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BW LPG Limited (BWLP)

Q4 2020 Earnings Call· Mon, Mar 1, 2021

$19.81

+5.48%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to BW LPG's Fourth Quarter 2020 Financial Results Presentation. We will begin shortly. Bringing you through the presentation today will be CEO, Anders Onarheim; CFO, Elaine Ong; EVP, Commercial, Niels Rigault; and EVP Technical & Operations, Pontus Berg. They will be pleased to address any questions after the presentation. [Operator Instructions]. Before we begin, I would like to highlight the legal disclaimers shown in the current slide. I'm now pleased to turn the call over to BW LPG's CEO, Mr. Anders Onarheim. Please go ahead.

Anders Onarheim

Analyst

Thank you, and welcome to the presentation of our results for the fourth quarter of 2020 ending 31st of December. As mentioned, I'm joined with our -- by our CFO, Elaine Ong; our EVP, Commercial, Niels Rigault; and our EVP, Technical & Operations, Pontus Berg. Thank you for joining us. And we will take questions at the end of the call. 2020 has been a year like no other. And into the first quarter of 2021, we still see COVID-19 continuing to threaten our health and disrupt economic activities. I would like to take the opportunity to thank our 2,000-plus employees on shore and at sea who keep global trade going in the face of personal and professional challenges. It's this kind of resilience against strong headwinds, I think, defines who we are as a company. If we go on to the next slide, Slide 4. In the face of challenges from COVID-19, we continue our momentum to act on climate change and decarbonization and deliver cleaner energy to roll markets sustainable. Our program to retrofit our VLGCs with pioneering LPG propulsion technology is progressing on budget and with 0 safety incidents. Our retrofitted vessels, the BW Gemini, the BW Leo, the BW Orion and BW Libra are now on water, serving customers with the lowest emissions profile in the whole VLGC sector. BW Gemini has also completed her full run voyage with LPG at primary fuel. And we are proud to partner with Enterprise Products on this historic voyage. Our Product Services Department has lifted the world's largest LPG cargo from the Enterprise Terminal and delivered the world's first LPG cargo of LPG propulsion to our customers. In December 2020, we announced our commitment to retrofit an additional 3 VLGCs with this LPG propulsion technology. This is bringing the…

Niels Rigault

Analyst

Thank you, Anders, and good afternoon, morning to all of you. Q4 was the quarter of records, supported by a record high U.S. LPG export and widening LPG price arbitrage due to strong heating demand from Asia and the record high number of waiting days at the Panama Canal transits. Towards the end of November 2020, we saw the largest daily movements on the VLGC Baltic index with a jump of 25% in TCE or about $15,000 per day increase in 1 day. The positive momentum continues and we've received Baltic index measured from Ras Tanura–Chiba shortly rallied above $100 per metric tonne for the first time since 2015. Consequently, the VLGC freight rate from Houston to Chiba also jumped and doubled from an average of $90 per metric tonne in October to around $180 per metric tonnes in December, or a TCE equivalent of over $100,000 per day. However, the positive momentum from Q4 have changed completely to a negative sign in Q1. And we experienced a record drop in VLGC freight rates towards the end of January to OpEx levels to date. And we expect the market in Q2 to be under pressure. However, we had [indiscernible] vessel fixed before the market collapsed to OpEx levels. In Q1, we have fixed approximately 80% of our spot and time charter available days at an average rate around $41,000 per day on a discharge-to-discharge basis. Despite the current correction in VLGC freights, we continue to hold a positive market outlook for the second half of '21. This is driven by continued high shipping inefficiencies, resilient U.S. LPG production, potentially recovery in the Middle East production due to strong oil price and still robust underlying demand for LPG. Let's turn to Slide 9 and talk about the LPG seaborne trade. In…

Pontus Berg

Analyst

Thank you very much, Niels. Turning to Page 18. We continued to deliver strong technical and operational performance in the quarter with market-leading OpEx despite the unprecedented global challenges. We have, in last week, reached 600 days without any serious injuries or accidents on our in-house fleet. This is an achievement we are proud of, and it also showcase our seriousness towards safety and our zero harm initiative, which, in all fairness, is our ticket to trade. In Q4, the crew changing situation looked very promising with high numbers of crew movements. Unfortunately, the situation has worsened since due to increased number of COVID-19 cases and its mutated versions globally. During the pandemic time in 2020, we managed over 1,500 crew movements with 0 positive cases on board, all due to very strict pretravel and quarantine procedures. In fact, we spent somewhat over 10,000 man days of quarantine in 2020. We have managed to save over 5,300 metric tonnes of bunker fuel in 2020. This is due to our usage of smart voyage routing and that equates to about $2.5 million in direct savings. By the end of '21, we will have approximately 22 vessels fully connected to our [indiscernible] smart ship solution for even more accurate real-time monitoring and support to the crews. Our LPG dry docks and retrofits remain on track and the first 4 LPG propulsion retrofits have been successfully completed on budget and with 0 safety incidents. And as Anders mentioned, they are all out sailing, serving our customers. 11 retrofits remain with 8 scheduled for '21 and the final 3 likely in '22. The 5th one, BW Balder, will enter the yard mid-March. In response to the recent softening in the VLGC freight market, we are advancing 6 to 7 of our planned dry dockings and LGIP conversions for commencement in Q1 or Q2. We have also chartered a pressurized LPG vessel from our sister company, Epic Gas, for storage of our LPG [indiscernible] during the dockings. This strategic alliance help us reduce potential delays, high cost and dependence on terminals scheduled for gas up and LPG bunkering after dry dockings. We expect the saving per docking of about $200,000 to $300,000 by doing this as well. This will also ensure that we maximize the number of available vessels for our commercial team when the market condition recoils. And with that, let me turn over to our CFO, Elaine Ong, who will walk you through the financial position and results.

Elaine Ong

Analyst

Thanks, Pontus. Here on Page 20 is an overview of our income statement. Our TCE income was $138 million for the quarter and $551 million for full year 2020. Included in our TCE income for the quarter is a negative $13 million impact related to the effects of IFRS 15, where spot voyages that straddled the quarter end have to be accounted for on a low-to-discharge basis. Vessel operating expenses came in at $8,500 per day for the quarter and $7,700 per day for full year 2020. This includes additional crew costs due to the impact of COVID-19. Excluding these one-off unexpected costs, our operating expenses are in line with our expected run rate for 2020. Starting this quarter, we have also presented separately on the income statement, the vessel OpEx component relating to our time charter in contracts due to the requirements of IFRS 16 on leases. Doing so, we believe, will more clearly segregate the actual vessel operating expenses of our managed fleet from the effects of IFRS 16. EBITDA came in at $107 million for the quarter and $414 million for full year 2020, representing a strong EBITDA margin of 78% and 75%, respectively. As previously highlighted at the start of 2020, we revised our vessel's useful life from 30 years to 25 years. This added $6 million to our quarterly depreciation or $24 million for full year 2020. We also recorded a mark-to-market gain of $8.3 million relating to our investment in the equity shares of Avance Gas based on the closing price as of the 31st of December 2020. Despite the recent correction in the VLGC freight market, VLGC asset values did improve towards the end of 2020. As such, we recorded a write-back on previous impairment charges of about $12 million as broker-based fleet…

Anders Onarheim

Analyst

Thank you, Elaine. So at Page 25, I'll try to summarize this presentation. So as we'll see, despite a challenging 2020, we ended the year on a strong note and generated earnings per share of $0.55 in the quarter and $1.76 for the full year 2020. On the back of these strong earnings and taking into consideration our balance sheet, liquidity, CapEx and updated market outlook, the Board has declared a cash dividend for second quarter -- for the final quarter of $0.34 per share, amounting to $47 million. And again, this brings total dividends declared for full year 2020 to $0.84 per share, amounting to $160 million and translates to a payout ratio of 73% for the quarter and 50% for 2020. Subsequent to the quarter end, we have taken over the ownership of BW Empress in January 2021. And we have delivered the BW Elm to our Indian joint venture, BW Global United LPG Private Limited in February 2021. The sale of BW Confidence was not completed as final agreement was not reached with the buyer. There are still interested parties -- there are several interested parties in the vessel, and there's no monetary loss for BW LPG on the cancellation of the sale. Finally, I would like to just comment briefly on our outlook for the VLGC market. As Niels said, despite the recent correction in the VLGC freight rates, we continue to hold an optimistic market outlook for the second half of 2021. Having said that, we expect the market to remain extremely volatile, and it's going to take a little bit of time before we again can see the good rates that we're looking forward to enjoying. So with that, I'd like to open the call for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. We have a question from the line of Lukas Daul.

Lukas Daul

Analyst

Anders, I was just wondering, obviously, you are making 15 retrofits, it seems to be good economics in it for you. And it makes sort of perfect sense. But I -- we're talking to the investor base, I think there is a bit of a flip view on LPG in terms of its carbon footprint. So why don't you sort of share some of your thoughts of what your financiers are telling you when you are sort of undergoing this retrofitting program?

Anders Onarheim

Analyst

I can start, and I can also let Elaine give some details if you want. But I think, in general, we get a very positive response from all our financiers. And I think some of the, I call it, initial question marks, is that its -- we -- this is sort of the first time it's being used. And I think -- and I'm sure the investors and others want to see a little bit over time how, in fact, how the operations are working. What are the financial or economic benefits also. So I think we are very encouraged by the feedback, and we also -- we think it's a good long-term investment also in our fleet. So -- and while the prices will vary and so the economic benefit will vary, depending on what the spreads are between LPG and compliant fuel, we think it's over time is going to prove to be very beneficial. And I think, again, we -- these days, when we talk so much about sustainability and ESG, I think for us, this is important to show that we're actually doing something. It's -- I've said before, it's not just a page in our -- glossy page in our annual report. We're actually making investments and showing that we will be part of driving the shipping industry towards zero carbon. So -- and I think for us also, it's clear that this is at least an important first step. And so again for us, it's doing the conversions rather than [Technical Difficulty] as Niels said, it makes a lot of sense, both the carbon footprint is much better, and we think economics are better also.

Lukas Daul

Analyst

Okay. And you obviously made a strong case for people rather doing the retrofits than ordering new like builds. But -- I think Niels mentioned sort of an 80-plus figure in terms of what it costs to ordering a new build today. Is that -- did I catch it correctly Niels?

Niels Rigault

Analyst

Yes, it is.

Anders Onarheim

Analyst

I think, Neils said -- I think, yes, it's more than 80, yes.

Lukas Daul

Analyst

Including the dual fuel?

Niels Rigault

Analyst

Yes.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions].

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst

Okay. Operator, we have a question from the webcast from Anders Karlsen in Danske Bank Markets. He asks, can you quantify the estimated savings in fuel expenses from the initial phase of LPG propulsion experience.

Anders Onarheim

Analyst

Okay. I mean this very much depends on what the price spreads between LPG and compliant fuel. At the moment, it's -- given that LPG prices are quite high, given the cold streak we had in U.S., that spread is not going to be very large. But it's still -- at levels today, we're still saving more than $2,000 per day. And of course, when we look going forward -- forward prices, it indicates a spread of somewhere around $125 and that gives us savings of about $6,000 per day.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions].

Unidentified Company Representative

Analyst

Okay. There is no further question on the webcast. I would just like to add a short detail to Lukas' question on the environmental benefits of LPG propulsion and highlight that we're also out with a new sustainability report that goes into details of the benefits of LPG propulsion. So we encourage everyone to take a look at that report. If there's no further questions, I think we can close the call.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions on the line.

Anders Onarheim

Analyst

Well, thank you very much, everybody, for attending, and have a great day.

Operator

Operator

We have come to the end of today's presentation. Thank you for attending BW LPG's fourth quarter 2020 financial results presentation. More information on BW LPG is available online at www.bwlpg.com. Goodbye.