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Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc. (CCSI)

Q4 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 19, 2025

$26.02

-3.02%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Consensus Q4 2024 Earnings Call. My name is Paul, and I will be the operator assisting you today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] On this call from Consensus will be Scott Turicchi, CEO; Jim Malone, CFO; Johnny Hecker, CRO and Executive Vice President of Operations; and Adam Varon, Senior Vice President of Finance. I will now turn the call over to Adam Varon, Senior Vice President of Finance at Consensus. Thank you. You may begin.

Adam Varon

Analyst

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Consensus investor call to discuss our Q4 and year-end 2024 financial results. Other key information and our 2025 full year and Q1 2025 guidance. Joining me today are Scott Turicchi, CEO; and Johnny Hecker, CFO and EVP of Operations; and Jim Malone, our CFO. The earnings call will begin with Scott providing opening remarks. Johnny will give an update on our operational progress since our Q3 2024 investor call, and then Jim will wrap it up to discuss Q4 2024 and full year 2024 financial results, then provide our full year '25 and Q1 2025 guidance range. After we finish our prepared remarks, we will conduct a Q&A session. At that time, the operator will instruct you on the procedures for asking a question. Before we begin our prepared remarks, allow me to direct you to the forward-looking statements and risk factors on Slide 2 of our investor presentation. As you know, this call and the webcast will include forward-looking statements. Such statements may involve risks and uncertainties that would cause actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results. Some of those risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the risk factors that we have disclosed in our 10-K SEC file. Now let me turn the call over to Scott for his opening remarks. Scott, take it away.

Scott Turicchi

Analyst

Thank you, Adam. Q4 was another solid quarter for consensus. We saw an improving revenue growth rate in our corporate channel and a continuation of the slowing rate of revenue decline in our SoHo channel, both of which resulted in reaching the high end of our quarterly revenue guidance. Based in part on planned increased marketing spend, we expected an EBITDA margin in Q4 of 51%, which we were able to obtain. We were also able to repurchase approximately $20 million in debt during the quarter, bringing us closer to our goal of total debt to EBITDA of less than 3x. Looking at the full year, it was very successful against our stated objectives for 2024. We were able to exceed our expectations for corporate revenue growth coming in just shy of 5% for the year against an expectation of 3.1% at the midpoint of our guidance. Similarly, in our SoHo channel, we saw a decline of 13.3% against an expectation of a decline of 14.5%. This combination allowed us to exceed our midpoint of guidance by $5.3 million in revenues for the year. As we stated each quarter, our focus was on driving EBITDA productivity while rationalizing our online marketing spend. We achieved margins for the year of approximately 54%, which is at the high end of our range of 50% to 55%. More importantly, this EBITDA translated into a record $88 million in free cash flow. We utilized this cash flow plus cash balances to repurchase approximately $144 million principal amount of debt during the year and $207 million since the program's inception in late 2023. Additionally, we continue to add customers to our corporate channel, especially in the health care sector, increased the pace of rollout to the VA facilities and started to see traction with our…

Johnny Hecker

Analyst

Thank you, Scott, and hello, everyone. Today, I'd like to discuss our Q4 and full year 2024 results, focusing on revenue, customer count and go-to-market strategy for both our corporate and SoHo business channels. Additionally, I'll provide an operational update and share some insights into our 2025 outlook. The corporate business demonstrated strong growth and increased momentum in Q4 with a revenue increase of approximately 7.1%. Revenues grew from $49.4 million in Q4 last year to $52.9 million this year, contributing to a full year corporate revenue of $209.1 million. This represents a 4.8% growth rate year-over-year compared to $199.6 million in 2023. The extraordinary growth rate in Q4 was driven by several factors. Q4 of last year was impacted by a focus on collections, resulting in increased customer terminations and customer loss. These factors significantly impacted Q4 2023 revenues and the 2024 entry run rate. Therefore, normalized for these impacts of business days, we still achieved growth of approximately 5.5% in Q4 of 2024. I am very pleased with the business showing strong performance considering seasonality. We are seeing continued consumption growth, especially in cloud fax within the health care sector. Our existing customer base is using our services more and new customers are being implemented and ramping up. This results in a revenue retention rate of 100.5% for fiscal year 2024, a notable improvement of 170 basis points from 98.8% one year ago and also increasing from 99.8% in Q3. Our go-to-market strategies, emphasis on customer retention, upselling and cross-selling has produced positive results, which we are very happy to see. The success and momentum in the corporate revenue channel are further evidenced by this encouraging indicator, which we believe to be sustainable going forward. We have achieved a record high corporate customer count of approximately 59,000 just…

Jim Malone

Analyst

Thank you, Johnny, and good afternoon, everyone. In our press release, and on this call, earnings call today, we are discussing Q4 2024 and full year 2024 results. Plus 2025 full year and Q1 2025 guidance. We expect to file our fiscal '24 10-K by close of business today. Let's talk with our corporate business results. Q4 2024 revenue of $52.9 million increased $3.5 million or 7.1% of versus prior year, performing better than expectations, full year estimated share count and income tax rate are 20 million shares and 20.5% to 22.5% with 21.5% taxes at midpoint, respectively. As Johnny mentioned, the strong growth in Q4 2024 was influenced by AR cleanup and customer terminations previously mentioned in our Q4 2023 call. Normalized for these factors, and seasonality, we achieved a strong Q4 2024 corporate growth rate of approximately 5.5%. Q4 2024 corporate ARPA of $304 was essentially flat. And when adjusted for seasonality in Q4 2024 versus Q4 2023 was roughly in line with $306 of the prior year comparable period. Full year corporate revenue of $209 million is up $9.5 million or 4.8% versus prior year, continuing an upward growth trajectory into 2025. Full year 2024 corporate ARPA ended at a solid $311 compared to $316 in the prior comparable period and in line with the last several quarters' range of $305 million to $320 million. As Johnny mentioned in his remarks, this is heavily influenced by our e-commerce success and the large number of customers we added at the lower end of the corporate customer continuum throughout 2024. Full year 2024 revenue retention increased above 100% to 100.5%. An improvement of 170 basis points from 98.8% in fiscal year 2023 and a sequential increase of 70 basis points from 99.8% in Q3 2024. Moving to SoHo Q4…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. In the interest of time, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question. [Operator Instructions] And the first question today is coming from David Larsen from BTIG. David, your line is live.

David Larsen

Analyst

Congratulations on the good quarter. Can you maybe talk about the uptake of your advanced products, in particular, like Clarity and jSign at the VIVE conference? There was a lot of talk about the use of AI to basically like submit appeals, letters to health plans to basically convert written data into structured data to assist with the adjudication of claims. Any color on the uptake there and processes there would be helpful?

Johnny Hecker

Analyst

Yes. David, this is Johnny. Very good question. Thank you for that. Yes. So, we're excited about where we are with Clarity today. The product is in full production, and maybe to give a little bit of insight of what the product does, it applies artificial intelligence and the underlying LLM models to extract or to understand basically unstructured documents, primarily for us, obviously, coming from the fax world, that is also capable of ingesting documents from other channels. And then extract based on the prompts that were programmed individual data points and put those into a structured data format and then import those in, for example, an EHR system or any kind of system, through a variety of file formats, we can customize those for our customers. So, there's a lot of demand for that. There's a lot of POCs. We have a few systems actually in production already. So, we're able to win customers to sign contracts. We're in deployment, rent production. There's a lot of ideas of what can be done with the technology like that, which makes it a little bit more difficult on the deployment side, which is why we need a lot of proof of concepts to really fine-tune this for individual customers. But we're also very much focusing on developing replicable solutions. We've mentioned this in the past, we have two models that are out there right now, one for prior authorization purposes. So, understanding of prior authorization requests extracting data points there and accelerating the processing of those? And secondly, basically categorizing and classifying clinical documents and then extracting primarily patient demographics but also additional data points regarding insurance and those kind of things and then creating a CCDA document and then forwarding that document in a structured format, and basically providing two things, the unstructured documents it can still be read by the human eye plus a structured data file with these demographics. So, that accelerates the process of filing these documents within, for example, EHR systems. What we're currently not doing is really extracting things like diagnosis or more complicated text. We're really very much focused right now on the structured data fields.

David Larsen

Analyst

That's great. And then just at a high level, corporate revenue growth, I think it was up 7% year-over-year. That's a pretty substantial acceleration from -- I think you were at like 2.7 earlier in the year. I mean, what are your expectations for corporate revenue growth going forward on a quarterly basis? And just any general color on the demand environment. Have we turned the corner?

Scott Turicchi

Analyst

So, I think in terms of the numbers, as Johnny pointed out, Dave, the 7.1%, while it is a correct mathematical calculation, we did have a variety of account cleanup in Q4 of 2023. So, we believe that's not the best comparison. And I think as Johnny noted in his prepared remarks that more normalized year-over-year growth is about 5.5% still the best of the fourth quarters in 2024. And you're correct, we had a low of 2.7%, so just under 3% in one of the preceding quarters. So, as we look out, you'll see the midpoint of the guidance, about 6.5% growth in corporate. As Johnny mentioned, there's a slightly fewer business days in '25 versus '24. That matters to us, particularly in corporate. So, I think that it will not, as you saw in '24, be necessarily linear or equal in each of the four quarters because there is some volatility in terms of timing of wins and onboarding of customers. But I think if you look at the exit rate of 5.5% and you look at the annual target of 6.25%, there's obviously not a lot of variation between the two. So, you should expect, I think, a from an analytical standpoint, a reasonably smooth progression from where we exited Q4 to getting to that number for the full fiscal year. And our expectation is we'd be at a somewhat higher run rate going into '26. And then, you want to talk about some of the demand that we're seeing?

Johnny Hecker

Analyst

Yes. Yes. So, I mentioned it on the call, right? I think I call it cautiously optimistic. We're seeing more than just green shoots. We're actually able to close deals. We see a little bit of acceleration in the decision-making. We are collecting the fruits. And there's two factors to this. On the one hand, I think the market has normalized a little bit. Like I mentioned it on the call, there was -- there was a lot of tailwinds during the pandemic. There was a lot of fast decision-making people just needed to get stuff done. So, we profited from that. But then post pandemic, we had the exact opposite. So, it was more of a -- and I think that market condition has finally normalized. That is one of the things that happened. And secondly, we did align our go-to-market on the sales side as well as on the marketing side. And we started early in '23 to adjust to change market conditions. And we have done a lot of things operationally. We have made some structural changes in our go-to-market and build the foundations that we need to now accelerate our growth. So, we feel like we're in a very good position and to your question, if we have turned the corner, yes, that's what it feels like. I think we're on an upward path. And I mentioned on the call, our ambition is to get to double-digit growth in our corporate channel. Is that going to happen 2025 or 2026? Probably not, but the years thereafter, that's what we're expecting, and that's what we're aiming for.

Scott Turicchi

Analyst

Usual cost. That obviously assumes that the economy doesn't completely implode sometime between now and then. But I would expect you would have that as a basic assumption.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is coming from Fatima Boolani from Citigroup. Fatima. Fatima, your line is live.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

This is Mark on for Fatima. Maybe can you guys give some finer details in terms of how the '25 go-to-market investments will be allocated? So, looking to I guess is it towards adding more sales headcount to go after new customer cohorts where even new industries or pursuing new partnerships? And then just on timing, is there a ramp-up period associated with these investments to really revenue acceleration in '26?

Jim Malone

Analyst

Yes. Thank you, Mark. Very good questions. There's multiple ways that we're investing -- on the one hand, yes, it's particularly go-to-market and sales headcount, which we're expanding that will be ramping throughout the year. And most of that effect with -- you will -- most of the impact will not happen in 2025. We will see some of it, obviously, but most of it is really investment into the future in 2016 and beyond. Like I mentioned to -- in the earlier question or the response to the earlier question, we had to build out that foundation and that structure to actually scale up and that's what we're focusing on right now. Obviously, still keeping our EBITDA margin in mind and managing that at a pace rate. The other thing that we're doing is we are continuously monitoring very closely our spend on SoHo and we have shifted over the last 1.5 years, and we'll continue to do so some of those marketing funds to our corporate marketing expense. So, we're attending a lot of trade shows. We're doing digital advertising. We're working on our thought leadership program. So, there's a lot of marketing programs that we're doing to establish ourselves more and more in the market and generate demand for the corporate channel.

Scott Turicchi

Analyst

And I would just add to that. I think in terms of the expense, if you're looking at how the expense spread -- it's not perfectly ratable over the four quarters, but it does ramp from right now. So, we actually are in the mode of hiring as we speak and actually already 45 days into the quarter over the balance of the year. So, you should expect that you're going to get some impact in Q1. It's going to be larger in Q2. Your biggest impact will be in Q4 because you have the cumulative effect of the four quarters of the incremental heads. So roughly, it's $1 million a quarter, but it's going to be much lower than that in Q1, and it will be slightly higher than that in Q4 in terms of the expect.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Correct. Great. And maybe if I could just follow up. I know, Johnny, you mentioned you're building out the foundation of structure this year already in terms of go-market spend. why aren't we seeing a little bit more, call it, acceleration or optimism on '25 guide. Is there something that's holding guys back? It seems like your -- the demand is turning the corner. Your initiatives are gaining traction. So, any sort of caution that's keeping you guys from a little bit more progressive on '25?

Johnny Hecker

Analyst

Yes. Good question. I think we are seeing acceleration, right? If you compare it to our last year's growth rate, we're now going above 5%. That is a significant change looking at where we're coming from. One of the key reasons why we don't see the speed that you're asking about is the majority of that investment goes up market. So, I think our e-commerce engine, our down market and mid-market sales engine. They're operating very efficiently and very well, and they're adding a lot of customers so a number of accounts to our corporate base, but the revenue impact is by no means the size if you add like five or six of these very, very large customers with the VA problem being on the very top end. So, I've talked about the customer continuum in the past, and those upmarket customers have way longer sales cycles. And then once you have closed them, they also have longer ramp cycles. So, if you think about sales cycles of 6 to 9, maybe sometimes 12 months. It takes a while to bring on those customers and then they ramp over the period of 6 to 12 months. So sometimes it's a two-year effect until you see the full impact of a customer like that onboarding. In the case of the VA, it's even longer. It took us two to three years to close the deal, and now we're in the process of rolling that out, which is another three-, maybe five-year process.

Scott Turicchi

Analyst

For full penetration.

Johnny Hecker

Analyst

Yes.

Operator

Operator

And there were no other questions.

Adam Varon

Analyst

We do have some questions ahead. Apologies. Yes, I'm sorry, there were no other questions, but we did get one more come in.

Scott Turicchi

Analyst

Okay. We do have some questions via e-mail. So let me take those while you queue the additional live questions. There's a few questions that came in by e-mail. One is talking about the drivers of the range of growth for corporate, which would be 4.5% to 8.5%, quarter roughly at the midpoint in terms of our guidance. That will be driven predominantly through new customer additions as opposed to material changes in the ARPA. As you've noticed, the ARPA tends to be in a fairly tight range of maybe $20 plus or minus $10 million, and we don't expect that that's probably going to shift materially this year. So, the driver is going to come from new customer adds more than a material move in the ARPA. The second question, I think, is an interesting one, but I don't think -- it's not the way we look at the business. And the question has to do with the SoHo churn rate, which obviously we report -- and then there's a corporate churn rate. And the corporate churn rate, as we've discussed before, if you look at the actual cancel rate that's measured on accounts and it's everything from the small SMBs to the very largest customers we have. We actually think that's not that important a metric given the diversity of base that exists within corporate as opposed to SoHo, which is very homogeneous. The question though is, at what point do we expect the two cancel rigs to converge? And I'm not sure we ever expect them to converge because what we do in SoHo now with a discounted first month has an elevation of the cancel rate. And you've seen it be very stable in a tight range of about 10 basis points over the last four…

Operator

Operator

We did have a question coming from Matthew Sandschafer from Mesirow. Matthew, your line is open.

Matthew Sandschafer

Analyst

How much of the corporate growth in 2025 is derived from the VA rollout specifically? And do you expect any of the disruption currently going on the federal bureaucracy and HHS in particular, to have as well as potentially the VA to have any effect on the VA business or the larger health care space for you?

Scott Turicchi

Analyst

Yes. Short answer to that, I think, as Johnny mentioned that we did a little over $2.5 million of revenues last year. We're obviously on a run rate exiting '24 at a higher level than the booked amount. We're assuming about $5 million contribution from the VA this year and we don't anticipate that based on what's already been done to date, the rollout, the VA contract would be impacted. Obviously, you got to have the usual caveats. Every day, there's new executive orders. There's new people in charge of various departments. There's threats that various departments may not exist. You all know that. But what we see in our conversations, both with will now be Accenture who is the acquirer of Cognosante who is our partner as well as people within the VA, we see that the rollout will continue unimpeded.

Matthew Sandschafer

Analyst

Do you see any potential impact across the health care space overall?

Scott Turicchi

Analyst

No. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And there were no other questions from the line. I'll now hand the call back to Scott Turicchi for closing remarks.

Scott Turicchi

Analyst

Great. Thank you, Paul. We appreciate you all joining us today for a review of 2024 and our first look into 2025. As I mentioned in my opening remarks, certainly as we have our quarterly calls, for Qs 1, 2 and 3, we'll provide you, obviously, not only a status update on the financial results, but also as our thinking evolves and ultimately solidifies in terms of the actual amount and size and timing of the refinancing of the 26 notes. As I mentioned in my remarks, at this point, it looks like we will go a bank debt route, which will get a line in place such that we'll have the proceeds necessary that upon maturity, we can draw upon that line to repay whatever is left of the 6% notes. So, look forward to, as we have our next call in May to discuss Q1 results, we'll give you whatever update is available on that. Between now and then, we're at a variety of conferences there will be press releases out. They are a combination of equity conferences as well as leverage or debt conferences. And of course, if you have any questions between now and the next earnings call, feel free to e-mail us. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.