Earnings Labs

Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 7, 2024

$37.71

-0.92%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Central Garden & Pet First Quarter Fiscal 2024 Earnings Call. My name is Paul, and I will be your conference operator for today. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Friederike Edelmann, Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Sustainability. Please go ahead.

Friederike Edelmann

Analyst

Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining Central's first quarter fiscal 2024 earnings call. With me on the call today are Beth Springer, Interim Chief Executive Officer; Niko Lahanas, Chief Financial Officer; John Hanson, President Pet Consumer Products; and J.D. Walker, President Garden Consumer Products. In a moment, Beth will provide our key messages, and Niko will discuss this in more detail. After the prepared remarks, J.D. and John will join us for the Q&A. Before they begin, I would like to remind you that all forward-looking statements made during this call are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from what we share today. We describe the range of risk factors in our Annual Report filed with the SEC. Central undertakes no obligation to publicly update these forward-looking statements to reflect new information, subsequent events, or otherwise. Our press release and related materials are available at ir.central.com, and contain the GAAP reconciliation for the non-GAAP measures discussed on this call. Lastly, all growth comparisons made during this call are against the same period in the prior year unless otherwise stated. If you have further questions after the call or anytime during the quarter, please don't hesitate to reach out to me. And with that, I will now turn it over to Beth Springer. Beth?

Beth Springer

Analyst

Thank you, Friederike, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me begin with the three themes I hope you'll take away from our call today. First, the fiscal year is off to a solid start. We delivered earnings per share of $0.01 and modestly grew net sales. Most importantly, we saw margins improving, thanks to our cost management and moderating inflation. Our market shares and total distribution points were up across most of our Pet and Garden businesses in track channels. We're particularly pleased to see our continued strong growth in e-commerce. Second, we're making progress on our multi-year journey to simplify our business and improve efficiency across our organization by rationalizing our footprint, optimizing our portfolio, and improving our cost structure. We are intensely focused on this cost and simplicity program and continue to reap benefits from initiatives we implemented previously as well as kickoff new projects. Some examples of recent initiatives are the closure of a live plants facility and the implementation of an enhanced treasury management system. And third, our outlook for the fiscal year is unchanged. The vast majority of our Garden season is still in front of us and we continue to expect a challenging external environment for the balance of the year. Rest assured that all 6,700 members of us on Team Central are working hard to meet or exceed that guidance. Looking beyond the first quarter, we remain confident in our Central to Home strategy, the long-term vibrancy of the Pet and Garden industries, and the competitive strengths of our business, and we continue to make thoughtful investments for the future. With that, let me turn it over to Niko, who will share with you more details. Niko?

Niko Lahanas

Analyst

Thank you, Beth. Good afternoon, everyone. Expanding on Beth's key themes. I'll cover details of our first quarter results, the strides we are making on our cost and simplicity program, and our outlook for the year. Let's start with our Q1 results. Net sales increased 1% to 635 million. Organic net sales also grew 1%. Consolidated gross profit, increased 4% to 179 million, gross margin improved 80 basis points to 28.2% driven by our laser focus on cost management and moderating inflation. We've successfully controlled what we can control. SG&A expense of $170 million was in line with prior year and SG&A as a percentage of net sales decreased 40 basis points to 26.9%. Operating income increased by $8 million to $8.4 million, and operating margin increased 120 basis points to 1.3%. The increase was driven by improved gross margin and our focused on cost and cash resulting in lower SG&A as a percentage of net sales. Net interest expense was $10 million compared to $14 million in the prior year, driven by higher cash balances and higher interest rates. Net income was $430,000 compared to a net loss of $8 million a year ago. Our earnings per share were $0.01 compared to a loss per share of $0.16. Adjusted EBITDA was $37 million compared to $29 million. From a tax standpoint, we realized an outsized tax benefit for the quarter larger than our small loss due to stock compensation. For the year, we expect an effective tax rate in the range of 22% to 24%, similar to 2023. I'll now provide some color on our two segments. Starting with Pet. Pet segment sales declined 2% to $409 million as growth in health and wellness and aquatics and reptile was more than offset by double-digit declines in durables across pet…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Bill Chappell with Truist Securities.

Bill Chappell

Analyst

Hi, just wanted to talk a little bit more on the Garden side. I mean, you said in the quarter there was some earlier shipments of some garden categories, and that's kind of -- and I know December quarter is not indicative of the full year, but I thought the trend had largely been more just in time ordering for everything from the retailers, especially as we go into this season. So is that any different? Are you expect even more tightening of orders closer to time of sale or is it loosening, any kind of color you can give on that would be great.

J.D. Walker

Analyst

I think it's too early to determine if this is a long term trend or not. Last year, we definitely saw orders moving closer to consumption just in time this year. We mentioned in the script that our quarter ended a week later. So last year it ended just before Christmas this year. It was a week later, 1230 that week after really helped with shipments. The retailers start to load the stores in anticipation of the season. We also saw a couple of select retailers decide to move their shipments forward. And I don't know that that's going to be a long-term trend or not. And not all retailers did that, but a couple of key retailers did, and it impacted our sales for the quarter.

Bill Chappell

Analyst

In general, where would you say the enthusiasm we've heard kind of mixed results out of the DIY retailers right now to start the year anyways? How do you think they're set up or, or looking for this the upcoming season?

J.D. Walker

Analyst

They're all saying the right things. I'd say that they're all signaling that they're eager for the season. Obviously, lawn and garden drives a lot of footsteps into the store during the spring, and they're in a much better inventory position this year than they were a year ago. So I do believe that they're looking forward to the upcoming season to get back on track, if you will. Last year was a bit of an anomaly with heavier inventories and the weather never fully cooperated. This year, they're saying that they're excited about the season and I think their actions are backing that up. We're seeing a lot more promotional activity, a lot more engagement from the customer, and we're looking forward to the season as well. So I think that we're cautiously optimistic at this point.

Bill Chappell

Analyst

And then switching just to Pet, you had kind of sound the concern bell about just overall pet trends, especially for durable. As we move into ‘24, I mean, certainly saw some of that on the durable in 1Q. Are you seeing that bleed over into any of the other segments of pet in terms of just overall consumer demand or trade down or a bad term? Destocking of pets?

John Hanson

Analyst

The biggest place we're seeing is where we mention that's durables double digit declines in durables softening pet ownership from the COVID highs. And keep in mind, in the category, approximately 75% of the category is consumables and 25% durables. With our business, we run 80/20 and the good news for us is we're taking market share on both consumables and durables. So we feel good about that but the category does remain soft. We're seeing some moderate growth in consumables, as well. But I wouldn't -- we're in the categories we compete. I wouldn't say we've seen trade down per se.

Operator

Operator

Our question is from Brad Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Brad Thomas

Analyst

Wanted to follow-up with J.D. just about the all-important spring selling season here. And was wondering, if you could give us some color about how the promotional backdrop and competitive backdrop may be affecting things as you think about the months ahead here.

J.D. Walker

Analyst

Sure. Thanks Brad. Thanks for the question. I'd say that it's -- we don't have clarity in terms of some of the competitive and the competitive environment for the future. I'd say that we feel good about the promotional aspect of it. So I think, what we're seeing is customers are going to be more promotional. We're getting our fair share there. They are bringing in inventory as we expected them to. So loading the stores, setting the stores, I think all of the controllable aspects of the in front of us, we feel good about that. All the controllable causal factors, if you will. It's the uncontrollables that we don't know about, right. Weather and so on. But we've had two tough weather years. That's why we're taking a cautious approach, a more measured approach to the year. But as I told Bill, the customers are very engaged, our retail customers, everything we can control in terms of product availability, promotional activity, we feel good about. I hear a lot of chatter about competitive environment, but we're not seeing it translate yet. I think that's still in front of us. And our approach will be that we'll react to that as needed to defend share, to defend our share shelf. We'll certainly react, but right now, the season's still in front of us and I don't think anyone's completely tipping their hand at this point in time. We do feel good about expanded distribution this year. So our points of distribution have grown year-over-year. So there's a lot to like about where we sit right now with the season still in front of us.

Brad Thomas

Analyst

That's great to hear. And a follow up for Niko. Niko, you mentioned just the timing of selling through some of the higher cost inventory, taking a little bit longer, but as we think about gross margin for the year, is there anything different to think about in terms of how you think about gross margin for the year? Or just -- is this just timing within the year?

Niko Lahanas

Analyst

Yes, it's more timing. I think, we're still feeling good about gross margin for the year overall. The other thing to take into account, we're going to continue along our cost and simplicity program too. So we're continuing to take cost out, and that should help. If you look at this last quarter, one of the biggest drivers was our cost out initiatives in terms of expanding margin, and then the moderating inflation definitely helped as well.

Brad Thomas

Analyst

Very helpful. Thanks so much and good luck this spring.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jim Chartier with Monness Crespi and Hardt.

Jim Chartier

Analyst

Could you first talk about POS by business, how it trended and what were the key drivers behind that?

John Hanson

Analyst

Yes, I can start. This is John, Jim. On the Pet side, POS trended pretty similar to shipments. Our inventory on the pet side are in pretty good place. And again, the durable POS was significantly that's where the declines were consumables held pretty solid.

J.D. Walker

Analyst

And Jim on the Garden side, POS was down slightly for the quarter. Now, our portfolio is a little different than most of our competitors. We have a big Wild Bird business Wild Bird feed, and that usually drives our business in Q1. The unfavorable weather that Niko referenced in the script, impacted our Wild Bird business. So that POS or consumption was off. If you factor out Wild Bird, our POS was up mid to high single-digits for the quarter on all of our other businesses.

Jim Chartier

Analyst

And then Niko, just trying to understand kind of the impact of the cost out initiative this year. Is there any way for you to kind of quantify the savings that are embedded in your guidance or what the expected savings are from initiatives that have already been implemented or kind of in the process of being implemented?

Niko Lahanas

Analyst

No, we're going to stick with what we said before, Jim. We're going to give quarterly updates. I think in many cases these things take time. So we have to lap a lot of these initiatives. So timing is going to play a role too. So, really hard for us to quantify all of these things going on at once. So, we're not going to focus on giving you a yearly forecast on cost out, because I'm pretty sure we'd be wrong. Rather we want to focus on what we're actually doing, and sort of the costs behind those initiatives similar to what we did a year ago.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Bob Labick with CJS Securities.

Pete Lucas

Analyst

It's Pete Lucas for Bob. You covered a lot of my questions here. Just sticking with the Garden business or going back to it here, what are you seeing or expecting this year in terms of pricing versus last year? And do you think somewhat lower pricing could drive higher demand or kind of your thoughts on what you're thinking for this season?

J.D. Walker

Analyst

I'll take that one as well. So what we're seeing in some of our categories, we've seen some pricing -- we've made some pricing concessions, where we have commodity driven categories, commodities have softened, we've made some concessions to the retailers, and they're in turn passing that on to the consumers. But that's on some of the business. I'd say the bigger opportunity here is where we're passing on promotional savings to the consumer. We're being much more promotional and I think that ultimately will drive more footsteps into the store, more consumption in the categories. In general, across our categories, we're seeing fairly stable pricing. Certainly not escalating like it was a year or two, but not dramatic drops either.

Pete Lucas

Analyst

And then just one more for me in terms of the M&A outlook, I think you mentioned in the prepared remarks, seeing lots of opportunity. Is that something that you're still actively pursuing now or is that waiting for a new CEO or how should we kind of think about that for the near-term?

J.D. Walker

Analyst

No, we're all in on M&A. In fact, we had some turnover in that group and we're adding resources once again to really pursue that activity. And I think, you have a proof point. Just a few months ago we did the TDBBS acquisition and under best leadership as interim CEO. So, we're not having not having a CEO or permanent CEO call it what you want will not slow us down. We're aggressively pursuing that initiative because it's important, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks we want to grow organically and then supplement that growth with some robust M&A activity.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from William Reuter with Bank of America.

William Reuter

Analyst

I have a couple. So the first, in terms of the Wild Bird being down, do you think that was based upon weather on some level, or do you think this is just based upon weak consumer spending and some consumers not being willing to feed birds when prices are really high?

J.D. Walker

Analyst

William, this is JD. I'd say that it was almost completely driven by weather. So that business performs best when there's in the winter months when there's snow cover on the ground. It's one of the categories that performs best for us over the last couple of years when we saw the consumer in some categories exiting the categories or household penetration wasn't as great as it was during the pandemic, while bird actually has been strong throughout that period of time. So I don't think it's had to do with the economy and had almost entirely, it was a result of the unfavorable weather.

John Hanson

Analyst

Just to pile on to J.D. remarks, we had a soft first quarter in Wild Bird, and then when we got the Arctic freeze in January, we saw the POS pick up right away. And so you saw the snow on the ground and the consumer run in to buy that Wild Bird food.

William Reuter

Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then, in terms of -- it wasn't entirely clear to me if there is any destocking that continues to happen in lawn and garden or pet in the categories in which you participate, are there, is there any more destocking that continues to go on or are inventories in good shape across all channels?

J.D. Walker

Analyst

Well, speaking for Garden, I'd say that overall we're in good shape. Are there pockets, where there will be some continued destocking pockets? It's a little bit lumpy, they can't get it perfect in all stores across the country, but I'd say by and large, we feel good about where the inventory levels are now.

John Hanson

Analyst

Yes. And on the Pet side, very similar, we feel the retailer inventories are in very good shape. There may be some pockets, but it's very -- it's small scale.

J.D. Walker

Analyst

Kind of took our medicine about a year ago, right, John?

John Hanson

Analyst

Yes, we did. We took our medicine last year.

William Reuter

Analyst

And then just lastly for me, I think given where public equities in the pet space have traded, I've heard that most private companies believe their valuations are hoping to achieve valuations in the sale of their businesses that are in excess of the public markets. Do you think that continues to be the case, or are those expectations returning to reality?

John Hanson

Analyst

It's a mixed bag. It depends on the categories. It's like almost any business where you, if you've got a lot more IP proprietary type of technology, higher barriers, entry, you're going to pay a higher premium on those. But yes, I mean, typically what we've seen is the private market does follow the public. You always have that going on and, and then when the public markets come down, you typically see the, the private markets follow. We've seen no slowdown in terms of higher multiples on the pet side. That said, I think, we did a nice job on our last acquisition. In terms of valuation, we feel great about that. But yes, I think the pet multiples, particularly in the consumer space, dog and cat, I think you can expect those to be pretty high.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Andrea Teixeira with JPMorgan.

Andrea Teixeira

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. I was hoping if you can elaborate a little bit more on the cost out initiatives. I understand that you don't want to give precise numbers, but just to get some sense of what are the sources or buckets of those expenses, and if those who accelerate through the year or you're budgeting some reinvestment as they go through, I'm just thinking of your 80 basis points improvement in margin. I was trying to think if that's related to TDBBS acquisition. And then on that, just as a fine print here, I believe if I did the math correctly on that division, the acquisition contributed to about 3%. If we bridge organic, I guess total sales, is that correct?

J.D. Walker

Analyst

Well first, let me start at the beginning. So, we've got the cost and simplicity program. We've got five primary drill sites, so it's procurement, manufacturing, logistics, portfolio optimization, and then admin costs. Last year, we kind of kicked that off. We talked about it. You've seen several initiatives happen over last year. And then we're going to continue with that here into to ‘24 and ‘25. Again, we're going to give quarterly updates in terms of what we're doing. We talked this quarter about a greenhouse that we'd shut down as well as a Garden distribution facility that was sort of on the tail end of last year's sale of the independent Garden distribution business. So more to come there. In terms of the margin, accretion or expansion this last quarter largely driven by our cost initiatives as well as moderating inflation. I'll tell you, TDBBS was actually a drag on margin because we have to go through the purchase accounting there. When we inherit that inventory we have to market up. So it actually did not help us much or at all. In fact, it was a drag, so on margin. As far as top line, it had a de minimis effect on the top line as well. So it was so far not a huge impact by the acquisition.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Hale Holden with Barclays.

Hale Holden

Analyst

I had two. You mentioned that you gained distribution share in the Garden segment for the upcoming spring season, and that's actually what your primary public competitor said this morning. So I was wondering if you think, it's just different categories or potentially that your retail partners are expanding the category sets this spring or somebody who's losing share, I guess is the other alternative.

J.D. Walker

Analyst

I heard that as well. I did not hear them speak about specific categories, but I will tell you that we grew share in grass, seed and fertilizers and insecticides. And while it's not tracked by syndicated data, we know that we also grew share in packet seeds. So, I didn't hear anyone else claim a category, but I will tell you that in those categories we took share and we feel good about it.

Hale Holden

Analyst

The second question I had was at the risk of sounding like I'm asking a fed watching question your consumer outlook is pretty dour and hasn't changed in a quarter or two in terms of how you're underwriting to the full fiscal year. And do think there's some conservatism given how the consumer's turned out? Or are you still sensing that there's some reluctance out there?

Niko Lahanas

Analyst

Well, we're taking more of a wait and see attitude. If you look at our last two years, we did miss our guide, and if you rewind to November, we talked about being a little bit more conservative in our outlook. After missing guide two years in a row. So I think, we want to see how the weather plays out, how the Garden season plays out. I think the early signs, we feel good. We feel great about the business. Q1 came in to a solid start. I think, we took market share in like eight categories across pet and garden. We expanded margin, balance sheet is in great shape. So we feel really good about the business. We just need to see it play out kind of real time. And before that happens, we're a little remiss to get overly enthusiastic about the consumer.

J.D. Walker

Analyst

And Niko, just building on that point, you said in the script, 15% of the Garden season is Q1, so we 85% of the year in front of us, we're not going to celebrate too early, but we do feel good about where we are right now.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Karru Martinson with Jefferies.

Karru Martinson

Analyst

Some of the headwinds that you referenced was working through that higher value inventory. How long do you feel that it would get, will take for us to get through that? And kind of tying into that what should we think about the working capital benefits this year, on that front, given the benefit that we had this year?

Niko Lahanas

Analyst

Yes, so great question. We've got a few businesses that are extremely long on inventory and we think that that's going to play out through this year and even into ‘25 a little bit. As far as working cap, we did a great job last year of converting that inventory into cash. We are going to continue to do that. Our work is not done as far as really working that aspect of the business. So we're expecting a nice free cash flow number this year as well. So work is not done. I think, anywhere from $50 million to $100 million of inventory that we can lower throughout this year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Michael Copla [ph] with JPMorgan.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

One thing that we wanted to ask about was that, if you think that the fair share of promotions that you guys are getting is making some of your product maybe priced pretty attractively and kind of how that stacks up versus the competitors that you see out there.

J.D. Walker

Analyst

Michael, J.D. again here. I'd say from it is early to tell. We don't know what all they're going to do from a promotional standpoint. Like I said earlier, we feel very good about our promotional support that we've secured for the year. They've signaled a very strong second half of the year. So I think a lot of that, we will have to react to as we get into the season. But they haven't tipped their hands fully in terms of promotional pricing things like that. I'd say that going into it, just based on the way the market's been the last couple of years, we feel like we're well-positioned. We feel like we've got great promotional and display support and we'll have strong execution in the stores, but difficult to draw any conclusions. Here we are in early February with the season, still say 60 days away.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'd like to hand the floor back over to Friederike Edelmann for closing comments.

Friederike Edelmann

Analyst

Thanks everyone for joining our call today. Our IR team is available to answer any question you may have. Thank you and have a good rest of the day.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.