Michael H. Lou
Analyst · Capital One.
So a couple of things. One, in 2016, as we look out at it, if you assume kind of the strip prices in a $60 to $65 range, as you mentioned, with the hedges rolling off, operating cash flow will be lower. However, we do think that we can continue to maintain flattish-type production levels and spend essentially within cash flow in that scenario. A couple of the reasons why is that we are going to have kind of a full level of being in kind of, the best parts of the basin. As Tom and Taylor mentioned, we have over 8 years of inventory in that -- in those areas, and so we've got a very long inventory in that area. Two, we'll have the full benefit of cost reductions from the year as well. And so you're going to have the benefit of kind of, both those things in there. Obviously, we're also battling less production declines year-over-year, so it kind of ties into the second part of your question. But as you can imagine, without a rapidly growing program, like we've had over the last 3 or 4 years, this year is going to be more relatively flat. We'll leave this year with our base level of production declining less than, than we're entering the year. So we won't have to battle those declines quite as heavily in 2016 as we do in 2015. And then on the flip side of that, on the liquidity side, obviously, with a little bit of an outspend this year, our liquidity position is not quite as strong, but essentially is flattish from where we will be at the end of the first quarter. And so I think we'll maintain a strong liquidity position. Obviously, the company can always do a number of other things, and I'm sure all companies are taking a look at other methods, whether it's divesting of noncore assets, whether it's looking at the capital markets and a whole host of other alternatives. So unlike our -- just like everybody else, we're going to review kind of all of our -- all of the alternatives out there.