Earnings Labs

Caleres, Inc. (CAL)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Thu, Jun 4, 2020

$13.42

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon and welcome to the Caleres First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Erika and I will be your conference coordinator. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Logan Bonacorsi, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, ma’am.

Logan Bonacorsi

Analyst

Good afternoon. I would like to thank you for joining our first quarter 2020 earnings call and webcast. A press release with detailed financial tables as well as our quarterly slide presentation are available at caleres.com. Please be aware, that today's discussion contains forward-looking statements which are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially due to various risk factors, including but not limited to the factors disclosed in the company's Form 10-K and other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Please refer to today's press release and our SEC filings for more information on risk factors and other factors which could impact forward-looking statements. Copies of these reports are available online. The company undertakes no obligation to update any information discussed in this call at any time. Joining me on the call today is Diane Sullivan, CEO, President, Chairman; and Ken Hannah, Senior Vice President and CFO. We will begin the call with brief prepared remarks and thereafter we will be happy to take your questions. I would now like to turn the call over to Diane. Diane?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Thanks Logan and good afternoon everyone. Before we begin, I think it's important to acknowledge the profound changes that have occurred in the world and in the marketplace in the three short months since our last earnings call on March 12. The acceleration of the COVID-19 pandemic launched the world into unfamiliar territory causing extreme economic disruption and uncertainty. These changes have had varying degrees of effects on people, regions, and businesses from the way we interact with one another to the way we work. More recently, we have seen a period of social unrest in the United States as horrible acts of brutality have highlighted the racial injustice that persists, which has led to protests across the country. As we stand against the injustice, so many are speaking out against, it is also my sincerest hope that you, your families, and your loved ones remain healthy and safe during this time period. I would also like to take a moment to recognize and acknowledge all of our Caleres associates around the world for their drive, focus, and dedication during this very challenging period in our history. From the outset, our people adapted seamlessly shifting to new ways of performing their daily jobs, while at the same time supporting the broader effort of manufacturing much needed supply for the healthcare community, and of course taking the required yet sometimes difficult steps to ensure the company is well positioned for the future. As you well know, the first quarter for us began in a much different manner than it ended. We started fiscal year 2020 with a strong foundation, grounded by our strategic priorities, supported by our financial flexibility, and well positioned for growth. As we discussed in early March, we were seeing good momentum in our Famous Footwear business, which…

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Thank you, Diane and good afternoon, everyone. I'd like to echo Diane's sentiment and thank our team for their commitment to our business during this tumultuous period. I'm very proud of our organization's ability to adapt swiftly, work efficiently and focus on strengthening the business for the rebound. Early in the quarter, we quickly shifted our priorities to ensure we had the financial flexibility to navigate through a prolonged crisis. We took a series of deliberate steps to reduce costs and preserve cash, while at the same time putting a comprehensive action plan in place to evolve our strategy to position our company, to maximize sales and profitability as the business resumed. We immediately preserved cash, aligning our workforce and related expenses to meet the needs of a significantly lower demand environment. We reduced inventory levels aggressively by reducing or delaying product receipts and extending payment terms. We began negotiations to modify leases, including the deferral and abatement of certain lease payments and eliminated or deferred all non-essential capital projects, leading to a 40% reduction in our planned 2020 capital expenditure budget. We strengthened our financial flexibility by exercising a portion of the accordion feature on our asset base revolving credit facility, increasing the borrowing capacity to $600 million. Combined our efforts enabled us to end the quarter with $187.7 million in cash slightly above the levels when stores closed in mid-March. Now moving on to review of our first quarter financials. Our GAAP results included $7.65 per share in charges and were primarily a result of the unfavorable business climate, our lower stock price and market cap during the period, the majority of the charges are non-cash and were triggered by the impact of COVID-19 on our business was caused us to reassess the carrying value of the assets…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from Rick Patel with Needham & Company.

Rick Patel

Analyst

Thank you. Good afternoon and hope everyone is well.

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Hi, Rick.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Hi, Rick. Thank you very much, you as well.

Rick Patel

Analyst

Thanks, Diane. I have two questions related to the stores that have reopened so far. So, first I appreciate it's all very fluid right now, but can you give us context on how much comps are up in those stores that have reopened? And second, can you talk about e-commerce in those markets where stores have reopened? Have you seen the strength in that channel continue or have you seen it decelerate with consumers increasingly?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, okay. Rick, here's what I would say that we've actually seen our -- both brick-and-mortar and our e-commerce business accelerate at Famous Footwear, that not only are we comping positively in brick-and-mortar in May, we also have a very, very strong performance in our e-commerce business as well. We have not seen that shift or decline yet. Now, I say that again, you said it well, very fluid, early days and we only have roughly 60% of our fleets open. So we're cautious. But we like the early signs of what we're seeing now. As it gets later into June, and once we open those last, 10% of our stores in some of these markets that are harder hit, we'll have to see how it all -- it reveals itself. But so far, I think we feel pretty good about the work that the teams have done to this point in time. But as I said, we're staying, we’re staying very focused and knowing that this is a Marathon and we've got to make sure we’re really on this every day.

Rick Patel

Analyst

I appreciate that, and can you tie that into how you're thinking about inventory? So I guess as we think about this across Famous and the brands, first on Famous, how are you approaching inventories for the fall? Any pockets that you're looking to invest in versus de-emphasize? And then similarly for the Brand Portfolio, any color on the fall order book and how that would shape your inventory decisions for the fall?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, sure. On Famous Footwear, first it would be exactly what you would expect it to be. I think the strength in the performance categories in sport, lifestyle and casual and easy wearing footwear is where the market really is. And actually, a little bit more recently, we’re seeing our ability to really sell some flat sandals, but going into fall we're going to continue to support those iconic brands that have been doing so well for us up to this point in time and make sure we continue to invest there and basically not invest in more of the traditional, casual, and dress side of the equation. So the teams are looking at that every single week to make sure we're calibrating it correctly. And frankly, we want to use this opportunity as a way to try to increase the turn as well as Famous. So that would be the Famous story. And then on the Brand Portfolio side, that's, we have a little less visibility right now on consumer demand because there's very few stores opened. I would say the system is just starting to move. So, we’re taking a very conservative approach there because we've generally heard that most of the marketplaces thinking about planning the back half of their business, down 30% to 40%. So, we're making sure that we keep our inventories in line with that, and that we're also pivoting where we need to on certain brands to make sure we're focused on the categories of business that we believe -- where we believe the consumer is going to be. I think your last question, part of that was about the order book, our order book given that kind of initial look at the back half of being down potentially 30 to 40, we'll see, our order book is in good position to support that level of sales. So, but again, very fluid looking at it every day and reading and reacting.

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Yes, Rick, I'll just add a little bit of color to Diane’s comments. I mean, I know when we talk about comp stores and we only have 60% of our store base open, it's kind of hard to model that into what the second quarter might look like. And as we're looking at that, your question on the order book, I think we're currently looking at when might those fall orders ship and one of the things that that we're working through right now is it looks like everyone will try to extend the Spring season as long as they can, which means that it'll probably delay when we would ship for fall. So normally on the Brand Portfolio, we're shipping at the end of July for the first part of fall. It looks like that is going to be shifted every bit of 30 days out. So as we look at the second quarter, we're not expecting the overall sales to be all that different than what we experienced in Q1. Obviously, with stores closed for the first couple of weeks of May and then now opening while we get to 85% of our store fleet open, there's still a big number of those that are in places like New York and California that likely won't open until even further into the quarter.

Rick Patel

Analyst

I appreciate it. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Steven Marotta with CL King & Associates.

Steven Marotta

Analyst

Good afternoon. Diane, Ken and Logan. I want to talk a little bit about back-to-school and how you're planning for it specifically for Famous from a buy standpoint, from an inventory standpoint, from a merchandising standpoint. I know you mentioned everyone's seemingly elongating Spring. Do you think that will work for you for back-to-school as an aside and I think I’m hearing that it seems that kids are going to go back-to-school this fall. That’s been in the air, up in the air a little bit, if you've heard anything different too that'd be helpful. If you could just talk about the season, that would be great.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

All right, Steve. No problem, I think everybody is really hoping that kids are going back-to-school, for sure. That is what I've been hearing from everybody beyond just the audience from a business perspective. But, we think the best indication of how we're going to do it back-to-school is really our trend right now, because the segments of the business and the brands and everything that's driving our business currently along with the strength in our kids business, we think it’s going to carry in nicely through the second quarter and into the third quarter. So I would say that first, the second thing in terms of county by county and school districts, we really haven't heard too much yet, about what their status is, but our Famous store teams are monitoring that and marketing teams, and we'll be managing that and adjusting that as we go forward. We've heard all sides of that, that some people are going back early. And then, skipping fall break and out at Thanksgiving. There's others that may go just on time or late. So it's very, but it’s nothing definitive. It's all more anecdotal. And so we're just going to continue to watch that and monitor and interact that. We're encouraged, we believe we've got the right inventory levels to do the business that we we'd like to do. And we think it's in the right brands in the right style. So and the other thing maybe the last point on Famous and back-to-school is I think the teams also did a really nice job of making sure given this uncertainty of what it was going to be elongated, what were the weeks going to look like, that we really moved a lot of our media to digital because it was really hard to think about TV buying and without really knowing what that timeframe was. So we feel like we've got a terrific plan and we've got the right assortment. So looking forward to it actually, so can’t wait.

Steven Marotta

Analyst

Sure, looking forward to anything in the future. You mentioned the curbside pickup option. And that was in about 300 stores, it's going to a couple hundred more by the end of June. Can you talk a little bit about and I know this is impossible because you don't have full AURs at the moment. But what is that additive or at least what is that replaced? If you can quantify that in some manner, that would be really helpful.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, it's sort of hard to know, whether it's additive. We believe obviously, that given the fact that no stores were open, we had our store managers and those that offered curbside, so it really enhances as opposed to shipping, they could go to the store and pick it up. So, to some degrees, degree it replace what was our focus program, we'll have to see as stores stay open and what that mix looks like, how many will come and do curbside versus go into the store versus have it shipped directly to their home. It's really, I would say very difficult at this particular moment to really get a sense of whether or not what that's going to look like. But we for sure know that it's an important part of the mix of how consumers want to shop in the future. And are going to make sure that we not only have it there as in stores, in the 600 or so that we'll have but we'll look to see in other places in our portfolio where else we would want to do that as well.

Steven Marotta

Analyst

Very helpful. Thank you.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

All right, thanks Steve.

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Thanks Steve.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Chris Svezia with Wedbush.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Hi.

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Hi, Chris.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Hi, Chris, how are you?

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Hi guys, I'm well, how are you all? Hope, you're doing good. So a couple things. One can just go back and answering our previous questions. You said, sales not much different versus the first quarter. I just want to be clear. Are you talking about total company sales and assets?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Total company.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Okay, you’re talking about percentage, correct?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Yes.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Okay, second, just on the -- when you talked about Diane, the Famous Footwear comp being positive, you're just talking about those stores that are open obviously, correct?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, of course. Yes.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Okay.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

So that would be the 60% that are open now, right.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Right, fair to say I know you are not going to give a percentage but that it's notably in excess of how you're trending prior to Famous or closing, so 13% plus is that fair?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

It’s trending more than Q1 was.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Okay. What percentage of Famous is now or what percentage of Famous is e-com? What was it last year and just things have the base?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Right, last year it was, I think that full-year we were at about 10% or so. And then, first quarter this year and of course, it's kind of funky in the sense that we don't have stores open the full time and all of that, so it's going to look a little bit higher, but it's about 28% of our business in this first quarter, so it's pretty substantial.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Okay, and you said in second quarter it accelerated around north of 200% in May, correct on e-com Famous?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, yes we did.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Okay. And on the Branded portfolio side, what similar question just to understand, what percentage is e-commerce your company owned website e-commerce and how much is retail e-com first of all?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

So I would say our e-commerce related businesses are about 36% in the quarter for our Brand Portfolio. And since the end of the quarter, we have seen our business in all of those accelerated well whether it's our branded dotcom site, our wholesale dropship portion of our business, sort of other e-com businesses like for example, what we sell through Amazon, some of those because they were focused on essential services. It's taken a little bit of time to ramp-up. But we're seeing all good things in our branded sites as well, our measure kind of success there is not only just that pure volume, but also what's happening with the consumer. And we've seen significant increase in new consumers, we've certainly seen our revenue, our traffic is up, but our revenue really has been driven quite a bit by really conversion, improvement in conversion. And fairly small decreases in order value because very early on in the Brand Portfolio, they were sensitive too, too much discounting, when really the customer wasn't going to be there to respond. So and again, every other, every brand sort of has a different story, but those would be the general themes for the total Brand Portfolio.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Okay, and on the margin, just on the Brand Portfolio, how those conversations going with margin support. I know obviously, there's been a shift in timing of deliveries, et cetera as they kind of manage the inventory, obviously don't want fall product anytime soon. I'm just curious how those conversations are going. Is there potentially more intense margin pressure on branded portfolio, Q2 as you clean that out relative to Q1 or just how we should think about that?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, I think given obviously the -- you can imagine the huge moves of inventory of cancellations and push outs and you name it that really all of those conversations have been had as it relates to the first half. And we believe we've accurately reflected what we need to in our work on Q1 and reserves that we've taken, it's going to be an ongoing thing, Chris as you can imagine, to make sure we continue to liquidate the inventory that we need to over the next month or two. But again, everybody is trying to do the best they can to work together to, get to the other side of this. So I think we've got it fairly accurately reflected in our Q1 results.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Okay, just two final ones from me, just on -- Ken just on the $262 million impairment. What was that for, is that for Allen Edmonds and Vionic and then lastly just on SG&A expenses, just broadly how we should think about those if you're making some assumptions about branded portfolio, order book to be down 30% plus in the back half, how you're managing that SG&A bucket as we move forward?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Yes, so I'll start with the impairment So, one of the things that we had to do, we did all of our impairment testing in the fourth quarter and obviously everything past we had no, no impairment. As we were operating in Q1 with the stock price where it was trading and obviously, the book value of the company was setting quite a bit higher than the market cap based on where the stock was trading. And so, we had to go through and do another impairment test in Q1. And so we wrote down the company's goodwill that it was carrying on the balance sheet for what was left of Vionic and Allen Edmonds. We also had to go through and look at the indefinite lived intangibles, so the trade names associated with both Allen Edmonds and we looked at Via Spiga, Franco Sarto all of them. And so those that were indefinite lived based on the shutdown and the reduction in sales and earnings there, we had to write those down. So that was just part of a test that was required as we closed out the first quarter. And your second question was on SG&A. So the first quarter, we were down $37 million year-over-year, as we did a full quarter of the actions that we had taken. And we expect that to be closer to $50 million in the second quarter year-over-year. And then I would tell you that, as we look at the back half obviously, how that unfolds, we'll determine what those expenses look like. So if we see demand, that's going to be a little bit stronger than what we're assuming then, we'll be able to continue to book those savings if we see it drop rollout to actually take another look at it. So we're really focused right now on the second quarter.

Chris Svezia

Analyst

Got it, okay. I’ll drop out. Thanks very much and all the best.

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Thank you, Chris.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Thanks, I appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Sam Poser with Susquehanna.

Sam Poser

Analyst

Good afternoon, hope everybody's great and safe and healthy and everything and thank you for taking my questions. I've got a few follow-ups and the first one is going to be about the comp store sales. Ken, can you tell us what the comp store sales were sort of on because we model also the negative 12, we don't know exactly how many or plus 12, we don't know how many stores are closed. Next year, we can't do it. So can you tell us sort of what the all stores, stores are open last year even including the store closure comp was and then also tell us how you're doing sort of with 50%, 60% of your stores closed, are you comping down 40 (inaudible) I’m sorry. Are you comping down 30 and set down 40 and that’s sort of where that 12 is. If you could give us some color on sort of the all-in comp so we can actually appropriately model next year and have a feel for what's happening versus the stores that were opened last year that would be great. Thank you.

Ken Hannah

Analyst

All right. So let me try to answer your question just based on our total sales. So when we look at our total sales at Famous Footwear, when we whether the store is open or not, right? We had the first two weeks with very few stores open. And so there was zero sales coming out of those stores.

Sam Poser

Analyst

In Q1, starting Q1 where you were?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

The $191 million in Q1 and your total sales in Q1 were down in Famous or down whatever they were down.

Sam Poser

Analyst

They were 45.7%, can we assume that your comp down in that range, I mean is it a 50% comp down for the quarter? Or is it a 30%, a 38% comp down, I mean what's the real comp with using that $191,252,000?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

So e-commerce was we said was up 70% and in total for the quarter. Right, so in terms of when we look at the total, trying to decouple it and I'm not even sure.

Sam Poser

Analyst

You don't have to decouple, you don't have to decouple it Shoe Carnival for instance last quarter comp down whatever they comp down included all their stores, including the stores that were closed. Quarter-to-date, they're up low single digits and they had 80% of their stores open. But they were comping up low single-digits including the stores that were still close. So as an all-in thing, how do you just take have including e-commerce, how do you take where you are right now and where you were in Q1 on a comp basis saying okay, last year we had 900, how many stores you had, this year we have this many stores, that many stores are in the comp space. This is what we did, regardless of the stores were closed or not. What would that comp be including e-commerce?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

I’ll take it offline, Sam. I don't even know how to answer your question. We don't look at the business that way, and so I honestly don't even know how to answer your question.

Sam Poser

Analyst

All right, how many stores did you closed during the quarter? And how many stores do you plan to close in Q2? How many are going to be closed permanently like you’re closing permanently, aren't going to reopen, they're not going to be there anymore?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

In the quarter alone?

Sam Poser

Analyst

In Q1, in 1Q how many stores have you decided to close aren't going to reopen?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Yes, we have -- if you go to the total number of stores that we operated, whether they're open or not. If you go to the Schedule number five, that was attached to the results. We operated 934 stores this year and 985 stores last year. I think that's what…

Sam Poser

Analyst

So you closed 15 stores in the quarter to get 949 at the end of Q4?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

That's right. So there was 15 stores that were closed as part of outside of the shutdown associated with COVID.

Sam Poser

Analyst

And do you plan to open any stores at payments this year?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

We've got somewhere around 14 that are on the schedule for the back half. Nothing really in the first half.

Sam Poser

Analyst

Okay, and at Famous within the e-commerce platform, how many new customers never shopped at Famous online before new to you, I mean can you give us some idea of what if like, how many you got, what percentage of your customers were new to Famous never shopped there before? And could you sign them up?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, it’s actually was pretty interesting, Sam. It was close to half of the people that were shopped that came in were new and about half were repeat which was rather interesting, quite a bit high.

Sam Poser

Analyst

And did you sign all those folks up for the loyalty program or how many of those do you think are going to stay?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

I'm sure we did.

Sam Poser

Analyst

And then also lastly, to what degree are you narrowing the assortment at Famous and are you going to need to use Famous to help move products you wouldn't have otherwise thought you would need to use Famous from the Brand Portfolio?

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, I would say we're going to narrow the assortment a little bit, some of the extraneous brands that that really are in the casual and dress side of the equation where we don't really need to carry those. So I think men's dress is like a really a ripe area for us to do a little bit more of an edit there. So I think we're looking at that, we're making sure that we've got the right inventory position against some of the obviously the big drivers, so we're doing that. And actually, as a matter of fact, we did have a special section on the Famous Footwear site where we have been clearing some of our Brand Portfolio goods as well. And it's been actually it's been doing we track, we wanted to try to spend a lot of different things across the company and I know that's true with many others as well, you people taking this moment to look at new ways of accessing customers and liquidating goods and even curbside that was a great thing that the team did very, very quickly and got that up and running. So trying a lot of new and different things in this current environment, and we're going to continue to try to figure out if they work or they don't. And if they do, we'll continue them. If we don't, we won't. So yes, we did not very materially.

Sam Poser

Analyst

Thank you. Right, trying to just sell. Okay, thank you so much and good luck, stay safe.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Thanks and appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Laura Champine with Loop Capital.

Laura Champine

Analyst

Hi, thanks for taking my question. It's really just some clarification. So Ken, certainly heard your comments that you expect branded portfolio down 30% to 40% in the back half or that's what you're planning for. I take it that's not what you would have planned for Famous Footwear and then clarification for the current quarter, you commented that sales could end up about in the same ballpark as the year-on-year decline in Q1. Was that comment directed at Brand Portfolio or was that consolidated?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

No, all-in, all-in.

Laura Champine

Analyst

And the down 30% to 40% for the back half, is that branded portfolio or is that all-in?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

That was branded portfolio that Diane was referring.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, I had talked about that Laura as the way we were seeing most of our retail partners planning fall. That's kind of what they've been thinking about in the last couple of weeks, as we see more of these stores reopening and get a better sense of how the business is going to respond, that might be something that gets adjusted, but it is one of those things that we're managing day-to-day, week-to-week, but that's we're taking a fairly conservative approach on that.

Laura Champine

Analyst

Got it. And then when we look at the store closures that you mentioned are accelerating, are they accelerated to the extent that they're stores that just will not reopen or maybe couldn't claim up for what it means for them to be accelerating?

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Yes, so when we looked at over the next two years through the end of 2021, we had identified about 160 stores that we would accelerate, some of those are stores that were closed as part of COVID that where we won't reopen after things would return to normal, so we would go ahead and leave those stores closed, a number of them were on month-to-month basis. And then there's a big number of those that are on the Brand Portfolio tied to Naturalizer that we went through and made final decisions on when we would actually close those over the next two years.

Laura Champine

Analyst

Got it, thank you.

Ken Hannah

Analyst

Thanks, Laura.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Thanks, Laura.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions in queue and at this time, I'll turn the call back over to you Sullivan for any closing remarks.

Diane Sullivan

Analyst

Yes, I'd like to thank everyone for their interest in Caleres and we look forward to seeing everybody on our next conference call. Thank you and be safe.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.