Blaine Browers
Analyst · ROTH Capital. Please go ahead.
Sure. Yes. So the I would -- the core businesses for Armor and Duty Gear we're seeing the typical growth we would expect, which is really kind of on average about 3% for the year on the US side, on the Carr, sorry, not on the Carr's, on the Alpha side of the world, we closed March of last year of 2024, so we're really picking up two months. So the growth rate is a bit higher on a percentage basis than you'd expect on a go-forward kind of just into the double-digits with those added two months in the organic growth. So, that kind of lays out, I think the overlay there and again, the -- that wide kind of guidance range is, we'll continue to dial down as we go forward. But as Brad's talked quite a bit about just the uncertainty of not necessarily losing business but really more on the delay on the procurement side with any cuts that may or may not occur. Moving to Q1 of this year, really a couple drivers and you got to go back in time to Q1 2024, when we announced earnings, we had a really -- actually at the time, it was a record quarter for our US Armor business driven by a federal agency contract. So there's absolutely a comp issue there and that was an atypical Q1 for that business. Generally, for Armor, in particular US Armor Q1 is really the lowest revenue quarter other than just driven by the procurement cycle and that's kind of point one, driving that downdraft in Q1. The second component is really just EOD timing, right, and that is one that is not so much seasonal, but really driven by the project layup and I would say Q1, 2024 was a pretty average quarter for that business, whereas Q1 of this year is quite a bit lighter in there. More significantly back-end loaded, which that back-end load for the EOD business is pretty typical. Coming out the gates, where they're at for Q1 is just a little bit lighter than we saw last year and would expect to see.