volt power supply unit, or PSU, and showcased it at the recent Data Center World Power Industry event in Dallas, Texas, in the third quarter. Lastly, I'm proud to report that we have begun the initial quoting process with our first major customer for our microgrid inverter. Overall, I view all of these steps as great signs of increased customer engagement and our right to win in this high-growth market. To summarize, I believe there are four key takeaways from today's call. First, BorgWarner's third quarter results were strong. Our light vehicle eProduct sales increased 33%. Our adjusted operating margin expanded 20 basis points, and adjusted EPS grew 12% compared with the third quarter of 2025. Additionally, we increased our full-year EPS guidance, reflecting our continued focus on growing the earnings power of the company. Second, we announced nine new business awards across our portfolio in the quarter, which we believe further demonstrates our focus on product leadership and the need for our highly engineered solutions across combustion, hybrid, and BEV architectures. Third, we further improved our product readiness across our data center and other industrial markets portfolio. At the same time, we saw accelerating quoting activity. I continue to believe that our mechanical and electronic core competencies will enable us to successfully capture multiple growth vectors outside of our core automotive market. Finally, we took meaningful steps to return capital to shareholders during the third quarter, with approximately $210 million returned through our cash dividend and share repurchases. Overall, I believe our year-to-date results illustrate the strength of our team, our product portfolio, and the long-term earnings power of our business. I am excited to continue our positive momentum as we close out the year and look ahead to 2027. With that, I will turn the call over to Craig.
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
Thank you, Joe, and good morning, everyone. I am excited to share the details of our third quarter financials by turning to slide eight for a look at our year-over-year sales walk. Last year's Q3 sales were just under $3.6 billion. In the third quarter, stronger foreign currencies drove a year-over-year increase in sales of $8 million. You can see the sales headwind from our battery business, which drove a year-over-year decrease in sales of $54 million. The remaining organic sales decrease of $58 million or 1.6% was roughly in line with the decline in light vehicle market production for the quarter. Importantly, our light vehicle eProduct sales were $630 million in the quarter, or a 33% increase compared with a year ago, primarily due to strength in Europe. Sum of these items resulted in under $3.5 billion of net sales in the third quarter. Turning to slide nine, you can see our earnings and cash flow performance for the quarter. Our third quarter adjusted operating income was $381 million, equating to a strong 10.9% adjusted operating margin. That compares to adjusted operating income of $385 million, or a 10.7% adjusted operating margin from a year ago. Excluding FX impacts, adjusted operating income decreased $6 million on $112 million of lower sales. This strong year-over-year performance benefited from ongoing cost reduction actions that our teams continue to take across our business. Our adjusted EPS was up $0.15 or 12% compared with a year ago from lower taxes and the impact of approximately $725 million in share repurchases or approximately 6% of the company's current market capitalization over the past four quarters. Finally, we generated free cash flow of $195 million in the third quarter, which helped support $175 million in share repurchases and $35 million in dividend payments. I believe this once again demonstrates our focus on creating value with our consistent and our strong free cash flow. Let's turn to slide 10 and take a look at our full-year 2026 outlook. We are modestly adjusting the high end of our full-year sales outlook based on a narrowing of our industry production expectations. However, we are maintaining our full-year adjusted operating margin range despite the lower production environment based on our strong year-to-date results. Additionally, we are increasing our adjusted EPS guidance due to the impact of our third quarter and planned fourth quarter share repurchases, and a lower full-year effective tax rate outlook. We currently project total 2026 sales in the range of $14.0 billion to $14.2 billion, compared with our previous guidance of $14.0 billion to $14.3 billion. Starting with foreign currencies, our guidance now assumes an expected full-year sales benefit of EUR 250 million compared with 2025 due to the strengthening of the euro and the renminbi versus the US dollar. This benefit is modestly higher than our previous guidance. We expect our weighted end markets to be down 1% to 2% for the year, which is a narrower range than our previous flat to down 3% assumption. We expect our light vehicle business, which comprises over 80% of our sales, to perform broadly in line with our weighted light vehicle market, consistent with our performance through the first three quarters of 2026. However, we expect a sales decline in our battery business due to the lack of North American incentives and weaker European demand. We expect this decline to represent roughly 170 basis point headwind to our year-over-year sales growth. Based on these assumptions, we expect our 2026 organic sales change to be down 4% to down 2.5% year-over-year. Now, let's switch to margin. We continue to expect our full-year adjusted operating margin to be in the range of 10.7% to 10.9%, compared with our 2025 adjusted operating margin of 10.7%. At the midpoint of this guidance, we expect to expand margins on a year-over-year basis despite a lower production environment, sales headwinds from our battery business, and a $10 million to $15 million industrial R&D investment to support our long-term profitable growth. I believe this performance shows our commitment to driving superior short-term business performance while also ensuring we position the company for profitable growth for years to come. Based on this sales and margin outlook, we are increasing our expected full-year adjusted EPS in the range of $5.20 to $5.35 per diluted share from our previous guidance of $5.05 to $5.30 per diluted share. This $0.10 per share increase at the midpoint of our guidance is driven by our third quarter and currently planned fourth quarter share repurchases and a decline in our full-year effective tax rate. The midpoint of this adjusted EPS guidance represents approximately a 7% increase over our 2025 adjusted EPS, and once again demonstrates our focus on consistently driving the earnings power of the company despite lower industry production. Finally, we continue to expect full-year free cash flow to be in the range of $900 million to $1.1 billion, building off a strong 2025. With that's our 2026 outlook. Let me summarize my financial remarks. Overall, we were very pleased with our third quarter results. Our light vehicle sales performance was roughly in line with industry production. However, our light vehicle eProduct sales were $630 million in the quarter, or a 33% increase compared with a year ago. We achieved a 20 basis points adjusted operating margin improvement and a 12% increase to adjusted EPS on relatively flat reported sales. Our strong free cash flow supported a cash return of approximately $210 million to our shareholders during the quarter. Q3 performance once again demonstrated the BorgWarner team's ability to deliver strong financial results in a declining production environment. As we look to the balance of 2026, we intend to remain focused on expanding the earnings power of the company. At the midpoint of our 2026 guidance, we expect another year of adjusted operating margin expansion and adjusted EPS growth despite our expectation that market volumes and battery sales will decline and an incremental $10 million to $15 million investment in industrial R&D to accelerate our long-term sales growth. Finally, with another year of anticipated strong free cash flow of $1 billion at the midpoint of our guidance, we expect to continue to deploy capital in a balanced manner that rewards shareholders and deliver on our 2026 financial commitments. I am equally excited by our efforts to grow our technology-focused portfolio in automotive and other adjacent markets. By continuing to focus on near-term execution, growing the long-term earnings power of the company through organic and inorganic investments, and following a disciplined and balanced approach to deploying capital, we believe BorgWarner will create significant shareholder value for many years to come. With that, I would like to turn the call back over to Pat.
PN
Patrick Nolan
President
Thank you, Craig. Nick, we are ready to open up for questions.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, if you would like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up the handset before asking your question. To withdraw your question, please press star two. In the interest of time, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up question. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our Q&A roster. The first question will come from Chris McNally with Evercore. Please go ahead.
CM
Chris McNally
Management
Thanks so much. Good morning, team. Look, congrats on another good quarter in tough times, and really do appreciate the continued color on progress of all the industrial initiatives. Maybe if I could play the buy-side muse for just a second. There is clearly lots of excitement around where these three industrial businesses can grow in the coming years. It is going to take some time, 2030 for round numbers to get to some of the bigger numbers that we have all sort of projected out. The direction of travel, I think your comments, the interest, the quoting, the engagement, all moving forward. I wanted to see if you could maybe give us some idea about when we would have more clarity of sort of the shape of that travel, that $300 million in 2027 rev, what that could become in 2028, for example. Is that the type of certainty you think will come over the next six months? Or is that too hard to say at this point because there are too many moving pieces?
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Yeah. Hi, Chris, this is Joe. First of all, I would say we are really pleased with the progress we are making in the quarter. I mentioned some of the highlights. One additional thing, our hiring to support the start of production is also in line with expectations. So I am really pleased with the progress. We continue to see the backlog and demand for this turbine generator to be very strong. We will not be giving you any kind of color until we get into early 2027. We will do our best to provide you a little bit more shape of the curve, as you call it. But it is a little bit too early for that.
CM
Chris McNally
Management
Okay. Perfect. My follow-up is basically around the second derivative of your customers within PowerGen. Any comments if you are seeing any issues from your data center partners around any of the industry timing permitting delays that we are broadly hearing about within data center build-outs across the U.S.? Is that in any way affecting negotiations? Is that something that is not an issue for you guys?
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Yeah. As we stated, the quoting activity is very strong. We generally see some of the current political environment as possibly slowing the finalization of some of the program awards or program agreements. But overall, the activity is there, and the workup on these final agreements remains really high. We see this as probably a very short-term issue. We are looking beyond the midterms. Long term, we do not see any change in the demand.
CM
Chris McNally
Management
Perfect. Thanks so much.
OP
Operator
Operator
The next question will come from Dan Levy with Barclays. Please go ahead.
DL
Dan Levy
Management
Hi. Good morning. Thank you for taking the question. Maybe we could just start with just the near term and the trimmed revenue outlook. Maybe we could just project that into 2027. I believe your prior commentary was for some outgrowth or some modest outgrowth on the core automotive business as you have all of this business launching. I want to confirm that is still the case. So guidance this year, then just on the launch of the backlog next year.
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
Yeah. So maybe I will talk about Q4, then we can touch on 2027. So when you look at Q4, I will walk it from our average for Q1 through Q3. Revenue Q1 through Q3 on average was about $3.55 billion. As we look at Q4, we see it being closer to $3.43 billion. So down about $123 million. That is really a reflection of industry production in the quarter. From a margin perspective, we expect a decrement in the mid-teens on that lower revenue, then we have $10 million industrial R&D in the fourth quarter. So that is how you get to the midpoint of our guide. As we think about 2027 and the top line, I would say right now as we sit here today, we do see some industry headwinds. A couple of those are just higher interest rate environment, vehicle affordability are things that we are watching. With that said, our goals for BorgWarner remain the same. What we expect as we move into 2027 from the top-line perspective is we expect to see modest growth over market as it relates to our automotive business. We have won a lot of awards over the last two years, and we expect to see some of those wins hit our P&L as we move to 2027. Then we expect to see $300 million of turbine generator revenue. So excited to get to 2027 and see an upswing in our top line for BorgWarner.
DL
Dan Levy
Management
Great. Thank you. My second question is on the microgrid inverter, where I think you have put out a couple of updates here on you are starting quoting and you are shipping more testing samples to additional customers. I think this maybe also pairs with, we saw some news about entering into a multi-year supply agreement with one of the silicon carbide suppliers. We know that your core inverter technology, there is a significant technology moat. So maybe you can just help us understand how large the potential opportunity here and the technology moat that you have, maybe just weave in how much the silicon carbide is sort of an unlock of that, if at all.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
So, great question. We're first of all, really excited about the fast progress our team is making on these inverter products. If you think about a year ago, we weren't even talking about these products. To see where that business is poised right now is really exciting. It is true that we're leveraging heavily the light vehicle technology. In light vehicles, a reminder, we use both silicon and silicon carbide technology, and some of the more advanced EVs are using 800 volt as the, let's just call it the architecture across the car. This is exactly what we are leveraging to bring more efficiency, more competitiveness into these microgrid inverters. The fit is very strong between light vehicle and industrial. And if you step back a little bit, if you look at the three product family offerings, PowerGen, power conversion, energy storage, this is a family of products that can play on their own, but there's also a lot of system synergy between them. The name of the game with the speed to compute is making it more efficient, lower carbon, and the more efficient it is, that means less power is lost and can be used for compute. So we're excited about how we're leveraging that into the space. And, yes, we're going to reuse many of the automotive suppliers, including the folks that supply us silicon and silicon carbide.
DL
Dan Levy
Management
Great. Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
The next question will come from Joseph Spak with UBS. Please go ahead.
JS
Joseph Spak
Management
Thanks, everyone, and thanks for some of that preliminary color for 2027. I wanted to maybe pick up a little bit there and really not on 2027 specifically, but just over the midterm. Because you used to really talk about how you've immunized the portfolio against powertrain a lot, and you still mentioned it, right? But it's been a little bit quieter on that front, I'd say, over the past year. But now we've obviously seen some acceleration in electrified powertrains, particularly in Europe. And you did highlight eProduct growth in Europe this quarter, but then you also mentioned some foundational product declines in China. I guess maybe you could just refresh us on your thinking about how you see that balance between foundational and eProduct mix impacting BorgWarner's auto business over the coming years, and maybe if you even could, talk about it by Europe versus China.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Sure. Thanks, Joe. Let me start with our portfolio, which is highly resilient. When you look across the portfolio, we're a market leader in all of our foundational products. We have a fast-growing and scaling eProduct business. Really pleased with the 33% increase year-over-year in eProduct sales, which is really evidence of all the hard work our teams have been putting in and those business awards are starting to pull through. As Craig mentioned, that's primarily in Europe, which kind of makes sense. If you look at the increased penetration of hybrids and EVs in Europe, that is where the growth is at the moment. So we're starting to see that play through our P&L. A couple of other good examples. You've probably noticed a lot of e-motor awards over the last 12 months, including some of the new technology like aluminum wire E-motor. This is just clear evidence that BorgWarner is a leader in this space. Many of those are in China, where the music has been playing for quite some time on both hybrids and EVs. From our standpoint, our portfolio's positioned well. The regions are playing out a little bit differently when it comes to adoption of EVs. But as you see EVs accelerate, you can see that it's driving some increased sales in the eProduct sales side.
JS
Joseph Spak
Management
Okay. Thank you. It sounds like your big picture view is that sort of balance between the two is still, you are indifferent, at least from a sales perspective as to how that will play out. You think the portfolio properly protects you?
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
That is true. Not only the portfolio, just as a reminder, we have probably the most diverse customer portfolio of anybody in the powertrain space. We think that positions us well. Even as some of the Chinese OEMs have been growing, we have been seeing some benefit from that as they export more to other markets like in Europe, because a lot of those vehicles have BorgWarner technology riding along. Yes, we think we are in a great position to capitalize on the e-growth as it comes.
JS
Joseph Spak
Management
Okay. On the PowerGen side, I know you mentioned multiple hyperscaler engagements, and then to the earlier question, you talked about some maybe near-term noise on some of the politicalization, if you will. There has also been industry noise around NeoClouds and their ability to fund and capital. I am curious if you could talk about that subset of opportunity, whether there has been any interest shift there, or you would classify it as similar to how you classify the hyperscaler engagement.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Yeah. I would not say we see any specific challenge with some of the issues we hear around the NeoCloud players. As many people know, the NeoClouds are strictly focused on AI data centers versus our products, they serve all types of data centers, so edge data centers, co-locators, in addition to the hyperscaler data centers. Some of which are handled on their own, some of which go through NeoCloud players. But there are many players out there, and if I step back, I do not see any change in the demand for our products. If anything, we continue to see an increase in a lot of the quoting activity. So pretty optimistic about the future here.
JS
Joseph Spak
Management
Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
The next question will come from Emmanuel Rosner with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.
ER
Emmanuel Rosner
Management
Oh, great. Thank you so much. Just a quick follow-up on your Q4 math there. Not looking to nitpick, just to better understand the framework, but I think you were talking about $140 million lower revenue versus the first three quarters of the year rate at 15% decremental. Then there is also $10 million in higher R&D. Now, in the recent past couple of years or so, you have prided yourself a lot to being able to incorporate all these investments within the regular incremental and decremental. Is the framework changing, or is there anything particular about the investments needed in the fourth quarter that makes you call it out?
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
No, nothing is changing. When you go back to our July discussion and guide, I would say the second half is playing out as we expected. Came in a little bit better in Q3. Due to recoveries in Q4, we are being impacted by some industrial R&D, but I would say overall, the second half is playing out just like we expected. Just to refine some of your numbers, Emmanuel, $120 million is the revenue decline versus our Q1 through Q3 average to Q4, so down call it four-ish percent. Again, you are right, we expect to decrement in the mid-teens, and as we talked about in our July call, we expected $10 million to $15 million in incremental industrial R&D in the back half of the year. We saw $5 million of that in Q3. We expect $10 million in Q4. It is to support the quoting activity that Joe spoke about. We are really bullish about that business, and we are happy to support it with some incremental R&D.
ER
Emmanuel Rosner
Management
Okay, understood. Turning to some of your non-autos business, could you provide us a framework on how to think about the size of the inverter opportunity? Just either what are sort of like the average content per vehicle that you are starting to quote or what is the normal range of sizes of business? It feels like for the other two projects, we have actually a little bit of a framework around what capacity installed is or what available battery capacity is. For this one, it is a little bit earlier stages, so curious if you can help us there.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Sure. It is earlier stage, and what we are really focused on right now is our first and second business awards, upon which we would be happy to provide you more color on the TAM for those products. I think what is exciting this quarter, what we announced is a new product that we are developing, this power supply unit, which actually goes inside of the data center. The microgrid is outside, which they call a grid space, and the PSU is inside, typically right next to the computer servers. So we are excited about that expanded TAM, and we will provide you more color after we win our first few awards.
ER
Emmanuel Rosner
Management
Got it. Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
The next question will come from Tom Narayan with RBC. Please go ahead.
TN
Tom Narayan
Management
Hi, thanks for taking the question. I note that you said we are going to get more detail on the $300 million launch year turbine generator system sales. Just curious if we could get any color on, are these active discussions, kind of potentially signed contracts? Just in terms of the progress there, I know you talked about hiring, but anything more concrete on how those discussions are fairing? Then I will follow up.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
If I go back a little bit, we do have a signed agreement with Endeavour. They are our go-to-market partner on this, and their role in this, beyond some of the IP they carry, is mainly the customer intimacy and serving the customers directly. As we stated, the backlog and the quoting activity is an open book. Our teams operate as more or less one team here, so that we can see the activity. They are the ones that coordinate the on-site visits from the hyperscalers, and that continues. We are really, I would say, encouraged by the continued support here. From our standpoint, we are probably more bullish now than we were three months ago because we are making progress against our plan. As we stated, we will be able to give you a little more color as we get into early next year.
TN
Tom Narayan
Management
Got it. Thanks for the commentary on Europe and the EV growth and how that's impacting. Just curious if you're seeing a benefit on the hybrid side in the U.S., that's picking up a lot of growth there. Then if I could just sneak in how you think about debt paydown versus tax, and you guys did a big paydown in Q3 and your gross leverage around, I think, 2x. Just curious what your target leverage is and how you think about the debt paydown. Thanks.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Sure. I can take the hybrid question. The immediate hybrid growth you see in the market, mainly from the Japanese players, where BorgWarner is strong is on these advanced hybrids. So plug-ins, for example, range extenders, which are some of the awards we've won but haven't come to market yet in North America.
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
I can take the tender one. Really pleased with the execution of our debt tender in the third quarter. Our gross net leverage target is 2.0x. Right now we're at 1.5x, but when you think about the debt tender, it was EPS accretive, it was NPV positive. We're using every lever at our disposal to grow the earnings power of the company, and this is a great example of that. As you think about share repurchases, really pleased with our execution in the third quarter, $175 million in shares repurchased. We expect the same level in Q4 and we take a big step back. We're excited about $1 billion of free cash flow generated again in 2026. We're on target to distribute 70% of that to shareholders between share repurchases and dividends. Love the balance, love the discipline that the team is executing against, and we're excited to wrap up the year.
OP
Operator
Operator
The next question will come from James Picariello with BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.
JP
James Picariello
Management
Hey, good morning, everybody.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Good morning.
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
Hi, James.
JP
James Picariello
Management
Just to focus on the PowerDrive Systems segment. The EBIT loss was only $5 million on very strong growth, which was called out already. Did the quarter have any one-time recovery benefit at all, or are we getting close to a break-even run rate here at $700 million plus in quarterly sales? Because I assume the $5 million of additional R&D commitment hit the PowerDrive Systems segment as well. If you could confirm.
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
Yeah. So thanks, James. I'll start with the top line. As we've both mentioned, really pleased with the growth in that business unit quarter-over-quarter. It was about 20% on a reported basis. So when you look at light vehicle eProducts growth, again, primarily in Europe, it was 32%. So outstanding growth. We were able to capitalize that convert at an incremental conversion of about $0.24 on the dollar. So that was great to see. There was a volume recovery in that Q3 figure. And if you go back to last year, we had a volume recovery in Q4. So just another data point between Q3 and Q4. As we look forward for that business, we expect to see about 20% growth this year, coming off 30% growth last year. We really like the trajectory of that business and we're excited to get into 2027 and continue to capitalize on that. Our objective for that business unit remains the same, convert in the mid-teens on a year-over-year basis, and we're on track to do that this year.
JP
James Picariello
Management
Got it. That's helpful. And then my two quick follow-ons. As we think about the company's microgrid inverter development, I know it's early, but you guys are actively quoting the product. Any sense for what the margin profile could be, similar to the confidence in turbine generators immediately contributing at a mid-teens margin profile? Are there any parameters to think about a future microgrid inverter award? And can you help us clarify the U.S. ban of foreign sourced equipment for the electric grid? Because it sounds as though the products listed within the executive order cover all three product categories that you're trying to enter. Just wondering if you have any thoughts to share on what the implications and timing might look like for that ban. Thanks.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Yeah, this is Joe. Maybe I can start with the executive order. It is true there were some orders issued, and some of the scope of those orders has grown throughout the year. We are still getting clarification on those orders. From us, it does not matter if those orders are there or not. It would provide a nice tailwind since we are a U.S.-based company and we are going to produce these electronics in the U.S. Besides the FEOC executive order, our products are still extremely innovative, competitive and provide a lot of value to our customers based on the feedback we are getting from the seven customers. I will let Craig answer the margin profile.
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
Yeah. James, we are obviously in the quoting phase, but I think the way to think about microgrid is very similar to the TG. What we said for next year is we expect mid-teens conversion on that first year of launch. We expect some inefficiency in the process as we build out that plant, as we gain supply chain savings and higher OEE coming off our lines. I would expect the same thing as we get to year one launch of the microgrid, but we believe that there is upside potential as we move forward off of that mid-teens incremental base.
JP
James Picariello
Management
Got it. Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
The next question will come from Mark Delaney with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
MD
Mark Delaney
Management
Yes, good morning. Thank you very much for taking the questions. The input cost environment has been very challenging for several companies in the automotive industry so far this quarter. Recognize the good margins that BorgWarner was able to put up and guide to for this year. Can you talk a little bit more on what you are seeing in terms of input costs and as you start to look into 2027, I am not sure if you are starting to see input costs rising to an extent that maybe you have not seen yet in 2026, but may become more problematic in 2027 and perhaps could create more challenging incrementals as you try and deal with that next year?
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
Got it. Thanks, Mark. We are seeing some inflation, especially on the electronic side of our business in 2026. The good news is the teams are doing a fantastic job, and we think we can manage it within our incremental conversion for this year. As we go into next year, we are going to watch it really closely. To the extent that we do experience those higher costs, we are going to manage them, just like we have in the past, whether it has been previous inflationary environments, tariffs, et cetera. We are not going to get caught in between our supplier and our customers, and we will manage it appropriately. But right now, we are seeing a bit higher inflation cost on the electronic side of our business.
MD
Mark Delaney
Management
Understood. Thanks for that. My other question was on capital allocation, and a fair amount of discussion already around the free cash flow generation of the business and your plans around how much you want to return to shareholders. Could you also touch on the potential for M&A? I know the company has previously articulated several key criteria any deal would need to meet. Any update around the funnel and the likelihood of deals being completed over the near to medium term? Thanks.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Hi, Mark. We still remain active. Seeing M&A as a lever for us to expand the earnings power of the company. As we have stated in the past, you can count on Craig and I for a very disciplined approach. Those three criteria as a reminder, we want to leverage our core. So what are we really good at? It needs to make industrial logic. The second is we are looking for near-term accretions at any asset. Then finally, we do not want to overpay. We want to value the asset properly. It is these criteria that sets quite a high bar for us. But I would say we have opened our aperture. We are looking inside automotive, we are looking outside automotive. What I am really pleased about is we are applying the same discipline that we have in our operational business to our M&A side of the business. Sometimes the best decisions are the assets you don't purchase. I am pleased with the pipeline, but of course, we will move on something that fits those three criteria.
MD
Mark Delaney
Management
Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
The next question will come from Andrew Percoco with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
AP
Andrew Percoco
Management
Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe just to come back to the turbine generator. I know a lot's already been discussed, but it's clear that based on your discussions and your presentation, that the customer interest has definitely picked up, which obviously makes sense given the environment that we are in. I am just curious if you could just maybe provide a little bit more insight into, or information into what the dialogue is with those customers. What are they asking you? What do they want to see? Obviously, the power shortfall is very well advertised, but when they are looking at your technology specifically, I am just curious if you could provide a little bit of insight in terms of what they are asking most frequently. Is it efficiency? Is it durability? If you could just kind of bring us into those conversations a little bit, I think that would be really helpful. Thank you.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Hi, Andrew. A little bit of color on the TG first, then maybe I can even touch on some of the other products. Many of the visits we receive at our Arden R&D facility, especially the hyperscalers, these are engineer-to-engineer discussions. The customers are focused on, first, are we able to meet the requirements that we have set for ourselves and that they may have? How are we managing the tolerances and the built-in quality and robustness? Uptime is a big topic, of course, for any kind of stationary power, so reliability is important. Then, of course, they want to understand the efficiency and emission profile of these. What is really important to the hyperscalers is a sustainable solution that puts out lower carbon than diesel and other solutions. These are typically the dialogues that we are having with them, and they are very deep, and we are poring over drawings and specifications. More recently, we are looking at test results. We are seeing the units perform, including at some third-party sites, which Endeavour organizes those visits. As we look beyond TG, we talk about battery and inverter. For battery, we have a really built-in advantage with this capacity that is installed. We are not using all that capacity for the CV and EV U.S. market, so we are able to get to market quickly with that because there are some constraints on energy storage in the market. Then on the inverter, it has a lot to do with the technology and the conversion efficiency. This is a big deal because the more efficient that inverter is, the less power they need to drive the data center. I would say the last thing, which applies to all three, speed to market is everything right now. We know that having this automotive mindset where we can stand up manufacturing, leverage our supply base, we can get to market in 18 to 24 months, typically, which is about half the time of some of the industrial competitors.
AP
Andrew Percoco
Management
That is super helpful. Appreciate that. Maybe just a follow-up on energy storage. One of your competitors, who reported recently on energy storage, there is a pretty significant kind of about-face in terms of what they are thinking on pricing or just the pricing environment that they are seeing within data centers being, say, much more lucrative or higher margin than maybe expected a few months ago. I know you are just maybe in an earlier stage kind of quoting or negotiations there, but can you corroborate that? Are you seeing a more favorable maybe pricing environment on the energy storage side than you maybe anticipated a few months ago?
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
I do not know if we are ready to comment on that. What I would say is there is very strong demand for energy storage, and we are focused on leveraging the capacity we have. So I think our team is focused on our first win and making sure we can bring that to the market. We can probably provide you a little bit of color next year as we get into 2027.
AP
Andrew Percoco
Management
Got it. Thanks so much.
OP
Operator
Operator
The next question will come from Alex Perry with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
AP
Alex Perry
Management
Hi. Thanks for taking my questions here. I just wanted to follow up on some of the key bridge items for next year that we should be thinking about on the cost side. Are there specific initiatives that you have in place that could help offset some of these cost pressures from the commodity headwinds that you are seeing? And the incremental industrial R&D investment that you incurred this year, is that something we should be thinking about continuing going forward? Thanks.
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
Yeah, Alex, I would say this year is a great example of what BorgWarner can do in a down production environment. We are expanding margins year-over-year, inclusive of that industrial R&D and things like supply chain savings and productivity in our plants are great examples of what the teams have been executing to achieve that result. As we move into next year, we are going to continue to focus on those same things, and our goals remain the same. We would like to see growth over market in our automotive business, at least modest growth over market. We would like to see $300 million in TG revenue, and we would like to see mid-teens conversion of extra growth. We are really excited to move from a no-growth environment to a growth environment and really see what we can accomplish as a company.
AP
Alex Perry
Management
Really helpful. My follow-up is just on China. Could you talk through your outlook for the region a bit more? It looks like you took your production outlook down there a bit. How are you positioned with some of the OEMs that are having higher export volumes and any signs of the China market improving? Thanks.
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
Yeah. I'll take that one. In China, we expect the overall market to be down between 6% and 8% this year, although we do see higher export volumes despite that. From our book of business in China, we've been there over 30 years. We have a great mix of customers there. 70% of our China OEM business there, in fact, is with the leading six or seven OEs, and most of them are the export champions. We're feeling pretty good about where we're positioned there, and including as they start to move to localize in some of these other markets. You talk about Europe, you talk about South America. We're highly engaged with them to support some of their localization efforts. We see it as a win in the short term and also a win in the long term.
AP
Alex Perry
Management
Perfect. That's really helpful. Best of luck going forward.
CA
Craig Aaron
Management
Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
We have time for one final question, and that question comes from Rajat Gupta with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
RG
Rajat Gupta
Management
Great. Thanks for squeezing me in here. Just wanted to follow up from the last question. The recent news around restricting exports from China on hybrids, a quota system. I am curious, how does that net out for BorgWarner. Presumably, it would seem like it would be a net positive, protecting some of your legacy European customers on the content there. We are curious to get your thoughts on if that actually plays out, how it would impact your growth profile in those regions. And I have a quick follow-up.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Hi, Rajat. So our customer diversity is one of our strengths. What we tend to see is when one customer loses, another customer wins, and you rarely hear us talk about customer mix on the call for that reason. We will have to see how it plays out, but I do not anticipate this is something we are going to be highlighting in the future.
RG
Rajat Gupta
Management
But if I look at just content on your exports from China into Europe versus just the hybrid content within Europe, is there a material difference there that we should think about if this turns out to be a more long-term move to restrict exports.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Yeah, I would say on comparable vehicles, there is no difference.
RG
Rajat Gupta
Management
Understood. Just quickly on commercial, not a lot of talk about that on the call. We have seen some of your peers report, see pretty healthy growth in their commercial business and kind of offsetting some of the light vehicle industry weakness. Any update on that would be helpful, and any preliminary view on 2027 on that end market mix.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Sure. From a market perspective, there is some growth globally, about 3% in CV overall. Most of that is led out of North America with about 11% growth. Ex battery business, we do see about mid-single digit sales growth there. It is a little bit too early to comment in 2027, but we will be able to give you some more color when we get there.
RG
Rajat Gupta
Management
Understood. Great. Thanks, team. Good questions and good luck.
JF
Joe Fadool
Management
Thank you.
PN
Patrick Nolan
President
With that, I would like to thank you all for your questions today. If you have any follows, feel free to reach out to me or my team. With that, Nick, you can go ahead and conclude today's call.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. This concludes the BorgWarner 2026 third quarter results conference call. You may now disconnect.