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COPT Defense Properties (CDP)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Fri, Apr 26, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the COPT Defense Properties First Quarter 2024 Results Conference Call. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. At this time, I will turn the call over to Venkat Kommineni, COPT Defense's Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Kommineni, please go ahead.

Venkat Kommineni

Management

Thank you, Latif. Good afternoon, and welcome to COPT Defense's conference call to discuss first quarter results. With me today are Steve Budorick, President and CEO; Britt Snider, Executive Vice President and COO; and Anthony Mifsud, Executive Vice President and CFO. Reconciliations of GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures that management discusses are available on our website in the results, press release, and presentation and in our supplemental information package. As a reminder, forward-looking statements made during today's call are subject to risks and uncertainties which are discussed in our SEC filings. Actual events and results can differ materially from these forward-looking statements, and the company does not undertake a duty to update them. Steve?

Stephen Budorick

Management

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us. We're off to a great start in 2024. We reported FFO per share of $0.62 for the first quarter, which was $0.02 above the midpoint of guidance. Same property cash NOI increased 6.1% year-over-year. The strong performance is driven by our high tenant retention, contractual rent escalations, revenue growth from vacancy leasing achieved last year, strong property operations and to a lesser extent, new properties added to the same property pool in January. The 2023 same property pool on a standalone basis generated 4.8% growth. We completed 721,000 square feet of total leasing volume, which consisted of 551,000 square feet of renewal leasings with a 78% retention rate, 160,000 square feet of vacancy leasing which amounts to 40% of our full year target and 10,000 square feet of development leasing. We committed $91 million of capital to new investments, which includes two development starts that will provide much needed inventory in our highest occupancy markets, The National Business Park and Redstone Gateway, where we literally have no comparable space left to lease. Our active development pipeline now totals roughly 960,000 square feet. It is 74% pre-leased with a total cost of $381 million, which is a nearly $60 million increase from last quarter. And excluding the three inventory buildings, the pipeline is 100% pre-leased. We placed 73,000 square feet of development space in the service that were 100% leased in Huntsville. In mid-March, we acquired a 202,000 square foot building in Columbia Gateway for $15 million, which I will discuss in more detail in a moment. Our business continues to generate increasing AFFO and our dividend payout ratio remain strong, coming in at 57% for the quarter. Finally, based on our performance and expectations for continued growth, in February our Board of…

Britt Snider

Management

Thank you, Steve. Our business remains strong as the federal government and contractors rise to meet the current challenges that we're all witnessing around the world. The need for secure space continues to grow and that demand is becoming more and more immediate. This strong demand has benefited us as we've been able to achieve stronger leasing economics by reducing concessions, principally by lowering or eliminating rent abatements in our defense IT portfolio. Our leasing activity ratio for available space strengthened over the quarter to 85% for the total portfolio, despite executing 160,000 square feet of vacancy leasing and adding 90,000 square feet of inventory during the quarter. The activity ratio is even higher in our defense IT portfolio at 108% as we only have 770,000 square feet of inventory available out of 22 million square feet. Looking into our markets, the MVP remains the strongest component of the portfolio with continued demand from our largest customers, while cyber related businesses continue to both enter and grow within our Columbia Gateway submarket. Missile defense related businesses and support for other missions at Redstone Arsenal continue to thrive at Redstone Gateway, but we're also seeing increased interest in R&D testing and lab space. And lastly, with the completion of the fiscal year 2024 budget, we're pleased to see increased activity in all three of our Navy support locations. In our other segment, we're making leasing progress in those competitive environments to the success defined in the 5,000 square foot to 15,000 square foot increments. At 2100 L Street in DC, we actually signed a lease yesterday for 16,000 square feet, which stabilizes that building at 92% leased. We are currently -- in our other segment and expect to have additional good news on the leasing front in the coming months. Our…

Anthony Mifsud

Management

Thank you, Britt. We reported first quarter FFO per share as adjusted for comparability of $0.62, which was $0.02 above the midpoint of our guidance. The quarter benefited from lower net operating expenses, primarily due to favorable weather conditions, increased interest income on our cash balances and slightly lowered net G&A and venture expenses. During the quarter, [Technical Difficulty] and 7.6% for our Defense/IT Portfolio. This strong performance was a combination of the 2023 same property pool increasing 4.8% with the Defense/IT portion of that portfolio increasing 6.3%, plus the impact of properties that were added to the 2024 pool. We increased the midpoint of our same property cash NOI guidance by 50 basis points to 6.5%, driven by lower than expected free rent concessions on renewals and better operating margins. Same property occupancy ended the quarter at 93.5%, which is down 30 basis points sequentially from last quarter, but up 90 basis points year-over-year. As previously discussed, the decline was driven primarily by two downsizes, totaling 72,000 square feet. First, a 100,000 square foot contractor downsized to 60,000 square feet. We're tracking a great opportunity to backfill the majority of that space with a government tenant. And second, the downsize of a law firm in our Other segment. We expect same property occupancy to remain relatively stable throughout the remainder of the year. Our balance sheet continues to be strong and well positioned to navigate the higher for much longer interest rate environment the market is currently anticipating. We have no significant debt maturities until March 2026. Our unencumbered portfolio represents 95% of total NOI from real estate operations. And at the end of the quarter, we had over 85% of the capacity on our line of credit available and over $120 million of cash on hand. We currently…

Stephen Budorick

Management

Thank you. I'll close by summarizing our key messages. We're off to a great start in 2024 with first quarter FFO per share $0.02 above the midpoint of guidance. Our Defense/IT segment is 96.8% leased, which is well ahead of our peers. We reported same property cash NOI growth of 6.1% in our total portfolio and 7.6% in our Defense/IT Portfolio. We increased the midpoint of 2024 same property cash NOI growth by 50 basis points to 6.5% at the midpoint. We executed 160,000 square feet of vacancy leasing, which puts us in a good position to achieve our full year target of 400,000 square feet. Our $381 million of active developments, which are 74% pre-leased, provide a solid trajectory for our external NOI growth over the next few years. We purchased Franklin Center, a modern LEED-Gold certified office building in Columbia Gateway for $15 million at a double-digit initial cash yield. Our liquidity is very strong and we continue to expect to self-fund the equity component of our expected capital investment going forward. We raised our dividend 3.5% in February, which marks our second consecutive annual increase. We increased the midpoint of that 2024 FFO per share guidance by $0.03 to $2.54, which implies 5% year-over-year FFO growth. And finally, looking forward, we continue to expect compound annual FFO per share growth of roughly 4% between 2023 and 2026 based on the midpoint of our initial 2023 guidance. And with that, operator, please open up the call for questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, Mr. Budorick. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Michael Griffin of Citi. Your question, please, Michael.

Michael Griffin

Analyst

Great. Thanks. Yeah. Great. Thanks. Maybe you could give a little more color or context about the Franklin Center acquisition. I mean, are we going to see other assets like this trade in Columbia Gateway? Was this sort of a one-off special to this building? And can you give us any sense on kind of the going in and stabilized cap rate?

Stephen Budorick

Management

Yeah. So we gave you the going in cap rate, that's 11.2. Our flip book reports a conservative 12% cash yield after we stabilize. I guess that's a better way to look at it than cap rate. The acquisition -- I don't consider this indicative of the value of property in Columbia Gateway. This particular building was bought as a 100% leased asset years ago by a triple net investor. And when the current tenant contracted several years back, I don't think they really had the platform to compete against our franchise in our backyard. And I think their leasing languished and eventually, I believe, they're redeploying capital to more strategic assets, which created a great opportunity for us to step in and add this building to our franchise, which is a double win for our shareholders.

Michael Griffin

Analyst

Maybe just to follow up on that. With the lease expiring in 2026, would you say the probability is high of the tenant renewing or would you expect that space to be re-leased?

Stephen Budorick

Management

I would say, it's exceptionally high they will renew. Remember, we know the tenant, we know the mission they conduct in that building. They have significant tenant co-investment, have some very valuable improvements in that building. It would have to be an extraordinary loss of business for that tenant to depart the building.

Michael Griffin

Analyst

Got you. That's helpful. And then maybe lastly, just on renewal leasing for the quarter, I saw cash rents declined about 2.5%, mainly driven by one large tenant in Nova. Would you consider that more a one-off or would you expect we could see cash rents decline continuing throughout the year?

Stephen Budorick

Management

I think our comment address that. We expect to [Technical Difficulty]. You'll see the overall statistics trend back where we expect them -- we expected them to be in our guidance.

Michael Griffin

Analyst

Great. That's it for me. Thanks for the time.

Stephen Budorick

Management

Thanks, Michael.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Blaine Heck of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead, Blaine.

Blaine Heck

Analyst

Great. Thanks. Good afternoon. There were some audio issues on my side, so I'm sorry if I missed anything related to my questions. But first one, great to see the new investment on both the development and acquisition sides, but just a few questions on that subject. First, can you just talk about the decision to add those two new development projects and what you're seeing that kind of makes you comfortable with the additional speculative leasing just given that overall development leasing was relatively soft this quarter?

Stephen Budorick

Management

Well, development leasing kind of ebbs and flows, it can be lumpy. Several of the prospects for the projects we started and the one we are under construction on [indiscernible] 8100 in Huntsville. We are awaiting the approval of the NDA to proceed, which just happened in the last couple of weeks. So we expect that leasing activity to pick up through the air on the development side. With regard to the decision to start, at the MVP, we are 99.1% leased and occupied. We have less than 30,000 square feet in the whole park. We expect no space to non-renew in the near time -- near term. And we have couple 100,000 square feet of demand that we're working with tenants on now. It's absolutely a no brainer and a smart defensive move on our part to create inventory to support the ecosystem that we enjoy supporting Fort Meade. We have every expectation that will be very successful. And then similarly, in Redstone Gateway, we have quite a bit of demand developing for High Bay R&D and testing. And we decided to build a building with 20% pre-lease to satisfy that demand. We expect to lease up pretty quickly. And we think that could be a not huge, but an important additional product type that we might want to develop into going forward.

Blaine Heck

Analyst

Great. Thanks, Steve. Just to kind of follow up on that last part. So can you talk specifically about tenant prospects at 8100 Rideout? It's 42% leased. You completed it last year. Operational date is third quarter this year. I guess, just talk about more about your prospects there, whether you think you can have that stabilized by the third quarter? And then just maybe for Anthony, just remind us of your capitalized interest policies and, I guess, confirm that you'd stop capitalizing on anything unleased in the third quarter this year?

Stephen Budorick

Management

So I'll deal with the easy part. Our activity ratio is over 100% on the vacancy. Whether we get it completely full by the third quarter, I hate to predict timing. Our industry moves pretty methodically, but we are working with tenants and anticipate some pretty high value leasing opportunities that will get done this year. We're so confident we're going to fill the building, we're in advanced planning and the next one we need to build.

Anthony Mifsud

Management

And then Blaine, on capitalized interest, you're correct. We -- so, we placed the first tenant into service in the first quarter. So capitalized interest on that portion of the building stopped in the first quarter. And then on any unleased component of the building or unoccupied portion of the building in the third quarter, capitalized interest would stop.

Blaine Heck

Analyst

Perfect. Thanks. Last one for me. You guys bumped your expectation for FFO growth here in 2024, but I believe you kept the same expectation for 4% CAGR from '23 to '26 unchanged. Does that imply some growth was pulled forward or maybe just some conservatism with respect to kind of changing that longer term charge target?

Stephen Budorick

Management

We got to save some news for later, Blaine. No, we put out that benchmark on the '23, '26, almost two years ago. We want to see that fulfilled. And then we'll update our forward thinking, but it doesn't imply a meaningful change to what we think will happen next year.

Blaine Heck

Analyst

Great. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question -- please stand by. Our next question comes from the line of Camille Bonnel of Bank of America. Your question, please, Camille.

Camille Bonnel

Analyst

Hi, everyone. I wanted to pick up on some of the drivers of the increasing guidance, particularly the comment of accelerating lease commencement dates. Can you help us understand how much of that was driven by the efforts of your operations team being able to deliver the space ahead of schedule, budget outcomes that Steve highlighted in his opening remarks or just simply, is it the tenants requesting to move in sooner?

Anthony Mifsud

Management

It's really the second item that you mentioned. So our team has been able to execute our portion of the required investment in the space, sooner than we had anticipated, which allows the tenant to take control of the space and for our leases to commence.

Camille Bonnel

Analyst

Okay, I'll have to go back through the transcript. There's -- the sounds cutting out a bit. But just a follow up, for the last few quarters, your same store NOI has benefited from lower than expected free rent concessions. Would you call this a trend and what's driving this when we're hearing in other sectors that concessions continue to arise?

Britt Snider

Management

Yeah. This is Britt. Yeah, I mean, it is something that it's obviously a helpful trend that we're seeing and something we're pushing our asset managers and leasing folks are pushing for the lower abatement because the demand is -- especially near-term demand is just incredibly strong and that's how tenants are prioritizing what their space needs are. It's hard for them. It actually relates to the development leasing a little bit because they're looking at what they need now, the demands that are coming out for secure space are incredibly high. And so we feel like we have a very strong position in that regard given that we can provide that kind of space and drive some of those concessions, in particular, free rent down. So it's something we're actively pushing.

Camille Bonnel

Analyst

Could you quantify that in terms of like percent abatement that you're giving per lease term and what that compares to pre-pandemic, for example?

Britt Snider

Management

I don't have that offhand, but we can certainly go through our data and get that for you. I mean, I'll say it's definitely something that we've seen, I would say, over the past couple of quarters. It's a trend that we're pushing on, but we can work to quantify that and get that to you.

Camille Bonnel

Analyst

Okay. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Tom Catherwood of BTIG. Please go ahead, Tom.

Tom Catherwood

Analyst

Thank you and good afternoon, everybody. Maybe, Britt, if I'm not mistaken, I think a lot of your activity in the Columbia Gateway market in the last maybe 12 months to 18 months has been small to mid-sized tenants. A lot of overflow coming from NBP. But with this now 90,000 square foot contiguous blog of -- block of space, does this allow you to target a different set of tenants? Can you be more selective kind of given the activity you already have on the space? What's the kind of leasing strategy as you think of that space?

Britt Snider

Management

Yeah. I mean, it's a good question. I mean, [Technical Difficulty] we are seeing a steady increased demand here from cyber tenants. And yes, they are generally smaller in size, but we're also seeing tenants that come in at 5,000 feet and have turned into 70,000 feet because of the cyber hub and the ecosystem that we've created here. So we see that as something that has a very nice trajectory for Columbia Gateway. And, yeah, it's becoming a much more of a cyber/IT hub.

Tom Catherwood

Analyst

Got it. And then also following up on something else you mentioned in your prepared remarks, Britt, you talked about the defense budget approval benefiting the Navy support portfolio. Can you provide more detail on that comment and maybe what you're seeing in terms of tenant activity in that grouping?

Britt Snider

Management

Yeah. I mean, we are seeing -- I mean, the Navy support demand driver is something that ebbs and flows a little bit, but it is something that we are seeing of late where more contract dollars are coming out. And whether it's the Navy directly or through their contractors, I certainly can't speak to exactly what's driving it except for what we see in the defense budget. But we're definitely seeing an increased activity level there and a lot of phone calls coming in and asking [Technical Difficulty] achieve additional space and, in particular, secure space. So we're very pleased to see that that demand increasing.

Tom Catherwood

Analyst

Got it. And then final one from me, maybe Steve. Again, great to see the acquisition of Franklin Center. And I know acquisitions can be opportunistic. It can be kind of one-offs, but what are you seeing as far as product potentially coming to market? I know there had been some talk of maybe in the, like, Route 28 South corridor in Northern Virginia with some buildings potentially coming up that might fit into your portfolio. Do you have a sense of -- could there be other opportunities out for COPT this year in the market?

Stephen Budorick

Management

There have been a couple, three opportunities in Northern Virginia. Some of them have been deferred and a couple resolved where another investor was willing to pay more than we would. Like I said, we painfully went through our criteria and we're extremely disciplined if we can't beat our development yield on an acquisition that we're not going to buy.

Tom Catherwood

Analyst

Got it. That's it for me. Thanks, everyone.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ray Zhong of JPMorgan. Please go ahead, Ray.

Ray Zhong

Analyst

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. My first question is on Franklin Center. You guys sounds like there's no more dollar to be put into the asset itself. It's just a matter of leasing up. Is that the right way to think about that?

Stephen Budorick

Management

Yeah. We -- well, generally, yes. The building was very well cared for and it's one of the, like we said, second newest building in the park. It's really quite prominent. We budget a couple million dollars for some, public combination enhancement, punching up [Technical Difficulty] and kind of the initial arrival experience [Technical Difficulty]

Ray Zhong

Analyst

Got you. And then the second part of Franklin Center is you guys provided going in cash yield and stabilized cash yield. And also mentioned, most likely it's a renewal for the existing tenant, but there's still some vacancy. Just curious to know within that stabilized yield that you provided, is that under the assumption of just current tenant renewing or assuming it's going to lease up to more like a 90% or so? So just trying to think about upside and downside on that yield?

Stephen Budorick

Management

Yeah. There's much more upside than downside. That 12% stabilized cash yield was established to cover absolutely every bad thing that could ever possibly happen concurrently. I think we're going to blow that away.

Ray Zhong

Analyst

Got it. And then any mark to market you can give on that? Because I noticed on GAAP basis, I think the rent is a little lower than cash basis. Just curious on the mark to market there?

Anthony Mifsud

Management

The value of the mark to market over the remaining lease term was just under $1.5 million. It was, I think, $4 per foot.

Ray Zhong

Analyst

Higher than market?

Anthony Mifsud

Management

Correct.

Ray Zhong

Analyst

Got you. And then I have a quick -- yeah, and then my second question is on data center. I noticed there's another expiration later this year. Any color you can provide on mark to market, notice that the rent is a little bit on a higher side versus the one that just got renewed. Just want to get a sense on market there?

Anthony Mifsud

Management

The negotiations with the tenant are being finalized now. We expect us -- we expect a strong mark to market on that lease despite the fact that its current rent is a bit higher than where our renewal last year ended. So wouldn't want to put a percentage out there right now since we're still in discussions with our tenant.

Ray Zhong

Analyst

Got you. That's it for me. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Peter Abramowitz of Jefferies. Your line is open, Peter.

Peter Abramowitz

Analyst

Hi. Yes. Thank you. So just another one on the yield at Franklin Center. So I think, Steve, you just mentioned you would expect some upside to that. Just looking -- assuming you get to say kind of 90% stabilized occupancy if you're at 11%, which is 56% occupancy today, just trying to quantify that upside. Is it fair to say it could get kind of into the mid to high teens if you're getting to 90% stabilized occupancy?

Stephen Budorick

Management

Yes.

Peter Abramowitz

Analyst

Got you. That's helpful. And then just another one on the development side. Could you just kind of touch on -- you talked about the two new projects that you have and are looking to lease up in Redstone. Could you just talk about the depth of pipeline for demand on the build to suit side and just kind of what you're seeing there, what you expect for the rest of the year?

Stephen Budorick

Management

Yes. Our overall development leasing pipeline is at a little over 0.5 million square feet right now. And that includes several possibilities for build suits and then leasing up what we've started and were under construction on.

Peter Abramowitz

Analyst

Got you. I guess, is that something…

Stephen Budorick

Management

I won't tell you, who we work (ph).

Peter Abramowitz

Analyst

That's all right. We'll wait to hear. Is that something you think could pick up just on the back of some of the strong growth in the defense budget? I would imagine that '23 demand is kind of coming through right now.

Stephen Budorick

Management

Well, it's my belief that or feeling that all companies are feeling the pressure of the cost of capital right now. And I think even our customers with good business opportunity and growth are being very prudent, about major investment decisions. So I think we get the must -- the must have developments. And I think there's a wait and see on the want to haves. So I actually believe over the next few years, if the rates are improved, that our development opportunities will increase from where they are today, but we still see good opportunity to meet our financial objectives in this environment.

Peter Abramowitz

Analyst

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Richard Anderson of Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead, Richard.

Richard Anderson

Analyst

I think you said me. Rich Anderson here. Yeah. It's been a little in and out interference, so if I missed anything, I apologize. Might want to check your Wi-Fi account, make sure it's up to speed. Just kidding. Franklin Center, did you -- does the yield projection assume, and again I think I might have missed this, a roll down on the existing tenant in '26?

Stephen Budorick

Management

So, Rich, we put out a very conservative future cash yield, which kind of embody [Technical Difficulty] could go wrong, going wrong concurrently. So, [Technical Difficulty] would absorb a rent roll down. It would absorb more investment in the common area and the structure of the building than we plan to spend. And it would absorb higher TIs than we typically give. It's just a very conservative number in a forward-looking, publicly disclosed environment where we never want to be overstating our opportunity. As I said to an earlier caller, you might have missed, I expect to beat that target and potentially very handily.

Richard Anderson

Analyst

Okay. You described the building as very well cared for, but yet still unable to compete with the engine of CDP in the vicinity. What would have stopped a tenant to move over to a very well cared for building in the proximity of everything else? It just seems odd to me that if it's a nice building, it looks nice, the pictures look nice, why wouldn't it have been more competitive versus your 97% occupancy vicinity?

Stephen Budorick

Management

It's a hard thing for me to answer that with specificity, but to kind of get you comfortable with it, 80% of the defense contractor business in Columbia Gateway is with us. And we've been a defense/IT landlord in this market for over 25 years that we've been public. We've got great relationships and we have relationships with most of the tenants that are in the market somewhere else. So we just tend to dominate in this business part.

Britt Snider

Management

And I would just add to that, I mean, we have an additional 200,000 square feet of demand that we're seeing since we took over. So again that just shows what Steve is saying, which is the relationships that we have do draw tenants to our assets here.

Stephen Budorick

Management

And one last comment. The prior owner from another part of the country, different structure, a triple net lease investor, no particular operating presence on the east coast, and they have to rely on the fee management crowd. And hypothetically that service component of the business doesn't bring the relationships that we have where we do that primarily directly.

Richard Anderson

Analyst

Okay. Made progress on L Street, I think you said fully stabilized now. I know there was some leasing in Baltimore. How are you closing in on some of these "other asset sales?" Could it be this year event or is that not a likely outcome at this point?

Stephen Budorick

Management

I don't see it this year, Rich. What transactions that have happened in DC are very opportunistic from the buyer's standpoint. They don't represent cap rates that we would accept with an asset that valuable for the sense of timing. And then outside of that, in Tysons Corner in Baltimore, I just don't think you have the depth of capital to make a market on those assets. It's going to take some time.

Richard Anderson

Analyst

Okay. And last question from me. You've heard the 4% CAGR through 2026 on FFO. What does that assume on a same store cash NOI growth? I know you're doing 6.5 this year. That's probably not sustainable at that level, I'm guessing. What's the right way to sort of set expectations from an internal growth perspective for people like us?

Stephen E. Budorick

Analyst

I'm not sure I can answer that question. We haven't really run math on it in that way. And do recall, we put that target out several years ago. And we're going to continue to report against that target till we hit it and then we'll consider our new benchmark that we put forward. The intent is to convey our confidence of continuing to produce growth in a challenging financial environment and to convey the strength of our business that we continue to prove quarter-in and quarter-out.

Richard Anderson

Analyst

Okay. Fair enough. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Dylan Burzinski of Green Street. Your question please, Dylan?

Dylan Burzinski

Analyst

I actually don't have any more questions. Sorry. Thanks, guys.

Stephen Budorick

Management

Good to talk to you though, Dylan.

Dylan Burzinski

Analyst

Good talking to you guys too.

Stephen Budorick

Management

We'll see you soon.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I will now turn the call back to Mr. Budorick for closing remarks.

Stephen Budorick

Management

Well, thank you all for joining our call today and the enriching questions that we got to discuss. We are in our offices all afternoon, so please coordinate through Venkat, if you like follow up call or talk about something we mentioned in more detail. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your participation today in the COPT Defense Properties first quarter 2024 results conference call. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day.