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CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO)

Q1 2022 Earnings Call· Tue, May 10, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the CECO Environmental Corporation First Quarter 2022 Earnings Call. . I would now like to turn the conference over to Steven Hooser, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Steven Hooser

Management

Thank you for joining us on the CECO Environmental first quarter 2022 earnings call. On the call with me today is Todd Gleason, Chief Executive Officer; and Matt Eckl, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to note that we have provided a slide presentation to help guide our discussion. The call will be webcast along with that slide presentation, which is on our website at cecoenviro.com. Presentation materials can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of the website. I'd also like to caution investors regarding forward-looking statements. Any statements made in today's presentation that are not based on historical facts are forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on certain estimates and expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual future results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. We encourage you to read the risks described in our SEC filings, including on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021. Except to the extent required by applicable securities laws, we undertake no obligation to update or publicly revise any of the forward-looking statements that we make here today, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Today's presentation will also include references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. We reconciled the comparable GAAP and non-GAAP numbers in today's press release as well as the supplemental tables in the back of the slide deck. With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Chief Executive Officer, Todd Gleason. Todd?

Todd Gleason

Management

Thanks, Steven, and good day, everyone. We're going to start with Slide #3 of the presentation that Steven mentioned to follow along with our prepared remarks. We look forward to discussing our first quarter 2022 results in detail as well as reviewing our full year outlook, which was highlighted for the first time in our earnings release. We will also discuss this morning's announced $20 million share repurchase program and our recent acquisition of Compass Water Solutions, which we closed last week. We issued separate press releases regarding both of these earlier today, and we encourage you to read those releases as they do provide additional information. Let's talk about the first quarter. We are off to a great start in 2022, headlined by a few records. I'll start with our fantastic orders growth, which came in at $161 million, up 75% when compared to the first quarter of 2021. And don't forget, the first quarter of 2021 was up over 20% when compared to the first quarter of 2020. And that quarter in 2020 was only modestly impacted by COVID, so it wasn't a weak quarter. Now back to the Q1 2022 record orders of $161 million. That level is over $40 million higher than our previous record quarterly bookings. Additionally, our orders growth came in broadly across our portfolio. Matt will cover our backlog levels in detail, but the highlight is that Q1 orders created the largest backlog in company history as well. We are well positioned for future revenue growth as a result. Speaking of revenues, first quarter 2022 revenues were $92 million, up 29% year-over-year. We have been signaling that our revenue would start to grow in 2022 given we had strong double-digit orders growth throughout each quarter of 2021. We are pleased to deliver such…

Matthew Eckl

Management

Thanks, Todd. Let's dive into Slide #6 and our Q1 performance. Todd suggested orders were up over 75% year-over-year as well as sequentially. This was a balanced effort across CECO as customers continue to invest in sustainability and place their trust in our air quality and water treatment solutions. Sales came in slightly better than expected at $92 million, which was up nearly 30% year-over-year and flat sequentially as the teams executed for customers in the month of March and following unfreezing of our backlog. Gross margins remain compressed versus historical averages as we continue to navigate supply chain challenges, inflation and continue to execute on long-cycle projects booked during peak of COVID. We continue to execute price discipline in markets where elasticity exists. In our short-cycle businesses, we are seeing price increases stick with customers. There are margins improving as we look ahead. More to come here. Reported operating income and EBITDA metrics each improved 50-plus percent year-over-year on improved volume, lower project margins and lower operating expenses, aided by a onetime insurance settlement of $2.5 million. Excluding this benefit, EBITDA was up 12% year-over-year in the quarter. Adjusted EPS was a clean story at $0.14, up $0.05 year-over-year, predominantly on operations with no FX impact. To summarize, this is a very good quarter for CECO. Now let's move to Slide #7. Coming out of the gate, Q1 was a fantastic start to 2022. Market demand was strong across all end markets. Platforms that serve air quality such as emissions management, thermal acoustics and industrial air were exceptionally strong as customers came to us for their sustainability needs. Each of these platforms saw 100-plus percent growth year-over-year. New double-digit headline orders demonstrate our leadership in air, water and energy transition. First was a Peerless emission control system for our…

Todd Gleason

Management

Thanks, Matt. Yes, let me expand on a few areas around our guidance, and then we'll wrap up our prepared remarks and take questions. As the slide highlights, we are making more investments to advance CECO. These are investments in people, process, systems, and of course, acquisitions and business development. We're excited to share how far CECO has come over the past few years with respect to our more balanced portfolio that can deliver strong growth across many industrial and energy transition markets. These investments are important to develop the sustainable business results we aim to achieve in the long term. So our guidance reflects these costs. As with any guidance or opportunities to exceed but also unforeseen challenges, none of us think we are out of the woods with respect to inflation and certain supply chain and logistics challenges, but we have a lot of good momentum. We hope you find this guidance helpful. Let's go to our last slide, please turn to Slide #14. As we have repeatedly said today, CECO is off to a fast and strong start to 2022. With our large backlog and pipeline of over $2 billion in opportunities we are pursuing, we expect to continue to gain traction around growth. We are pleased to announce our new share repurchase program, which we believe is a great use of capital for shareholders. And in just a week or 2, we will announce our inaugural ESG report. This is the culmination of a lot of hard work by a cross-functional team, and we look forward to sharing our ESG story with you this month. None of this would be possible without our incredible team. I want to thank all of our CECO associates for everything that you do to deliver excellence for our customers and to assure our communities benefit as well. And with that, I'd like to open the line to questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

. The first question comes from Amit Dayal with H.C. Wainwright.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Really strong results, congratulations on the execution. And just to begin with respect to acquisitions, could you maybe elaborate a little bit on sort of the growth strategy for some of these recent acquisitions? Are you taking these products to your existing customers? Or are you finding new customers for these new portfolio add-ons?

Todd Gleason

Management

Yes. Thanks for the comment, Amit. And I appreciate the question. On our current M&A, not only strategy, but the transactions we've completed so far this year, so far, the transactions have all sort of had this following component in common in that, yes, they fit -- and as they all will fit a specific theme of focusing on more broad industrial markets and the transactions this year thus far have been in one of our comfort zones of that, which is industrial water, where we have been growing organically well positioned globally in industrial water for quite some time. So these transactions add to customer access for us to new markets for us. And similarly, for the acquisition targets, adds more products to our existing customers, we believe, into global markets that they did not have access to as well. So our acquisition strategy is to stay focused on sort of our 3 core areas of industrial air, industrial water and the energy transition, first and foremost, and continue to add sort of broad industrial platforms, products, services that have more of that shorter-cycle profile to give us a better business mix to balance out our longer project revenue businesses as well. So all of the acquisitions year-to-date have fit that. You can expect if we're looking at future transactions for them to have a similar profile fundamentally. And they don't all have to necessarily double down on current customers and current markets per se, but we're going to stay true to sort of that core.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

And then on the margin side, I know you have some inflationary pressures, et cetera. And you're not too far off from sort of historical levels. But do you see margins reverting to the low 30% levels by the end of the year eventually?

Todd Gleason

Management

Yes. Matt highlighted a little bit in our prepared remarks. So look, we're just below 30%, which would have ignoring the current challenges of inflation, supply chain, logistics, et cetera, being below 30% would have been certainly below our low point average, which is 30% to 34% over a long period of time. We believe we're going to get back there. We think that the next few quarters, certainly, we're still experiencing our ability to get price going through our backlog. So there's some timing of price and price actions, our ability to get productivity, again, through our backlog. So right now, we're in a little bit of a timing imbalance, so to speak, which is why we're still below 30%. We believe we're going to get back up above 30% as we get into the second half of this year. And look, there's nothing that's really fundamentally changed in our business other than the thing -- the ramifications of the market challenges that all industrial all companies, frankly, but certainly in our space, we're all facing. And look, I think broadly speaking, companies are doing a great job of overcoming the challenges and the cost, getting price where appropriate, and we're going to continue to do that.

Matthew Eckl

Management

Yes. The only thing I'd add was we're probably at about 26% margin in the backlog this time last year, we're definitely looking at 28% now and things that we're quoting right now and then we just got a job that came across something like 40%. So we're seeing an improvement in our backlog margins. It's going to take some time for the long cycle projects to funnel through the P&L.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

Understood.And then, Matt, maybe from a sort of sequential expectation, I know you've provided annual guidance for the first time. Should we expect sequential improvements through 2022? Or is there any seasonality with respect to some of these backlog and orders that may cause variability in how the quarter has come through?

Matthew Eckl

Management

No, there's no real seasonality. It's really about timing of individual projects and when they land and the mix of our business. But we are working on productivity. We are seeing the blended margins creep up. We do expect sequential increases, but modestly. We see a real improvement in our margins in the late second half of this year and early 2023.

Todd Gleason

Management

Yes. And just to double down on one thing there. We appreciate that you asking a question about sequential, that's important to us. obviously, ongoing improvement, ongoing productivity, ongoing performance. But just kind of given the current profile of CECO, we would be reluctant to currently give quarterly guidance just because things can be a little choppy in the quarters, like a lot of companies. And so look, we're very comfortable with the full year outlook. That's an easier if you want to call it, that sort of number for us to get our head around because it takes out a little bit of the variability and the noise that exists in the month or in a couple of months that could be influenced by a handful of larger projects. But as Matt already answered, we feel good about the kind of the ongoing productivity and momentum we have.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

I can appreciate that, Todd. Just one last one maybe. With respect to the backlog strength you're seeing, has that come mostly domestic orders on backlog? Or is there some international in it as well?

Todd Gleason

Management

50-50.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

All right. Yes, that's all I have missed. I will take my other questions off-line.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Rob Brown with Lake Street Capital Markets.

Rob Brown

Analyst · Lake Street Capital Markets.

I just want to get a little more detail on the Compass acquisition. How much of that business is all short cycle? Does it have sort of a recurring kind of razor-razor played model? How does the business work and the customers for that business?

Matthew Eckl

Management

Sure. We're pretty excited about this business. I'd tell you that 60% is systems. So RO and slop water systems or the water separation, the end market is typically going to be navalships, U.S. Coast Guard or potentially marine vessels like Maersk et cetera, anywhere where you're going to have water on a ships vessel that needs to be discharged back in the ocean, but needs to be in compliance with whatever the standards are by the Spanish military or the U.S. Coast Guard whoever is response for that is where we're going to serve internationally. We have international footprint all over the globe to help pull more of their business through. And when we think about the aftermarket content of that business, it's something like 40% to 45% super rich gross margins. Why? Because the product has to be certified by the Spanish military or the Nordic Army or the U.S. Coast Guard. And so you can't just plug in some other filter business or some other pirated product, you have to use the Compass brand. And so that's what makes me really excited. When we think about short cycle, they will have occasionally a job here or there that's maybe $1 million or $2 million max, and that's just because it's several RO units that are being sold. But for the most part, I'd tell you that their average is about $200,000 per order size. So we consider the entire thing short cycle in nature because everything ships out within a few months.

Todd Gleason

Management

We also see, Rob, real opportunity to bring investment at an appropriate level into the organization. When you're a somewhat small company like Compass is, they've been doing a great job of growing and advancing the product line, getting this very nice balance of systems and then replacement, certified replacements, locking in their market access there. But there's opportunities outside of what Matt suggested around vessels. There's other opportunities that we feel and we'll be talking about that in the future that we feel we can bring their expertise and their product line into again with just a modest investment for real strong growth because their margin profile, especially on the aftermarket replacement is so rich.

Rob Brown

Analyst · Lake Street Capital Markets.

And then kind of back to gross margins, on your longer-cycle projects, how do you protect gross margins there? Are you sort of fixed price upfront and then you take the risk on inflation or are there escalators built...

Matthew Eckl

Management

Yes. So there's a number of different approaches depending on sort of maybe even the market, the business, the project. But generically speaking, we'll have typically a fixed price bid. We'll have locked in or also received fixed price contracts with our suppliers. And we'll, at times, especially now over the last 6 or so months, ensured that we have appropriate language in our contracts that protect us and our supply chain and our customers from escalating materials. So we'll have escalation clauses around key components. It could be metals, if it's a heavy metal product that we are providing. It could even be logistics if it is something that includes a fairly extensive transportation-related area of the contract. So our customers understand it. These aren't small products that are off the radar screen. These are very fundamental to the success of their operation. There's only a handful of companies that can do what we do in these very mission-critical areas of industrial air, water and the energy transition. So they understand that some of the new language that is associated with escalation clauses, et cetera, are just going to be at least standard for now.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from Gerry Sweeney with ROTH Capital.

Gerard Sweeney

Analyst · ROTH Capital.

Just wanted to talk about orders, obviously up significantly. And I'm just curious of how much of that is maybe end market-driven versus maybe some changes you made internally? Obviously, there's been a lot more focus. One, have you made any sort of changes on going to market strategy? Or do you see any...

Todd Gleason

Management

Yes. Good question. So look, you don't get $160 million in orders at our size and with our -- without there being some decent market dynamics out there, certainly. So I'd like to acknowledge that we certainly feel we're well positioned if there's a tide that rises you want to be -- you want to have boats in those harbors, right? And I would say CECO, we feel, has done a great job over the last few years of a few things though to be in better position as the tides rise. For example, over an extended period of time, we have been not only talking about externally, but certainly focusing on internally this focus on more markets, more adjacencies, more short cycle, more general industrial. And that has been an organic theme internally but also a little bit of an inorganic theme as we've made some small acquisitions over the last few years or we've made some new investments to go after service businesses, et cetera. So the point is, I feel like it's a combination, certainly market strength in a lot of areas, but how much we've really diversified CECO over the last few years. Matt mentioned in his prepared remarks, if you look back 4 or 5 years ago, and maybe we didn't give these exact numbers. But if you would have looked back 4 or 5 years ago, if we would have had a quarter over $100 million of orders, I would say 60% to 70% of that strong quarter would have been energy-related orders, power, oil and gas, et cetera. And it's sort of flipped now. It's more 60%, 70% of our strong growth has been general industrial. So again, I just want to acknowledge that our teams, the organization, the platforms has really internally and certainly with our customers, put a spotlight on where we see the best opportunities. We're running to those faster. And so again, it's just a lot of hard work by our organization where our associates all over the planet are working hard to serve our customers.

Gerard Sweeney

Analyst · ROTH Capital.

That's really helpful, actually. I appreciate that. The other question I had is obviously making acquisitions. But as you look at CECO as a whole, at your portfolio, are there opportunities maybe even to divest, to get smaller to get bigger.

Todd Gleason

Management

Yes. Look, we certainly understand that companies that are diversified like CECO have options in their portfolio. Right now, we feel like we're clicking on a lot of really good cylinders. We're really excited about our growth profile as a company. We're really excited about our ability to continue to add pieces to our organization through smart, strategic accretive M&A that adds again, more balanced to industrial air, industrial water and energy transition, more short cycle. And as we look at our portfolio over time, if we feel that there is a piece of it that doesn't continue to add that same value to our longer strategy, then we'll evaluate that. But right now, again, we feel like we've got a lot of momentum as an organization, and we want to maximize those returns for our shareholders.

Gerard Sweeney

Analyst · ROTH Capital.

That's helpful. And then, Matt, there's maybe more -- a little bit more for you. Free cash flow. I know working capital probably is up probably some inventory, all that stuff -- how do we look at that for the -- do you have any projections for that for this year? Or is it still a little bit nebulous a little bit too early to sort of get...

Matthew Eckl

Management

The answer is up. It's going up.

Todd Gleason

Management

That's a specific up, Gerry. If you will look at our balance sheet, you could see that the billings in excess are growing greater than cost in excess, which is a good sign that we're billing customers early. Those are called advanced billings or advanced payments and our receivables are growing, and these are good receivables. So cash flows will roll through. This is exactly what I said for the last 3 to 4 years when the business grows, cash flow grows. It's going up.

Matthew Eckl

Management

We thought about just giving guidance, it says everything is going up, but we thought that might not be specific...

Gerard Sweeney

Analyst · ROTH Capital.

But I got my report title up...

Operator

Operator

. The next question comes from Bill Dezellem with Titan Capital.

William Dezellem

Analyst · Titan Capital.

First of all, relative to the accounts receivable being up, does that indicate that there was sales strength late in the quarter? How do we read that?

Matthew Eckl

Management

Yes, they're not correlated. There is receivables is based on milestone billings and not tying to revenue. So it's just timing of when we actually build the customer that starts the clock further 30-, 60- or 90-day terms, whatever they might be of when they actually need to pay us.

William Dezellem

Analyst · Titan Capital.

And since AR then is not an indication of pace throughout the quarter, maybe you could highlight kind of what was the pace of sales and separately orders through Q1 and into April, if you would, please?

Todd Gleason

Management

Yes. Well, I was going to say one thing, and I'll let Matt, he's got all the data, obviously, he's ready to dying to tell you. When we announced our fourth quarter results, you may remember, Bill, we talked about at that point in the quarter, we had already seen very strong January and February orders. So I would just remind you that we shared sort of pretty publicly that in the first quarter, when we gave our fourth quarter earnings release that we were already seeing very strong January and February, and I'll let Matt kind of talk about how that continued.

Matthew Eckl

Management

Orders look like a yield. So January and March were strong. April was pretty decent. It was probably more on par with February, so not bad whatsoever. And then I would say that revenue was more like a slight ramp with -- from January to February to March being obviously because of a little bit longer month in February, more revenue than February but not...

William Dezellem

Analyst · Titan Capital.

Yes. given that, I'll call it up and down, is there anything that we can read into that or that you all read into it? Or is this truly a little bit just lumpy?

Matthew Eckl

Management

It's just lumpy. We have projects sometimes that are double digits, sometimes $10 million to $15 million, I mentioned some headline orders that came in. We didn't have a ton of those, but our history is marked by those. It's what we do. We do have projects and they come in. But that's why we want to grow short-cycle sales. Why? Because it's more predictable and ease and those are gravy on top.

Todd Gleason

Management

One way to look, Bill, at our quarter also from the $160 million of orders is I always sort of -- again, we have the inside information, right? So we can sort of look and go, okay, what dollar level could have booked last year had just the customer, if you want to call it that, kind of pull the trigger at that time. And we had it on our -- we have a lot of our pipeline on our radar screen, and it's coming down to a matter of days at times. Does it book at the end of the quarter or the beginning of the quarter. Let's call that in this particular 120-day window that I'm discussing here, the current window, $15 million. Let's just be -- and let's also say could $15 million worth of orders have "slid" to Q2? Sure. In this quarter, our first quarter could have been $130 million at the low, give or take, or higher even than $160 million, but let's just say it landed at $160 million. Both of those numbers would have been record quarters and would have produced record backlogs. So even if some of our orders had been placed in the fourth quarter or moved to the second quarter, therefore, I guess you would call it negatively impacting Q1, we feel that it would have still been a record quarter by a good distance over our previous record. So this wasn't because we pulled in or we got things that slid out of last year. Fundamentally, it did help our quarter from a bookings perspective, but it wasn't as pronounced maybe as 1 or 2 big orders.

William Dezellem

Analyst · Titan Capital.

That's helpful. And finally, relative to the step-up in orders this quarter, just given the long-cycle nature of some of those, is there going to be a quarter in the future where we're going to see a significant step up in revenues? Or as you had stated earlier in comments to another question, do you really feel like you can try to manage that to be a bit smoother?

Matthew Eckl

Management

Well, it won't be one quarter we probably won't pop up to this number. I mean, just who we are as a company today. But yes, there will be a period of time, we believe that orders clearly translate to revenue. These are solid orders. We have a very, very, very low debooking rate. It would be a kin and maybe even less than most industrial companies bad debt rate. I mean we're talking lower than 1% or 2% on average and if even that. So look, you can do the math and just make a determination that if we're running at $90 million, $95 million of revenue this quarter, which we did $93 million, well, it's hard to believe that we're not going to have a few quarters that reflect much higher revenues when this turns through our backlog.

William Dezellem

Analyst · Titan Capital.

And so I guess maybe then the question is, when does the -- this big order push, when does that flow through revenue?

Todd Gleason

Management

They will flow through over the course of 4 to 5 quarters, and the pop-up in revenue that you might expect isn't going to be some $20 million order just shows up. It will be the compiling of several projects plus our base business on top of each other. And so yes, you will see an increase at some point in time. My bet is late this year, early next year, but it's not like it's going to be a major onetime blip, $40 million revenue and drop back down. It's pretty smooth, Bill.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Thomas with Graham Partners.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Graham Partners.

Sorry for the company change. I went from thinking I own too much stock to maybe not owning enough. The energy cycle looks really positive to me. Has there been anything breaking loose in pipeline? Are we still super early on that and still a lot of resistance out there. I was just curious if you have any color on what the interest in orders looks like in that area? I know it's still probably early, but I keep thinking that somebody is going to flip on this ESG environmental stuff to get energy out, but let me know what you guys think.

Todd Gleason

Management

Yes. So I think the question is specifically on the midstream on the pipeline side. That's our...

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Graham Partners.

Yes.

Todd Gleason

Management

Thanks, Thomas. So yes, that was our one platform for those of you that have been tracking CECO that it was really our only platform that didn't show orders growth last year. It showed nice orders growth this quarter. We expect that to continue. We see investment in midstream pipeline, at least in our space, where more capital is now being applied. We also would say that David Taylor and the business leaders within separation filtration are doing a fantastic job of not only being in position for tides to rise in the midstream capital investment side, but really doing a fantastic job of maintaining and developing relationships in other markets, we talk about Navy and other end markets that they have an opportunity and have long supplied, very good margin business, great relationships with those customers. There are cycles in the Department of Defense spending as we all understand, when those cycles come back, those are great for us. The other I would suggest is they are getting in better and better positioned for what we're calling this energy transition, especially carbon capture and other gases. So we look forward to talking about some of those projects over the next few quarters as we are solving along with other suppliers and partners of ours, really some really unique carbon CO2 capture sequestration solutions for a variety of different industries, and we look forward to talking about that. So again, finding adjacent markets doesn't mean our current markets aren't still strong, appealing and worthy of investment that finding new adjacencies organically, marketing ourselves, creating business development relationships and we expect to be talking about large orders in CO2 capture and other areas that are exciting.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Todd Gleason, CEO, for any closing remarks.

Todd Gleason

Management

Thank you for the questions and for everyone's interest. We look forward to continuing today to connect with our investors and analysts to answer questions and to be helpful. I'd also like to once again acknowledge our appreciation for the great associates around the world at CECO, delivering for our customers every day, working hard to make sure that we are at the right place at the right time for all of our stakeholders, staying safe and healthy as always. And so look, we're excited about the year. We feel great about the start to the year as we've already articulated multiple times. And with that, we hope to speak with you soon. See you soon at an event and best of luck out there.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.