Earnings Labs

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Wed, Mar 8, 2023

$782.38

-2.75%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

-0.02%

1 Week

-4.67%

1 Month

+4.79%

vs S&P

+1.54%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the third quarter ended January 31, 2023 Casey’s General Stores earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star-one-one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star-one-one again. Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Brian Johnson, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Business Development. Please go ahead.

Brian Johnson

Management

Good morning and thank you for joining us to discuss the results from our third quarter ended January 31, 2023. I am Brian Johnson, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Business Development. With me today are Darren Rebelez, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Steve Bramlage, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I will remind you that certain statements made by us during this investor call may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements include any statements relating to expectations for future periods, possible or assumed future results of operations, financial conditions, liquidity and related sources or needs, the company’s supply chain, business and integration strategies, plans and synergies, growth opportunities, and performance at our stores. There are a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied by those forward-looking statements, including but not limited to the integration of the recent acquisitions, our ability to execute on our strategic plan or to realize benefits from the strategic plan, the impact and duration of the conflict in Ukraine and related governmental actions, as well as other risks, uncertainties and factors which are described in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, as filed with the SEC and available on our website. Any forward-looking statements made during this call reflect our current views as of today with respect to future events, and Casey’s disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. A reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP financial measures referenced in this call, as well as a detailed breakdown of the operating expense increase for the third quarter can be found on our website at www.caseys.com under the Investor Relations link. With that said, I’d now like to turn the call over to Darren to discuss our third quarter results. Darren?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Thanks Brian and good morning everyone. We’ll get to the strong third quarter results in a moment, but first I want to thank our team for their dedication during a great quarter. They continue to show their resilience in a challenging operating environment. Our team is also here for good in the communities we serve, like Dawson Springs, Kentucky as the community continues to recover from last year’s devastating tornadoes and storms. Joining forces with Gatorade, we provided $100,000 towards the rebuilding of the local youth sports field in town. We’re looking forward to seeing the kids playing on that next year. Thank you to our team and guests who help make our communities better and support these local initiatives that make Casey’s here for good. Now let’s discuss the results from the quarter. As you’ve seen in the press release, we had an excellent third quarter, further building on a strong first half of the fiscal year. Diluted earnings per share finished at $2.67 per share, a 56% increase from the prior year. As we communicated previously, diluted EPS benefited by $0.31 per share due to a one-time operating expense reduction of approximately $15 million from the resolution of a legal matter. Excluding this adjustment, diluted earnings per share was still up an impressive 38%. Inside sales remain strong, driving inside gross profit up over 11% to $451 million. The company generated $100 million of net income, an increase of 56%, and $220 million in EBITDA, an increase of 28% from the prior year. We know our differentiated business model can succeed in a variety of economic conditions. We continue to effectively implement our strategic plan across grocery and general merchandise, prepared food and dispensed beverage, and fuel with excellent execution and outcomes from store operations. I’d now like…

Steve Bramlage

Management

Thank you Darren and good morning. I’d like to start with crediting our fuel, merchandise and store teams for their continued ability to execute on the plan and drive strong performance across all facets of the business. Each of the three areas of the business performed well in the quarter and our model has proved to be resilient in this challenging environment. Total revenue for the quarter was $3.3 billion, an increase of $284 million or 9% from the prior year. Total inside sales for the quarter were $1.1 billion, an increase of $84 million or 8% from the prior year. For the quarter, grocery and general merchandise sales increased by $63 million to $796 million, an increase of 8.6%. Prepared food and dispensed beverage sales rose by $21 million to $314 million, an increase of 7%. Results were favorably impacted by operating approximately 2% more stores on a year-over-year basis. Retail fuel sales were up $206 million in the second quarter to a 3.7% increase in gallons sold to 645 million, as well as a 6% increase in the average retail price per gallon. That average retail price for fuel during this period for us was $3.34 a gallon compared to $3.14 a year ago. We define gross profit as revenue less cost of goods sold but excluding depreciation and amortization. Casey’s had gross profit of $737 million in the third quarter, an increase of $73 million or 11% from the prior year. This was driven by higher inside gross profit of $46.7 million or 11.6%, as well as an increase of $24.7 million or 10.4% in fuel gross profit. Inside gross profit margin was 40.6%, a 120 basis point increase from a year ago. The grocery and general merchandise margin was 34%, an increase of 200 basis points…

Darren Rebelez

Management

All right, thanks Steve. I would like again to say thank you and congratulations to the entire Casey’s team for delivering another great quarter. During the first three quarters of the year, our merchandising team has driven business inside the store by optimizing assortment at value prices, especially our private label program. The store operations team is doing an excellent job efficiently managing operating expenses while executing on initiatives such as store simplification as we reduced same store labor hours by 1%. We have had sequential growth in prepared food and dispensed beverage margin in every quarter in fiscal 2023 as we continue to manage both commodity and other costs prudently while holding our relative value proposition for guests. We continue to lean into our prepared food and have a number of different innovative food products that are now at Casey’s. In the third quarter, we launched a refreshed chicken wing offering as well as introduced bacon mac ‘n cheese, and we are launching a pepperoni-pepperoni-pepperoni pizza just in time of the NCAA tournaments while securing NIAL deals with three college basketball standouts in our footprint. All of these new offerings coupled with our existing guest favorites strengthen our best-in-class prepared food offerings. Add our robust assortment of grocery and general merchandise products and Casey’s is a one-stop shop for any occasion. Our business development team has stayed busy evaluating potential deals, both large and small, and will remain diligent with respect to valuations. Our two-pronged approach to growth allows us to remain flexible. Our balance sheet is strong, which puts us in a position of strength when the right opportunity presents itself. This is especially true as the cost to operate, maintain and grow is challenging for the industry in the current macroeconomic landscape. Casey’s has historically been resilient…

Operator

Operator

[Operator instructions] Our first question comes from [unknown analyst] from Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

Bonnie Herzog

Analyst

Hi, it’s actually Bonnie Herzog from Goldman. I had a question about your fuel margins. I was hoping you could talk about how the margins have trended monthly over the quarter, and then any color on February and very early March trends would be helpful. There’s just such a big debate about margins and the sustainability of your fuel margins, and the industry’s for that matter, so just curious to maybe understand where you guys are seeing breakeven margins for the marginal player. Are they possibly moving lower? Thank you.

Darren Rebelez

Management

Hey Bonnie, this is Darren. Yes, I’ll take that one. As we look through the quarter, this past quarter, we actually saw a lot of volatility on the cost side which translated into some volatility on the margin side. I guess the cadence through the quarter, we saw costs drop about $0.60 a gallon in November, which resulted in really strong margins, but December rebounded and went up about $0.22 and so margins started to moderate a little bit, and then January went up another $0.10 and so margins got a little bit squeezed in the month of January to around $0.30 a gallon, so overall we landed at $0.40 but it was a little bit of a rocky ride to get there. What we’re seeing now, well, through February, was about mid $0.30 per gallon, so that’s about where the run rate had been prior to a lot of the volatility with the war in Ukraine and that sort of thing. We kind of think that’s a little bit more of a representative baseline of where margins go, and then again as we’ve looked at the marginal operator that has higher breakevens, we expect that margins will continue to gradually expand over time as the cost pressures continue to fall on that operator, but that’s about the cadence that we’ve seen so far.

Bonnie Herzog

Analyst

Okay, that’s super helpful. Maybe a quick follow-up, if I may. I was curious about your store builds, and you touched on this, that it’s going to ramp pretty aggressively in Q4 just to hit your full year guidance. But I did have maybe more of a strategic question on how you’re thinking about store builds, and wondering why you couldn’t ramp your new store builds much more aggressively or maybe even M&A, for that matter, to take advantage of really the white space opportunity you’ve highlighted. Thanks.

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes, sure. We certainly have the balance sheet ability to ramp up in either direction, and really we like to have the optionality to adapt to what the playing field is giving us. What I’d tell you right now is that in this current environment, we’re seeing a lot of potential acquisition activity. Our business development team is really busy talking to a lot of folks, and as we mentioned with our current year, we have a number of smaller deals under agreement right now that will close before the end of the fiscal year, so we’re very confident we’ll get to the number for this year. But really, we’ll go either way and, frankly right now, the environment is probably leaning a little bit more favorably towards M&A at the moment, and so we’re looking at a number of deals. But we’re also going to remain disciplined with respect to the valuations and what we pay for those deals, so we need to let that process play out. But what I’d also tell you, Bonnie, is that we have not in any way told our real estate team to slow down on finding new sites, and so we’ll keep that optionality. If the M&A deals don’t come to fruition, we’ll just lean heavier on our organic growth to accelerate that store development.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for our next question. Our next question comes from Karen Short with Credit Suisse. Your line is now open.

Karen Short

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is now open.

Hey, thanks very much, and good to talk to you. I wanted to just ask a question--two questions. One, with respect to your implied guidance, and I realize there was a wide range of guidance, but your 4Q implied expense, operating expenses excluding D&A and excluding credit card fees, kind of seems to be up around 9.4% versus gross profit dollars in store, and again that’s excluding gas up 13%. I want to just talk about that relationship, but also want to talk separately about what your comments were on opex in general with respect to in-store hours. A lot of retailers so far have been talking about wage pressures. If I have to average it out, there’s like an 8%-plus increase in wages across the board for many retailers that have reported, so I just want to parse that out a little bit and wondering if you can talk about if you’re maybe cutting a little bit too deep into the meat, I guess, with respect to store labor.

Steve Bramlage

Management

Yes, hey Karen, good morning. This is Steve. It’s nice to hear from you again. I’ll take the first one and then I’ll let Darren address the second one. Related to the fourth quarter guide specifically on opex, maybe just a reminder for our fourth quarter, we will do a variety of year-end adjustments on opex on things like incentive compensation, true-ups, etc., and so given the company’s continued strong performance this year, I think we certainly are going to have incentive compensation above what we would have planned when we started the year, and that’s going to happen kind of irrespective of whatever the trajectory may be within the business. I think if you’re comparing it to just kind of the cadence of gross profit, the gross profit cadence certainly is heavily influenced by what is the fuel CPG at any point in time, and so as we sit here right now in the mid-30s, that’s obviously going to give you a different fourth quarter gross profit year-over-year--

Karen Short

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is now open.

Well, sorry - I was asking excluding fuel, in-store only.

Steve Bramlage

Management

Yes, okay, then I would still tell you that we’re--with the year-end true-ups we have and then we’re also going to start lapping on the inside of the store a lot of the price increases that we’ve taken over the course of the last year, especially in the prepared food category, we’ve taken three different price increases over the last 12 months and most of those will lap for us during the fourth quarter.

Karen Short

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is now open.

Okay, and then the store hours and labor question?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes Karen, this is Darren. Nice to talk to you again - welcome back!

Karen Short

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is now open.

Thanks.

Darren Rebelez

Management

With respect to the hours, I’ll just--I’ll tell you a little bit about how we’re getting to the hour decreases. This started really at the end of last year, when we were looking at our opex performance and really getting into the root causes of that, and a lot of that really from a root cause perspective was driven by turnover in our stores. We started digging into the turnover and started getting into our engagement stores, and our engagement was a little bit off, and so we’ve really made a concerted effort around team member engagement and a lot of that had to do with simply removing complexity from the store, meaning we’ve added a lot of new capabilities into our stores from a merchandising and prepared food perspective over the last couple of years, but we really didn’t take anything away, and our team members were telling us the job was just getting too hard. We’ve stood up a continuous improvement team and their sole focus is identifying processes where we have bottlenecks or opportunities where we can remove complexity and remove hours out of the store without impacting the guest experience. We’ve implemented a number of those initiatives over the course of the year and what we’ve ended up with is removing hours from the store, reducing that turnover which in turn has reduced overtime and training hours - in fact, in the third quarter, we were down about 31% in overtime and about 20% in training hours just because we have reduced turnover. All of that is working in concert and then, lo and behold, our guest satisfaction scores are the highest they’ve been since the beginning of the pandemic. Everything is working as it should, so we don’t think we’re cutting deeply - in fact, we think we’re cutting smart and we’re eliminating the non-value added hours, and it’s showing up in guest satisfaction as well, so we feel really good about that and really good about the sustainability of it, because we’re doing it the right way.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for our next question. Our next question comes from Anthony Bonadio with Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Anthony Bonadio

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Hey, good morning guys. Congrats on the nice quarter. Just wanted to ask about grocery margins - obviously a very strong result there. You talked about [indiscernible] and then your efforts in private label as supportive, but can you dig in a little more on what drove that composition of non-controllables and controllables? Then, we’re now running well ahead of pre-COVID levels, obviously you’ve done a lot strategically over the last few years, but can you talk about how sustainable you think these levels are?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes Anthony, this is Darren. I’ll take the first crack at that. With respect to the margin on grocery and general merch, there is a fair amount of that that had to do with mix shift, so I’ll walk you through that a little bit. We had a couple of different categories that had some favorable mix shift and then some margin expansion within those categories. The first thing I’d point out is that in the tobacco category, and we put cigarettes and all the smokeless and vaping and everything else into that category, we saw a little bit of a fall-off in mix from that category, about 170 basis points lower mix than it had been the prior year, and that’s obviously a lower margin category, so that accrues to the benefit of the overall category when that mix goes lower. So where did that mix go? It went to alcohol, alcohol increased, and in particular went to non-alcoholic beverages which carries the highest margin rate. In fact, in non-alcoholic beverages, the margin rate in that category is about double what it is in tobacco, so that mix shift shifted up 90 basis points, so when you take all of those moving parts back and forth, the mix was favorably impacted. The second piece was in non-alcoholic beverages, the actual margin rate was up about 110 basis points within the category, and that’s just really a function of a lot of good work that the merchandising team has done in concert with our vendor partners to come up with joint business plans that have allowed us to accelerate growth and at the same time expand margin. I’d say the same thing on the grocery part of that, where there’s about 130 basis point improvement in margin year-over-year, really due to the same thing. All of that was what led the grocery and general merchandise. I’d say because those trends and plans are sustainable, I would expect that the margin improvement is sustainable as well.

Anthony Bonadio

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Got it, that’s helpful. Thank you. Then quickly on RINs, I know you guys talked about a $7 million headwind year-over-year in the quarter. Can you just talk about how that flows through to earnings? It’s obviously easy to do the math on if it flows through outright, but I believe some of that ends up getting priced into what you buy from the refiners, so maybe it comes through as higher retail margins. Any thoughts on that dynamic would be helpful.

Steve Bramlage

Management

Yes, hey Anthony, this is Steve. I’ll take a shot at that. We are--we did sell or monetize fewer RINs in the third quarter this year than the third quarter last year, so that was less of a positive impact on CPG for us on a year-over-year basis. We do not recognize any value associated with RINs until we actually physically transfer them out of the company, and that’s really a timing issue. The generation of the RIN in the first place is more a by-product of how we buy fuel at any particular point in time, and we do not--we don’t have a point of view on how we should generate RINs, we’re agnostic on RIN generation. We task our fuel team with go acquire the lowest cost fuel you can, and we generate RINs when we splash blend at a terminal and we’re mixing ethanol with clear fuel. Sometimes we buy it pre-blended and so our view is that the net cost of the RIN is already going to be baked into the cost of the fuel. Now, when we do have the RINs, we do have a point of view on what’s the value of a RIN in the market, and we do exercise some discretion on how we choose or when we choose to transfer those, and so the year-over-year delta is a function of agnostic generation and timing on when we chose to transfer them this year versus last year.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for our next question. Our next question comes from Bobby Griffin with Raymond James. Your line is now open.

Bobby Griffin

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is now open.

Good morning everybody. Thanks for taking the questions and congrats on a very good quarter. I guess first, Darren, the fuel team has done a lot of nice work over the last couple years, you know, inside contract buying as well as pricing. Is there any other initiatives that the team’s working on that could benefit the underlying margins excluding the volatility of the industry over the next couple years?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes Bobby, as you know, we’ve been on a journey for the last few years in standing up different capabilities, and really the last step of that process that we’re going to begin working on this next fiscal year is procuring fuel further upstream in the process, so buying at the refinery gate and shipping up pipelines into terminals. That’s a capability that we needed to grow into, and we stood up these systems, the technology solutions last year to enable that, and now that those are stabilized, our team is looking forward to doing that. We do believe that that’s an incremental opportunity to add some more margin and security of supply, so that will be work that’s ongoing throughout the next fiscal year.

Bobby Griffin

Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is now open.

Okay, thank you. Then I guess secondly for me, just on the grocery and prepared food, can you give us any color, I guess, on how units have trended? I understand there’s some pricing flowing through on both sides of that business. Just any detail on the unit share and what’s been going on there?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes Bobby, we’ve had a little bit of softness. If I was going to make a broad statement, I’d say we have had a little bit of softness on units, not significant and not concerning, but a little bit of softness. Now that being said, within sub-categories, it bounces around a bit, so we’ve really had some strength in our alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, energy drinks in particular, a lot of good movement in candy and snacks, pizza slices, donuts have all had positive units, and then it’s been offset by some other categories that have seen a little bit of softness. But you know, that tends to be par for the course in any sort of times where different categories are performing differently, so again a little bit of softness but nothing that’s overly concerning at this point.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for our next question. Our next question comes from Irene Nattel with RBC. Your line is now open.

Irene Nattel

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

Thanks and good morning everyone. Just sticking with the whole question around mix in grocery, you said you saw tobacco fall off. Was that a temporary element that just impacted Q3, or is that something that you’re seeing continuing and is that something we should be anticipating as we look ahead to F24?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes Irene, the tobacco mix shift was something that’s really been ongoing for a while. It wasn’t anything really dramatic in the quarter. I think it’s important to recognize that the tobacco manufacturers, this is part of their strategy actually, is to reduce the velocity of combustible cigarettes and shift people over to other smokeless options, like vaping or smokeless tobacco. This is sort of a natural occurrence, but at the same time, our merchandising team has really done a nice job of accelerating the growth in the non-tobacco categories, specifically in alcohol and in non-alcoholic beverages, so as we accelerate the growth in those, that m ix starts to shift a bit on its own, and that’s been happening over the last couple of years. I don’t anticipate that really changing, that dynamic changing because we’ll continue to lean into those other non-tobacco categories, and then the tobacco category itself is in somewhat of a secular decline, so we’d expect that mix shift to happen.

Irene Nattel

Analyst · RBC. Your line is now open.

That’s great, so all of that should continue to support stronger margin. If I can just switch topics for a second to M&A, and notably valuations, what are you seeing at this point in time in terms of seller expectations, both at the smaller operator level and for some of the larger networks?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes, we’re taking a look at a lot of different deals and I’d say there’s a variety of expectations. I think in some cases, there are some sellers that are sitting on historically high fuel margins that would love to be able to sell at that rate. We don’t necessarily believe that those margins at the most recent year are reflective of the long term trend is going to be, and so we’re having those ongoing discussions. But I think if I step back a minute and look at the environment overall, it’s an interesting dynamic because we have sellers that obviously are trying to maximize value, but we also have really high interest rates, so there’s fewer participants in the process I think than maybe otherwise would have been because of that. We’re in the midst of a lot of different discussions, so I have yet to see how this is all going to play out, but that’s what we’re seeing at this point.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for our next question. Our next question comes from Chuck Cerankosky with Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

Chuck Cerankosky

Analyst · Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

Good morning everyone. Great quarter. When you’re looking at the grocery category and the merchandise inflation trends over the rest of the year, I know you’ve negotiated with the vendors. How do you feel about further inflation taking place over the course of the year, and how does that work into your shelf pricing and assortment mix?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes Chuck, this is Darren. You’re correct - we typically negotiate those agreements in advance of the beginning of the calendar year, so most of that is fairly locked. What we saw this year is a little bit of moderation in the cost increases versus where we were the prior year, and where there were cost increases, it was a little more targeted to certain sub-categories from the supplier as opposed to across-the-board increases. While we’re still experiencing inflation, and in that category about 8% inflation, it has moderated a bit from what we were experiencing the year before. We make those price adjustments as needed, and again we’re trying to maintain the balance between having relative value for our guests and at the same time protecting the margin, and so I think the team has done a nice job balancing that. You saw the results in the most recent quarter, where we’ve been able to have strong sales results but at the same time blend up the margin from a mix perspective to get the margin at a really strong rate. We think we’re striking that right balance right now and we’ll continue to do that.

Chuck Cerankosky

Analyst · Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

Darren, so 8% is the average cost increase for calendar ’23?

Darren Rebelez

Management

No, that would be for fiscal year.

Chuck Cerankosky

Analyst · Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

Fiscal year? Okay.

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes.

Chuck Cerankosky

Analyst · Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

All right, thank you. Oh, let me ask, how did that compare to fiscal ’22?

Darren Rebelez

Management

I don’t know, Steve, do you--?

Steve Bramlage

Management

It’s a little bit--we had higher inflation in fiscal ’23 than we did in fiscal ’22, just if you think of the lags and the timing that we negotiate on a calendar basis. We certainly have incurred more consistent and higher levels of inflation this fiscal year than we did in the prior fiscal year.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for our next question. Our next question comes from Ben Bienvenu with Stephens. Your line is now open.

Jack Hardin

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

Hello, this is Jack Hardin subbing in for Ben Bienvenu. Congratulations on the strong quarter. I just wanted to ask about pizza for starters. What are you seeing in your pizza business in terms of demand, and how insulated or exposed do you think your business is from increased promotional activity in the category?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes Jack, this is Darren. Our pizza business has performed pretty well. We had strong volume in the third quarter in slices, both in sales and in units. On the whole pies, we’re still keeping the positive sales, the units have softened a bit but, again, not at a concerning level, just a little bit of softness. I actually would characterize that a little bit more as a timing issue in terms of innovation that’s launched, and so we’re starting to see that velocity recover here more recently with the launch of our pepperoni-pepperoni-pepperoni pizza. That being said, from a promotional standpoint, we are seeing increased activity from our major pizza competitors mostly around the medium sized pizza, which they can get at a lower price point, so we’re keeping an eye on that. We haven’t seen a material impact to our business at this point, so we’re not necessarily ready to jump into that fray, but we continue to monitor and we’ll react accordingly if we need to.

Jack Hardin

Analyst · Stephens. Your line is now open.

Okay, great. Thank you, very helpful. Then on the fuel side of things, your fuel gallons have softened a bit and was just wondering if you could talk about the key factors driving that change.

Darren Rebelez

Management

Well, fuel has been a dance for a while now with volume, and so I think we’ve been able to maintain our strategy, which is to maximize gross profit dollars, and that’s a balance of driving gallons and driving margin. What we’ve seen in most quarters is that we’ve been hovering right around that flat level, sometimes a little bit below, sometimes a little bit above flat fuel gallons. What we’re seeing in the industry in our specific geography is gallons are down anywhere from 4% to 6%, and so when we take a look at our business and we’re down half a percent in a down-6% environment, we feel pretty good about the position we’re holding relative to everybody else and that we’re actually taking share as a result of that.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for our next question. Our next question comes from Krisztina Katai with Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

Krisztina Katai

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

Hi, good morning, and congratulations on very nice results. I wanted to circle back to the strength that we saw at the grocery segment - you know, coming in at 34% looks the strongest, at least since 2010. As private label penetration increases there, are you seeing that vendors are more open to taking less pricing, maybe, as their units could be coming under pressure, and does that essentially help with your joint vendor planning process as it relates to getting great margin in that segment going forward?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes Krisztina, it does change the conversation a bit with some of our supplier partners when we have the private label products, and in some cases it’s a matter of sharpening the pencil on cost of goods and in other cases, we’ve been able to prove some different pricing strategies that we’ve implemented on the private label side that causes them to re-think some of their pricing strategies with us on their brands and their products. We’ve been able to have those discussions and, in some cases, create different plans from a joint business planning perspective to take advantage of those learnings and to maximize the overall category, because ultimately that’s the goal, is to grow all boats, not one at the expense of the other. I think our merchandising team and our supplier partners have worked together really well to make that happen.

Krisztina Katai

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is now open.

Great, thank you for that. I have a follow-up question around capital allocation. You do have a lot of cash on the balance sheet and it’s well above what we’ve seen from you guys, at least from a historical perspective, so how do you think about the strong cash flow generation of your business in the context of organic unit growth, pursuing M&A opportunities, and potentially buying back shares opportunistically?

Steve Bramlage

Management

Yes, good morning Krisztina, this is Steve. I’ll address that. We do have a lot of cash on the balance sheet relative to what we’ve had historically - we are certainly aware of that, for sure. We think about it a lot in terms of the best way to allocate that capital. I think in the very near term, the reality is because our capital spending this year and the closing of the small deal M&A that we’ve talked about, both of those items are heavily back end-loaded, right? We’re going to have a very busy April realistically in terms of opening and buying stores. It seemed the most prudent for us to hold that cash over the course of the year because we knew we were going to have uses for it. But as the cash flow generation potential of the company continues to grow in an environment where we don’t have any leverage concerns of significance, and we really don’t need to pay off debt, we will go back to where we start, which is the best use of capital dollars, number one for us, we believe is investing in something that’s EBITDA and ROIC accretive in terms of growth, and so we’ll continue to lean into those new units. We are very respectful and thoughtful around making sure our dividend growth continues apace with what it has been historically and the earnings profile of the company, but there is a point in time where there is excess cash beyond the near term growth needs of the company and the leverage and the dividend uses, and clearly share repurchase comes into the fore at that point in time. We haven’t been there in the last couple of quarters, obviously. We have an authorization that we’re very aware of, and so I think we will continue to remain quite aware of that but, in the short term, we know we’re going to be spending some of that cash to finish the things we’ve already committed to doing.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for our next question. Our last question comes from John Lawrence with Benchmark. Your line is now open.

John Lawrence

Analyst

Thank you for squeezing me in. Darren, would you talk a little bit about private label, your best customers, the loyalty members, what are you seeing in that basket now as that journey in private label continues? Is it the drinks, is it are you seeing private label more often in that basket, and is there any type of a shift as we have gone through the year?

Darren Rebelez

Management

Yes John, in terms of the basket itself, I think private label runs the same sort of cycle from a seasonality standpoint that the rest of the store does, and so in the third quarter, what you see is less beverages because the weather is cold outside, and it shifts more to snacks and candy and that sort of thing, then as we get more into the summer, you’ll start to see the acceleration of the beverages and the beverage category. That being said, some of the mix in the basket has accelerated in the candy category due to some recent introductions of candy products, and I’ll tell you that this is a great example of why private label is so important. We saw in the candy category that a lot of the national brands were really passing on some aggressive cost increases to all retailers, and it was starting to put some pressure on unit velocity. It was something like we had not seen before, so that really gave us confidence to go into the candy bar category which historically has been a really difficult category to penetrate because of the brand strength of the national manufacturers. We have introduced a line of candy bars that have actually become some of the top selling items in the category because of the value price and because of the quality of the product, and so we continue to look at that and continue to look at expanding that. But that’s something that’s--the mix has kind of shifted in a way we originally hadn’t anticipated because of the aggressive cost increases from the national manufacturers, so that gives our guests a great quality product at a value price and allows us to continue to grow the category.

John Lawrence

Analyst

Great, thanks. Congrats and good luck.

Darren Rebelez

Management

Thanks John.

Operator

Operator

Please stand by for our next call. Our next question comes from John Royall with JP Morgan. Your line is now open.

John Royall

Analyst · JP Morgan. Your line is now open.

Hey guys, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I realize we’re at the end, so I’ll just try to squeeze on in. Just a follow-up on the M&A side, I know you’ve gotten a lot of questions on it today, but you talked about the environment being constructive today, and it seems like you have plenty of liquidity to execute on a larger scale deal. Is there any thoughts that there might be another Buchanan out there, or do you consider having done a deal of that scale kind of more of a one-off that wouldn’t be repeated?

Darren Rebelez

Management

No John, we certainly look at larger deals of that scale, or even bigger. Our issue isn’t around the size of the deal. I’d say our balance sheet speaks for itself. We have plenty of balance sheet strength and, frankly, from a capability standpoint now that we’ve integrated three larger acquisitions, we have a team that has a rhythm and has a process and understands how to do this. We have more confidence in our ability to integrate successfully a larger acquisition. This really--from our perspective, it’s really more about finding the right deal that’s strategic for us, that’s in the right geography, that’s at the right valuation, and so we continue to work on those opportunities, but we’re looking at all types of deals, large and small.

John Royall

Analyst · JP Morgan. Your line is now open.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

I show no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Darren for closing remarks.

Darren Rebelez

Management

All right, thanks for taking the time today and joining us on the call. As we finish our final fiscal quarter and three-year strategic plan, I just want to thank our team members again for all their hard work and commitment to Casey’s and the communities we serve every day. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.