Bill Carstanjen
Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is now open
Thanks Mike. Good morning, everyone. With me today are several members of our team, including Bill Mudd, our President and Chief Operating Officer; Marcia Dall, our Chief Financial Officer; and Brad Blackwell, our General Counsel. I'll make a few general comments and then turn this over to Marcia. After she has finished her comments, Marcia, Bill Mudd and I will be happy to take your questions. The company's adjusted EBITDA was up $10.6 million, 23% above the first quarter of 2016. Big Fish Games was the major driver of that result and I will talk about their performance in a few minutes. We also achieved adjusted EBITDA growth in the TwinSpires and Casino segments, and generally, those 2 segments performed as we expected. Consequently, our results were up nicely versus first quarter 2016 with respect to adjusted EBITDA, diluted earnings per share, free cash flow, and cash flow per diluted share. While Big Fish Games, TwinSpires and the Casino segments drove our positive results in the first quarter, our Racing segment was a headwind for us. Its adjusted EBITDA was down $2.3 million in the quarter, primarily because of 2 unusual factors that I'll describe briefly. Racing is usually a fairly quiet segment for us in the first quarter, Fair Grounds Race Course in New Orleans is our only thoroughbred track conducting live racing. This year, the economic performance of the race meet was affected by an equine illness that was detected in a number of horses stabling at our facility. The presence of the illness resulted in quarantine procedures that greatly restricted the movement of horses to and from our facility. This resulted in reduced average field sizes for our races which in turn directly correlated with wagering handle. On average, when there are fewer horses and consequently fewer potential outcomes, there tends to be less wagering activity. The other unusual event in our racing segment was really just a function of this year's calendar. The Louisiana Derby, which is the biggest economic day at the Fair Grounds race meet fell in the second quarter this year and thus, is not included in the first quarter results. With respect to our Casino segment, net revenue and adjusted EBITDA both increased $1 million over prior year. Marcia will explain the variances in more detail; I would just like to offer a couple of general comments. Oxford and Miami Valley continue to be strong and consistent performers for us. We believe that both properties have not yet reached their full potential in their respective markets and that is really nice to see. As you know, we are constructing a 107-room hotel at Oxford. Really severe weather conditions caused some delays to the construction process in the first quarter. We still plan to open the hotel expansion in the fourth quarter. In addition to Oxford and Miami Valley, Harlow's showed improvement this past quarter in both net revenues and adjusted EBITDA over prior year. One quarter is not a trend, but, nevertheless, we are encouraged and think we have the right team in place. We are also encouraged with how well Saratoga is holding up in the face of the new Rivers Casino nearby in Schenectady which opened in February. We do not have enough data points yet to understand long-term impact of the new competition. Our facility is paying close attention to any changing dynamics in that market so that we can adjust accordingly. We continue to be challenged at our operations in the New Orleans and Vicksburg, Mississippi markets. Our operating teams are very focused on cost efficiencies and that helps us manage to the bottom line even when we are more challenged for top-line growth. Those are both just tough markets right now. Overall, some of our markets remain better than others but generally, the Casino segment continues to be relatively stable and predictable for us. The current macro environment seems relatively consistent with recent periods, we have no cause to expect significant changes and thus we will continue to be conservative in how we invest and how we operate our properties. Finally, we closed in January on our purchase of the Ocean Downs casino in Berlin, Maryland. As you may recall, we announced the signing of the Ocean Downs acquisition in July 2016. We own directly and indirectly 62.5% of Ocean Downs with our partner, Saratoga Casino Holdings holding the rest. We manage the facility. Ocean Downs has approximately 800 video lottery terminals as well as seasonal harness racing. We are currently constructing an expansion to increase the number of slot machines and to conduct live table games which property is permitted to do under the existing law. We expect to be operating table games by New Year's Eve. This is approximately a $15 million project that has been funded with debt at the joint venture level. Finally, another good news for this property, a bill was recently passed and signed by the governor that reduces our gaming tax rate by 10% if we assume ownership or the right to lease the VLTs at Ocean Downs by January 1, 2019. Currently the state of Maryland owns or leases each of the gaming machines. Depending on how many of the existing machines on the floor we purchase, compared to the number of new machines we order, we expect it will cost us between $10 million to $15 million and be less than a 3-year payback. We will likely fund this with additional debt at the joint venture level. Turning to our TwinSpires segment. Wagering was up 6.8% in the first quarter after being 14% for the full year 2016. According to Equibase, handle across the industry as a whole was down about 1% for the quarter after being up less than 1% in 2016. Adjusted EBITDA was $1.1 million or about 9% in the first quarter. The team at TwinSpires continues to demonstrate that it can drive top-line growth in a flat to declining market. While our growth rate slowed in the fourth quarter versus full-year 2016, that is not cause for concern. We compete every quarter to grow our business but the second quarter, is where we have the most opportunity to reach new customers and reconnect with inactive ones. Our team is hyper focused on acquiring new users and improving revenues per existing user as we head into the Kentucky Derby season. While we have benefited over a long period of time from the trend of horseplayers moving their play online from traditional brick-and-mortar outlets, we market expensively around the Kentucky Derby, the Triple Crown season, and the Breeder's Cup, since that is when the sport acquires new fans. All of you on this call should help us on this. Please remember to download the twinspires.com app so you can bet the Kentucky Derby and all of the other races from the convenience of wherever you happen to be. Let's turn to Big Fish Games. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased $11.4 million or 128% over the first quarter of 2016. Our increase in adjusted EBITDA occurred despite the fact that our net revenues declined by $10.1 million. Our user acquisition spending declined $18.3 million and our other business expenses declined $3.2 million. This resulted in our adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin increasing over prior year. As I will discuss in more detail in a moment, the reduction in UA spending occurred entirely within the Free-to-Play Casual and mid-core segment. We reduced UA $21 million in this segment compared to the first quarter of 2016 and it was relatively flat compared to the fourth quarter. We actually increased UA in the social casino segment by $2.8 million over the first quarter prior-year, and $2 million over fourth quarter. We are increasing our focus and investment in the social casino genre and we are rightsizing our UA investment based on the performance of our current games in the Free-to-Play Casual mid-core space. In the first quarter, bookings overall were down less than 1% compared to the fourth quarter and down about 13.5% compared to the first quarter of last year. These numbers were consistent with our plan and reflective of our pivot to put the business on a path to sustainable and predictable long-term growth. I stated repeatedly over the last several quarters that our objective is not to simply chase bookings for bookings' sake, but rather to achieve sustainable, profitable bookings growth. I'm going to talk separately about each of our major segments within Big Fish: social casino, Free-to-Play Casual and mid-core, and finally, Premium. Social casino bookings increased $2.1 million, or nearly 5% over fourth quarter and slightly decreased about $1 million or 2% over first quarter of 2016. We've been hard at work introducing new community and social features into our flagship game, Big Fish Casino and refining new social casino products like Jackpot City Slots. In the first quarter, we launched the Clubs and Clubs Tournament features in both Big Fish Casino and Jackpot City Slots. These features allow players to team up with other players and earn in-game rewards as well as compete against other clubs and tournaments. In addition to these new features, we have been laser-focused on improving the user experience, particularly, the first-time user experience. This is not only true across our social casino products, but applies to everything we are doing in Free-to-Play Casual and mid-core as well. We are seeing increases of many of our metrics as we have modified our approach. For those of you who follow the social casino segment, you may have noted that Jackpot City Slots has steadily and increasingly been climbing the download and bookings charts. This product is getting as much attention and all of the features and functionality of our flagship product Big Fish Casino. It has been showing encouraging results and now is meaningfully adding to the bookings and other metrics our of social casino segment. We are cautiously optimistic we have a sustainable addition to our portfolio. We think it is important to continue to introduce new standalone products to our social casino offerings. We have on soft launch now, a new product called Sunset Riches, which combines classic 3 reel slot machines with the travel theme. While the social casino genre continues to grow, the growth rate has slowed and competition has stiffened as both major players and new entrants compete in this very attractive space. Big Fish Casino remains a leader in this space. That said, we can and will introduce new products while also staying absolutely committed to our traditional franchise. We believe Big Fish Casino has a great deal of unreached potential. It is very hard for new entrants to reach sustainable profitability on the scale that we have built over time with Big Fish Casino. It remains a very stable and profitable business led by a deeply experienced and capable team. Many casino products have come and gone chasing bookings in this space, but very few can demonstrate significant profitability and still say near the top of the charts for bookings, downloads and other key metrics, as we continue to do. Now, let's discuss the Free-to-Play Casual and mid-core segment. Bookings declined about 6% compared to the fourth quarter and approximately 20% compared to the first quarter 2016. We grew bookings rapidly through the first few quarters of 2016, but in retrospect, we did not do so in a manner that is best for our long-term profitability because we overinvested in user acquisition. I discussed that last quarter and I won't repeat it again now beyond making the point that it largely explains our declines in the top line compared to prior year. With respect to our more significant gains, Gummy Drop! remains a highly profitable, well-performing game, but it is maturing. We are retooling the gameplay experience to improve retention. While we will continue to be very disciplined in our UA spend, we believe Gummy Drop! still has upside as we improve the user experience, particularly in the earlier levels of the game. We are also seeing improvements from another one of our well-established casual games, Fairway Solitaire, which continues to trend in the right direction. We have really focused on reinvigorating our pipeline for Free-to-Play Casual and mid-core games. One of our strengths over time has been our deep network of third-party, offshore, low-cost game studios with whom we have developed relationships over many years. We've delivered new games to the market cheaply, and then iterated quickly in response to customer feedback. We plan to do more of this while also introducing several new products out of our very talented and highly experienced in-house studios. Pipeline production is a real emphasis for us over this next year. That said, we will keep a very close eye on UA investment as a percentage of revenues and are not likely to return to the high percentages you saw in the earlier quarters of 2016, unless there is a very compelling investment case to do so. In sum, we have to expect our bookings, and therefore, associated revenues to decline in 2017 with respect to the Free-to-Play Casual and mid-core segment, as we are more conservative with our UA spend on our current roster of games and the new games that will come from our pipeline. Finally, a brief comment on the Premium segment. Bookings were flat through the fourth quarter and down 20% for the first quarter of 2016. The decline in bookings in the Premium segment has been expected and consistent since we've been involved in the Big Fish business. We've always felt this trend would continue as customers transitioned to mobile devices and free-to-play games. This segment produces attractive margins by operating efficiently and we will continue to operate it with this focus. We are encouraged that we may soon be able to offer a premium mobile games subscription service in the Apple Store. Apple has not previously permitted a game subscription model. No doubt, a great deal of work will be necessary to develop a compelling product in the mobile space, but subscriptions have always been key attribute to Big Fish's success with premium games directed towards customers using desktops. So we are encouraged by this possibility. In sum, Big Fish is a complex business functioning in a sophisticated and competitive marketplace. The scale, experience, and capability of our business and team gives us a great sense of optimism that we will continue to perform and iterate successfully. Okay, the Kentucky Derby. The Kentucky Derby is a week from this Saturday. As you may recall, we put out a press release, very shortly, after each Kentucky Derby, covering some of the key operating and financial metrics for the event. We will have to let that press release speak for itself. We are very excited for 143rd edition of the "Run for the Roses". We have completed our $16 million renovation of the Clubhouse area. The improved amenities and features in the clubhouse will be apparent to everyone who passes by, but will be especially appreciated by the nearly 18,000 guests who utilize the restrooms, food and beverage offerings, and wagering windows in this section of our facility. We have focused on improving on everything we do and hope our customers appreciate and feel the difference. Like I said, we are excited about next Saturday, May 6, and look to be in good shape. One brief update. We announced earlier this year, our inaugural Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby, which would select a qualified Japanese horse to take to the starting gate at this year's Kentucky Derby and allow us to Simulcast the race into Japan for wagering. Unfortunately, we will have to wait until next year for a Japanese runner, as none of the 3 qualifiers this year are able to make the trip. We did not build in any economic expectations for this into our plan and it would have been all additional upside. Next year, we will try again. Two other quick notes. We were asked during the last conference call about any plans we may have in Kentucky to install instant racing machines at Churchill Downs Racetrack or at our training facility called Trackside. We are very intrigued by the idea, and continue to consider it closely. We don't have anything else to announce on this subject at this time. Finally, as most of you will have seen, our Board of Directors just authorized a $250 million share repurchase program, which replaces the current authorized program. We will continue to evaluate the repurchasing shares so long as it is among the best way to deploy our capital. Our net leverage remains below 3x adjusted EBITDA and that gives us great flexibility to support organic growth, dividends, acquisitions and share repurchases. With that, I would like to turn this over to Marcia who will provide some additional details on the quarter. After that, we'll be happy to take questions. Thank you. Marcia?