Earnings Labs

Central Puerto S.A. (CEPU)

Q3 2020 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 12, 2020

$14.74

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Central Puerto conference call following the results announcement for the quarter ended on September 30, 2020. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. If you do not have a copy of the press release, please refer to the Investor Support section on the company's corporate website at www.centralpuerto.com. A replay of today's call may be accessed through the website -- webcast in the Investor Support section of the Central Puerto corporate website. Before we proceed, please be aware that all financial figures were prepared in accordance with IFRS and are stated in Argentinian pesos unless otherwise noted. It is worth noting that the financial statements for the quarter ended on September 30, 2020, include the effects of the inflation adjustment. Accordingly, the financial figures mentioned during the call, including the data from previous periods and the growth comparisons, have been stated in terms of Argentine pesos of the end of the reporting period. Also, please note that certain statements made by the company during this conference call are forward-looking statements, and we refer you to the forward-looking statements section of our earnings release and recent filings with the SEC. Central Puerto assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements except as required under applicable securities laws. To follow the discussion better, please download the webcast presentation available on the company's website. Please be aware that some of the numbers mentioned during the call may be rounded in order to simplify the discussion. On the call today from Central Puerto is Jorge Rauber, Chief Executive Officer; Fernando Bonnet, Chief Operating Officer; Milagros Grande, Financial Manager; and Tomás Daghlian, Investor Relations Officer. I will now turn the call over to Jorge Rauber. Mr. Rauber, you may begin.

Jorge Rauber

Analyst

Thank you very much. Good morning, and welcome. I would like to begin today's call analyzing the developments of the third quarter, comment on the progress of our expansion projects and analyze the operating figures of the quarter. Fernando will present the recent financial news and results of the quarter. And finally, we'll answer any questions that you may have. As you know, the COVID-19 crisis has affected almost all the world, and among other consequences, the electric energy demand in Argentina. However, during the third quarter, we have seen some degree of recovery, thanks to the partial flexibilization of the quarantine. As you can see on Page 3, electricity demand decreased just 2.2% during the third quarter 2020 as compared to the same period 2019. As a reference, during the second quarter 2020, electricity demand decreased 5.5% as compared to the same period of the prior year. We believe that this trend may consolidate in the future quarters. Nonetheless, as you may recall, it's worth noting that the decrease has a less-than-proportional impact in the income of generation companies. In the case of renewable energy units, they are unaffected since they have dispatch priority, so they can sell all the electricity that they generate. In the case of thermal units, they have a high proportion of their income associated with fixed power moderation, which is not related to the energy production of the unit. Finally, when demand decreases, the units that stop generating electricity first tend to be the older, inefficient ones, which are remunerator under the Energía Base framework as compared to the new efficient ones with -- that have a higher remuneration to contracts, also known as power purchase agreement or PPA. Going now to Page 4. As you may recall, the measures adopted to prevent the…

Fernando Bonnet

Analyst

Thank you, Jorge. I will first refer to some of recent financial news for the company and then comment on the results of the third quarter of 2020. As you can see on Page 6, on August 31, our subsidiaries, CP Manque and CP Los Olivos, issued 2 green bonds in the local security market for the equivalent of USD 50 million, replacing outstanding bridge loans with Central Puerto. The placement consists in a dollar-linked series, Class 1, integrated in Argentine pesos for $35 million with a maturity of 3 years, and a series in Argentine pesos with a maturity of 1 year for the equivalent of USD 15 million. The issuance was recognized by Fix Ratings, an affiliate of Fitch Ratings, with the green bond rating BV1, and the bonds were included in the Panel of Social, Green and Sustainable bonds at Bolsa security market, BYMA, being the first one to be included in this panel with the issuance. This is an important milestone for the company and the Argentine security market. And we look forward to continue with the development of this kind of investment alternatives for which we expect a growth in demand. Going now to the results for the quarter. As you can see on Page 7, our revenues were ARS 9.1 billion as compared to ARS 10.6 billion during the third quarter of 2019. This decrease was driven by the discontinuation of the fuel purchases operations that we did during 2019 due to the new regulations that centralized the fuel purchases for all generators in CAMMESA. This effect represents a ARS 1.7 billion variation during the quarter compared to the same period of the prior year. Excluding this effect, revenues were ARS 8.9 billion compared to ARS 8.7 billion in the third quarter of 2019.…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Frank McGann with Bank of America.

Frank McGann

Analyst

Two questions if I could. One, I was just wondering if you could speak about the trends you're seeing in the third quarter in terms of demand, especially -- not so much demand, but your actual generation, especially related to hydro and hydro conditions and how you are seeing those for the fourth quarter? And secondly, I was just wondering if you could comment on how the cash flow payments are in terms of timing coming from CAMMESA currently?

Jorge Rauber

Analyst

Well, I think, Frank, the first thing I want to mention is that demand is still a one-off last year. It's mainly driven -- I mean this decrease may be compensated by a strong increase in terms of residential demand. The customers are consuming 10% above the level they had last year. And what is affected is industrial and commercial demand in the same extent. Regarding [indiscernible] what we are seeing is a very dry hydraulic this year. In fact, we had a generation which is 21% below the normal level for hydro -- [ Piedra del Águila ] power plant. The situation is more [indiscernible] in terms of demand. We are seeing some progress and is kind of covering it with the flexibilization of the quarantine, but it's [indiscernible] that we had last year. For sure, we expect as the changes -- I mean the government introduced in terms of regulation now to kind of [indiscernible] quarantine now [indiscernible] increased, but the fact will -- I mean, still be there for a couple of months at least. I don't know if I...

Fernando Bonnet

Analyst

And let me answer the second one.

Jorge Rauber

Analyst

Yes.

Fernando Bonnet

Analyst

In terms of payment, CAMMESA is [indiscernible] after they can -- increase or the government, the Secretary of Energy can [ increase ] the budget for the subsidies in terms of energy. The payment flow [indiscernible]. We have a reduction in days of delay. We are [ asked previous ] [indiscernible] increase in budget. We have around [ 40 ] days of delay and right now, we are in 30 days of delay in payment. So the payments are [indiscernible]. Of course, we are still Have that 30 days of delay, but we are better than 1 month or 2 months ago. So -- and the government said that -- want to maintain that -- not increase that quantity of days of delay. [indiscernible] are receiving more money, more flow. And I think with that, we can still continue with these delays until the government can make the adjustment that they are saying happen in 2021.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Matías Wesenack with [ Aramera ]. Matías Wesenack: This is Matías Wesenack from AR Partners. I have 2 in fact. The first one is, how efficient do you expect T6 to be an open cycle? Do you expect it to have a high dispatch factor? And the second one is, if you could give us more color on capital expenditures in the remaining of this year and 2021.

Jorge Rauber

Analyst

Well, I will answer the first, Matías. I will answer the first question. For sure, the operation in open cycle [ expect a low ] dispatch. The demand is [ full ] now because of the coronavirus [ crisis ] and the demand, the [indiscernible] offer we have on the renewable side. So we expect a very low dispatch but as was mentioned, most of the remuneration of the units are based on availability, not on dispatch. So this unit operating in [ open cycle ] will contribute with a capacity payment until [indiscernible] the common cycle is expected to occur during the first half of next year. And I will let Fernando answer the second one, please.

Fernando Bonnet

Analyst

Thanks, Jorge. In terms of CapEx, the only [indiscernible] we have already under construction are Terminal 6, as Jorge mentioned. There, [ we have ] for the last 2020 is [ $7 million ] in CapEx. And the remaining portion of the CapEx for the first quarter of 2021 are expected to be [indiscernible]. In terms of the renewables, the last [indiscernible] under construction is La Genoveva I, which is starting operation this month. And for the last quarter of this year, we have [ $15 million ]. I think [indiscernible] a portion of that, around $6 million. For expansion and the normal ones that we have in terms of maintenance are around [ $15 million ] per year.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. Rauber for any closing remarks.

Jorge Rauber

Analyst

Okay. Thank you to everyone for your interest in Central Puerto. We encourage you to call us for any information that you may need. Have a great day. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.