Earnings Labs

Chubb Limited (CB)

Q2 2016 Earnings Call· Wed, Jul 27, 2016

$325.57

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Transcript

Executives

Management

Helen Wilson - Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, Chubb Ltd. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Philip V. Bancroft - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President Paul J. Krump - Executive Vice President, Chubb Group & President, North America Commercial and Personal Insurance, Chubb Ltd. John W. Keogh - Executive Vice Chairman & Chief Operating Officer John Joseph Lupica - Vice Chairman, Chubb Limited / Chubb Group; President, North America Major Accounts and Specialty Insurance Juan C. Andrade - Executive Vice President, Chubb Group & President, Overseas General Insurance, Chubb Ltd.

Analysts

Management

Kai Pan - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Michael Nannizzi - Goldman Sachs & Co. Ryan J. Tunis - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker) Sarah E. DeWitt - JPMorgan Securities LLC Jay Gelb - Barclays Capital, Inc. Jon Paul Newsome - Sandler O'Neill & Partners LP Charles Joseph Sebaski - BMO Capital Markets (United States) Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP Larry Greenberg - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC Josh D. Shanker - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc. Brian Robert Meredith - UBS Securities LLC Meyer Shields - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc.

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to Chubb Limited's Second Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. For opening remarks and introductions, I'd like to turn the call over to Helen Wilson, Investor Relations. Please, go ahead.

Helen Wilson - Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, Chubb Ltd.

Management

Thank you, and welcome to our June 30, 2016 second quarter earnings conference call. Our report today will contain forward-looking statements, including statements relating to company and investment portfolio performance, pricing and business mix, economic and insurance market conditions and integration of acquisitions including our acquisition of the Chubb Corporation, and potential synergies, savings and commercial and investment benefits we may realize. All of these statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially. Please refer to our most recent SEC filings, as well as our earnings press release and financial supplements which are available on our website, at investors.chubb.com for more information on factors that could affect these matters. During today's report, our management will also refer to non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most direct comparable GAAP measures and related information are provided in our second quarter 2016 earnings press release and financial supplement. Now, I'd like to introduce our speakers. First, we have Evan Greenberg, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; followed by Phil Bancroft, our Chief Financial Officer. Then we'll take your questions. Also with us to assist with your questions are several members of our management team. And now it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Evan. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Good morning. As you saw from the numbers we had a pretty good quarter, though we were impacted by the higher level of industry insured cat events globally, 25 of them by our account. After-tax operating income for the quarter was just over $1 billion or $2.25 per share compared to $2.40 per share prior year. For illustrative purposes, excluding cat losses, operating income was $2.91 per share, up 7% over prior year and for six months up 11% demonstrating…

Helen Wilson - Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, Chubb Ltd.

Management

Thank you. At this point, we'll be happy to take your questions.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our first question from Kai Pan of Morgan Stanley. Kai Pan - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC: Good morning, and thank you. Thanks for all the details on the top line growth. Just wanted to focus on the North American personal P&C insurance. If you're excluding the Fireman's Fund one-time transfer, the overall premium like pro forma is down 5%. I was just wondering is that including sort of the, rather than the transfer for the legacy Fireman's Fund business as you re-underwrite that business and how long will it last? Because you've surely lost some and I just wonder at which point we could reach an inflection point on that? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Kai, I think I answered most of your question in my commentary, because I've said the Fireman's Fund ran a 72% retention rate. That's what impacted that 5% and excluding it we were up 1% and I gave you pricing and exposure numbers. The 72% was due to a couple of things. Non-renewal actions, we actually non-renewed a certain percentage of the portfolio and pricing action we took as we convert to the legacy Chubb/ACE pricing. When we take an expiring policy on Fireman's Fund paper and literally convert it to ACE or Chubb paper on our pricing, there is a very meaningful pricing differential in the majority of cases and that also impacted renewal retention rates. There are customers and producers who chose a cheaper option, and by the way, an awful lot of that was contemplated when we actually determined to make the purchase of the Fireman's Fund portfolio. So you have those things. This will continue through the third quarter and in the fourth quarter while it'll continue, it's on a far diminished basis…

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Michael Nannizzi of Goldman Sachs. Michael Nannizzi - Goldman Sachs & Co.: Thanks. Just following up on that a bit if I could, Evan, on the personal lines business, it sounds like then the comparisons by year-over-year basis get a little bit easier as the year progresses. There isn't a distortion like we saw in the second quarter. I just want to try to understand if that's exactly right and also how we should be thinking about the net impact on underwriting from the change in reinsurance. Thanks. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: The change in reinsurance will improve the expense ratio in particular, and I'd say that. I'm not going to give the numbers. The third quarter will have less impact than the second quarter, because we don't have the one-time, and the one-time, the underwriting benefit, we had some in the third quarter and some in the fourth quarter last year as you recall. But it was much larger in the first quarter than in the third quarter and the fourth quarter. So you get that, we had that positive pickup that wouldn't repeat in 2016 from Fireman's Fund and we disclosed that to you. And so you have those numbers, and you know those. The renewal conversion will have less of an impact in the third quarter than in the second quarter, but it'll still have an impact. And the fourth quarter will be dramatically less. Michael Nannizzi - Goldman Sachs & Co.: Great. Okay, thanks for that. And then you mentioned Fireman's Fund as far as conversion. Can you talk a little bit about for the legacy ACE clients on the personal lines side? I'm guessing the premium also there will be higher than it…

Operator

Operator

We'll take our next question from Ryan Tunis of Credit Suisse. Ryan J. Tunis - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker): Hey, thanks. Good morning. I guess just to follow up on the reinsurance discussion. We were curious, does the increase in the reinsurance spend allow for a broader strategic growth opportunity? Or does it really just improve the risk profile and profitability of the existing book? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: It does both. Ryan J. Tunis - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker): Any interest in elaborating further? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: No. Ryan J. Tunis - Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC (Broker): Okay. I guess my other follow-up for Evan is just on where we are I guess in terms of tangible book. I noticed tangible equity's grown about $1.6 billion since March, and I think Evan has said in the past that one of his goals with this deal is to get tangible book value, I know it's per share, back to where it was prior to the deal. But we were just wondering, how important is it to get the tangible book value per share back to where it was prior to the deal before considering further deployment of capital, either through M&A or buyback? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Ryan, we're on track to do that. Our own projections when we originally did the deal was, from memory, 3.5 years, or under 3.5 years. Our updated projections hold us right on track with that, and growing tangible is important to us. That's a balance sheet, quality of balance sheet question to us. You can pay claims out of tangible capital and it's your most constraining factor financially, is tangible. So growth…

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Sarah DeWitt of JPMorgan.

Sarah E. DeWitt - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Management

Hi, good morning. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Good morning.

Sarah E. DeWitt - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Management

Congratulations on a good quarter. I was just wondering, first, if you could just elaborate a bit more on the cross-selling opportunities. I appreciate the marks, but if you could give some specific examples I think that would be really helpful. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Great. And thank you, Sarah. I'm going to actually ask John Keogh to elaborate on those, and John Lupica or Paul Krump or Juan Andrade may want to pile in. John W. Keogh - Executive Vice Chairman & Chief Operating Officer: Sure, and, Sarah, it's John Keogh. Listen, there's a bunch of examples I can give you, and Evan mentioned where we're seeing it in terms of the products. Maybe I'll give you one which I think kind of speaks to the strength of the two companies coming together in a piece of business we wrote this quarter that was worth a couple of million dollars of premium. And it was a relationship that legacy Chubb had, a very strong relationship going back for a number of years through their D&O position as a lead D&O carrier, and also in excess liability. The client is in the nursing home business, a large nursing home chain, legacy Chubb had chosen to stay out of the medical liability business over the years. Legacy ACE, we've been in that business for a long time, know it well, have done well in it. Knowing the client well, knowing the producer well, we went and had a conversation about their coverage for medical liability. Given the relationship they enjoyed with legacy Chubb, they were more than happy to talk to us about that, and that resulted in us writing them medical liability for a couple of million dollars of premium that I think we probably…

Sarah E. DeWitt - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Management

Great. Thanks for the color.

Operator

Operator

We'll take our next question from Jay Gelb of Barclays.

Jay Gelb - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Management

Thank you. On page eight of the supplement, it shows total commercial P&C on a constant dollar basis being down just 0.5%. I was trying to get some perspective on how that result compares to your expectations at this point in the integration? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Pretty much in line with our expectation. I gave you the color that we were down around 1.5%, we had an impact of about 1.5% negative growth due to actions we took related to the combined portfolio as we did the merger. And that is around underwriting actions that we had contemplated, either non-renewal or purchasing reinsurance protections. And that is in line – additionally we did, because the market is soft, we did also take some underwriting actions a little bit above what we might have and related around reinsurance as well where we judge the risk/reward. So, altogether, and that's what I said in the commentary, it makes good sense to me. Our renewal retention rates have remained very high, very good. And I've got to tell you, you look at the middle market business at 89.5%, that's high. That's a very good renewal retention rate which in the middle market commercial business in the United States today, the pattern is everyone who's responsible is trying to hold on to their renewals and there is less drive for new business. Among those who really do have the data, have the presence, have good underwriting, there is a bunch of smaller wannabes who are doing some crazy things to, and I think fairly desperate things, to show growth and write new business. That's just normal stuff, nothing to do with the integration. And in our large account business, we ran over a 90% retention rate. Excellent. So what do you have? A high retention rate in the commercial businesses with good underwriting, underwriting action that we have taken to improve risk/reward that we contemplated, and some actions that we took that impact net premium but improve our risk/reward based on soft market conditions. Feeling pretty good to me.

Jay Gelb - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Management

That's great. Thanks, Evan. And then I had a couple of quick ones for Phil. So, for the net investment income of $820 million to $830 million in the third quarter, would that have any impact on quarters beyond that as well? Philip V. Bancroft - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: In the last call we talked about a range of $820 million to $840 million, and we saw that as a view over the rest of the year and thinking that in the second quarter we'd be closer to the lower end of that range and in the fourth quarter we'd be closer to the higher end of that range. At this point we've said, look, we really can't foresee what interest rates are going to do much beyond the third quarter, so we've decided to limit our guidance to the $820 million to $830 million for the third quarter alone.

Jay Gelb - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Management

Okay. And then finally on debt-to-capital, it's already down to 22% taking into account AOCI which had a gain in the second quarter. Can you remind us what your goals are relative to financial leverage? Philip V. Bancroft - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yes. Our leverage at this point is fine. From a rating agency standpoint, from any measure, our leverage is fine. I expect that as we continue to grow our capital base, just naturally that will decrease, but we're within our range.

Jay Gelb - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Paul Newsome of Sandler O'Neill. Jon Paul Newsome - Sandler O'Neill & Partners LP: Good morning. I wanted to ask a question on the middle markets business. (42:28) and they were commenting that they thought that the new Chubb was expanding terms and conditions and the types of customers you take on in a fairly significant way. But I guess the question is, is that true? And if it is, if you could talk to the extent that that's happening in the market? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, we'll talk a little bit about it but we're not going to give a roadmap to everybody out there. Paul, go ahead. Paul J. Krump - Executive Vice President, Chubb Group & President, North America Commercial and Personal Insurance, Chubb Ltd.: Yes, Paul, I would unpack that a little bit. You really have two thoughts going there. One is appetite, and I would suggest to you that the two companies have come together and have very complementary appetites. Legacy ACE is bringing a lot of skill in areas that legacy Chubb didn't have. For example, cyber or environmental. And we are certainly cross-selling and taking advantage of those new skills. So, yes, there's been an absolute increase in the Chubb appetite if you think about legacy Chubb in the middle market space. So accident and health would be another one where we are cross-selling. If you are talking about terms and conditions, I think Evan said it in his remarks, that we're seeing a slight erosion around the margin, in particular around cat. Flood, we're seeing people lower deductibles for the same premiums or increasing the sub-limits around quake. We are resisting that as best we possibly can. We are not in…

Operator

Operator

We'll take our next question from Charles Sebaski of BMO Capital Markets.

Charles Joseph Sebaski - BMO Capital Markets

United States

Good morning. Thank you. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Good morning.

Charles Joseph Sebaski - BMO Capital Markets

United States

I have a follow-up on the cross-selling and the example that was given that was really helpful I think on the nursing home and the medical liability. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We'll be ready for you, Charles, when you get there.

Charles Joseph Sebaski - BMO Capital Markets

United States

Wanted to get a little deeper on how that works internally. So you have different underwriters that have different background and the products that are so large. So how does the Chubb D&O underwriter and the medical liability underwriter get together to understand – how does that work internally to put those pieces together to realize or recognize that opportunity is there? Or is that on the agent or broker to kind of piece that together? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: I don't know. It's both. First of all, that's the management job to begin with. A, it's organization structure and then it is management activity. So product lines that you take the medical liability area. The person in charge of medical liability is now in charge of our whole medical practice group, and we know that there has been legacy Chubb had a large appetite on the property side for that business, it had a great practice. And so those people become part of a common unit and they begin that unit at underwriting, at the underwriting side and they put together lists of common risks where everyone would play. And then that moves down to our underwriters in the regions who understand that and they're caused to come together in that practice group, and then their movement into the branches where we have salespeople and agent relationship people who get educated. And the underwriters go out with them and they visit producers that have that business in those portfolios of it, and then management feedback because if you can't count it, it ain't worth doing, and so you've got targets and objectives, both financial and non-financial. In the beginning, it's non-financial, because it's activity-related. It's related around internal activities of how people organize and how they're educating each other and how they're doing discovery. And then that turns into an offering and then you start moving that into submissions, and then those submissions move into quotes and then those quotes move into bound business and you are measuring that. Now you have entered our life.

Charles Joseph Sebaski - BMO Capital Markets

United States

Thanks. And I guess one other question, more industry-based. It seems like there's growing appetite in the marketplace of people looking to get into trade credit and political risk. Curious if that's your take on what's going on in the market and any commentary on what's going on in those product lines where that may be the case, knowing that that's something you guys have done for a long time. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: First of all, it's not new. There have been people entering this for the last five years, you've seen more entering the marketplace there; a lot of wannabes, small facilities, one underwriter and a little bit of capital, and not a real franchise. You see more people trying to enter now only because – listen, they're scratching for business. They don't want to shrink their – they think growth and just the top line equals strength. They want to show more franchise capabilities, so they begin entering the market. Just look at the world today and imagine to yourself, which I think is the background of your question. Is this a brilliant time to enter the trade credit or political risk business? Interest rates at record lows, $11 trillion in negative rates, invested in negative spreads. You have real rates, you have a world awash in capital, tremendous amount of misallocation of capital. And with all that you have a world growing below trend economically and slowing down more, protectionism growing and geopolitical risk everywhere. Sounds like a brilliant time to get into that business, by the way, where rates are at a – not a record low, but are certainly at a low point. I wish them a lot of luck, because that's all they've got going for them.

Charles Joseph Sebaski - BMO Capital Markets

United States

Thank you very much for the answers.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Ian Gutterman of Balyasny.

Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP

Management

Hi. Thanks. First, can I just get a clarification? Phil, when you talked about the $67 million of cost saves achieved, was that cumulative or was that just for the quarter? Philip V. Bancroft - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: That's the amount realized from an accounting standpoint in the second quarter.

Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP

Management

Okay, so the year-to-date then is closer to about $100 million? Philip V. Bancroft - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Yes, that's right. We had about $40 million in the first quarter.

Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP

Management

Got it. Okay. And then just one quick clarification on the personal lines reinsurance, I assume that's a quota share for that size of premium? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: That's about as far as I'm going to go.

Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP

Management

Okay. Fair enough. And then just a bigger picture question... Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We don't talk about our reinsurance. Those are privately negotiated and I know people – there are others who will talk about their reinsurance placements as a matter of practice, Ian, so I'm not trying to be rude. As a matter of practice, we just don't talk about it.

Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP

Management

No, that's all right. That's okay. I was just trying to take a better guess on the modeling side, if I need to adjust cat loads or anything like that. And then just a bigger picture... Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: That was an intelligent thought right there, by the way; very intelligent thought.

Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP

Management

I tried. Then my bigger picture question, I thought I'd give you a platform if you want to use it. Following up on the Brexit question and what we're having here with the election, the world seems to be turning more anti-trade, anti-globalization. Chubb is obviously a big global insurance company. What ramifications are there if the world does go that way, and just what sort of things do you think about and worry about if we continue down this protectionist, populist path? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: You know, Ian, that is the right question. The United States is a leader in the democratic, liberal-minded free world. We have a responsibility in that leadership. And we have been absent from the stage of late. We, as a country, recognize the price we seem to pay for that leadership. But we hardly recognize the benefits, that are enormous, that we gain as a country because the world is hardwired, since World War II, to advantage the United States. And the benefits to our economy and GDP and the benefits in terms of stability, where – economies don't flourish but with stability and predictability. And so it's worrisome. And the growing protectionism is worrisome. And the only way you move past that is with leadership, and it's political leadership. Central banks can't help you with this. And protectionism, we all get what that does. At the end of the day, it's beggar-thy-neighbor and the pie grows smaller. The pie doesn't grow bigger. And if you want to feed those who are disadvantaged and you want to provide them opportunities and you want a more prosperous world, you need to be able to afford it. And the only way is through growth. And growth in trade and growth in global trade, where each can bring and use its comparative advantage, that has served the world well. And the way we're vilifying it and somehow re-trading on the past and characterizing it that trade has been evil and has damaged our country and has damaged the world is just so misguided. And then to add to that, that immigration is somehow our enemy is, again, misguided populism and feeding on the suffering of those who may vote. So you get where I stand clearly.

Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP

Management

Well said. Well said. So just as a follow-up, does it change your appetite at all for – when you're looking at maybe possible acquisitions overseas or putting more capital to grow certain countries, do you hesitate in certain parts of the world now? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, Ian, I hesitate wherever it's hostile.

Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP

Management

Yes. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: And I give it thought. And obviously you go where you think the opportunity is. And if the opportunity looks more hostile, you're going to hesitate, you're going to wait, you're not going to rush. Even if you think longer-term, it's like, well, am I in a hurry right now, or do I have a year or two to wait? And you see lots of places around the world that way, as economic growth slows, insurance growth slows. That's the way it is, and so you adjust accordingly.

Ian J. Gutterman - Balyasny Asset Management LP

Management

Got it. Appreciate the thoughts, thank you. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

And we go next to Larry Greenberg of Janney.

Larry Greenberg - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC

Management

Hi. Good morning. I was going to try to push you a little bit further on the reinsurance, but I get the sense that's probably not a good idea. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yes, you got it. I mean, you can push, but you're not going to get anywhere.

Larry Greenberg - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC

Management

Let me just – so just from a modeling standpoint, since you gave me the opening. So we've got premiums going down and we've got the expense ratio going down. It seems under normal conditions the premium decline would more than offset the expense ratio decline. And I know we get into questions of is this tail coverage, is this more attritional loss coverage, but is there anything you could help us with in that equation? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: No, we each have our own hell to live in, and the only thing I could tell you is, is that we think we're pretty good analysts. We think we understand our business pretty well, and we are thoughtful when we make trades and transactions, and we plan for the long-term, not just short-term opportunistic. And we understand how to measure risk/reward. We're fiduciaries of shareholder money, and we're going to exercise that fiduciary responsibility carefully. And so when we make any trades or any transactions like that we do all the analysis. And as I said earlier, the risk/reward is in our benefit.

Larry Greenberg - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC

Management

Great. That's helpful. And then, just reconciling... Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Didn't help your model, I know that.

Larry Greenberg - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC

Management

No, no. Not at all, but that's okay. So you said that cats in the quarter were $100 million or so higher than you would have contemplated before. And you also said that industry-wide, cats were kind of in line with history but above near-term recent performance. So I'm just trying to reconcile, you know, that $100 million and looking forward and I know that personal lines reinsurance thing is going to change this a little bit. But was your cat assumption too low relative to history and would you adjust that at all at this point? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: No, I don't think so. And (60:29) what the companies and the two companies' historic averages are so they each have a different basis and remember I was looking at – I gave a worldwide average of industry that way. So you know you've got a little bit of chalk and cheese there when you're thinking about that, but where I link them is directionally when I look at the industry losses, even though they were more elevated, but historic – and I look at our share of them and relative to our share of business, et cetera, they didn't throw me at all. It made good sense to me, number one. Number two, you saw the Global Re , actually had a part of cat losses in the quarter. And you know, they've been relatively quiet. They sell cat excess, we have for many, many years. And so, you know, you get the natural volatility of reinsurance that way, your reinsurance portfolio and they've done very well, by the way, and that business of ours. And so they contributed $50 million or $60 million to that increase. And it was above what they would have expected, but it's cat excess, so, what do you know. If I look at what we would have anticipated in the quarter, legacy ACE by itself would have been about five points of earned premium in the quarter would have been an expected – the two companies together now, about 5.75 points of earned premium. So the volatility signature hasn't really changed. So anyway, maybe that gives you a little color around it.

Larry Greenberg - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC

Management

Helpful. Thank you. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Josh Shanker of Deutsche Bank.

Josh D. Shanker - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Management

Good morning, everyone. As we get to the back half of the year, both companies do their asbestos analyses. I'm wondering if you have any thoughts on different procedures or a different approach or a concept of merging those two, sort of, processes together as we go through that. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: No, one company is under a statutory order and that is the Brandywine which is runoff. And so the State of Pennsylvania has an external review while we do our own internal and we do our own internal annually anyway. And legacy Chubb has done an annual review and we're bringing those two together. And by the way, it's on the margin what the differences are between the two in approach. Very, very similar, but it's a unified team that will – management team that will oversight the two together. That's it.

Josh D. Shanker - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Management

And the seasonality, that's a 3Q situation for everyone? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: No, it's a fourth quarter.

Josh D. Shanker - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Management

Fourth quarter. Okay. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We do environmental in the third quarter, asbestos in the fourth quarter.

Unknown Speaker

Management

That's right.

Josh D. Shanker - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Management

Okay. Thank you. All my other questions are answered.

Operator

Operator

And we turn next to Brian Meredith of UBS.

Brian Robert Meredith - UBS Securities LLC

Management

Yes. Thanks, Evan. A couple of questions here. First one, last quarter you talked a little bit about small commercial opportunity in the U.S. I noticed this quarter U.K., Ireland, a new product, some other stuff in Europe. Can you talk about what the SME opportunity is for you guys now that the combined Chubb here in Europe? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yes. Juan, you want to just touch on it? Juan C. Andrade - Executive Vice President, Chubb Group & President, Overseas General Insurance, Chubb Ltd.: Sure. So, Brian, I think for us, the SME opportunity outside of the United States is also pretty significant. If you look at just the number of enterprises that are out there that really would fall into that category, there's a significant amount of premium. We've had an ongoing strategy in legacy ACE, I would say over the last six years, to really target that space. And initially we started in developing markets, particularly in Asia and Latin America, and frankly we've been pretty successful in growing that business profitably. The emerging markets business is simpler. Basically small property-type packages, some liability, et cetera. In the U.K. and in Continental Europe with the distribution that legacy Chubb is bringing, we're now expanding some of those capabilities as well. And that's probably what you have seen in maybe some of the press releases that you may have been referring to is the fact that we're rolling out new product and new capability especially around specialty products. Small D&O, small environmental, that sort of thing, really to target the smaller enterprises in the U.K. and the continent. Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: And that gets around packages, traditional packages, we're adding specialty coverages to them. We're after industry verticals the same way we do in the U.S. But understand that these are small premiums per policy. And so to move the stick and really grow a volume takes years of patience. So, it's not something we're going to discuss every quarter. And it's one of those things that we'll polish it in the basement and we'll march out with it. It's looking pretty good there.

Brian Robert Meredith - UBS Securities LLC

Management

Great. Thanks. And then one other quick question here for you, Evan, another topic with the elections here coming up. Tort environment, what are your kind of thoughts on the tort environment? We've got a new Supreme Court Justice that's going to have to be put in place here. Are you seeing anything that anywhere is alarmist right now with respect to trend in the tort environment in the U.S.? What are your thoughts going forward? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: The tort environment is reasonably stable. There are hostile trends. There are rulings that we have noticed over the last year or two years, particularly in labor and labor-related liability, depending on the state because it's state-based, not Federal, workers comp, and which is again labor-related and that more in the main. On the other side of the coin, the Federal Courts and particularly the Supreme Court has been pretty friendly in its rulings more favorable for corporate. And when you look at class actions and security class actions-related rulings, those have been favorable. Look, you look forward, depending on who's elected, we could see a more liberal turn to the courts. And think that would ultimately be hostile to tort and for insurance.

Brian Robert Meredith - UBS Securities LLC

Management

Great. Thanks.

Helen Wilson - Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, Chubb Ltd.

Management

And we have time for just one more person to ask question, please.

Operator

Operator

And we'll take that final question from Meyer Shields of KBW. Meyer Shields - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc.: Thanks. Evan, can you explain why the actions you're taking on legacy Fireman's Fund wouldn't necessarily work in Brazil, leading to the decision to sort of exit that high net worth market? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Say that again, excuse me. Meyer Shields - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc.: Okay. You talked about how you're exiting the high net worth personal lines market in Brazil. And I'm wondering why the same sort of actions that you're taking on Fireman's Fund – on legacy Fireman's Fund business aren't applicable there? Evan G. Greenberg - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yes. Sure. It's the automobile business. If you look at structurally how Brazil works, there's two or three very large players who dominate the marketplace. And number one – and they have such an advantage in terms of distribution, claims management, data, et cetera. And high net worth auto in Brazil is code word for simply very high valued automobiles, and by the way, a lot of sports cars. You may not know this, but I think the second city in the world with the greatest number of Ferraris is São Paulo, and that's just a parlor statistic for you. And the ability to be able to price that business, manage it well and have a business that is of a large enough size because the definition of high net worth in Brazil relative to high net worth, say in the United States, is so different. In the U.S., a fraction of our portfolio is automobile. Most of it is homeowners, jewelry, art, furnishings, it's a much broader portfolio. Auto is a minority portion of it. You get…

Operator

Operator

And with no further questions in the queue, I'd like to turn the conference back over to Helen Wilson for any additional or closing remarks.

Helen Wilson - Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, Chubb Ltd.

Management

Thank you, everyone, for your time and attention this morning. We look forward to speaking with you again at the end of next quarter. Thank you and good day.

Operator

Operator

And this does conclude today's presentation. Thank you all for your participation.