Trevor Baldwin
Analyst · KBW. Please proceed with your question
Yeah. Hey, Meyer. This is Trevor. So, a few things. As we look at the impact -- the combined impact of rate and exposure on our book through July in the Middle Market business, it sits at roughly 3%. And in the commercial line side of our business, it's sits at roughly 1%. And so, as you think about kind of the relative impact of rate and then client exposure, we're seeing pretty healthy rates similar to our peers. So, call it high single digits. And so think about the offset to that as shrinkage and the exposure units of our client base, revenues, payrolls, headcount. But importantly, what I would say is that despite the fact that kind the relative tailwind impact of combined rate and exposure was call it plus three for us. We meaningfully outgrew that, and that's a function of our ability to continue to win and onboard new clients at a rate that meaningfully exceeds our industry peers. Some more specifics on kind of how that's trending is, we've really seen it kind of hold steady in that plus three, plus two for the past few months, so, it's not materially moving up or down. And I think -- as we're thinking about what the future looks like, there is a sense that Q3 and potentially Q4 could end up being tougher as a lot of businesses burn through the stimulus dollars that came out in March and April and have to make some tough decisions about resizing their businesses to the amount of economic activity that's occurring. As we look at our existing client base and what the impact have been year-to-date, I think about as an example, restaurant, hospitality and lodging clients who on -- through July, that revenue that's been renewed is down about 24%. And so that includes exposure unit shrinkage, but then offset by the positive rate we're seeing. So, pretty material impact. And I think we're -- this -- our performance, despite these headwinds really comes back to the investments we've been making in our platform, the ability we had to quickly pivot and equip our risk advisors with the tools needed to really be successful in this virtual environment. And as we look at the MGA of the Future as it just another kind of data point, and we think about some of the geographies that were more meaningfully impacted over the kind of middle of the back half of Q2, new policies issued in the state of Florida. We're up 45%. New policies issued in the state of California. We're up 45% year-over-year. So, I think really, again, highlighting the resiliency and durability of that tech enabled distribution model that we've built out there.